Last Week's Projections
(10-6) Straight Up - 62.5%
(10-6) Against The Spread - 62.5%
Atlanta (-3) at Detroit 12:30
Are my eyes deceiving me or is that Mike Vick posing as
a pocket passer? Give the guy some credit he is staying in there
longer and trying to get better. Fantasy owners should be happy
as it will keep him on the field longer. He had a tough game against
the Bucs and beat Vick again. In this one I would say that the Lions
D is going to have a tough time containing the Falcons running game.
But don't be fooled this defense is not top notch.
The Lions were game against the Pokes but as expected they just
couldn't stay with them offensively. They have to find a running
game this week to have any chance. Atlanta's run D is not great
so they should at least have the opportunity. But understand that
the Falcons don't fear the passing game of the Lions so they won't
play honest. Balance is the key
Final Score: Falcons 28, Lions
Denver (–1.5) at Dallas
The Broncos, at 8-2, have won three straight and eight of
their last nine. But they really need to keep piling up wins if
they have any hope of getting home-field advantage in the playoffs,
given the situation with the currently undefeated Indianapolis Colts.
With Tatum Bell nursing a chest injury, Mike Anderson will get he
bulk of the carries. Go with Plummer, Rod Smith, and Anderson. The
Cowboys have also won three straight and are eyeing a playoff spot.
The key to their performance this week is Bledsoe’s protection.
If the Cowboys offensive line holds up, they should come away with
a win. I like Bledsoe, Jones, Keyshawn and Witten.
Final Score: Cowboys 23, Broncos
Baltimore at Cincinnati
(-9) 1:00 p.m.
A shootout last week was expected and the Bengals delivered their
part. Made a mistake by asking Manning to beat them. He did, soundly.
He racked up 360 yards and 3 TDs. That is not championship caliber
defense folks. However they won't have to be as much this week
as the Ravens offense is horrible. They will sack Boller at least
5 times and have everyone talking about great the defense is again.
Overrated I say. Make no mistake though, that offense is serious
and will score some points this week.
Kyle at the healm and Jamal Lewis is done. However they managed
to put up a win against the Big Ben-less Steelers. They pretty
much stopped the Steelers ground game and forced Maddox to make
some plays. He didn't make enough so that is why they lost. This
week will be a daunting task. They won't be able to control this
offense which is probably 2nd best in the league. Also on the
road they will not be able to move the ball effectively. Look
for a beating.
Final Score: Bengals 31, Ravens
Carolina (-3.5) at Buffalo
Tough game at the Bears last week. They seemed to not put everything
together on drives however the moved the ball somewhat. They just
couldn't close the deal and get into the endzone. That Steve Smith
is ridiculous. You know he is going to get the ball because the
Panthers have no one else to throw it to. But he still finds a
way to get open. This Buffalo defense just got carved up last
week so look for the Panthers passing offense to have a big game.
As mentioned above the Bills got carved up like that turkey you
will be cooking on Thanksgiving. Drew Brees made them look stupid
for loading the box against LT. He threw pretty much where he
wanted to and LT was drinking Gatorade and getting a tan by the
4th quarter. I don't think the offense is the problem as people
have said. I really think it is the defense. They have been really
Final Score: Panthers 24, Bills
Chicago (+3) at Tampa
Bay 1:00 p.m
I think this shows a lack of respect for the Bears. I know it
is on the road to a good team but this defense is the best I have
seen since the Ravens in 2000. They are simply monsters and will
eat up Simms like a kid to an ice cream cone. They must be licking
their chops to get a piece of this guy. Don't look for a whole
lot of offense in this one. But defenses will keep that score
down to a minimum.
The Bucs took care of business in the division again. They have
a habit of beating Mike Vick. Chris Simms wasn't spectacular but
he didn't have to be. The Bucs do what they do best. Run the ball
the entire game and keep the other teams offense off the field.
When they do get on the field they get to stare down a great defense.
But this one I think they will meet their match. Look for this
one to be low scoring with the Bucs being on the bottom.
Final Score: Bears 17, Bucs
Cleveland at Minnesota
(-3.5) 1:00 p.m
Hard to imagine but the Vikes are looking to make it four in a
row with a backup QB who has yet to throw for more than 200 yds
in any game. Minnesota is 3-1 with Brad Johnson at the helm and
will count on him to "manage" the Vikes to another victory.
Mewelde Moore provided the spark last week against Green Bay and
should fair well against a Cleveland defense ranked in the middle
of the pack against the run. At WR, Travis Taylor, the Robinson's
(Marcus & Koren), Troy Williamson, and Nate Burleson should
all be avoided... too many options to count on.
Cleveland continues to feed Reueben Droughns and he's a solid
start against the Vikings average run defense. Droughns rolled
up 166 yds last week as they shutout the Miami Dolphins 22-0 on
his way to becoming Cleveland's first 1,000-yard rusher since
1985 (wow!). WR Antonio Bryant is a #3 WR in most leagues but
the Browns are intent on getting Braylon Edwards more involved
in the offense. He has cracked the starting lineup and should
post some decent numbers down the stretch.
This should be an ugly, low-scoring game. Give the Vikings the
benefit of the doubt for being at home.
Final Score: Vikes 17 Browns
New England (+3) at Kansas
City 1:00 p.m.
The Patriots fall from grace will only be complete with a loss
in KC to the crying man. Vermeil is bound to shed a few tears
after this one, if only for the once gallant Patriots’ descent
into mediocrity. Belichick is still a genius, he’s just
surrounded by pain and misery. And Boston fans. Look for the Pats
to win this week and get good numbers from Brady, Branch and Watson.
The Chiefs won’t get 200 yards from LJ this week, but they
might see a big game from Tony Gonzalez. Go with Green, Johnson,
Kennison and Gonzo.
Final Score: Pats 27, Chiefs
San Diego (-3) at Washington
If the Chargers can force two turnovers, they have this game won.
I’d be willing to wager actual money they will win by more
than three this week, especially if Tomlinson gets some big runs
in early, which I believe he’ll do. I can almost see the
NFL Gamebreaks right now. Play LT, Brees, Gates (but check the
injury report) and McCardell. The Skins could really make a statement
with a win at home over the Bolts this week, but I just don’t
think it can happen. Brunell, Portis and Moss are good plays,
but they will turn the ball over on Sunday.
Final Score: Chargers 30, Redskins
San Francisco (+8) at
Tennessee 1:00 p.m.
This game couldn’t be more meaningless if it was held in
the negative world from Super Mario Bros. on Nintendo. The only
people tuning in to this one will be fantasy junkies and degenerate
gamblers. The Niners have won just two games this year, beating
the Rams in week one and the Bucs the day before Halloween. The
Titans are bad enough for them to play without passion, which
means another loss. Go with Brandon Lloyd and Kevin Barlow for
the Niners and Steve McNair TE Erron Kinney, and Chris Brown for
Final Score: Titans 20, 49ers
Louis (-3.5) at Houston 1:00 p.m
The Rams actually have a decent chance at losing this game, as
the crappiest opponents tend to come away with wins against them.
Here, it looks like a trap game with Houston on the schedule,
but I’m taking the bait and the Rams. Start Martin, Jackson,
Holt and Curtis, and go easy on the Texans. They have viable options
in Carr and Johnson, but they might not establish too much of
a ground game coming from behind.
Final Score: Rams 37, Texans
Bay (+4) at Philadelphia 4:15 p.m.
Another meaningless game, with the Packers out of it and the Eagles
running on fumes. Sure, you can play Favre and either Fisher or
Gado, Driver and Franks, but be careful how many Eagles you start
this week. The offense will be trolling along like syrup running
down a telephone pole in February. Reggie Brown is bound to have
a big game, as he is the new focal point of this offense, and
Brian Westbrook can always put up numbers. Go with Greg Lewis,
but don’t play any QBs.
Final Score: Packers 24, Eagles
N.Y. Giants (+4.5) at
Seattle 4:15 p.m.
Everybody likes the Seahawks at home, but I’m taking the
Giants in my upset special of the week. I think
the Giants have something to prove this Sunday and want to be
seen as the best team in the NFC East. If
they can knock off the Seahawks, they might just get some of that
respect. For the G-Men, go with Manning,
Barber, Burress and Shockey until further notice. The Seahawks
should get good games from Hasselbeck,
Alexander, Engram and Jurevicius, who has a knack for finding
the end zone.
Final Score: Giants 31, Seahawks
at Arizona (+3.5) 4:05 p.m.
I hear gasps around the world saying "the Cardinals to win
against the Jags!!!". It is not so far fetched. Especially
on the road to a rejuvenate Kurt Warner. Who decided to take it
back three years last week against the Rams? He looked great throwing
for over 300 yards and was protected for goodness sakes. If you
give this guy some time he still has some left in the tank. I
see them doing more of the same this week. Boldin and Fitz both
should go over the 100 yard mark.
The Jags survived ont he road against the Titans. They only won
by 3 and really haven't handled pressure well. It seems they are
having trouble running the football on the road and not winning
more soundly against team they must beat. That is why I see a
bump this week. I see them giving up a lot of passing yards and
shootout will occur. I think you should look for them to take
a dive this week.
Final Score: Cardinals 34,
Miami at Oakland (-7)
Hooray for Norv!!! He had to take some pride beating his old team
last week in D.C. The Raiders are looking for some momentum and
should take the win this week. What they are doing is running
the ball and throwing to other folks besides Randy. Jerry Porter
is a great option this week. They should beat the Fins with ease
and put up some decent numbers.
Boy is it getting ugly in Shaq's town?? The Dolphins just got
spanked in Cleveland. How do you get shut out by the Browns??
They literally had no offense and looked absolutely awful. When
is the draft? I don't think they can get to Matt Linert quick
enough. I still don't think that solves all the problems but it
would help. I hear Zach Thomas will miss this game as well. The
team's emotional leader. That doesn't bode well. You might see
Final Score: Raiders 26, Dolphins
New Orleans (-1.5) at
N.Y. Jets 8:30 p.m
The battle of the worst. The Jets have zero offense with a really
bad running game. They are down to QB number 7 and look to be
ready to get involved in the USC sweepstakes. However I think
their attention will be more on Bush than Matt. Either way that
does nothing for them in this game. They will give up some points
and might have some motivation at home. But I see the Saints will
the ability to score and the defense being even so I will give
it to them.
Rooting for the Saints is tough but they are game. Last week they
put up some points and were in a position to make it a game at
the end. I like their spunk and the fact that they have no problem
chunking it up 50 times a game. Makes for interesting TV. Look
for Brooks, Stallworth, and Horn to get it going and put up some
points and get a "gasp" road win for the weary Saints.
Final Score: Saints 28 Jets
Pittsburgh (NL) at Indianapolis
If anybody is going to beat the Colts, it would be the Steelers.
They have the defense to do it, but they don’t have the
firepower to keep up once Manning starts hitting his targets.
Sure, the Colts have a few tough games left on the schedule, but
winning this week will send a message that the rest of the league
needs to be very afraid. The Colts offense has a multitude of
fantasy options, the Steelers D not withstanding. I’d go
with Manning, James, Harrison, Wayne and Clark, but keep Stokely
on the bench this week. For the Steelers, you can safely play
Willie Parker, Big Ben and Hines Ward. Anything more would just
be wishful thinking.
Final Score: Colts 30, Steelers