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Joe Holka | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


Daily Guidance: Week 9
Players to Fade
11/6/16; Updated: 11/8/15


It is Week 9 already and time we circle back to players to fade in your FanDuel cash games. Choosing what players to fade is as important as finding value, especially when constructing a lineup for cash games. The idea is to create a lineup with a high floor and low variance so you can make it above the pay line.

This week I am very high on the Oakland at Pittsburgh game. I think it could be a great spot for Antonio Brown with Big Ben healthier and DeAngelo Williams comes at a great price. I’m also on Michael Crabtree as a cheaper WR option and Jets Defense against the Jaguars. Tom Brady should have a great showing against a terrible Washington pass defense and I expect Brandon LaFell to pay off value in cash games.

Editor's Note: Lineup updated 11/8/15, 9:45 am ET.


Players to Fade

1. QB– Aaron Rodgers, MIN ($8900) @ CAR

Last week Rodgers faced arguably the best defense in the league in Denver and put up a dud. It is hard for me to justify his salary and matchup against Carolina in Week 9, especially in cash. The Panthers pass defense is ranked seventh in the NFL with only seven passing scores allowed all year. Though I don’t expect to see 77 yards passing again from Rodgers this week, he is a clear fade for me in cash on FanDuel.

2. WR– Donte Moncrief, IND ($6400) vs. DEN

Andrew Luck’s struggles have been well documented this year behind a horrible offensive line in Indianapolis. He’s been turning the ball over at an inexcusable pace and this week against Denver could be much of the same. Donte Moncrief struggled against another top defense in the Panthers and I don’t expect him to hit value at his current salary. He has been a fixture in my value plays article most weeks but for Week 9, he is a fade.

3. WR– Dwayne Harris, NYG ($5300) @ TB

The New York Giants play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this week whose pass defense can very much be compared to the Saints team they played last week. With that being said, I can’t get behind Harris as a potential punt play at WR. Yes he had two touchdowns last week but he also had just three catches for 37 yards, which is not the type of volume I look for in cash games.

4. WR– Danny Amendola, NE ($5300) vs. WAS

This is a great matchup for Tom Brady and the Patriots and I expect this game to get out of hand early. Amendola has been playing well but things are getting crowded in the wide receiving corps in New England and Brandon LaFell is already stealing snaps from Amendola in two-wide-receiver sets. This seems like a game where Brady will be content to spread the ball around, and we may see a score or two on the ground from either Dion Lewis or LeGarrette Blount.

5. RB– Karlos Williams, BUF ($5600) vs. MIA

LeSean McCoy is healthy and even though he only posted a stat line of 11/16/0 rushing in Week 3 against the Dolphins, I don’t buy Karlos Williams as a play this week in cash games. He is expected back from concussion protocol but I don’t believe this backfield will be a committee approach even though Williams played well earlier this year. The Bills have too much invested in McCoy not to feed him when healthy. Williams has a nice salary, but will be a fade for me in Week 9.

6. WR– Jordan Matthews, PHI ($5800) @ DAL

This offense has been inconsistent to say the least. Possibly a GPP play going forward but I am done being burned by Matthews in cash games. This week Matthews has a tough matchup against a Cowboys team that only gave up one touchdown and 210 yards to Russell Wilson last weekend. Matthews will continue to be unimpressive this week and I want no part of him in cash even though he did go for six receptions, 80 yards and a touchdown in Week 2 against Dallas. That being said they have given up just eight touchdowns all season through the air and have played extremely well as of late.

7. RB– Alfred Morris, WAS ($5400) @NE

A running back on the road as a heavy underdog is never a recipe for success in daily fantasy. This week against the Patriots could get out of hand quickly. His salary is cheap but I can’t rely on a committee situation with this game script in cash games. Rookie Matt Jones has had a significant impact this season and the backfield as a whole seems like a fade in Week 9.

8. TE– Ladarius Green, SD ($5200) vs. CHI

With Keenan Allen done for the year it is very possible that Ladarius Green could see an increase in volume in the passing game, especially with how well he played in Antonio Gates absence. However, Green is banged up with an ankle injury and I expect at least this week to see more opportunities for Stevie Johnson to fill the Allen void in this offense. The Bears defense is actually fourth in the NFL in net yards per game even though they have allowed 16 passing touchdowns. Look for other options in your cash games if dead set on playing someone from Monday Night Football.