Nobody needs to be told
starting Aaron Rodgers, Adrian Peterson, or Calvin Johnson is
a good idea. Duh, right? You can’t have studs at every position,
though, unless you’re in the shallowest of leagues. This
is where the Shot Caller comes in. Need help deciding which bargain
basement QB to use and which to ignore on Rodgers’ bye week?
Let’s talk. Looking for solutions at running back because
Peterson is a game-time decision? Look no further. Need to know
which of your unproven targets to start and which to sit since
you ignored Megatron and went RB-QB-Jimmy Graham in your first
three rounds? I’m your huckleberry. Past results may not
guarantee future success, but I believe ignoring them entirely
can ruin your Sundays in a hurry. Read on for a little history
and, hopefully, a little sage advice..
Note: Fantasy points
based on FF Today’s default scoring system.
Bye Weeks: N/A
Grab a Helmet
Nick
Foles @ DAL: First, the good news: Half the league’s 32 teams,
an unusually high percentage, still have something to play for
in Week 17 (a playoff spot, home field advantage, etc.) and that
means you’ve got plenty of options to choose from. Now, the better
news: 8 of the league’s top 10 offenses will be involved in meaningful
contests this Sunday. Finally, the best news: One of them, Foles’
explosive Eagles, will be facing a historically bad Cowboys defense
that should just miss setting a record for most yards surrendered
in a 16-game slate. I say “should” because 700+ yards of total
offense doesn’t seem out of Philly’s reach in this most offensive
of NFL seasons. Foles has certainly done his part to inflate the
overall numbers (2,628 yards, 25 TDs, and only two picks in nine
starts) and could very well end up with the highest single-season
passer rating in NFL history. Think about that for a second.
Cutler will need to air it out in order
to beat Rodgers and the Pack.
Jay
Cutler v. GB: Noted Chicago-killer Aaron Rodgers currently holds
that passer rating record (122.5 in 2011), and will be ready to
steer the Pack in Sunday’s other winner-take-all, divisional grudge
match. That puts all the pressure squarely on Cutler’s shoulders.
As if he needed more of that. More and more folks in the Windy City
are clamoring for Josh McCown, but Marc Trestman has stubbornly
stuck by his franchise man and I think he’s making the right move.
Very few triggermen can fire the football like Cutler and though
he hasn’t experienced great success against Green Bay, I think he
will this weekend. Whether it’s enough to best the plucky Packers
is another story entirely because that Chicago D is flat-out embarrassing.
Baby Sis and Bro-In-Law will be repping the Cheese at Soldier Field
so here’s hoping they enjoy the game, even if Cutler shines.
Ben
Roethlisberger v. CLE: The Steelers are the longest of playoff
long shots – needing Baltimore, Miami, and San Diego losses to even
have a chance at the second season – but stranger things have happened
and they do play an early game. Thus, nothing will be decided by
the time Big Ben takes the field and he should come out guns a’
blazing. That’s basically what he’s done most of the 2013 season,
which – barring a miserable effort against Cleveland – should end
up being the highest-scoring of his entire career. Hard to believe?
Only six QBs have outscored Roethlisberger these past five weeks
and he’s also ranked #7 at the position for the season. Translation:
He’s been remarkably good and remarkably consistent all year long.
Imagine how much Pittsburgh’s playoff fate might have been altered
had Antonio Brown not inexplicably stepped on the sideline chalk
three weeks ago.
Grab a Clipboard
Jason
Campbell @ PIT: Campbell and the Browns have nothing at all
to play for in Week 17, but would probably love to stick a fork
in Pittsburgh’s playoff aspirations. If only they had the personnel
to do so. Campbell’s been passable and occasionally brilliant
as a fantasy option at the position, but that hasn’t translated
into real world success (he’s 1-6 as Cleveland’s starter). Moreover,
that occasional brilliance has been far too occasional of late.
Even including a 34.3-point outlier against the Pats in Week 14,
the nine-year vet has averaged fewer than 18 points per tilt the
past five weeks, a per-game rate that puts him squarely in Matt
Flynn and Chad Henne territory. That sounds about right since
all of them started the year as backups and, in a perfect world,
would have remained so all year long. Don’t trust Campbell with
your championship hopes this Sunday, especially not against a
motivated Steelers squad.
Carson
Palmer v. SF: The Cardinals needed a couple of not-so-minor
miracles to control their own playoff destiny heading into Week
16 and only a Navarro Bowman 89-yard pick-six on Monday night
prevented them from getting both. The first miracle occurred a
day earlier when Arizona overcame FOUR Carson Palmer interceptions
(two in the end zone) to hold off the NFC West-leading Seahawks
in the Emerald City. Atlanta was well on its way to delivering
the second until Bowman flipped the Falcons’ comeback script with
probably the most dramatic stadium-closing play in NFL history.
Palmer can’t afford to be as careless this Sunday against the
opportunistic Niners and probably won’t be (though he threw two
INTs in the first meeting). I still think he struggles, however,
in a game that could mean nothing by halftime if New Orleans and
Seattle are taking care of business. I suspect they will be so
think twice about using Palmer.
Russell
Wilson v. STL: The Cards were able to knock off the Seahawks
in Week 16 despite Palmer’s poor performance because Russell
Wilson wasn’t a whole lot better. He took better care of
the pigskin (just one INT), but his 11-for-27, 108-yard day left
a lot to be desired. Take away the late 11-yard TD strike to Zach
Miller and it would have left a whole bunch more. Wilson usually
makes up for passing game deficiencies with his legs, but he only
scrambled twice last Sunday for 32 yards and was also sacked four
times by a salty Arizona defense. This just in: St. Louis’
stoppers might be even saltier. Robert Quinn is a one-man wrecking
crew and if Russell Okung, Seattle’s best offensive lineman,
can’t go, Wilson could be scrambling around all day long.
I like the ‘Hawks to win a game they need, but the Rams
aren’t laying down for anyone and will make it a hard-earned
victory.
Running Backs
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