Your Weekly Guide To Fantasy Lineups 
            11/27/03  
               
            Sorry for the delay, folks. Have a great Thanksgiving holiday and 
            we'll chat again at our regular time next week.  
               
            Must Start: The Top 10 
               
              1. Peyton Manning vs. NE - It's 
              an age-old fantasy conundrum: do you go with the best player or 
              the best matchup? When the player in question is Peyton Manning, 
              the choice should be clear. He faces a tough Pats secondary (6 TDs 
              vs. 17 picks) but rarely strings together two sub-par games in a 
              row. Forget about the elbow "twinge," too. 
               
              2. Daunte Culpepper @ STL - See 
              what I mean? The Vikes actually play some defense and his numbers 
              go down the toilet. He's still a top-tier QB but he's REALLY something 
              special when that defense places him behind the 8-ball
like 
              they surely will in St. Louis this Sunday.  
               
              3. Trent Green @ SD - He's probably 
              not the third-best QB but matchups don't get much juicier than this 
              one. The Chargers' woeful secondary has yielded an eye-popping 26 
              scores this year against only nine pilfers. Worse yet, they're giving 
              up almost 250 passing yards per game. Outtasite O vs. unsightly 
              D = big fantasy points.  
               
              4. Donovan McNabb @ CAR - I promised 
              he'd return to the Top 10 and so he has. There hasn't been a hotter 
              QB over the last four games (over 1000 yards, seven TDs, and no 
              INTs) and now he's facing a Carolina secondary that made Quincy 
              Carter look like a legitimate NFL quarterback last week. Oh, and 
              home field advantage hangs in the balance. Translation? Get Don 
              back in your lineup. 
               
              5. Chad Pennington vs. TEN - He 
              was efficient against the Jags but not dynamite (236 yards, one 
              TD, one INT). That doesn't mean he can't help you secure that coveted 
              playoff spot. Only one team (Atlanta) gives up more yards through 
              the air than Pennington's Week 13 opponent, Tennessee. That means 
              we could be in for an aerial display come Monday night.  
               
              6. Matt Hasselbeck vs. CLE - Yeah, 
              yeah, yeah. Did YOU expect him to throw for five TDs vs. Baltimore? 
              Didn't think so. He caught fire about this time last year so maybe 
              he's just a late bloomer. We'll be certain after Sunday as he faces 
              a good Cleveland pass defense (177.6 yards/game and only eight TDs 
              yielded). 
               
              7. Marc Bulger vs. MIN - He threw 
              four picks against a less-than-opportunistic Arizona secondary last 
              week. What can he do for an encore against the highly opportunistic 
              Vikes (a league-leading 22 picks)? Lucky for you, the mistakes won't 
              bury your fantasy team. We DO need him to start chucking a few more 
              TDs, however. 
               
              8. Jon Kitna @ PIT - He's thrown 
              for one less yard than Hasselbeck and the same number of touchdowns 
              (19). In other words, you better believe he's a Top 10 signal caller. 
              I've been starting him in place of Favre for three weeks now
and 
              you all know how much I like Mr. Favre. 
               
              9. Tom Brady @ IND - I believe 
              New England (not KC) is the favorite to represent the AFC in the 
              Super Bowl. Why? This guy. He simply wills his team to win when 
              they have no business doing so most of the time. 368 yards and two 
              scores (his totals last week) won't hurt your fantasy bottom line, 
              either. 
               
              10. Brad Johnson @ JAX - Bet you 
              didn't know he shares the league lead in touchdown passes with The 
              Ol' Gunslinger (20). Of course, you might expect that out of a guy 
              that's second in total pass attempts (399). Consider this if you 
              think he's an overrated fantasy player: Tampa has run for only THREE 
              touchdowns this year
two of them by the injured Mike Alstott. 
               
             Grab A Helmet: 
               
              Kelly Holcomb @ SEA - I've been telling you all year the Seahawks 
              secondary is at least a year away. Believe me now? That was Anthony 
              Wright torching them for four touchdowns last week. I don't like 
              Holcomb as a long-term option but he's not a bad start in Seattle 
              this week. 
               
              Aaron Brooks @ WAS - There's no question who the Saints' offense 
              revolves around but Brooks has put up some sneaky good numbers all 
              told (2352 yards, 14 TDs, and eight INTs). He's obviously not your 
              best option but he's certainly not your worst, either. 
               
              Jake Plummer @ OAK - The Raiders are playing better of late but 
              the Broncos need this one bad. If Portis takes the heat off against 
              a crummy Oakland run defense, expect Plummer to put up nice numbers. 
               
              Tony Banks vs. ATL - I can't believe I'm doing this but Carr is 
              expected to sit and the Falcons still can't stop anyone from throwing 
              the football. If Billy Volek can beat them, surely Tony Banks can. 
              I never thought I'd mention Billy Volek and Tony Banks this year
let 
              alone in the same sentence. 
               
             Grab A Clipboard: 
               
              Steve McNair @ NYJ - Am I out of mind? Just being sensible, is all. 
              You'll more than likely need to set your lineup prior to tomorrow's 
              games and the Titans are nowhere NEAR making a decision on McNair's 
              status for Monday night's contest. Unless you can live with a goose 
              egg from your QB, you'd better not risk it.  
               
              Brett Favre @ DET - Green Bay has rushed for over 233 yards PER 
              GAME since Favre broke his thumb. Trust me. If other teams could 
              mount that type of rushing attack, they wouldn't utilize their QBs 
              much, either. Sit him down until somebody figures out how to slow 
              Green and Co. down. 
               
              Joey Harrington vs. GB - Bad news first: he threw for four more 
              interceptions last week and currently leads the league with 19. 
              Now, the good news: he led his team in rushing last week with 34 
              yards. Wait. That's not good news at all. If you're still starting 
              him and still in the playoff hunt (how could you be?), take my advice 
              and sit him down. 
               
              Quincy Carter vs. MIA - Only the Patriots have allowed fewer passing 
              touchdowns than Miami this year. Carter looked pretty good last 
              week (d'oh!) but he's not the type of QB that will necessarily build 
              on a big performance. Expect some decent yards but also some mistakes 
              on Thanksgiving Day. 
               
              Drew Bledsoe/Kerry Collins vs. NYG/BUF - 10-6. 12-10. 17-14. The 
              winning Lotto numbers? Try the final scores of Buffalo's last three 
              games. There aren't many points to be had when the Bills take the 
              field so why take a chance on big-time underachievers Bledsoe and 
              Collins? 
               
               
               
            Must Start: The Top 15: 
               
              1. Priest Holmes @ SD - As bad 
              as the Chargers are against the pass, they're almost equally inept 
              vs. the run (142.4 per game). That doesn't bode well with KC and 
              The Priest coming to town. Gotta love primetime backs facing bottom-of-the-barrel 
              defenses when playoff berths are at stake. 
               
              2. Ahman Green @ DET - Of the 
              roughly 1,000 yards his team has accumulated on the ground the past 
              four games, he's accounted for only 63% of them. Amazingly, he still 
              trails only Jamal Lewis in total rushing yardage and leads the league 
              in total yardage. Don't let the Pack's committee approach scare 
              you away. There's more than enough to go around. 
               
              3. Deuce McAllister @ WAS - Unlike 
              Green, he IS the New Orleans offense and has racked up 469 yards 
              and four touchdowns the past two weeks to prove it. Expect that 
              trend to continue as long as the Saints stay in the playoff picture. 
               
              4. Jamal Lewis vs. SF - Like I 
              said, he's leading the league in rushing yards (1,361). If Anthony 
              Wright's huge day was just an anomaly (it was), Lewis will resume 
              his role as the centerpiece of Baltimore's attack this week against 
              the Niners.  
               
              5. Clinton Portis @ OAK - Though 
              it was to no avail, Portis ripped off almost twelve yards per carry 
              last week against the Bears. Oakland's defense is still eminently 
              vulnerable vs. the run (146.9 yards/game) so there's no reason to 
              think he won't have a big day this Sunday, as well. Now, if he could 
              just score a touchdown or two.  
               
              6. LaDainian Tomlinson vs. KC 
              - He's topped the century mark only four times this year but is 
              already over 1,000 yards on the season. In other words, when he 
              has a big day, he has a REALLY big day. KC's run defense is atrocious 
              (4.9 per carry and 133.7 per game) so you can expect big numbers 
              out of Tomlinson again.  
               
              7. Marshall Faulk vs. MIN - He's 
              strung together back-to-back 100-yard games and now seems poised 
              to become a difference-maker down the stretch. He jumps from good 
              start to great start against a Minnesota defense that gives up over 
              five yards per carry despite having faced Detroit's anemic rushing 
              attack twice this season.  
               
              8. Stephen Davis vs. PHI - The 
              yards were tough to come by in Big D but Davis still managed to 
              grind out 59 of them and a touch. In fact, he's failed to score 
              in only four games this year. Philly's historically stern defense 
              has been more susceptible in '03, as evidenced by Deuce's 184-yard, 
              two-TD effort last week. 
               
              9. Edgerrin James vs. NE - Five 
              touchdowns the past two weeks tell me Edge is finding his groove. 
              He faces a stingy New England front seven but will no doubt benefit 
              from the attention paid to Peyton and the passing attack. Start 
              him.  
               
              10. Ricky Williams @ DAL - Looked 
              like the Ricky of old against Washington on Sunday night (107 yards 
              and two scores) but now squares off against a scary good Dallas 
              D. Unless Fiedler manages to solve the Cowboys secondary with a 
              second-rate receiving corps (not likely), Williams could struggle 
              to put up big numbers. Hope for good field position and a 1-yard 
              plunge or two.  
               
              11. Shaun Alexander vs. CLE - 
              Three of his four 100-yard games have come at home. Though he was 
              an afterthought in last week's shootout, I expect him to take center 
              stage in Seattle vs. Cleveland. Incidentally, the Browns are pretty 
              average, though improving, vs. the run (4.5 per carry and 116.5 
              per game). 
               
              12. Fred Taylor vs. TB - So much 
              for him being gimpy, huh? Taylor carried the ball a season-high 
              32 times against the Jets. Expect a similar workload against the 
              Bucs as Coach Del Rio attempts to protect his rookie QB from the 
              fierce Tampa pass rush. 
               
              13. Domanick Davis vs. ATL - I 
              took some heat for not recommending him last week but I just didn't 
              like the matchup against New England. I DEFINITELY like this week's 
              matchup against Atlanta. The Falcons may be playing better of late 
              but they still give up over 150 rushing yards per game. 
               
              14. Eddie George @ NYJ - I've 
              bagged on him all year long and now I eat crow
sort of. He's 
              scored four TDs in his last four games and even managed to top the 
              century mark last week (115 yards). The real reasons I'm recommending 
              him, though? McNair is gimpy and the Jets run defense is horrendous 
              (154.5 yards/game). If you still have him, play him. 
               
              15. Anthony Thomas vs. ARI - Conditions 
              should be miserable in Chicago come Sunday. Without a reliable passing 
              attack to lean on anyway, the Bears could turn to Thomas early and 
              often against a Cardinals team that has not performed well on the 
              road. 
               
             Grab A Helmet: 
               
              Michael Bennett @ STL - He says he's ready to carry the load and 
              Coach Tice seems to believe him. If you're still banking on Moe 
              Williams for your playoff run
well, I warned you. 
               
              Tiki Barber vs. BUF - He's averaging almost 120 total yards per 
              game but has only scored three touchdowns. If you can live with 
              12 points per week in your yardage league, keep him in your lineup. 
               
               
              Corey Dillon @ PIT - Call me skeptical but I still believe he's 
              capable of losing carries (and lots of them) to Rudi Johnson. The 
              Bengals are in the thick of a playoff race so Coach Lewis will undoubtedly 
              ride the hot hand. Though his was pretty toasty last week (18 carries 
              for 108 yards), don't forget that he was facing San Diego. 
               
              T.J. Duckett @ HOU - Two of the worst run defenses (OK, defenses
period) 
              square off in Houston this week. With Warrick Dunn on the shelf, 
              you can expect to see plenty of Mr. Duckett. Oddly enough, he's 
              been pretty valuable recently (five touchdowns in four games) even 
              with Dunn getting the lion's share of carries and yards. 
               
              Jerome Bettis vs. CIN - He carried the ball a season-high 24 times 
              last week vs. Cleveland. Of course, the Steelers led almost the 
              entire game. If they manage to get on top of the Bengals early, 
              he should see plenty more carries in Week 13. If they don't
well, 
              forget I recommended him.  
               
              Brian Westbrook @ CAR - The Panthers are tough to run the football 
              against and Westbrook hasn't cracked the century mark this year. 
              So why is he a good start? In a word: touchdowns. He's only accumulated 
              100 touches this year but has scored eight times. He's also a threat 
              in the passing game so don't be afraid to play him. 
               
             Grab A Gatorade:  
               
              Any Detroit RB vs. GB - A few weeks back, it was Reggie Swinton. 
              Last week, it was Joey Harrington. When will a running back actually 
              lead the Lions in rushing yardage? Better question: when will it 
              matter? 
               
              Troy Hambrick vs. MIA - He's averaging less than 2.5 yards per carry 
              his last three games
which means his time as the Dallas feature 
              back will be short-lived. Don't expect a breakout performance against 
              the tough Dolphins defense (88.7 per contest). 
               
              Curtis Martin vs. TEN - He's bound and determined to make a liar 
              out of me but I still maintain he has very little to offer. This 
              week's opponent, Tennessee, is #1 in the league vs. the run. If 
              he puts up decent numbers, I'll change my mind.  
               
              Travis Henry @ NYG - He shouldn't be playing right now and as the 
              Bills fade from playoff contention, he just may not. Risky city, 
              folks. Grab Willis McGahee if you insist on playing a Buffalo back. 
               
              Michael Pittman @ JAX - For all their difficulties this year, Jacksonville 
              has been pretty adept at stopping the run (86.2 per game). On top 
              of that, the Bucs seem to have reverted to the backfield-by-committee 
              approach. Stay away unless he reclaims the job. 
               
              Any New England RB @ IND - Both Smith and Faulk are capable backs. 
              The problem is figuring out which one Belichick will ride in a given 
              week. If you insist on starting one of them, bear in mind that they've 
              COMBINED for only two touchdowns this season. 
               
               
               
            Must Start: The Top 15: 
               
              1. Torry Holt vs. MIN - For the 
              first time all year, Randy relinquishes the top spot. Or should 
              I say Holt seizes it? He's gone over 100 yards a startling seven 
              times and is well over 1,200 yards on the season. Even with Bruce 
              competing for catches, he's received more looks than any other receiver 
              in the league (approximately 12 per game).  
               
              2. Randy Moss @ STL - It's not 
              like he hasn't been prone to stretches of inactivity in the past. 
              Unfortunately, his dormant period is coming at a really bad time 
              this season (as YOU head toward the playoffs). I expect him to snap 
              out of it this Sunday if the Vikes and Rams light up the scoreboard
which 
              they most certainly will. 
               
              3. Chad Johnson @ PIT - If there 
              was ever any doubt who makes the Bengals offense go, there should 
              be no longer. Kitna looked for The Oracle an amazing 18 times last 
              Sunday and found him quite regularly
usually for a score (10 
              catches, 107 yards, three touchdowns). Expect more of the same in 
              Pittsburgh this weekend. 
               
              4. Santana Moss vs. TEN - As promised, 
              he hauled in (yet) another touchdown pass last week. Unfortunately, 
              he didn't do much more than that (two grabs for a paltry 13 yards). 
              He should match those numbers in the first five minutes against 
              a Titans secondary that is surprisingly bad.  
               
              5. Marvin Harrison vs. NE - After 
              some huge games earlier this year, he's tailed off of late. The 
              gimpy hamstring hasn't helped matters but he's supposedly near 100% 
              for this weekend's titanic tilt with the Pats. Get him back in there. 
               
               
              6. Terrell Owens @ BAL - He's 
              scored in his last three games so now we get to see if it really 
              matters who's throwing him the ball. Garcia reclaims his starting 
              job and if he learned anything during his time off, it's that the 
              Niners passing attack positively hinges on getting T.O. the touches. 
               
               
              7. Anquan Boldin @ CHI - He's 
              defying all odds and actually getting stronger as the season goes 
              on (123 yards and two TDs last week). The only thing likely to slow 
              him down this week is Chicago's notoriously dicey weather. Don't 
              let that keep you from starting him, though.  
               
              8. Keenan McCardell @ JAX - McCardell 
              returns to Jacksonville and for once, he won't be playing second 
              fiddle to Jimmy Smith
or Keyshawn Johnson, for that matter. 
              Only six receivers have put up better fantasy numbers this year 
              and you just read about them. Still don't think he's an elite receiver? 
              Tsk, tsk. 
               
              9. Hines Ward vs. CIN - He's likely 
              hurt you the last couple weeks but don't give up on him just yet. 
              The Steelers aren't out of the playoff hunt and will need him badly 
              if they hope to beat Cincy this weekend. Ward has made a living 
              out of coming up big in huge games.  
               
              10. Darrell Jackson vs. CLE - 
              Guess he solved the drop issue, eh? Though not Seattle's most talented 
              receiver, he's clearly Hasselbeck's favorite target. If the 'Hawks 
              pull off another late-season surge, his stock will continue to rise. 
              Be leery of a good Cleveland pass defense, however. 
               
              11. Derrick Mason @ NYJ - With 
              McNair still iffy, Mason's stock drops precipitously. Not to mention, 
              the Titans will likely lean heavily on Eddie George this Monday 
              since the Jets are woeful against the run. Sit him down if you can 
              afford to.  
               
              12. Isaac Bruce vs. MIN - In case 
              you haven't noticed, he's the only #2 receiver good enough to make 
              this list on a consistent basis. It helps that the Rams throw the 
              ball all over the place but it also helps that Bruce is supremely 
              talented. He found paydirt last week (finally) and I expect him 
              to do so again this Sunday.  
               
              13. Steve Smith vs. PHI - The 
              Panthers rely heavily on Stephen Davis but when they do take to 
              the air, Smith is usually the target. Though I'm not a big fan, 
              I can't in good conscience recommend sitting him.  
               
              14. Tony Gonzalez @ SD - Hate 
              to keep picking on the defenseless Chargers D, but
. 
               
              15. Andre Johnson vs. ATL - The 
              Texans may very well stick to Dom Davis and the ground game this 
              weekend but if they DO decide to air it out, Johnson should find 
              some room to roam. Most receivers do against the porous Atlanta 
              secondary (265 yards/game). 
               
             Grab A Helmet: 
               
              Laveranues Coles vs. NO - The unsettling QB situation in Washington 
              makes him less of a sure thing than usual. That said, the younger 
              Hasselbeck did manage to find him for a score last Sunday night. 
              Will he do so again? Your guess is as good as mine. 
               
              Quincy Morgan/Andre Davis @ SEA - I bombed on these two last week 
              but I'm gonna give it one more shot. After all, if Marcus Robinson 
              (!!!) can rack up four TDs against the dubious 'Hawks secondary, 
              shouldn't they be able to do something, as well? If only it were 
              that simple. 
               
              Koren Robinson vs. CLE - Hell, let's just cover our bases and recommend 
              every receiver playing in this game, shall we? You all know how 
              I feel about KoRo this year but there's no denying the talent. If 
              Seattle's offense is about to blast off, I suspect he'll be a big 
              reason why. Man, I hope I don't regret this. 
               
              Joe Horn @ WAS - He appears to be healthy again and with virtually 
              no help in the passing game (what ever happened to Donte Stallworth?), 
              he should see plenty of opportunities in D.C.  
               
              Rod Smith @ OAK - He's flown under the radar for the most part but 
              could emerge as a sleeper playoff stud in the coming weeks. Since 
              Plummer's return (two games ago), he's caught 19 balls for 170 yards 
              and a score. This week, he faces a depleted Oakland secondary. 
               
             Grab Some Wood: 
               
              Eric Moulds @ NYG - Damaged goods. We know this because he hasn't 
              caught a touchdown pass since Week TWO! It wouldn't surprise me 
              at all to hear he's decided to pull the plug on a wasted season. 
               
               
              Amani Toomer vs. BUF - Collins has thrown it to him 63 times the 
              last five games. He's only connected on 23 of those pass attempts 
              (for one touchdown). Connecting with your best receiver less than 
              40% of the time is NOT a recipe for success. Steer clear if you 
              have better options. 
               
              Plaxico Burress vs. CIN - After showing signs of life against the 
              Niners, Burress pulled a disappearing act (again) vs. the Browns 
              last week. At this point in the season, you can't afford to hope 
              he'll bounce back, even if he stands a fairly decent chance of doing 
              so from week to week.  
               
              Chris Chambers @ DAL - He's scored six touchdowns this year (which 
              is nice) but he never seems to get many touches. In fact, he's only 
              caught more than four balls in a game twice. That happens when Ricky 
              Williams touches it almost 2/3 of the time. Sit him down against 
              an awesome Cowboys pass defense (168.1 yards/game).  
               
              Good luck, folks! 
               
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