the majority of high-priced running backs in great matchups, picking
the right three was going to be key this week. If you punted at
tight end, rostered three mid-ranged wide receivers and avoided
the Carson Wentz landmine at quarterback you likely had a good day
on Fanduel. I unfortunately couldn’t get away from Wentz and
made a wrong choice at running back.
Here’s a look at my cash game Lineup for Fanduel in Week 11.
Carson Wentz ($7700) stuck out like a sore thumb given he was
$900 cheaper than Cam Newton ($8600) who I also liked at the high
range. While we have yet to see a blow up game from him, Wentz
has been consistent this season with only two games under 20 fantasy
points since he re-joined the starting lineup in Week 3. I figured
the Eagles would likely have to keep pace with the high-powered
Saints offense and the New Orleans defense has been very generous
to quarterbacks this season. Throw in a game total of 56.5 and
Wentz seemed like an ideal cash game quarterback. Instead, we
got a dud from the Eagles offense that included 156 passing yards,
3 interceptions and 3.84 fantasy points from Wentz at 50 percent
Paying down for Eli Manning ($6700) or Lamar Jackson ($7000)
ended up being the best course of action even though Jackson’s
price was shockingly high given he was making his first career
start. Manning (27% owned) was a viable play against the woeful
Bucs defense but I thought Wentz’s ceiling was higher with
their floors being similar. I also wasn’t comfortable with
Jackson’s ceiling given how bad he looked in the pass game
during the pre-season. We knew his rushing ability would be a
key ingredient but I certainly wasn’t expecting 27 rushing
I knew I wanted to jam in three of the high volume running backs
this week. Saquon Barkley ($8800), Melvin Gordon ($8700), Ezekiel Elliott ($8500) and David Johnson ($7900) all came with a 20-plus
touch projection with Alvin Kamara ($8900) and his insane efficiency
always in play. All five of these running backs had great matchups
and could easily be the top scoring running back on the slate.
Barkley seemed like the best bet given his dual role in the offense
and game environment and he became a lock for me early in the
week. Johnson came at a slight discount from Zeke and Gordon making
him an attractive option against a Raiders team that’s looking
forward to 2020 in Las Vegas.
Since Kamara’s touch projection was easily the lowest of
this group I saved him for my tournament lineup and then proceeded
to debate Gordon vs. Zeke. I had Zeke in this lineup but switched
to Gordon on Sunday morning with Gordon playing at home as a 7-point
favorite tipping the scales in his favor. While I loved the matchup
against the Falcons, who have given points in bunches to running
backs, the possibility of the Cowboys posting a dud on the road
as 3.5 point underdogs seemed more likely than Gordon failing
in his spot. Most folks in this $25 double-up sided with Zeke
(64% owned) as Gordon was just 25% owned.
Running three high priced running backs meant savings would be
needed at the wide receiver position. I briefly considered trying
to fit in Michael Thomas ($8800), Julio Jones ($8700), DeAndre Hopkins ($8600) or Odell Beckham Jr. ($8500) but never got comfortable
enough with my low-end wide receiver options to make it work.
I opted for a balanced approach with Amari Cooper ($6600), Kenny Golladay ($6400) and Corey Davis ($6200) all secure in the No.1
wide receiver roles for their respective teams.
Golladay became a lock once Marvin Jones was ruled out meaning
we could expected to see an extra couple targets his in a matchup
against the Panthers that wasn’t ideal but certainly one
he could win.
Even though I expected Dallas to attack the Falcons with Zeke,
it was well within the range of outcomes for the Falcons to jump
out to a lead forcing the Cowboys to throw more than they’d
like. Cooper has quickly become the focal point in the passing
game (18 targets his previous two games) and the Falcons ranked
5th in fantasy points allowed to the position.
I felt less comfortable about Davis who was coming off his second-best
game of the season and had only scored double digit fantasy points
twice in ten weeks. Still, a 6-70 line was a likely scenario which
I was fine with as my No.3 receiver.
The tight end dumpster fire is still burning. Zack Ertz ($7600)
was an obvious play at the high end but most DFS players took
the punt approach as Jaguars tight end James O’Shaughnessy
($4000) was 37.6% owned in this double-up. Jack Doyle ($5400),
Jordan Reed ($5400) Ricky Seals-Jones ($5200) were other popular
plays. O’Shaughnessy had target totals of 6-4-6 in his last
three games making him a viable salary relief play in order to
fit in your three high priced RBs.
David Johnson ($7900) was a 4.5 favorite at home and figured
to get all the work he could handle against a struggling Raiders
team. DJ had seen 20 and 28 touches in the two games since Byron
Leftwich took over as offensive coordinator and had a high TD
expectation with Johnson accounting for 57% of the team’s
offensive scores heading into Week 11.
I went back to the well this week with the Redskins-D ($3600)
who has played well this season including three weeks of double-digit
fantasy points. Deshaun Watson likes to extend plays with his
legs which can lead to sacks - a perfect scenario for a fantasy
defense. The Cardinals ($4000) were a popular choice (39% owned)
along with Saints ($3300) who I used in my tournament lineup.
The Cardinals and their 4-point effort is another example of how
difficult it is predict the position and is why it’s always
a viable strategy to punt the position if you have viable options
at the low end of the pay scale.
Picking up 11 points by choosing Zeke over Gordon would’ve
been nice but it wouldn’t have been enough to get me in
the green. The real killer here was Wentz who posted what will
likely be his worst fantasy game of season barring an injury.
So, despite the poor results, I’m not losing sleep over
this lineup as I did last week when failing to prioritize Tyreek Hill over Mike Evans cost me dearly. Given the way I approached
lineup construction, I should’ve saved $1000 by coming off
Wentz down to Eli and used that savings to jam in Gordon, Zeke
and Barkley but I can’t really beat myself up over choosing
the wrong side of a Wentz-Gordon vs. Eli–Zeke 2v2.