My brother-in-law texted me minutes before the Thursday Night Football
game between the Saints and Falcons to ask if I would recommend
starting Matt Ryan or Josh McCown vs. Denver. I told him that I
was not very high on either player, but if forced to choose between
the two, I would go with Ryan. With Ryan displaying an impressive
feat of inept football by throwing three interceptions in four connective
throws, it appears as though McCown will be the better play this
There is a player that I wanted to recommend over both quarterbacks,
but decided not to bother based on the low-risk tolerance of my
brother. After all, starting rookie DeShone Kizer with the playoffs
on the line is a bold move for most fantasy owners, especially
when you have perceived safer options like Ryan and McCown.
But I will not be so apprehensive to start Kizer in DFS GPP tournaments,
as his $4,900 price tag and matchup at home against the Packers
is well worth the risk. Kizerís ability to score fantasy points
with his legs gives him a decent floor, and the Packers defense
has allowed six passing touchdowns and 621 yards in their past
With 778 passing yards and four touchdowns in his last two games,
Philip Rivers appears to have found his groove in December. Although
the Redskins pass defense has been stout over the past two weeks,
limiting Eli Manning and Dak Prescott do just 21 combined points,
Russell Wilson, Case Keenum, and Drew Brees all posted monster
performances vs. Washington the previous three weeks. Look for
Rivers to throw for at least 300 yards and two scores - a perfect
high floor/high ceiling for cash games.
Other options to consider - Derek
Carr @ Kansas City & Jared Goff vs. Philly
Kizer is the worst quarterback in red zone passing this season,
but now has a legit big wide receiver to help convert drives into
touchdowns. He also leads the league in quarterback runs inside
the five-yard line, making him a threat to score on the ground.
Stafford would be a great start this week against a Tampa Bay
team that allows the 10th-most points to opposing quarterbacks,
but his hand injury is a concern. He struggled last season when
he suffered a thumb injury, making him too risky of a play compared
to other 6K quarterbacks like Philip Rivers.
H2H/Cash - Lamar Miller vs. San Francisco ($5,800
Miller is an inexpensive option for DFS owners to get at least
15 carries at home against the 49ers, one of the worst teams in
the league at stopping the run. He doesnít carry a massive
upside that GPP players covet, but he should provide a nice floor,
especially for the price.
Adrian Peterson has not practiced all week due to a neck injury
and looks to be a long shot for Sundayís game against the Titans.
Williams received 16 carries last week with AD out and seems to
be in line for another 15 or so touches in Week 14 against Tennessee.
At $3900, Williams is an excellent low-cost, volume RB to pair
with an expensive WR like DeAndre Hopkins.
Fournette has faded over the past four games with one rushing
touchdown since Week 10. Seattle has been one of the best run
defenses during that span, allowing zero rushing touchdowns, and
no running back has managed to top 47 yards on the ground since
Lamar Miller in Week 8.
Crabtree returns to the lineup after a one-game suspension for
fighting against the Broncos. The Chiefs allow the most points
to opposing WR even with top corner Marcus Peters in the lineup,
and they should be even more dreadful with Peters out for violating
With 17 points in two of his last three games, Goodwin is the
No.1 receiving option for Jimmy Garoppolo and the 49ers vs. a
Texans team that allows the 8th-most points to opposing wide receivers.
Goodwin is a cheap option for a home run play, and his volume
provides an excellent floor against a sub-par pass defense.
Fade - Mike
Evans vs. Detroit ($6,900 on DraftKings)
Evans inexplicably managed just two catches for 33 yards against
Green Bay, one of the worst teams in the league at stopping No.1
wide receivers. Darius Slay and the Lions present a much more
difficult matchup that the Packers, making Evans a marginal play
regardless of his salary.
H2H/Cash - Hunter Henry vs. Washington ($4,600
With 12 catches for 157 yards and a score over his last two games,
Hunter Henry has been a big part of Philip Riversí recent
success. The Redskins allow the 4th-most points to opposing tight
ends and a touchdown in four of the last six games.
In keeping with the theme of targeting teams that struggle against
opposing tight ends, only the Giants and the Browns have allowed
more points this season to the position than the Broncos. Josh
McCown is a savvy vet who will not force the ball outside to the
strength of the defense while giving ASJ opportunities to make
plays in the middle of the field.
Rudolph has been hot as of late with three touchdowns in his
last two games, including a 4/63/2 monster game against Detroit
Week 12. Those two games were a product of scheme and the Vikings
taking advantage of opponents’ weaknesses. The Panthers
are solid against the tight end, and Case Keenum will look to
take advantage of a suspect secondary.
Jacksonville vs. Seattle
There are no tremendous defensive matchups to
exploit this week, so I am sticking with the top scoring defense
on the year. Although linebacker Telvin Smith may miss this game
due to injury and Russell Wilson is playing well, the Seahawks
offensive line will struggle against the elite Jags pass rush.
However, if cornerback Jalen Ramsey is out, I would avoid the
Jags and go with the Colts if Tyrod Taylor (knee) is out.