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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Preview for Week 14
12/8/17

My brother-in-law texted me minutes before the Thursday Night Football game between the Saints and Falcons to ask if I would recommend starting Matt Ryan or Josh McCown vs. Denver. I told him that I was not very high on either player, but if forced to choose between the two, I would go with Ryan. With Ryan displaying an impressive feat of inept football by throwing three interceptions in four connective throws, it appears as though McCown will be the better play this week.

There is a player that I wanted to recommend over both quarterbacks, but decided not to bother based on the low-risk tolerance of my brother. After all, starting rookie DeShone Kizer with the playoffs on the line is a bold move for most fantasy owners, especially when you have perceived safer options like Ryan and McCown.

But I will not be so apprehensive to start Kizer in DFS GPP tournaments, as his $4,900 price tag and matchup at home against the Packers is well worth the risk. Kizerís ability to score fantasy points with his legs gives him a decent floor, and the Packers defense has allowed six passing touchdowns and 621 yards in their past two games.

Here are a few other players that I am targeting on my DFS tickets this weekend, including a Jimmy Garoppolo/Marquise Goodwin stack vs. the Texans.

DeShone Kizer

The Packers defense has allowed six passing touchdowns and 621 yards in their past two games.


Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Philip Rivers vs. Washington ($6,800 on DraftKings)

With 778 passing yards and four touchdowns in his last two games, Philip Rivers appears to have found his groove in December. Although the Redskins pass defense has been stout over the past two weeks, limiting Eli Manning and Dak Prescott do just 21 combined points, Russell Wilson, Case Keenum, and Drew Brees all posted monster performances vs. Washington the previous three weeks. Look for Rivers to throw for at least 300 yards and two scores - a perfect high floor/high ceiling for cash games.

Other options to consider - Derek Carr @ Kansas City & Jared Goff vs. Philly

GPP - DeShone Kizer vs. Green Bay ($4,900 on DraftKings)

Kizer is the worst quarterback in red zone passing this season, but now has a legit big wide receiver to help convert drives into touchdowns. He also leads the league in quarterback runs inside the five-yard line, making him a threat to score on the ground.

Other options to consider - Jimmy Garoppolo @ Houston & Jameis Winston vs. Detroit

Fade - Matthew Stafford @ Tampa Bay ($6,300 on DraftKings)

Stafford would be a great start this week against a Tampa Bay team that allows the 10th-most points to opposing quarterbacks, but his hand injury is a concern. He struggled last season when he suffered a thumb injury, making him too risky of a play compared to other 6K quarterbacks like Philip Rivers.

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Lamar Miller vs. San Francisco ($5,800 on DraftKings)

Miller is an inexpensive option for DFS owners to get at least 15 carries at home against the 49ers, one of the worst teams in the league at stopping the run. He doesnít carry a massive upside that GPP players covet, but he should provide a nice floor, especially for the price.

Other options to consider - Alfred Morris @ N.Y. Giants & Todd Gurley vs. Philly

GPP - Kerwynn Williams vs. Tennessee ($3,900 on DraftKings)

Adrian Peterson has not practiced all week due to a neck injury and looks to be a long shot for Sundayís game against the Titans. Williams received 16 carries last week with AD out and seems to be in line for another 15 or so touches in Week 14 against Tennessee. At $3900, Williams is an excellent low-cost, volume RB to pair with an expensive WR like DeAndre Hopkins.

Other options to consider - Rod Smith @ N.Y. Giants & Mike Davis @ Jacksonville

Fade - Leonard Fournette vs. Seattle ($7,000 on DraftKings)

Fournette has faded over the past four games with one rushing touchdown since Week 10. Seattle has been one of the best run defenses during that span, allowing zero rushing touchdowns, and no running back has managed to top 47 yards on the ground since Lamar Miller in Week 8.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Michael Crabtree @ Kansas City ($8,500 on DraftKings)

Crabtree returns to the lineup after a one-game suspension for fighting against the Broncos. The Chiefs allow the most points to opposing WR even with top corner Marcus Peters in the lineup, and they should be even more dreadful with Peters out for violating team rules.

Other options to consider - DeAndre Hopkins vs. San Francisco & Adam Thielen @ Carolina

GPP - Marquise Goodwin @ Houston ($5,100 on DraftKings)

With 17 points in two of his last three games, Goodwin is the No.1 receiving option for Jimmy Garoppolo and the 49ers vs. a Texans team that allows the 8th-most points to opposing wide receivers. Goodwin is a cheap option for a home run play, and his volume provides an excellent floor against a sub-par pass defense.

Other options to consider - Paul Richardson @ Jacksonville & Stefon Diggs @ Carolina

Fade - Mike Evans vs. Detroit ($6,900 on DraftKings)

Evans inexplicably managed just two catches for 33 yards against Green Bay, one of the worst teams in the league at stopping No.1 wide receivers. Darius Slay and the Lions present a much more difficult matchup that the Packers, making Evans a marginal play regardless of his salary.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Hunter Henry vs. Washington ($4,600 on DraftKings)

With 12 catches for 157 yards and a score over his last two games, Hunter Henry has been a big part of Philip Riversí recent success. The Redskins allow the 4th-most points to opposing tight ends and a touchdown in four of the last six games.

Other options to consider - Jason Witten @ N.Y. Giants & Cameron Brate vs. Detroit

GPP - Austin Seferian-Jenkins @ Denver ($3,600 on DraftKings)

In keeping with the theme of targeting teams that struggle against opposing tight ends, only the Giants and the Browns have allowed more points this season to the position than the Broncos. Josh McCown is a savvy vet who will not force the ball outside to the strength of the defense while giving ASJ opportunities to make plays in the middle of the field.

Other options to consider - Stephen Anderson vs. San Francisco & Ricky Seals-Jones vs. Tennessee

Fade - Kyle Rudolph @ Carolina ($4,800 on DraftKings)

Rudolph has been hot as of late with three touchdowns in his last two games, including a 4/63/2 monster game against Detroit Week 12. Those two games were a product of scheme and the Vikings taking advantage of opponents’ weaknesses. The Panthers are solid against the tight end, and Case Keenum will look to take advantage of a suspect secondary.

D/ST

Jacksonville vs. Seattle

There are no tremendous defensive matchups to exploit this week, so I am sticking with the top scoring defense on the year. Although linebacker Telvin Smith may miss this game due to injury and Russell Wilson is playing well, the Seahawks offensive line will struggle against the elite Jags pass rush. However, if cornerback Jalen Ramsey is out, I would avoid the Jags and go with the Colts if Tyrod Taylor (knee) is out.