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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Targets for Week 10
11/9/18
Philip Rivers

Cash Game QB: The Raiders have packed it in making Philip Rivers a perfect play for cash games.


Note: Salary amounts are Draftkings pricing

Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Philip Rivers @ Oakland - $6,000

Based on what we saw from the Raiders last week against the 49ers the team has already given up on the season with Jon Gruden making a play at the first overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft. If Nick Mullens can throw for three touchdowns and look like the second coming of Jimmy G, I feel confident that Philip Rivers can do the same. Rivers has yet to throw for fewer than two touchdowns in any game this season, and pairing him with Keenan Allen in a cash stack should provide an excellent floor.

Other options to consider - Aaron Rodgers vs. Miami & Jared Goff vs. Seattle

GPP - Josh McCown vs. Buffalo - $4,300

This is not a pick for the faint of heart. If you are risk averse and prefer to play it safe with your quarterback play, then McCown is not for you. But if you are looking for a $4,300 quarterback play with the upside of a multi-touchdown game, McCown could be the GPP play with home run potential. I understand that the Bills defense ranks first in fewest points allowed to quarterbacks for fantasy purposes and McCown has yet to throw a pass this season. But McCown does have a history of big games at home in somewhat surprising circumstances, like 303 passing yards and three touchdowns against the Panthers last season.

Other options to consider - Alex Smith @ Tampa Bay & Blake Bortles @ Indianapolis

Fade - Drew Brees @ Cincinnati - $6,300

All four of Drew Breesí subpar fantasy performances came in road matches away from the comfort of the Mercedes Benz Superdome. Although the Bengals do allow the fourth-most points to opposing quarterbacks, this game could be another Kamara and Mark Ingram game, with Brees limited to a few touchdowns and less than 300 yards.

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Kareem Hunt vs. Arizona - $8,500

There are numerous cash game plays at the running back position this week, including Alvin Kamara against the Bengals and Melvin Gordon against the Raiders. The one that stands out to me above all the rest is Kareem Hunt playing at home against the Arizona Cardinals. Not only does Hunt have at least one touchdown in every game dating back to Week 2, but he also reached the 30-point plateau in three of his previous four games. It also doesnít hurt to play at home against a team that is tied for the league in most points allowed to running backs. This could be a lopsided blowout by the end of the first quarter, with Hunt a near lock for at least one touchdown.

Other options to consider - Melvin Gordon @ Oakland & Jordan Howard vs. Detroit

GPP - Aaron Jones vs. Miami - $5,000

There will be more than a few players scared to play Jones based on his costly fumble last week against the Patriots. But I anticipate this will be a lopsided game and Mike McCarthy will use the second half to give Jones close out carries in what could be a get-well game for all Packers skill position players. This play carries a high-risk/high-reward that is perfect for GPP slates, and Jonesí $5000 salary gives owners roster flexibility.

Other options to consider - Duke Johnson vs. Atlanta & Tevin Coleman @ Cleveland

Fade Ė Tarik Cohen vs. Detroit - $5,500

Cohenís value has been realized in games in which the Bears are forced to pass the ball at a high rate and in game scripts playing against other high scoring offenses. With Khalil Mack returning to the defense and the Lions struggling mightily on offense, this game could turn out to be more of a Jordan Howard game than one for Cohen. Although he is always a risk to break a screen pass for a long touchdown, I prefer to play Cohen in more favorable matchups.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Keenan Allen @ Oakland - $7,100

Allen has been a disappointment for most of the season with only two games over 20 fantasy points and only one touchdown in the year. Not exactly the type of production many of us anticipated after the way he finished last year and with the perceived spike in volume after Hunter Henry went down. Despite his overall lackluster play, Allen caught nine balls for 90 yards when the Chargers played host to the Raiders earlier this season and should have a similar floor this week in Oakland. One would assume that with just one receiving touchdown on the year Allen would be a prime candidate for some positive TD regression in the final quarter of the season, and I would not be surprised if that starts this week versus an Oakland team that has all but quit. Pair Allen with Rivers for a solid cash stack this week.

Other options to consider - Jarvis Landry vs. Atlanta & Tyler Boyd vs. New Orleans

GPP - Josh Gordon @ Tennessee - $6,000

Gordonís ownership level in GPP formats may not be as high as some anticipate with owners looking to avoid what could be a tough matchup against a Titans defense that has been playing well as of late. I understand the worry, but Gordonís 6K salary compared to the volume he receives from Tom Brady and his threat to score a touchdown makes him a strong start in my book.

Other options to consider - David Moore @ LA Rams & DeSean Jackson vs. Washington

Fade -Tyreek Hill vs. Arizona - $7,300

It sounds like Hill is going to play through a groin injury as the Chiefs take on the Cardinals at home. Hill is always a threat for a monster day, but this game seems like it could be a lopsided, run-heavy contest that is all but decided by halftime. Sure, Hill may beat the Cardinals deep for a score, but I doubt he will be heavily featured in what should be a cakewalk for the Chiefs.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Jimmy Graham vs. Miami - $4,600

The Dolphins rank fifth in fantasy points allowed to tight ends over the past five weeks after allowing five receiving touchdowns to the position. This is precisely the type of matchup that Jimmy Graham owners have been looking to exploit, and Graham has been active as of late with 100 yards or a score in three of his last four games. He may not possess the floor of elite tight ends like Travis Kelce, but his $2,400 savings compared to Kelce gives Graham owners options to pay up elsewhere.

Other options to consider - Jack Doyle vs. Jacksonville and O.J. Howard vs. Washington

GPP - Vernon Davis @ Tampa Bay - $2,800

Davis playing on the road against the Bucs is my favorite GPP cheap tight end play of the week. Davis has been more productive and explosive than Jordan Reed, and his volume of ten targets over the past two weeks is higher than Jared Cook and the same as Jimmy Graham. The Bucs allow the second-most points to opposing tight ends, and this game has the looks over being a high-scoring contest with Smith and Davis chasing points in the second half.

Other options to consider - C.J. Uzomah vs. New Orleans & David Njoku vs. Atlanta

Fade - Trey Burton vs. Detroit - $3,900

There are not many tight end plays that I have strong feelings about fading so I will stick with Trey Burton with the Bears playing in a similar situation as last week against the Bills. Burton salvaged his low volume day with a receiving touchdown, but four targets are not going to be enough for Burton to be a difference-making player in DFS. Also, the Lions are pretty tough against tight ends, and I anticipate Matt Nagy will use a run-heavy approach with Jordan Howard.

Defense & Special Teams

High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Chargers ($3,500) @ Raiders

Well Priced with Upside: Rams ($2,300) vs. Seahawks