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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Targets for Week 14
12/7/18
Drew Brees

Drew Brees is primed for a bounceback facing a Tampa defense giving up the 5th most FPts to QBs.


Note: Salary amounts are DraftKings pricing

Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Drew Brees @ Tampa Bay - $6,400

Brees killed fantasy owners last week with eight fantasy points on the road against the Cowboys. It was the third time this year in which Brees failed to reach at least double-digit points, with all three occurrences happening on the road. Why would I recommend Brees in cash with the Saints heading on the road to play the Bucs? Tampa Bay ranks in the top 10 in points allowed to quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers and this is a get well game for the Saints and Brees. It also has the makings for a shootout, with Brees needing to pass more than usual to get the victory.

Other options to consider - Philip Rivers vs. Cincinnati & Dak Prescott vs. Philadelphia

GPP - Jameis Winston vs. New Orleans - $6,200

Winston is just as likely to get benched in this game as he is to throw for 400 yards and four touchdowns. Trusting the former first overall pick in cash or season-long leagues can be a tenuous task, but his massive upside in what could be the highest scoring game of the week is too attractive to pass up. I plan on pairing Winston with Chris Godwin or Adam Humphries and possibly Cameron Brate for a Bucs triple stack.

Other options to consider - Lamar Jackson @ Kansas City & Josh Allen vs. NY Jets

Fade - Patrick Mahomes vs. Baltimore - $7,000

Fading Aaron Rodgers last week was a difficult call based on the fact that I am a closet Rodgers fan. I am also a big fan of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense, but I am looking elsewhere this week with Kanas City hosting the Ravens. It is entirely within the realm of possible outcomes for Mahomes to torch the Ravens for another four-touchdown game, but I tend to lean on the side of a lower scoring game than many might expect. I have the Chiefs winning this game and Mahomes will finish again as a top quarterback. I donít expect a high scoring game, making Mahomes not worth the $7k price tag when there are so many other attractive plays that will give owners a chance for better options at WR and RB.

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Ezekiel Elliott vs. Philadelphia - $8,600

All season long I have recommended paying up for top running backs in cash games while targeting mid-tier wide receivers with high volume. This week is no different, as I feel that paying the $8,600 premium for Zeke at home against the Eagles in a critical divisional matchup is worth the cost. Elliott is averaging just over 30 points in his last four games, while the Eagles run defense that started off the season strong just gave up a 90-yard rushing touchdown to the ageless Adrian Peterson. In addition to a hefty load on the ground, Zeke is finally getting featured in the passing game with an average of six receptions in each of his last four games.

Other options to consider - Christian McCaffrey @ Cleveland & Nick Chubb vs. Carolina

GPP - Aaron Jones vs. Atlanta - $7,200

Mike McCarthy is no longer the head coach and play caller for the Green Bay Packers. In addition to insisting on an antiquated passing game that failed to make the most of Aaron Rodgers, McCarthy continued to insist on using Jamaal Williams in addition to Jones in the running game despite Jonesí clearly superior play.

With cold temperatures expected and an Atlanta team decimated by injuries coming to town, I expect Jones to have a field day on Sunday. Rodgers should fare well, but donít be surprised to see Jones post around 100 total yards and a score or two.

Other options to consider - Jaylen Samuels @ Oakland & Ty Montgomery @ Kansas City

Fade - Josh Adams @ Dallas - $5,300

With so many top running backs starting down excellent matchups this week it is difficult to find one to fade. Eight of the highest priced options one DK are facing off against teams ranked in the bottom quarter against the run. For this reason, I dove a bit deeper than usual to recommend fading Josh Adams against a Dallas defense that ranks second in fewest points allowed and just shut down Drew Brees and the high-flying Saints offense. With at least 20 carries in each of his previous two games, Adams has emerged as the primary running back for the Eagles. But he is averaging just over 4.0 yards per carry in those games, and the Cowboys will likely shut down the run this Sunday.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Keenan Allen vs. Cincinnati - $7,400

Keenan Allen proved to be a fantasy beast last week with 14 catches for 148 yards and one touchdown on 19 targets against the Steelers. Nineteen targets will be tough to duplicate, and I doubt the Bengals will make the same mistake the Steelers did by placing a linebacker like Bud Dupree on Allen in the slot. But regardless of who Marvin Lewis matches up in the slot against Allen he should garner close to 10 targets in this game and should once again reach 100 yards with a possible touchdown.

Other options to consider - Davante Adams vs. Atlanta & Amari Cooper vs. Philadelphia

GPP - Zay Jones vs. NY Jets - $4,200

Jones posted eight catches for 93 yards and a score against the Jets when the two teams faced off at Met Life Stadium three weeks ago. Although he stumbled with zero catches against the Jags the following week, he returned to form last week with nine catches for 67 yards and a pair of touchdowns against the Dolphins. With the Bills releasing both Kelvin Benjamin and Andre Holmes last week, Jones could see an even higher target share this week at home against the Jets.

Other options to consider - Chris Godwin vs. Saints & DaeSean Hamilton @ San Francisco

Fade - Kenny Golladay @ Cardinals - $6,400

Golladay makes me nervous on many fronts. First, he is questionable with a hamstring injury, and Matthew Stafford is also dealing with a back ailment. Second, Patrick Peterson will likely shadow him around the field and could make his life miserable. Third, both teams are terrible, and it would not surprise me to see LeGarrette Blount score three touchdowns in this game and kill the value of all other Lions players.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Eric Ebron @ Houston - $5,700

Once against Eric Ebron is the best cash game play of the week as the Colts take on the Texans in Houston. Not only is Ebron the favorite target for Andrew Luck, but the Colts may also be without T.Y. Hilton in what could be a high scoring game. While I believe expecting another 16 targets for Ebron may be a silly assumption, it is not out of the question for him to post his fourth double-digit target game of the season, and the Texans allow the 7th-most points to opposing tight ends.

Other options to consider - George Kittle vs. Denver & Austin Hooper @ Green Bay

GPP - Vance McDonald @ Oakland ó $3,800

McDonald has a decent target floor with an average of six targets in each of his previous three games, and the Raiders allow the most points to opposing tight ends. With James Conner out and a chance that the Steelers struggle to move the ball on the ground, this week could be a monster game for McDonald in GPP.

Other options to consider - David Njoku vs. Carolina & Jimmy Graham vs. Atlanta

Fade - Rob Gronkowski @ Miami - $4,800

The days of Gronk being a dominant fantasy force are likely behind us, with the former consensus No.1 ranked TE posting only four games this season of double-digit fantasy points. Gronk appears to be breaking down, and the Patriots do not feature him as a focal point of the offense like in previous seasons. Look for the Pats to run all over the Dolphins with Gronk taking a secondary role.

Defense & Special Teams

High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Chargers ($3500) vs. Bengals

Well Priced with Upside: Cardinals ($2300) vs. Detroit