After a disappointing start to the season with 9.84 fantasy points
against the Eagles, Matt Ryan has been on fire with 74 points
in his last two games, including 43.16 last week at home against
New Orleans. The Bengals present a more difficult challenge on
defense than the Saints, but the injuries on the Falcons defense
will likely make this a shootout.
Give me all of the shares of the red rifle indoors against a
Falcons defense that has been decimated by injuries. Dalton has
at least two touchdowns in each of his first three games and is
an excellent low-cost GPP quarterback for owners looking to spend
big on Kamara, Gordon, or other high-priced running backs.
As a season-long fantasy football owner of Brees playing in a
tough matchup, I hope I am wrong in my prediction on Brees playing
against the Giants. I think Brees will be fine, and the putrid
Saints defense will force the New Orleans offense to put up points,
but Breesí career QB rating outdoors is ten points lower
than indoors and at home.
With an average of 25.9 fantasy points over his first three games
and three touchdowns in his last two matchups, Gordon provides
an excellent floor combined with a high ceiling that cash game
owners covet. The Chargers defense should give Rivers and the
offense short fields to work with, and Gordon should be the beneficiary,
with one or two rushing touchdowns.
Bernard is an attractive play this week in GPP for the same reasons
why I like Andy Dalton. The game script appears to be a high-scoring
game and the Falcons are decimated on defense. Even when healthy
the Falcons struggled against pass-catching running backs. But
without Neal, Lockett, and Jones, they are ripe for the taking
for Gio and the Bengals.
Although he has a touchdown in two of his three games, Johnson
is not getting the volume that one would expect for him to dominate
in fantasy. Johnson is a fade going forward until we see how Josh
Rosen and the Cardinals offense progresses.
In cash games, you want to pay for players who have a chance
for high usage, especially wide receivers who garner double-digit
targets against below-average defenses. With 36 targets in three
games, including eight catches for 103 yards on 14 targets last
week against the Jets, Jarvis Landry meets that fits this week
Tournament players looking for a home run play with a surprisingly
high target floor should consider Taylor Gabriel against the Bucs.
Anthony Miller is out with a shoulder injury, and Gabriel was
the recipient of 10 targets last week in Arizona. Hopefully, Mitchell
Trubkisy wonít continue to be awful and can exploit a subpar Bucs
secondary that allows the second-most points to opposing wide
This may be a stretch, and Beckham certainly could make me look
like a fool against a New Orleans defense that allows the most
points to opposing wide receivers. The logic here is that I anticipate
Lattimore with shadow coverage on Beckham and Manning will pick
apart the Saints with his secondary receivers. For the cost, I
would rather pay $4,900 for Sheppard and pair him with a high-priced
running back like Gordon.
Picking a tight end has been an exercise in futilely this season
as for the most part, the position has been a wasteland of underperforming
players. For cash games, I am looking at starting Eifert at Atlanta,
based on the idea that Eifert garnered eight targets last week
and I project him to have at least six targets this week in what
could be a shoutout against the Falcons.
The best way to beat the Bears is through the air and not on
the ground, and Howard has been a steady performer over the past
two weeks. In a week with very few attractive plays at tight end,
Howard could be in for a big game against the Bears.
Don’t chase the points here on Goedert. The seven targets
he received last week were based on matchups and injuries. He
will see a few targets this game, but I doubt he will be as involved
as last week.
Defense & Special Teams
High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost:
Jacksonville ($4,100) vs. Jets
Bargain Priced with Upside: Seahawks
($3,200) @ Arizona