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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Targets for Week 7
10/19/18
Tom Brady

Cash Game QB: Tom Brady is on a mini-roll posting 340 passing yards in each of his last two games.


Note: Salary amounts are Draftkings pricing

Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Tom Brady @ Chicago - $6,100

Playing a quarterback in cash against a Chicago defense that allows the fifth-fewest points to opposing QBs may seem like a bad play. But when you consider the fact that easy opponents have somewhat inflated the Bears defense, Khalil Mack may not play due to an ankle injury and Tom Brady has averaged 27 fantasy points in his last three games, starting Brady in a week where there are not a lot of great cash QB plays makes sense. The Bears are much better against the run than the pass, and it would not surprise me to see this be a sneaky shootout.

Other options to consider - Jared Goff @ San Francisco & Carson Wentz vs. Carolina

GPP - Baker Mayfield @ Tampa Bay - $5,800

Mayfieldís stats this season would look a lot better if his wide receiving corps could catch the ball. Owners who have played Baker in the past may shy away from him due to that fact, but I am going all in with a Mayfield/Jarvis Landry stack in GPP. The Bucs allow the most points to opposing quarterbacks, and all five QBs who have faced Tampa have posted at least 300 passing yards. It is now or never for Mayfield and the Bucs passing game.

Other options to consider - Joe Flacco vs. New Orleans & Mitchell Trubisky vs. New England

Fade - Drew Brees @ Baltimore - $5,700

This game boasts the leagueís top defense against the top offense, with Drew Brees and the Saints heading to Baltimore to take on the Ravens defense that allows 12.9 points per game. Brees is matchup proof at home, but on the road, I only play him in cupcake matchups with high over/under projections from Vegas. The price is nice, but I am avoiding Brees for safer options this week.

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Frank Gore vs. Detroit - $3,800

This may be the most unsexy pick of the year, and of course, if you can budget for him, playing Todd Gurley against the Niners is the no-brainer cash game play of the week. But for owners looking for a cheap option at running back, especially if you pay up for Thielen at wide receiver, playing Gore against a Lions team that allows the third-most points to RBs is a high floor/ Low-risk move. Gore has 27 carries in his last two games and Kenyon Drake may have fallen out of favor for the short term with Adam Gase after fumbling on the goal line last week in overtime.

Other options to consider - Todd Gurley @ San Francisco & Marlon Mack vs. Buffalo

GPP - Tarik Cohen vs. New England - $5,100

I am staying in the fire for a second straight week with Cohen after he posted 24.1 points against the Dolphins Week 6. The game script against the Patriots has the makings for a shootout and more Cohen than Jordan Howard. Itís a good bet that Mitchell Trubisky will once again lean on Cohen in the passing game (14 receptions in his last two games).

Other options to consider - Corey Clement vs. Carolina & Duke Johnson @ Tampa Bay

Fade - Jordan Howard vs. New England - $5,500

I dislike Howard this week for all of the same reasons why I like Cohen against the Patriots. The Bears defense will have a tough time limiting Brady and the Pats offense from scoring, which will present a game script in which Howard will once again see fewer than 15 carries.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Adam Thielen @ New York Jets - $8,600

All cash game players need to pay up for Thielen this week as he is unquestionably the top play at the wide receiver position. The target load from Cousins has Thielen on pace to set the NFL single-season reception and target record, and Thielen will line up in the slot against a depleted secondary with Buster Skrine (concussion) and Trumaine Johnson (quad) out. This is an easy 20-point floor that you cannot pass up.

Other options to consider - Jarvis Landry @ Tampa Bay & Robert Woods @ San Francisco

GPP - John Brown vs. New Orleans - $5,700

Brown faces off against a New Orleans team that gives up the most points to opposing wide receivers. Although he has two duds in his previous two games, this is the matchup that Brown owners have been waiting for this season. Pair him with Flacco in GPP as a stack for fantasy goodness.

Other options to consider - Josh Gordon @ Chicago & Taylor Gabriel vs. New England

Fade - DeAndre Hopkins @ Jacksonville - $6,900

While it is indeed possible that Hopkins scores a touchdown in this game, I donít think he is worth the risk playing against Jalen Ramsey and a Jags defense that was just embarrassed last week by Dallas. Pay an extra $100 for Robert Woods against the Niners and cash in on a better matchup.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Eric Ebron @ New York Jets - $5,400

Although the Colts may get T.Y. Hilton back and Eric Ebronís targets may come down from the astronomical amount that the former Lion has received over the past four games, I am sticking with Ebron in cash games as long as his salary stays below $6k. In cash you pay for volume and consistency, and no other tight end besides Zach Ertz provides more value than Ebron.

Other options to consider - Kyle Rudolph @ NY Jets & Zach Ertz vs. Carolina

GPP - David Njoku vs. Tampa Bay - $4,200

With 22 targets in his last two games, including a touchdown and 55 yards on seven catches last week against the Chargers, Njoku has evolved into a favorite target for Baker Mayfield. The Bucs are terrible across the board in pass defense, including allowing the most points to opposing tight ends. Start Njoku this week with the expectation of at least five catches for 60 yards, with the upside of a touchdown or two.

Other options to consider - O.J. Howard vs. Cleveland

Fade - Rob Gronkowski @ Chicago - $6,000

Gronk always has the upside for a monster game and fading him is a risky proposition. With that said, the way to beat the Bears is by attacking the secondary with wide receivers, which may require Gronk to stay in and block more than usual. However, if Khalil Mack is out, Gronk is no longer a fade.

Defense & Special Teams

High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Rams $3,500 @ 49ers

Well Priced with Upside: Eagles $2,600 vs. Panthers