Final Score Prediction
Patriots 34, Bills 24
| Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 1 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 330, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 23 |
BenJarvus Green-Ellis |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 38 |
Danny Woodhead |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| WR 14 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
| WR 23 |
Deion Branch |
Rec: 7-80, 1 TD |
| WR 40 |
Chad Ochocinco |
Rec: 4-60, 0 TD |
| TE 2 |
Rob Gronkowski  |
Rec: 7-80, 1 TD |
| K 6 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 4/4 |
| DEF 19 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo Bills |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 8 |
Ryan Fitzpatrick |
Pass: 280, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
| RB 18 |
Fred Jackson |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| RB 39 |
C.J. Spiller |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
| WR 10 |
Steve Johnson  |
Rec: 8-90, 1 TD |
| WR 32 |
David Nelson |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
| WR 69 |
Donald Jones |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 18 |
Scott Chandler |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
| K 28 |
Rian Lindell |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 30 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Patriots Club seeks 16th straight win against Bills... Patriots aim to start season 3-0 for 4th time under BILL BELICHICK (2002, 2004, 2007)... Dating back to 11/14/10, club has won 10 consecutive regular-season games, longest active streak in NFL... NE seeks 7th straight win vs. AFC East... Rank 1st in NFL w/ 563 yards per game in '11... QB Tom Brady has 17-1 career record (.944) vs. Bills with 39 TDs vs. 12 INTs & 103 passer rating. Aims for 12th straight regular-season game with 2+ TD passes. Seeks 3rd consec game with 400+ passing yards (517, 423). Brady has 15 completions of 20+ yards in 2011, 2nd-most in NFL (CAM NEWTON, 16)... RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis has 15 rush TDs since 2010, 2nd-most in NFL (ARIAN FOSTER, 16). In past 2, Green-Ellis averages 101 rush yards per game vs. Buf. (202 total)... WRs Deion Branch (111) & Wes Welker (120.5) are averaging 100+ rec. yards per game this season... TE Rob Gronkowski has 3 TD catches in 2 career games vs. Bills... S Patrick Chung aims for 3rd consecutive game with INT vs. Buf... DT Vince Wilfork posted 1st career INT last week.
 Bills Lead NFL with 39.5 points per game this season. Buf. aims for 3-0 start for 1st time since '08... QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is tied for NFL-best with 7 TD passes this season (Brady, MATTHEW STAFFORD). Has 120.2 passer rating in 4th quarter. RB Fred Jackson aims for 3rd straight game w/ 100+ rush yards (112, 117). Bills are 8-1 when Jackson has 100+ rushing yards. Tied career-high w/ 2 rush TDs last week... WR Steve Johnson aims for 3rd consecutive game with TD catch. WR David Nelson had career-highs in rec. (10) & yards (83) last week, incl. 6-yard game-winning TD catch with 14 sec. remaining... TE Scott Chandler is tied for AFC lead with 3 TD receptions this season (Rob Gronkowski, KENNY BRITT)... In last game vs. NE (w/ Chargers on 9/16/07), LB Shawne Merriman had 2 sacks & 1 FF... LB Nick Barnett leads team with 18 tackles... KR-RB C.J. Spiller had 95-yard KR-TD vs. Patriots on 9/26/10.
Results and Schedule
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2011-09-12 |
MIA |
A |
W 38-24 |
+14 |
| 2 |
2011-09-18 |
SD |
H |
W 35-21 |
+14 |
| 3 |
2011-09-25 |
BUF |
A |
L 31-34 |
-3 |
| 4 |
2011-10-02 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
| 5 |
2011-10-09 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
| 6 |
2011-10-16 |
DAL |
H |
|
|
| 7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 8 |
2011-10-30 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
| 9 |
2011-11-06 |
NYG |
H |
|
|
| 10 |
2011-11-13 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
| 11 |
2011-11-21 |
KC |
H |
|
|
| 12 |
2011-11-27 |
PHI |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2011-12-04 |
IND |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2011-12-11 |
WAS |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2011-12-18 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2011-12-24 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2012-01-01 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo Bills |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2011-09-11 |
KC |
A |
W 41-7 |
+34 |
| 2 |
2011-09-18 |
OAK |
H |
W 38-35 |
+3 |
| 3 |
2011-09-25 |
NE |
H |
W 34-31 |
+3 |
| 4 |
2011-10-02 |
CIN |
A |
|
|
| 5 |
2011-10-09 |
PHI |
H |
|
|
| 6 |
2011-10-16 |
NYG |
A |
|
|
| 7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 8 |
2011-10-30 |
WAS |
H |
|
|
| 9 |
2011-11-06 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
| 10 |
2011-11-13 |
DAL |
A |
|
|
| 11 |
2011-11-20 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2011-11-27 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2011-12-04 |
TEN |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2011-12-11 |
SD |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2011-12-18 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2011-12-24 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2012-01-01 |
NE |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Offense |
BUF
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
36.5 |
39.5 |
23.5 |
BUF |
| Rushing yards |
100.0 |
193.0 |
107.0 |
BUF |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.26 |
6.13 |
4.12 |
BUF |
| Completion % |
71.6% |
62.5% |
61.7% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
463.0 |
229.5 |
246.7 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
14.70 |
10.20 |
11.55 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
10.52 |
6.38 |
7.12 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
- |
| Sacks allowed |
1.5 |
1.0 |
2.5 |
BUF |
| 3rd down conversions |
62.5% |
44.0% |
38.6% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
0.0% |
100.0% |
50.0% |
BUF |
| Time of possession |
28:45 |
33:54 |
30:02 |
BUF |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Defense |
BUF
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
22.5 |
21.0 |
23.5 |
BUF |
| Rushing yards |
98.0 |
119.5 |
107.0 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.45 |
4.98 |
4.12 |
NE |
| Completion % |
66.3% |
65.2% |
61.7% |
BUF |
| Passing yards |
381.0 |
214.0 |
246.7 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per completion |
12.92 |
9.51 |
11.55 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per attempt |
8.56 |
6.20 |
7.12 |
BUF |
| INT return |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumble recoveries |
1.0 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
BUF |
| Sacks |
3.0 |
1.0 |
2.5 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
46.2% |
44.0% |
38.6% |
BUF |
| 4th down conversions |
66.7% |
100.0% |
50.0% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
31:16 |
26:05 |
30:02 |
BUF |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
BUF |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
11.8 |
8.5 |
11.0 |
NE |
| Yards per kick return |
22.8 |
21.0 |
25.4 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
3.0 |
11.3 |
11.0 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
21.3 |
18.9 |
25.4 |
BUF |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
BUF |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
7.5 |
4.0 |
6.4 |
BUF |
| Penalty yards |
65.0 |
28.0 |
54.0 |
BUF |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 2 of the 2011 season with no adjustment. Once
more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 weeks results and deduct the
best and worst value from the data set.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
10 |
2000-11-05 |
BUF |
NE |
16-13 |
BUF |
| 2000 |
16 |
2000-12-17 |
NE |
BUF |
13-10 |
NE |
| 2001 |
9 |
2001-11-11 |
BUF |
NE |
11-21 |
NE |
| 2001 |
14 |
2001-12-16 |
NE |
BUF |
12-9 |
NE |
| 2002 |
9 |
2002-11-03 |
NE |
BUF |
38-7 |
NE |
| 2002 |
14 |
2002-12-08 |
BUF |
NE |
17-27 |
NE |
| 2003 |
1 |
2003-09-07 |
NE |
BUF |
0-31 |
BUF |
| 2003 |
17 |
2003-12-27 |
BUF |
NE |
0-31 |
NE |
| 2004 |
4 |
2004-10-03 |
NE |
BUF |
31-17 |
NE |
| 2004 |
10 |
2004-11-14 |
BUF |
NE |
6-29 |
NE |
| 2005 |
8 |
2005-10-30 |
BUF |
NE |
16-21 |
NE |
| 2005 |
14 |
2005-12-11 |
NE |
BUF |
35-7 |
NE |
| 2006 |
1 |
2006-09-10 |
BUF |
NE |
17-19 |
NE |
| 2006 |
7 |
2006-10-22 |
NE |
BUF |
28-6 |
NE |
| 2007 |
3 |
2007-09-23 |
BUF |
NE |
7-38 |
NE |
| 2007 |
11 |
2007-11-18 |
NE |
BUF |
56-10 |
NE |
| 2008 |
10 |
2008-11-09 |
BUF |
NE |
10-20 |
NE |
| 2008 |
17 |
2008-12-28 |
NE |
BUF |
13-0 |
NE |
| 2009 |
1 |
2009-09-14 |
BUF |
NE |
24-25 |
NE |
| 2009 |
15 |
2009-12-20 |
NE |
BUF |
17-10 |
NE |
| 2010 |
3 |
2010-09-26 |
BUF |
NE |
30-38 |
NE |
| 2010 |
16 |
2010-12-26 |
NE |
BUF |
34-3 |
NE |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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