Final Score Prediction
Patriots 27, Steelers 24
Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 3 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 280, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 23 |
BenJarvus Green-Ellis |
Rush: 60, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
RB 36 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
WR 9 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 8-90, 1 TD |
WR 35 |
Deion Branch |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
TE 3 |
Aaron Hernandez |
Rec: 6-60, 1 TD |
TE 6 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
K 5 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 19 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
Pittsburgh Steelers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 6 |
Ben Roethlisberger |
Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 12 |
Rashard Mendenhall |
Rush: 90, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 41 |
Isaac Redman |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 1 |
Mike Wallace |
Rec: 8-120, 1 TD |
WR 28 |
Antonio Brown |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
WR 42 |
Emmanuel Sanders |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
TE 10 |
Heath Miller |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
K 13 |
Shaun Suisham |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 12 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Patriots With win, head coach BILL BELICHICK & QB Tom Brady surpass HOFers DAN MARINO & DON SHULA of Miami for most wins (116) by QB-head coach duo in SB era (since '66)... .Incl. playoffs, Patriots have won 4 of past 5 vs. Pit... Rank 1st in NFL w/ 474.5 yards per game in '11... Have totaled at least 30 pts in 13 of past 14 games... Incl. postseason, QB Tom Brady has 6-1 record vs. Pit. & has 14 TDs vs. 3 INTs & 104.8 passer rating. Last game, Brady (277) surpassed VINNY TESTAVERDE (275) for 8th-most TD passes in NFL history. Patriots are 18-1 (.947) when RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis has rush TD in game... Since '07, WR Wes Welker averages NFL-best 7.2 catches per game (483 rec.). Has totaled 100+ rec. yards in 4 of 6 games this season (160, 217, 158, 124)... TE Rob Gronkowski had career-high 3 TD catches in last game vs. Pit. TEs Gronkowski (5) & Aaron Hernandez (3) have totaled 8 TD rec. in 1st 6 games of season... CB Kyle Arrington leads team with 4 INTs... DE Andre Carter had season-high 2 sacks last game.
Steelers Aim for 5th consecutive win at Heinz Field... QB Ben Roethlisberger (74-31, .705) seeks 75th regular-season win as starter. Has 114.4 passer rating at home in '11, 3rd-best in NFL (AARON RODGERS, 129.4; DREW BREES, 124.4) & highest among AFC QBs. Roethlisberger has 10 TDs vs. 2 INTs & 94.6 passer rating in 5 regular-season games vs. NE. In past 3 games, Roethlisberger has 9 TDs vs. 1 INT & 117.1 passer rating... RB Rashard Mendenhall has 9 rush TDs in past 10 home games... WR Mike Wallace tied career-best with 2 TDs in only meeting vs. NE (11/14/10). Wallace has rec. of 40+ yards in 6 straight games, longest streak since ISAAC BRUCE in 2000. WR Antonio Brown had career-best in catches (7) & receiving yards (102) last week... Defense allows NFL-low in passing yards per game (171.9) this season... LB LaMarr Woodley aims for 3rd consecutive game with at least 2 sacks. Leads AFC w/ 7 sacks... S Ryan Clark posted 1st INT of season last week.
Results and Schedule
New England Patriots |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2011-09-12 |
MIA |
A |
W 38-24 |
+14 |
2 |
2011-09-18 |
SD |
H |
W 35-21 |
+14 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
BUF |
A |
L 31-34 |
-3 |
4 |
2011-10-02 |
OAK |
A |
W 31-19 |
+12 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
NYJ |
H |
W 30-21 |
+9 |
6 |
2011-10-16 |
DAL |
H |
W 20-16 |
+4 |
7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
8 |
2011-10-30 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
9 |
2011-11-06 |
NYG |
H |
|
|
10 |
2011-11-13 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
11 |
2011-11-21 |
KC |
H |
|
|
12 |
2011-11-27 |
PHI |
A |
|
|
13 |
2011-12-04 |
IND |
H |
|
|
14 |
2011-12-11 |
WAS |
A |
|
|
15 |
2011-12-18 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
16 |
2011-12-24 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
17 |
2012-01-01 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Pittsburgh Steelers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2011-09-11 |
BAL |
A |
L 7-35 |
-28 |
2 |
2011-09-18 |
SEA |
H |
W 24-0 |
+24 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
IND |
A |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
4 |
2011-10-02 |
HOU |
A |
L 10-17 |
-7 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
TEN |
H |
W 38-17 |
+21 |
6 |
2011-10-16 |
JAC |
H |
W 17-13 |
+4 |
7 |
2011-10-23 |
ARI |
A |
W 32-20 |
+12 |
8 |
2011-10-30 |
NE |
H |
|
|
9 |
2011-11-06 |
BAL |
H |
|
|
10 |
2011-11-13 |
CIN |
A |
|
|
11 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
12 |
2011-11-27 |
KC |
A |
|
|
13 |
2011-12-04 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
14 |
2011-12-08 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
15 |
2011-12-19 |
SF |
A |
|
|
16 |
2011-12-24 |
STL |
H |
|
|
17 |
2012-01-01 |
CLE |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
NE Offense |
PIT Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
30.7 |
24.0 |
22.3 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
120.3 |
126.8 |
116.1 |
PIT |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.52 |
4.39 |
4.33 |
NE |
Completion % |
67.7% |
65.1% |
60.2% |
NE |
Passing yards |
317.0 |
270.0 |
234.8 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
12.40 |
12.69 |
11.32 |
PIT |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.40 |
8.27 |
6.81 |
NE |
Interceptions |
1.0 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
PIT |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
NE |
Sacks allowed |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
51.8% |
50.6% |
38.8% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
33.3% |
44.7% |
NE |
Time of possession |
29:21 |
33:20 |
30:03 |
PIT |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
NE Defense |
PIT Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
20.3 |
16.8 |
22.3 |
PIT |
Rushing yards |
91.3 |
92.3 |
116.1 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.26 |
4.26 |
4.33 |
- |
Completion % |
66.7% |
55.8% |
60.2% |
PIT |
Passing yards |
337.7 |
163.8 |
234.8 |
PIT |
Passing yards per completion |
12.44 |
8.90 |
11.32 |
PIT |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.30 |
4.96 |
6.81 |
PIT |
INT return |
1.7 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
NE |
Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
NE |
Sacks |
1.3 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
PIT |
3rd down conversions |
49.2% |
37.2% |
38.8% |
PIT |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
66.7% |
44.7% |
NE |
Time of possession |
30:39 |
26:40 |
30:03 |
PIT |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
NE |
PIT |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
11.5 |
12.9 |
9.4 |
PIT |
Yards per kick return |
20.8 |
24.4 |
23.7 |
PIT |
Yards allowed per punt return |
7.4 |
5.1 |
9.4 |
PIT |
Yards allowed per kick return |
25.3 |
24.2 |
23.7 |
PIT |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
NE |
PIT |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.3 |
5.5 |
6.5 |
PIT |
Penalty yards |
58.3 |
52.3 |
55.0 |
PIT |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 2 to 7 of the 2011 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 2 to 7 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2002 |
1 |
2002-09-09 |
PIT |
NE |
14-30 |
NE |
2004 |
8 |
2004-10-31 |
NE |
PIT |
20-34 |
PIT |
2004 |
CF |
2005-01-23 |
NE |
PIT |
41-27 |
NE |
2005 |
3 |
2005-09-25 |
NE |
PIT |
23-20 |
NE |
2007 |
14 |
2007-12-09 |
PIT |
NE |
13-34 |
NE |
2008 |
13 |
2008-11-30 |
PIT |
NE |
33-10 |
PIT |
2010 |
10 |
2010-11-14 |
NE |
PIT |
39-26 |
NE |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. CF = Conference Final
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