Prediction: Broncos 31, Chargers 27
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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| Denver Broncos |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 1 |
Peyton Manning |
Pass: 320, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 13 |
Ronnie Hillman |
Rush: 65, 0 TD Rec: 3-25, 0 |
| RB 61 |
Juwan Thompson  |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 1 |
Demaryius Thomas |
Rec: 7-100, 1 TD |
| WR 15 |
Emmanuel Sanders |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| WR 50 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| TE 2 |
Julius Thomas |
Rec: 6-60, 1 TD |
| K 14 |
Brandon McManus |
FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4 |
| DEF 17 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
 Chargers QB Philip Rivers has won 5 of past 6 vs. AFC West, passing for 1,506 yards & 14 TDs vs. 3 INTs for 107.5 rating. Has 120+ rating in 5 of past 6. Chargers are 35-3 (.921) when Rivers starts & has 120+ rating... RB Branden Oliver (undrafted) leads NFL rookies with 316 yards on 72 att. (4.4 average) with 2 TDs... TE Antonio Gates (9,556) needs 29 receiving yards to surpass HOFer LANCE ALWORTH (9,584) for most in club history. Needs 4 catches to become 4th TE in NFL history with 750 career. WR Eddie Royal has 5 TDs in past 5. WR Keenan Allen had 2 TD catches in last meeting... DE Corey Liuget has sack in 2 of past 3 vs. AFC West. DE Dwight Freeney has at least half sack in 3 of past 4 vs. Den. (with Ind.). S Eric Weddle has 13 INTs since 2011, most in AFC...
 Broncos QB Peyton Manning (510) had 4 pass TDs last week, surpassing BRETT FAVRE (508) for most in NFL history. Has 33 career 4-TD games, most in NFL history, & his teams are 30-3 (.909) in those games. Aims for 13th in row with 2+ TDs... RB Ronnie Hillman rushed for 74 yards & career-high 2 TDs last week. In 2 career starts, has 174 rush yards & 2 TDs... In past 3, WR Demaryius Thomas has 26 catches for 521 yards (20 avg.) & 5 TDs, most rec. yards of any 3-game span in club history. Since 2012, leads NFL with 30 TD catches. WRs Wes Welker & Emmanuel Sanders each had 1st TD of season last week. TE Julius Thomas leads all NFL players with 9 TDs. Needs 1 TD to become 1st TE in Broncos history with 10+ TDs in consecutive seasons... Broncos are only NFL team with 2 players with 7+ sacks each (LBs Von Miller & DeMarcus Ware). Since entering NFL in 2011, Miller leads AFC with 43 sacks, including 2 vs. SF. Ware had 3 sacks last week, most since joining Den. CB Aqib Talib aims for 3rd in row with INT.
Results and Schedule
| San Diego Chargers |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-08 |
ARI |
A |
L 17-18 |
-1 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
SEA |
H |
W 30-21 |
+9 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
BUF |
A |
W 22-10 |
+12 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
JAC |
H |
W 33-14 |
+19 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
NYJ |
H |
W 31-0 |
+31 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
OAK |
A |
W 31-28 |
+3 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
KC |
H |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
| 8 |
2014-10-23 |
DEN |
A |
L 21-35 |
-14 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
MIA |
A |
|
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| 10 |
|
Bye |
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| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
OAK |
H |
|
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| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
STL |
H |
|
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| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
BAL |
A |
|
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| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
NE |
H |
|
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| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
DEN |
H |
|
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| 16 |
2014-12-20 |
SF |
A |
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| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
KC |
A |
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| Denver Broncos |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
IND |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
KC |
H |
W 24-17 |
+7 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
SEA |
A |
L 20-26 |
-6 |
| 4 |
|
Bye |
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| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
ARI |
H |
W 41-20 |
+21 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
NYJ |
A |
W 31-17 |
+14 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
SF |
H |
W 42-17 |
+25 |
| 8 |
2014-10-23 |
SD |
H |
W 35-21 |
+14 |
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
NE |
A |
|
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| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
OAK |
A |
|
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| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
STL |
A |
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| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
MIA |
H |
|
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| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
KC |
A |
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| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
BUF |
H |
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| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
SD |
A |
|
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| 16 |
2014-12-22 |
CIN |
A |
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| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
OAK |
H |
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Offense Stats Comparison
| |
SD
Offense |
DEN
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
28.5 |
32.0 |
23.3 |
DEN |
| Rushing yards |
92.8 |
98.3 |
111.6 |
DEN |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.14 |
3.69 |
4.13 |
DEN |
| Completion % |
68.7% |
69.8% |
63.2% |
DEN |
| Passing yards |
277.8 |
279.0 |
241.0 |
DEN |
| Passing yards per completion |
12.37 |
12.08 |
10.95 |
SD |
| Passing yards per attempt |
8.50 |
8.43 |
6.92 |
SD |
| Interceptions |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
- |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
- |
| Sacks allowed |
1.5 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
DEN |
| 3rd down conversions |
53.4% |
43.1% |
41.6% |
SD |
| 4th down conversions |
0.0% |
100.0% |
42.2% |
DEN |
| Time of possession |
34:03 |
29:46 |
30:11 |
SD |
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Defense Stats Comparison
| |
SD
Defense |
DEN
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
17.0 |
18.0 |
23.3 |
SD |
| Rushing yards |
100.0 |
76.0 |
111.6 |
DEN |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.56 |
3.27 |
4.13 |
DEN |
| Completion % |
60.5% |
56.5% |
63.2% |
DEN |
| Passing yards |
207.5 |
224.3 |
241.0 |
SD |
| Passing yards per completion |
9.93 |
9.74 |
10.95 |
DEN |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.01 |
5.51 |
6.92 |
DEN |
| INT return |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
DEN |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
SD |
| Sacks |
2.5 |
3.3 |
2.2 |
DEN |
| 3rd down conversions |
45.3% |
38.2% |
41.6% |
DEN |
| 4th down conversions |
0.0% |
33.3% |
42.2% |
SD |
| Time of possession |
25:42 |
31:29 |
30:11 |
SD |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
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SD |
DEN |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
6.9 |
6.8 |
8.4 |
SD |
| Yards per kick return |
16.0 |
23.0 |
23.3 |
DEN |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
9.1 |
4.8 |
8.4 |
DEN |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
21.0 |
26.2 |
23.3 |
SD |
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Misc Stats Comparison
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SD |
DEN |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
6.0 |
8.7 |
6.9 |
SD |
| Penalty yards |
54.8 |
71.0 |
58.3 |
SD |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 2 to 7 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 2 to 7 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
6 |
2000-10-08 |
DEN |
SD |
21-7 |
DEN |
| 2000 |
12 |
2000-11-19 |
SD |
DEN |
37-38 |
DEN |
| 2001 |
6 |
2001-10-21 |
DEN |
SD |
10-27 |
SD |
| 2001 |
9 |
2001-11-11 |
SD |
DEN |
16-26 |
DEN |
| 2002 |
5 |
2002-10-06 |
SD |
DEN |
9-26 |
DEN |
| 2002 |
13 |
2002-12-01 |
DEN |
SD |
27-30 |
SD |
| 2003 |
2 |
2003-09-14 |
DEN |
SD |
37-13 |
DEN |
| 2003 |
11 |
2003-11-16 |
SD |
DEN |
8-37 |
DEN |
| 2004 |
3 |
2004-09-26 |
SD |
DEN |
13-23 |
DEN |
| 2004 |
13 |
2004-12-05 |
DEN |
SD |
17-20 |
SD |
| 2005 |
2 |
2005-09-18 |
SD |
DEN |
17-20 |
DEN |
| 2005 |
17 |
2005-12-31 |
DEN |
SD |
23-7 |
DEN |
| 2006 |
11 |
2006-11-19 |
SD |
DEN |
35-27 |
SD |
| 2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
DEN |
SD |
20-48 |
SD |
| 2007 |
5 |
2007-10-07 |
SD |
DEN |
41-3 |
SD |
| 2007 |
16 |
2007-12-24 |
DEN |
SD |
3-23 |
SD |
| 2008 |
2 |
2008-09-14 |
SD |
DEN |
38-39 |
DEN |
| 2008 |
17 |
2008-12-28 |
DEN |
SD |
21-52 |
SD |
| 2009 |
6 |
2009-10-19 |
DEN |
SD |
34-23 |
DEN |
| 2009 |
11 |
2009-11-22 |
SD |
DEN |
32-3 |
SD |
| 2010 |
11 |
2010-11-22 |
DEN |
SD |
14-35 |
SD |
| 2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
SD |
DEN |
33-28 |
SD |
| 2011 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
SD |
DEN |
29-24 |
SD |
| 2011 |
12 |
2011-11-27 |
DEN |
SD |
16-13 |
DEN |
| 2012 |
6 |
2012-10-15 |
DEN |
SD |
35-24 |
DEN |
| 2012 |
11 |
2012-11-18 |
SD |
DEN |
23-30 |
DEN |
| 2013 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
DEN |
SD |
28-20 |
DEN |
| 2013 |
15 |
2013-12-12 |
SD |
DEN |
27-20 |
SD |
| 2013 |
DP |
2014-01-12 |
SD |
DEN |
17-24 |
DEN |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff
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