I have been told over and over again that I must be obsessed. I
just finished off the 2002 Football season with two championships
and 6 playoff appearances in my seven Fantasy Football leagues.
I just spent the last month watching over thirty football games.
I have alienated my wife and two-and-a-half year-old daughter. To
top it off, I am already analyzing the statistics, free agency and
the NFL Draft for the 2003 NFL Season. Maybe I am Obsessed?
It really isn't as much as obsession with Fantasy Football as
it is an obsession to win. If you are going to play Fantasy Football
you might as well play it to win. An example of this is in one
of my Prize leagues where I won our championship. My team did
not have one player left on its roster that was on it on opening
day. I made so many trades that I not only traded every player
on my roster away, but I traded several players twice. You may
think that is a little overboard but since I won the championship
it is hard to argue with the results.
My first goal in the off-season is to always identify the sleepers
and bargains at each position. Those are how leagues are won and
lost. Below I have listed several players that I consider among
my list of sleepers for 2003:
Ladell Betts RB WAS - Betts
was a second round draft pick in 2002, who really did not get
the opportunity for playing time until late last year. In fact,
Betts was not only limited in his playing time in the first
half of the season, he was not even on the active roster for
several weeks. It looked like Steve Spurrier's promise of using
Betts more to see what he could do was just coach speak. Betts
finally did get some playing time when Stephen Davis got hurt
and showed quite a bit. In weeks 16 and 17, Betts carried the
ball 37 times for 214 rushing yards. Not too bad for a player
who could not even get on the active roster for the longest
while. With Stephen Davis all but gone, Washington will have
an open competition at running back this preseason. I expect
Betts to win the job since he is now a year older and a year
more experienced. He just has much more upside than the Kenny
Watson.
Ashlie Lelie WR DEN - This kid
is loaded with talent. He has nice hands, great speed and beautiful
body control when adjusting to the ball. I was asked recently
who I would take between Deion Branch WR NE and Javon Walker
WR GB. My response was Ashlie Lelie. I know he was not part
of the question but I love Lelie that much for 2003. It is an
added bonus that he will be starting in Denver's explosive West
Coast offense. You are now thinking to yourself: 'Self, Did
he just say Starting?' You heard me right. McCaffrey will not
hold off Ashlie Lelie in 2003. He is too talented for Shanahan
to keep on the bench. Lelie only had 35 catches for 525 yards
in 2002, but what a 525 yards it was. He added to the Denver
passing game what it had been lacking, Speed. That is something
you cannot teach to a player. Keep an eye on this kid.
Joey Harrington QB DET - It
may seem strange to see any Detroit Lion on this list, but I
feel Harrington will be a great NFL quarterback before all is
said and done. Harrington had an up and down rookie season.
He started off very hot. He threw for 267 and 307 passing yards
in two of his first three starts. He got into a slump at midseason
because he seemed to be pressing too hard. The fact that his
Wide Receivers couldn't seem to catch a cold did not help the
young quarterback at all. Add into that a coaching staff that
would have made Wayne Fontes look good and Harrington's slump
was understandable. The Lions seem to finally be heading in
the right direction. The hiring of Steve Mariucci will really
help Harrington. This will give Harrington a coach who has worked
with the likes of Brett Favre and Jeff Garcia. The Lions will
also get more help for Harrington at wide receiver (This most
likely will be Charles Rogers with the 2nd overall pick in the
draft). Harrington should have a fine sophomore season after
learning the ropes in 2002.
Anthony Thomas RB CHI - Let's
look at this for second: 278 carries for 1183 rushing yards
with a 4.3 yards per carry in only 10 starts in 2001. Fast Forward
to 2002 and the statistics dip in every category: 214 carries
for only 721 rushing yards with a 3.5 yards per carry average
in 12 starts. The question is whether Thomas's rookie season
was fluke or not. Since Thomas is on my list of bargains, you
can probably guess which side I am taking. I am not sure how
many of you actually saw Thomas play in 2002, but every time
he would get the handoff there were two or three players to
greet him in the backfield. That makes it tough to gain a lot
of positive yards. The Chicago blocking on the offensive line
was not as good as it was in 2001. Not only did Thomas have
problems finding holes, the team as a whole was ranked 25th
in sacks allowed. The fact that their starting fullback Daimon
Shelton (he helped open up many of the holes for Thomas in 2001)
was suspended for the first 4 weeks did not help matters. Defenses
also started putting 8 men at the line of scrimmage to stop
Thomas. The dual of Jim Miller/Chris Chandler did not scare
anyone. The Bears will upgrade the Quarterback position this
off-season as well as Thomas is going to work harder this off-season
for the 2003 season. Expect to see more of the Thomas from 2001
than from 2002.
David Terrell WR CHI - This
is Terrell's make or break year. He has the talent to succeed
on this level, but needs to work harder when it comes to preparation.
The Bears are set at their number one wide receiver spot with
Marty Booker but they were disappointed in Dez White in 2002.
If Terrell works hard this off-season and shows enough in the
minicamps and preseason he could very well be lining up at the
wide receiver spot opposite Booker on opening day. Running a
4.4 (forty yard dash) at 6-3 gives Terrell a nice combination
of size and speed that can give a cornerback fits. Terrell has
showed flashes in his first two years of what he can do; now
he just needs to take it to the next level. I fully expect Terrell
to work hard this off-season and have his breakout year in 2003.
Most of the sleepers or bargains are easier to determine after
Free Agency gets going in the NFL, but this is a good start. You
can never get started too early when it comes to Fantasy Football
preparation.
A Penny for your Thoughts
I have heard several people from certain websites comparing
the running ability of Marshall Quarterback Byron Leftwich to
a Daunte Culpepper or a Steve Young. Are you serious? Have these
people even seen Leftwich play? Leftwich no more has the mobility
of a Culpepper than William Green has the speed of a Clinton
Portis. That is my number one pet peeve. If you do not know
something, don't open your mouth. Anyone who thinks Leftwich
has good running skills has never seen him play. I would compare
him more to a Dan Marino than a Culpepper. Great Arm, but just
mobile enough to move around in the pocket.
Peerless Price wants to leave the Bills for two reasons.
Number One, he wants to get paid like an Eric Moulds. Number
Two, He wants to be the number one wide receiver in an offense.
I even heard that Price was a little annoyed that Moulds made
the Pro bowl and he did not. I am not sure if that is true,
but Peerless better get back to reality when it comes to one
thing. He is thrived in the Buffalo offense BECAUSE of Eric
Moulds, not in spite of him. Moulds is one the top five wide
receivers in the NFL. Price would be better off staying with
the Bills. The team is on the rise with an explosive offense.
If he goes to a team like Atlanta, he will find it much tougher
to get open against those double teams that Moulds had been
drawing for him in 2002.
Brian Griese is no Brett Favre, but I am not sure there is
a better replacement for him in Denver at this time. Kordell
Stewart? If they had scale down the Pittsburgh offense for him
in 2001, how do you think he will do in the complex West Coast
offense? Jake Plummer? I really think the Snake is going to
always be one of those quarterbacks that tease you. Not worth
taking the salary cap hit of Griese for Plummer. Shaun King?
Yeah right! Draft a QB? Maybe, but you will need to wait a while
for him to develop so you might as well hang onto Griese for
another year. I think if anything the move to cut Brian Griese
is more because of the off the field problems than anything
else.
I hope the Cowboys have a better plan than letting Emmitt
Smith walk and starting Troy Hambrick. Hambrick has not impressed
me at all. I am not an Emmitt Smith fan at all, but at this
point Smith is a better running back than Hambrick. Yes, Hambrick
has good size and speed, but he seems to lack the vision that
an Emmitt Smith possesses. The Cowboys did not have Hambrick
on the bench in 2002 out of loyalty to Smith, but because Hambrick
never showed he should be the starter. Every time the Cowboys
wanted to see what Hambrick could do, he either didn't show
up that day or fumbled his opportunity away. So if the Cowboys
do let Smith go, they better have another running back in their
sights.
On a side note, I am extremely disappointed in the situation
in the NHL these days. I am a big sports fan and love watching
hockey. I was born and raised in Buffalo, New York so it pains
me to see what is happening financially with several NHL teams
including my own Sabres. It is a pity that such a great sport
is in such financial trouble. I really hope the players realize
the sport is not the NFL or NBA and needs lower their salaries
if they want the league to survive.