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 Rankings/Projections > Dynasty Rankings  
Updated: 3/21/19
Doug Orth | Archive | Email |



My offseason view on dynasty rankings is significantly different than it is during the season. For starters, my main focus in the offseason is loading up on as much proven young talent as possible. During the season, I am more concerned about what I already have on my roster and making the subtle moves necessary in order to secure a championship.

In short, potential takes on a much more significant part of dynasty rankings in the offseason than usual. Free agency reshuffles the deck every year and can allow a second-string player to emerge as the more established veteran either chases a bigger paycheck, a Super Bowl ring or both. The draft introduces a number of new variables into the fantasy equation but can also knock a few of the veterans near the bottom of the rankings off the charts completely.

Based on the turnover rate in the NFL each year (roughly 25 percent), it seems foolish to assign much weight to anything more than three years at any position simply because the odds suggest that three-fourths of the players in these rankings will be insignificant at the end of the 2021 season.

At any rate, here are the main criteria I have chosen to take into consideration while ranking quarterbacks.

Considerations for QB
  • Talent
  • Four years of solid (or better) production remaining
  • Age
  • Age/skill of supporting cast
  • Durability
  • Proven consistency
  • Coaching/scheme stability/situation
These rankings are for PPR leagues, where each touchdown is worth six points. I will release my next set of rankings after the NFL Draft. I will then update the rankings before the start of the 2019 regular season and again midway through the season.
 
Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk
QUARTERBACKS
Chg Rank Player Tm Age
  1 Patrick Mahomes KC 23
  2 Deshaun Watson HOU 23
  3 Baker Mayfield CLE 24
  4 Andrew Luck IND 29
  5 Aaron Rodgers GB 35
  6 Russell Wilson SEA 30
  7 Carson Wentz PHI 26
Tier 2
  8 Cam Newton CAR 29
9 Sam Darnold NYJ 21
  10 Jared Goff LAR 24
11 Jameis Winston TB 25
Tier 3
  12 Philip Rivers LAC 37
  13 Kirk Cousins MIN 30
  14 Matt Ryan ATL 33
  15 Lamar Jackson BAL 22
  16 Dak Prescott DAL 25
  17 Drew Brees NO 40
  18 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 37
  19 Tom Brady NE 41
Tier 4
  20 Derek Carr OAK 28
  21 Josh Allen BUF 22
  22 Mitchell Trubisky CHI 24
  23 Jimmy Garoppolo SF 27
24 Matthew Stafford DET 31
  25 Marcus Mariota TEN 25
Tier 5
  26 Josh Rosen ARI 22
  27 Andy Dalton CIN 31
  28 Joe Flacco DEN 34
29 Nick Foles JAC 30
30 Ryan Fitzpatrick MIA 36
Tier 6
31 Colt McCoy WAS 32
  32 Ryan Tannehill TEN 30
  33 Case Keenum WAS 31
  34 Teddy Bridgewater NO 26
  35 Jacoby Brissett IND 26
  36 Eli Manning NYG 38
Tier 7
  37 Taysom Hill NO 28
  38 Tyrod Taylor LAC 29
  39 Blake Bortles LAR 27
  40 Nick Mullens SF 24
 
COMMENTS
  Deshaun Watson, HOU: Monster upside once o-line gets fixed; a younger version of Russell Wilson in many ways.

  Baker Mayfield, CLE: Arrival of OBJ could/should thrust second-year QB into elite fantasy status.

  Carson Wentz, PHI: Recent injury history cause for concern but talent is undeniable.

  Cam Newton, CAR: Optimism regarding offseason shoulder surgery lessens worry he'll be ready for 2019.

Sam Darnold, NYJ: Strong finish likely sign of things to come; influx of free-agent talent could lead to huge second season.

  Jared Goff, LAR: Second-half fade does little to stop questions he might be a product of Sean McVay's offensive genius.

Jameis Winston, TB: Bruce Arians' arrival figures to be huge boon to his development.

  Kirk Cousins, MIN: Addition of "offensive advisor" Gary Kubiak, one of best WR duos in the league should provide nice floor.

  Dak Prescott, DAL: Will neophyte OC Kellen Moore be able to help him take the next step in his career?

  Ben Roethlisberger, PIT: Departure of Antonio Brown figures to make him more of a matchup-based fantasy QB for now.

  Derek Carr, OAK: Hard to deny Antonio Brown/Tyrell Williams gives him perhaps the best WR duo he's ever had.

  Josh Allen, BUF: Are additions of John Brown/Cole Beasley enough to help him develop as a passer?

  Josh Rosen, ARI: Given little opportunity to succeed in 2018; will new regime give him a chance?

  Taysom Hill, NO: Inclusion on list based on likelihood HC Sean Payton uses his versatility even more in 2019.


Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”. Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.