Outlook: It doesn't get much better than the incredible run Josh Allen is on in fantasy football. Over the past three seasons, Allen has finished as the QB2, QB1, and QB1 in total points, solidifying the 27-year-old as an elite option at the position and someone who can provide difference-making value even in the early rounds. While he failed to finish as the QB1 this past year, it's worth considering that he still managed to score 472.4 fantasy points, which would have made him the QB1 (aside from himself) in 2019, 2020, and 2021. It's just that Patrick Mahomes' absurd 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns narrowly earned him the edge over Allen for one season.

Not only is Allen already one of the best players in the game, but the Bills appear intent on helping him get even better, as they spent their first-round NFL Draft pick on tight end Dalton Kincaid, who they took at No. 25 overall. There are some grumblings about star wide receiver Stefon Diggs being frustrated and there is a world where he's actually moved this offseason, but Allen provides a high-end rushing ability floor with elite arm strength, which makes him one of the safest players in all of fantasy football. In fact, with a whopping 38, Allen already has the fourth-most rushing touchdowns of any quarterback in NFL history, despite having only played five seasons. He's also gone over 750 rushing yards in back-to-back seasons.

It's true that Allen still turns the ball over too often through the air, which was really the main thing that kept him from being the QB1 in 2022 for what would have been the third straight fantasy season. Still, despite some cringe-worthy picks from time to time, Allen is absolutely worthy of being one of the quarterbacks who managers actually prioritize in the early rounds. In fact, it's completely reasonable to select him above Mahomes given the fact that he's out-scored the Kansas City quarterback by a total of 56.2 points over the past three fantasy seasons combined.

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Outlook: To say Joe Burrow has been a franchise altering player is an understatement. In his first three years in the NFL he's brought the Bengals to two straight AFC championships, (and a Super Bowl), and after decades of being an embarrassment, he's got the Bengals in annual championship contention. His rivalry with Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen is verging on the stuff of legend, and he's got the scheme and receiving talent to be a fantasy mainstay at the position for years to come.

Entering year four he has vaulted into the upper echelon of quarterbacks, but is there really much more room to climb the fantasy rankings? Despite rushing for ten touchdowns in his career, he has the lowest rushing yardage floor of all the players ranked above him. While there isn't much room to grow there, his passing numbers do have a shot to expand. The line improved slightly last year, giving up seven fewer sacks than 2021. Cinci spent big on Orlando Brown Jr. in free agency and the brutal state of their running game combined with having Ja'Marr Chase for a full season, means Burrow should continue the trend of setting career highs in pass attempts. The bottom line here is that Joe Cool should be somewhere in that top-5 mix at the end of the season, but he no longer comes at the discounted price he may have once had.

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Outlook: When the news dropped that All-Pro receiver Davante Adams would reunite with college Derek Carr in Las Vegas last offseason, it was practically inevitable that the quarterback who threw for 4,804 would only improve. However, that was not the case.

Adams did his thing, becoming an All-Pro once again, but Carr struggled when searching for other receivers. In 15 games, Carr threw for 3,522 yards, 24 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Removing Adams from the mix, Carr threw for 2,006 yards and 10 touchdowns.

Carr signed a four-year deal in the offseason with New Orleans, giving him a much different receiving corps. Chris Olave was among the best rookie receivers last season and when healthy (that's a big ask), Michael Thomas has been one of the best in the league. Thomas has barely played the last three seasons, but did shatter records during his last full season in 2019. Coming into his age 30 season, injuries have lowered his ceiling and his fantasy value. However, his experience makes him a very capable receiver and gives Carr a viable second option in the passing game.

Carr has only topped 30 passing TDs once his career (2015) and is coming off a career-low in completion percentage (60.8%). He doesn't bring much in the rushing department either - barely topping 100 rush yards the last two seasons - which is why he's being valued as a middling QB2 in fantasy leagues. In most redraft leagues, he'll likely be taken as one of the last bench quarterbacks or perhaps go undrafted.

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Outlook: On paper and for most practical purposes, it was another solid statistical season for the perennial undervalued Kirk Cousins. Learning a new scheme, he guided the explosive Vikings offense to a 13-4 regular season record, throwing for a career high 4,547 yards, and piling up 31 total touchdowns. He'll somehow get blamed for coming up short in the playoffs again, despite the fact he completed 80% of his passes for 273 yards and three total touchdowns in a defensive meltdown against the Giants.

Finishing as a standard scoring QB1 in seven of the last eight years, Cousins enters 2023 as one of the best fantasy values at the position. The Vikings seemed to have gone all-in on the passing game, ditching former All-Pro runner Dalvin Cook and drafting USC receiver Jordan Addison in the 1st round. Throw in the game's best receiver in Justin Jefferson, rising youngster K.J. Osborn, and the 2022 acquisition of T.J. Hockenson, and Cousins has the gourmet ingredients to cook up a fantasy smorgasbord this season. Season that meal with another young defense that's likely to struggle, and Cousins should continue to compile stats as he's done for a majority of his career. He may never get a team over the hump with a deep playoff run, but that hardly matters to your fantasy team. Snag a QB with top-5 upside, at a mid-round price.

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