Outlook: After months (years?) of drama, Jackson finally got his "bag" this offseason, securing the financial windfall of a lifetime. Now the story for Jackson turns to the next chapter, as the Ravens have rebuilt the offense, forgoing the "exotic" run-based offense of Greg Roman, and instead turning to former Georgia and Tampa Bay Buc offensive coordinator Todd Monken's pass heavy scheme.

The Ravens seem intent on using Jackson's arm more than his legs, and it remains to be seen what that will look like. He hasn't always been the most efficient or effective passer, especially in the playoffs where things become magnified. He certainly won't have the lack of receiving talent excuse to lean on, as Baltimore spent major cash and draft capital signing Odell Beckham Jr. and adding Zay Flowers in the 1st round. Throw in 2021 1st round pick Rashod Bateman, and elite move tight end Mark Andrews, and Jackson will easily have the best weapons he's had since entering the NFL.

I do know that Jackson remains one of the most athletically gifted players to ever play quarterback, and the Ravens will make good on the attempt to lower the number of designed runs for him. Jackson might have the highest volatility of the top-5 quarterbacks as his range of outcomes spans "best fantasy player on the planet" to "looking up at Geno Smith". Look for Jackson to set career highs in pass attempts and career low in rush attempts. While his 2019 video game numbers remain legendary, his legs, and passing upside make him worth it.

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Outlook: The Giants headed into the 2022 season with a serious question mark at their quarterback position and unfortunately for them, Daniel Jones did just enough to force the team to extend him with a new four-year, $160M contract. Jones did not look great passing the ball, but he finally made an impact from a fantasy standpoint, in large part due to his rushing ability. He finished fifth among QBs with 706 rushing yards while adding seven rushing scores - tied for third-most at the position.

Jones has always been able to provide some production with his legs, but head coach Brian Daboll seems to have a knack for unlocking his quarterbacks. Daboll did it in Buffalo with Josh Allen and it was quite apparent that Jones looked much better in 2022 than he had in his previous seasons. Much of that was driven by his newfound willingness to run. Jones performed well for fantasy, turning in the first top-12 QB season of his career, despite what was probably the worst group of pass-catching weapons he's had.

The Giants did make significant investments in receivers for Jones to throw to this offseason, including bringing in former Pro Bowl tight end Darren Waller, as well as wide receiver Parris Campbell. They also drafted Tennessee wide receiver Jalin Hyatt, who caught 15 touchdowns in his final collegiate season, with a third-round pick. This group of receivers lacks a true WR1 and some would argue it even lacks a WR2, but it's certainly deeper and possesses more overall talent than the group Jones had to throw to in 2022.

It'd be tough to expect another 700-yard, seven-rushing-touchdown season from Jones, but he doesn't necessarily even need to maintain quite that level of rushing prowess in order to remain a viable weekly top-12 fantasy QB. Jones barely threw for 200 yards per game and he threw less than one touchdown per game, so it'd be tough for him to be much worse than that was a passer and still keep his starting job. There's plenty of reason to be optimistic that he can make some improvements as a passer and still be a solid fantasy contributor here in 2023.

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Outlook: After being a top-10 offense for practically Tom Brady's entire run in New England, the Patriots have taken a step back in recent seasons and it's tough to not put a good bit of the blame on the coaching staff and team management. The front office just has not put the team in the position to succeed on a consistent basis. Some of that has been addressed this offseason with the Patriots moving on from the bizarre Matt Patricia offense they had in 2022 and going toward a more traditional offense coached by former Texans head coach Bill O'Brien. This switch alone can really only mean improvement, but there still seems to be a serious lack of care being put into the pass-catching weapons in this offense.

The team's leading receiver in each of the past three seasons, Jakobi Meyers, left this off-season and signed a fairly similar deal with the Raiders to the one the Patriots eventually gave to JuJu Smith-Schuster. This was particularly surprising because while Smith-Schuster has a longer history of success, he's historically played a similar role to the one that Meyers had already been successful with in-house for the Patriots. Additionally, the team brought in veterans like Kendrick Bourne and tight end Mike Gesicki, but there still seems to be a serious lack of explosive weapons for this roster. Without big-time playmakers, it's hard to imagine a world where Mac Jones is anything other than a replacement-level QB2 for fantasy purposes.

In fact, one could argue that Jones has been less than a QB2 thus far throughout his relatively short career. While he finished as the 22nd-highest-scoring quarterback, he actually was only the 36th-best QB in fantasy points per game. That's slightly better than Andy Dalton and Jacoby Brissett, and only a bit better than what his teammate Bailey Zappe delivered in his four games started in 2022.

With so many higher-upside options available in later rounds, it's just not worthwhile to draft Jones in anything other than 2QB and SuperFlex leagues.

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Outlook: Trevor Lawrence's rookie season in 2021 was an extreme disappointment. The No. 1 overall pick finished with more interceptions (17) than touchdowns (12) and was headed down the bust trail. Under the disaster that was Urban Meyer, the Jaguars tied for the least amount of wins (3) and earned the first overall pick in 2022.

For the first 12 games, Jacksonville's 4-8 record indicated their misery would very likely continue, but Lawrence stepped up in the final five games allowing Jacksonville to clinch the AFC South at 9-8. During that stretch, Lawrence threw for over 250 yards per game, eight touchdowns and was near the top of the league in quarterback rating (101.3). The man who was once treading into bust territory finished the regular season seventh in passes completed (387), eighth in passing touchdowns (25), ninth in passing yards (4,113), passer rating (95.2) and had the seventh-most fantasy points among all quarterbacks (ESPN scoring). For those that like stacking, the Jaguars are an excellent option as Lawrence threw over 750 receiving yards to three different pass catchers.

At the start of 2023, Lawrence is a QB1 in any fantasy league but probably towards the lower end of the top-10 quarterbacks. He's got some untapped rushing ability but it appears head coach Doug Pederson isn't going to let him get above the 400-yard mark. However, his weapons could make him shine bright by the midpoint of the season and the addition of Calvin Ridley should be a benefit to Lawrence's numbers.

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Outlook: 18 years feels like a lifetime ago for most, including Jordan Love, who was just seven years old when Aaron Rodgers was drafted by the Packers. While the future Hall of Famer finishes his career in a different shade of green, Love becomes just the 3rd Green Bay franchise quarterback in the last 30 years. Can this string of all-time signal callers continue? I honestly don't know. Since being a 1st round pick in 2020, Love has only attempted 83 passes, most of them coming in mop-up duty. In his only career start back in 2021 he was dreadful, completing only half of his passes for 190 yards in a 13-7 loss to Kansas City. There isn't even much to glean from his college career, as he really only had one great year at Utah State.

I truly wish I could have a hot take here and tell you that Love is going to be the sleeper hit QB of 2023, or that he's sure to tank, but I just don't know. Even though he hasn't seen many meaningful snaps, he has experience in the offense, has mentored under Rodgers for several years, and definitely has the confidence of the coaching staff and teammates. Unfortunately, none of those things are fantasy scoring categories. His solid core of skill position players do give him a fair shot to succeed, but every pass catcher is young (none of the current starters have more than two years' experience) and that will lead to some serious consistency issues. With very little rushing upside to lift his floor (26 career rushing yards in eight appearances) I could only consider him a mid-tier QB2 at the very best.

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Outlook: Remember that six-game stretch in 2021 when the league had figured out how to stop Mahomes and the Chiefs offense? Ah, good times, good times. Whatever led to that brief lull in production, it's safe to say it wasn't sustainable for defenses after Mahomes comfortably led the NFL in passing yards (5,250) and touchdowns (41) last year en route to a second MVP award and second Super Bowl triumph. All this despite the team trading away star wideout Tyreek Hill before the season.

Entering his age-28 season, Mahomes should be at the height of his powers, and given that head coach Andy Reid calls the plays, the departure of longtime offensive coordinator Eric Bienemy should have limited impact. He'll also lose his No. 1 receiver for a second straight year, as JuJu Smith-Schuster signed in New England, but if he can excel minus Hill, there's no reason think he can't do it here.

While Mahomes isn't an elite runner, he's topped 300 yards each of the last three seasons, so it's not a hindrance the way it could be with some of the other top throwers that prefer not to take off (e.g., Aaron Rodgers, Joe Burrow, and Justin Herbert). You could maybe convince yourself that Jalen Hurts deserves to be the first quarterback selected, but Mahomes is a much safer choice given his track record and sustainable style of play. For our money, Mahomes is the overall QB1.

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Outlook: In 2020, quarterback Baker Mayfield led the Cleveland Browns to their first winning season since 2007, throwing for 3,563 yards, 26 touchdowns and eight interceptions. However, he's only declined since then. The 2018 first overall pick was traded to the Carolina Panthers last offseason for a day three selection, but they'd release him on Dec. 5.

The Los Angeles Rams picked him up on a one-year deal, but he chose to become a free agent after the season ended. He finished the 2022 season with 201 completions for 2,163 yards, 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions in 12 games, ranking as the 29th-best quarterback in fantasy football, averaging just 13.6 points per week.

The Buccaneers were in desperate need of a quarterback with experience due to Tom Brady retiring, so they signed Mayfield as a bridge quarterback to ... ?. Assuming he wins the starting job out of camp over Kyle Trask, Mayfield will have the benefit of playing with Pro Bowl caliber receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Even so, the team is projected to struggle with a weak offensive line and a new system led by new offensive coordinator Dave Canales. A couple of spike weeks can be expected but overall, there's no juice to drafting Mayfield toward the back-end of your draft. He'll likely be an afterthought in most 1QB redraft leagues.

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