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Quarterback, Indianapolis Colts
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Draft: 2012 Round 1 (1)
College: Stanford
Ht: 6’4” Wt: 234 DOB: 1989-09-12 Age: 28 |
| QB Rank |
Tier |
ADP-12 |
#18 
|
4 |
8.01 |
|
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| |
Passing | Rushing |
Fantasy |
| Season |
Team |
G |
Cmp |
Att |
Cmp% |
Yard |
TD |
INT | Att |
Yard |
Avg |
TD |
FPts |
FPts/G |
| 2012 |
IND |
16 |
339 |
627 |
54.1 |
4,374 |
23 |
18 |
62 |
255 |
4.1 |
5 |
366.2 |
22.9 |
| 2013 |
IND |
16 |
345 |
572 |
60.3 |
3,830 |
23 |
9 |
63 |
377 |
6.0 |
4 |
345.2 |
21.6 |
| 2014 |
IND |
16 |
380 |
616 |
61.7 |
4,761 |
40 |
16 |
64 |
263 |
4.1 |
3 |
442.4 |
27.6 |
| 2015 |
IND |
7 |
162 |
293 |
55.3 |
1,881 |
15 |
12 |
33 |
196 |
5.9 |
0 |
173.7 |
24.8 |
| 2016 |
IND |
15 |
346 |
545 |
63.5 |
4,240 |
31 |
13 |
64 |
341 |
5.3 |
2 |
382.1 |
25.5 |
| 2018 (Projected) |
IND |
|
298 |
489 |
60.9 |
3,520 |
22 |
13 |
38 |
195 |
5.1 |
1 |
289.5 |
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Wrap this man in bubble wrap. No, like seriously, protect him with more than a below-average offensive line. 2017 was a sad season without Luck. After being told all off-season by the team's front office that Luck would be ready for the regular season, he wasn't. They refused to put him on the PUP list and waited until midway through the year to admit that he wouldn't be available at all. So, many drafters may feel burned after wasting a roster spot on him as a "late-round flier", but you shouldn't forget how good he's been during his career for fantasy owners with more than 60% of his career starts ending as a top 12 QB.
The biggest concerns about Luck's value in 2018 are potential injury risk and potential changes to his play style due to previous injuries. The former speaks for itself. Any player coming off of a significant injury is a risk to be injured again. The latter refers to Luck's sneaky rushing production and the potential for a shift to a safer style. In 2016, Luck finished with the 7th most rushing yards for quarterbacks and 2 rushing TDs. Luck has averaged just under 3 rushing TDs per season and in 4-point per passing TD leagues, these six-point scores provide real value to fantasy teams. If Luck plays a more risk-averse style and limits his rushing attempts, his upside could be significantly limited.
With more and more news emerging about the likelihood of Luck being healthy for training camp, his ADP has subsequently risen. As it stands, Luck is being drafted as the QB11 at the start of the 9th round. If that holds, he has the potential to be a great value. There's some concerns about his receiver corps, but the last time we saw Luck, he finished as the QB4 in just 15 games. Continue to watch training camp news for any reports about his shoulder, but if he remains a low-end QB1 during the draft, take him. He's a low-risk, high ceiling selection at that price.
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 Luck to see action in first preseason game
Reich: "About a quarter"
By: Mike Krueger | Fri Aug 3, 2:00 pm
|  | "I’m trying," he said. "It’s a work in progress. There are times when I revert back to some old habits I’ve created … it’s easier to do in drills, before practice, routes vs. air, throwing to wideouts. When you get into a team situation, you can’t think, ‘Is my back foot placed perfectly?’ Then you’re hit in the head or sacked. Translating that so it becomes second nature is a big part of practice."
While new coach Frank Reich has hinted that he intends to play Andrew Luck a bit longer than expected in the team’s preseason debut next Thursday in Seattle, the two haven’t sat down and discussed it. Luck will likely see a quarter at most, and in reality, it could be much less. (Indianapolis Star)
FFToday's Take: Luck has worked on changing his throwing motion this off-season in an attempt to reduce stress on his shoulder. While it's nice he's making the effort it's hard to imagine him not reverting back to his normal motion once live action begins. It sounds like Luck may get some extra run in the first pre-season game which is typically a one series and out affair for most starting QBs.
| Andrew Luck "good to go" for training camp
GM Chris Ballard gives positive outlook on Colts QB
By: Mike Krueger | Fri Jul 20, 2:30 pm
| | Big news: #Colts GM Chris Ballard tells reporters that QB Andrew Luck is “good to go” for training camp. No limitations when he’s out there, but won’t throw for 7 days straight. Still, huge. (Ian Rapoport on Twitter)
FFToday's Take: Expect Luck to have some days off during camp but this is the most positive news we've had on Luck in awhile. The question is, will he have any setbacks in camp? Until he does, you can expect to see Luck's ADP climb in the coming weeks.
| Still no pain for Andrew Luck
Expected to throw with Colts WRs later this week
By: Mike Krueger | Thu Jun 28, 5:15 pm
| | As for the most significant detail - pain. Any of that creeping in after a recent throwing session?
"No, no, no, not at all," Andrew Luck said.
Stay like that, and he’s on track to suit up Sept. 9 for the Colts’ opener against Cincinnati. It would be his first game in 616 days. Luck will venture out west later this week, where he’ll continue his rehab and, at some point, meet up with a collection of Colts receivers for throwing sessions - another indication all is going to plan (The Indianapolis Star)
FFToday's Take: The positive reports keep coming in on Luck, suggesting he's going to be good to go for Week 1. Obviously, he still has yet to take a hit with or fall to the ground on the shoulder, but these are the types of reports that were missing last summer. He is shaping up to be a value pick at his current ADP of 9.09 as the 13th quarterback off the board on average.
| Andrew Luck threw a football
First time throwing since last October
By: Mike Krueger | Tue Jun 12, 1:45 pm
| | WATCH: #Colts' Andrew Luck throws for first time publicly since October. (CBS4 Indianapolis)
FFToday's Take: It's true. Luck threw today for the first time since last October. The long rehab continues but at least Luck is moving in the right direction. He'll remain a huge fantasy risk until he begins throwing without restrictions.
| Luck hands off, doesn't throw at OTAs
Luck’s goal: be throwing without restrictions by training camp
By: Mike Krueger | Wed May 23, 8:00 pm
| | Are the Indianapolis Colts worried their $140 million quarterback still hasn’t incorporated throwing into his rehab from surgery on his right shoulder even though his target date for throwing without restrictions at the start of training camp looms?
Nope. “No, I’m not worried at all,’’ coach Frank Reich said after Wednesday’s Organized Team Activity (OTA). (Indianapolis Star)
FFToday's Take: In order for Andrew Luck to be ripping it when camp opens at the end of July he's going to have start throwing in some capacity very soon. At this point fantasy owners should not be counting on Luck until he proves on the field that's he's fully recovered from his shoulder injury. For those with a "Do Not Draft" list, he should be firmly at the top.
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| |
Passing | Rushing |
Fantasy |
| Week |
Opp |
Result |
Cmp |
Att |
Cmp% |
Yard |
TD |
INT | Att |
Yard |
Avg |
TD |
FPts |
| 1 |
DET |
L 35-39 |
31 |
47 |
66.0 |
385 |
4 |
0 |
3 |
21 |
7.0 |
0 |
37.4 |
| 2 |
at DEN |
L 20-34 |
21 |
40 |
52.5 |
197 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
22 |
7.3 |
0 |
16.1 |
| 3 |
SD |
W 26-22 |
24 |
37 |
64.9 |
331 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
20.6 |
| 4 |
at JAC |
L 27-30 |
27 |
42 |
64.3 |
234 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
23 |
5.8 |
0 |
22.0 |
| 5 |
CHI |
W 29-23 |
28 |
39 |
71.8 |
322 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
13 |
2.6 |
0 |
25.4 |
| 6 |
at HOU |
L 23-26 |
21 |
32 |
65.6 |
252 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
53 |
7.6 |
1 |
27.9 |
| 7 |
at TEN |
W 34-26 |
27 |
39 |
69.2 |
353 |
3 |
0 |
5 |
17 |
3.4 |
0 |
31.4 |
| 8 |
KC |
L 14-30 |
19 |
35 |
54.3 |
210 |
2 |
1 |
9 |
60 |
6.7 |
0 |
24.5 |
| 9 |
at GB |
W 31-26 |
23 |
36 |
63.9 |
281 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
15 |
2.1 |
0 |
19.6 |
| 11 |
TEN |
W 24-17 |
15 |
28 |
53.6 |
262 |
2 |
1 |
8 |
22 |
2.8 |
0 |
23.3 |
| 13 |
at NYJ |
W 41-10 |
22 |
28 |
78.6 |
278 |
4 |
0 |
3 |
26 |
8.7 |
0 |
32.5 |
| 14 |
HOU |
L 17-22 |
24 |
45 |
53.3 |
276 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
32 |
16.0 |
0 |
25.0 |
| 15 |
at MIN |
W 34-6 |
21 |
28 |
75.0 |
250 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
8.0 |
0 |
21.3 |
| 16 |
at OAK |
L 25-33 |
19 |
29 |
65.5 |
288 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
12 |
3.0 |
1 |
29.6 |
| 17 |
JAC |
W 24-20 |
24 |
40 |
60.0 |
321 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
17 |
5.7 |
0 |
25.8 |
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| |
Passing | Rushing |
Fantasy |
| Week |
Opp |
Result |
Cmp |
Att |
Cmp% |
Yard |
TD |
INT | Att |
Yard |
Avg |
TD |
FPts |
| 1 |
at BUF |
L 14-27 |
26 |
49 |
53.1 |
243 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
20 |
5.0 |
0 |
22.2 |
| 2 |
NYJ |
L 7-20 |
21 |
37 |
56.8 |
250 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
24 |
6.0 |
0 |
18.9 |
| 3 |
at TEN |
W 35-33 |
18 |
30 |
60.0 |
260 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
21 |
3.5 |
0 |
23.1 |
| 6 |
NE |
L 27-34 |
30 |
50 |
60.0 |
312 |
3 |
0 |
4 |
35 |
8.8 |
0 |
31.1 |
| 7 |
NO |
L 21-27 |
23 |
44 |
52.3 |
333 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
27 |
9.0 |
0 |
31.4 |
| 8 |
at CAR |
L 26-29 |
23 |
47 |
48.9 |
231 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
35 |
5.8 |
0 |
23.1 |
| 9 |
DEN |
W 27-24 |
21 |
36 |
58.3 |
252 |
2 |
0 |
6 |
34 |
5.7 |
0 |
24.0 |
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