Running Backs
Bye Weeks: Arizona, Buffalo, Carolina
and Cincinnati, so that means Tim
Hightower and Chris
Wells, Fred
Jackson and C.J.
Spiller, DeAngelo
Williams and Jonathan
Stewart, and Cedric
Benson are all benched.
Always start your studs: Adrian
Peterson, Chris
Johnson, Maurice
Jones-Drew, Steven
Jackson, Frank
Gore, and Ray
Rice.
Start 'Em:
Running Backs Who Will Outperform Relative
To Their Draft Position And Recent Hype
Ahmad Bradshaw vs. DET
Bradshaw is 4th in the league in rushing, leads the league in
20+ yard runs with 7, has a 4.9 yards per carry average, and 3
TDs. He’s still splitting time with Brandon Jacobs and does have
3 costly fumbles, but he should still do well against the 26th
ranked Detroit Lions run defense. The Lions are giving up 133
yards and 1 TD per game, and nearly 5 yards per run. The Giants
are on a roll right now and while this could be a “trap game”
I still see Bradshaw doing well so keep him in your lineup.
Ryan Torain vs. IND
The newly appointed Redskins starting RB – and really their only
option (other than the recently activated from the practice squad
RB Keiland Williams) – faces a porous Colts run defense that is
giving up 142 yards and 1 TD per game. They’re also allowing nearly
5 yards per run. The Redskins’ running game has been absent most
of the year but with a new RB taking on a weak run defense and
getting to play at home, the stage is set for Torain to have a
big game.
Rashard Mendenhall vs. CLE
Mendenhall is 7th in the league in total rushing yards, but 3rd
in yards per game with 103. He gets plenty of touches –
22 per game, which is 3rd highest in the league, 4 TDs, and now
gets to run in an offense being led by their starting QB for the
first time all year. The Browns are giving up 120 yards per game
and the 2nd most big plays on the ground, although they have yet
to give up a rushing TD – the only team in the league that
can claim that. However, I see Mendenhall wiping that goose egg
off the Browns’ stat report this weekend.
LaDainian Tomlinson @ DEN
The Jets’ offseason steal is currently 5th in the league in rushing
with 435 yards, 3 TDs, and his 5.7 yards per carry average is
behind only Jamaal Charles and Arian Foster. Tomlinson has ruined
a lot of fantasy owner’s plans for Shonn Greene with his performance
so far, and while it stinks to be those Green owners, Tomlinson
owners are smiling and starting him every week. This week should
be no different as L.T. takes on the 25th ranked run defense.
Denver allows 127 yards and a TD each week on average and I see
no reason why L.T. can’t maintain or even increase those averages
against the Broncos.
Bench 'Em:
Running Backs Who Will Under Perform
Relative To Their Draft Position And Recent Hype
Marshawn Lynch @ CHI
The Bears are giving up just 79 yards per game and 3.5 yards per
rush in their 3rd ranked run defense and while they have given
up 5 TDs and the second most big plays in the league, it shouldn’t
be too hard to contain the Seahawks’ newly acquired Marshawn Lynch.
Justin Forsett is still the starter and Lynch is just a mild upgrade
at backup over Julius Jones (now with the Saints). Lynch will
get more action in Seattle than he did in Buffalo, but this is
not the week to test him out. Let him get his feet wet in this
new offense before considering him for your starting lineup.
Peyton Hillis @ PIT
As a well-known glutton for punishment, I am once again recommending
benching Peyton Hillis (I told you to bench him for the Ravens
matchup and that didn’t work out so well). But, my faith in the
Steelers’ defense, particularly their run defense is much higher
than with the struggling Ravens defense. Hillis is 14th in the
league in rushing; doesn’t have to contend with Jerome Harrison
anymore and has a nasty habit of fumbling. The Steelers give up
62 yards per game, have allowed just 2 TDs all year, hold RBs
to a 2.6 yards per carry average, give up just 12.5 points per
game, and have allowed exactly 0 big plays. In fact, the Steelers’
run defense hasn’t given up a run longer than 12 yards! I expect
to be vindicated this week with a horrible performance by Hillis.
Play it safe and bench Hillis this week.
Knowshon Moreno vs. NYJ
This is assuming Moreno plays this week, which is still a possibility
for the leagues 49th leading rusher. The Jets’ 4th ranked
run defense gives up 79 yards a game and 3.3 yards per carry.
They’ve allowed just 1 rushing TD and only 3 big plays all
year. They lead the league in allowing the fewest first downs
on the ground, allowing that to happen just 15% of the time. Combine
these impressive Jets defensive stats with the fact the Broncos
will be throwing the ball all day and it only makes sense to bench
Moreno… or any other Denver RB this week.
Marion Barber @ MIN
Minnesota, like Baltimore, has been very disappointing in their
run defense this year. To date, the Vikings are giving up 104
yards per game, which is about the league average. They’ve only
allowed 2 TDs though, and runners just barely average 4 yards
per carry against them; not horrible – just underachieving. Barber
has 1 TD, 144 yards rushing and a 3.4 yards per carry average.
He only gets the ball eleven times per game as splits the RB duties
with Felix Jones (also a disappointment this year). The Vikings
run defense might not be playing up to par but they have a good
chance of picking up the slack this week against the Cowboys.
Wide Receivers
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