8/8/11
Without fail, each year several wide receivers take the fantasy
football world by storm with surprisingly stellar play. Last year’s
group, which included Hakeem
Nicks, Mike
Wallace, Dwayne
Bowe, Brandon
Lloyd, both Mike Williamses, and others, all played well beyond
their draft spot—if they were drafted at all, as in the case of
either Mike Williams. Obviously, the task at hand on draft day is
trying to get as many breakout candidates as possible on your team—not
only at the WR position, but up and down your roster. But for purposes
of this piece, we’ll try to make a case for why each of the following
WRs should be looked at as a breakout candidate for 2011; and by
“breakout,” I’m referring to unforeseen and consistent production
that’s worthy of a start each week, not necessarily someone who
is going to break Randy Moss’s single-season TD reception record.
Note: ADP based
on a 12-team league.
Percy
Harvin, MIN
ADP: 6.03
Percy Harvin played Robin to Sidney Rice’s Batman for most
of the last two seasons, but with Rice now in the Great Northwest
of Seattle, Harvin takes over the No. 1 wide receiver spot in
Minnesota. With Rice out for the first 10 games last season, Harvin
responded by scoring double-digit fantasy points in eight of those
games. While he doesn’t have the size of Rice to take advantage
of jump balls deep downfield, Harvin does have the superb athleticism,
speed, and quickness to get away from defenders. Plus his after-the-catch
ability makes him a unique weapon in the West Coast offense the
Vikings are looking to employ. Expect new quarterback Donovan
McNabb to utilize the multi-faceted Harvin, and expect to be rewarded
with a nice 2011 season from this solid WR2.
Bryant could be the number one wideout
by season's end.
Dez
Bryant, DAL
ADP: 4.07
I had Dez Bryant in this section last
season, and while he wasn’t a disappointment, he should have
done more. Indeed, the injury he sustained stunted his growth
a bit as a player, but he did show the ability to become a dynamic
NFL receiver. The second year WR takes over the No. 2 spot formerly
occupied by big mouth Roy
Williams. Sure, Bryant may be classified as the Cowboys’ No.
2 wideout, but I strongly believe he will flirt with being their
No. 1 by year’s end. Miles
Austin is good, certainly, but Bryant is more talented, and
that talent will shine through in 2011. Keep this in mind, too:
the Cowboys will rely heavily on Tony Romo and the passing game,
in spite of what many consider a leaky Dallas offensive line.
On the ground, Felix Jones and Tashard Choice have each averaged
less than three total TDs per year through their careers. So if
Dallas is going to score, it will be through the air, and Bryant
will be the recipient of many of Romo’s scoring tosses. Don’t
forget that Bryant may return punts, too. Either way you look
at it, the planets are aligning for him to break out big-time
this season.
Danny
Amendola, STL
ADP: 11.03
Only Drew Brees and Peyton Manning had more pass attempts than
Sam
Bradford last year. And even with Steven Jackson serving as
the team’s workhorse, the Rams will lean heavily on the once-fragile
shoulder of their young quarterback. With so many footballs flying
through the air, somebody has to catch ‘em, right? That somebody
will be Danny Amendola. The poor man’s Wes
Welker had 32 more receptions last year than any other Ram,
but his TD total (3) and his average yards per reception (8.1)
left much to be desired. Amendola, however, is just the kind of
receiver Bradford needs as he develops as an NFL signal-caller.
He’s a reliable route-runner with good hands who’s always where
he needs to be. Considering that Bradford may have 600 attempts
in 2011, expect Amendola to flirt with 90 catches again while
doubling his scoring total. He will be a must-have in PPR leagues.
Mike
Thomas, JAX
ADP: 9.05
With one-year wonder Mike
Sims-Walker out of the picture, Jacksonville’s No. 1 wideout
spot should go to Mike Thomas. Besides tight end Marcedes
Lewis, there are no other reliable receivers on the roster.
One could look at that development and say that Thomas will match
up against his opponents’ top cornerbacks, and that he may have
difficulty with that. While that may have some validity, Thomas
will still have his share of productive games. He doesn’t have
the speed to get deep, but he should be money on underneath routes—further
increasing his stock in PPR leagues. Thomas’s impact this year
hinges on the productivity of quarterback David Garrard. If Garrard
comes out slow, calls for bringing in rookie quarterback Blaine
Gabbert could commence, thus throwing the entire Jags offense
in a tailspin. But as it currently stands, Garrard will get the
nod at quarterback and will definitely use Thomas as his possession
receiver.
Jacoby
Ford, OAK
ADP: 10.03
Since tight end Zach
Miller bolted for Seattle, what’s left in Oakland is a receiving
group that stars laughably horrible Darrius
Heyward-Bey and Viagra-toting Louis
Murphy. Jacoby Ford will start and be the deep threat the
Raiders have seemingly always desired. A hand injury will lower
his stock heading into fantasy draft season, but Ford appears
to be the most reliable target for quarterback Jason
Campbell. His small physical stature, shifty moves, unique
elusiveness, and ability as a punt returner conjure comparisons
to DeSean Jackson. Ford is far from matching the dynamic Philly
receiver, but the situation in Oakland sets him up for some nice
production. If Murphy gets suspended for his offseason transgressions,
Ford will certainly draw the majority of looks in the passing
game. The Raiders will indeed attempt to run the football, but
at some point they will revert to what Al Davis has wanted in
his offense forever: a deep threat at wide receiver with tons
of speed. Jacoby Ford fits that profile.
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