Week 4
9/29/05
Buffalo at New Orleans (Even)-
1:00 p.m.
The Bills are somewhat of an enigma. They have the talent
to go far and some folks saw them as a darkhorse for the Super Bowl.
But the shoddy QB play is what has every up in arms. Losman completed
a measly 75 yards passing against the Falcons. I also hear some
grumblings that Evans and Moulds are not happy with the conservative
offense. What is up with the D? They gave up a lot of rushing yards
to the firm of Vick, Dunn, and Duckett. They need to get that taken
care of this week and spread the ball out a little.
New Orleans is not handling things quite as well as they should.
Is it fair? No? But Haslett has to eventually take control. You
have to mention the fact that you think it is unfair. However
if you mention it every week then you are giving your team an
excuse to lose. They have all the talent to win anywhere at anytime
but they have become a team of whiners. I think they have a chance
in this one in San Antonio. That place should be rocking.
Final Score: Saints 28, Bills
24
Denver at Jacksonville (-3.5)
1:00 p.m.
Denver played a great defensive game against a great offense.
Held the Chiefs to only 74 yards rushing. What was that? Jake you
say? He wasn’t spectacular but he made no mistakes. He is
good when he throws to the team with the same color jersey on. Mike
Anderson re-assumed the role of starting RB. He should have tough
sledding this week and is not recommended. Jacksonville is a tough
team to score against at home.
It went to O.T. but should not have. They knocked out two QBs
for the Jets and left them begging a 41-year-old man to come back.
Fred Taylor had the ball 37 times. I suppose he is ok. They will
give the ball to him plenty this week and both teams will try
to control the clock. Reggie Williams is coming along very well
and may see some daylight. I think they win at home.
Final Score: Jags 20, Broncos
14
Detroit at Tampa Bay (-6.5)
1:00 p.m.
Have to love what Gruden has done down there. Tampa’s defense
is just simply dominant. Forced Favre into three interceptions
and really confused him for most of the game. Griese is hitting
his receivers and Galloway is finally making a difference for
someone. But this team relies on a Cadillac to get going. Right
now he leads the league in rushing yards and is solidifying himself
as the real deal. I think the votes for Offensive Rookie of the
Year have already been counted.
The Lions were off last week and boy did they need it. The worst
division leader in the league right now. They have to find some
sort of passing game to open up the running game. If Garcia were
available then someone would be on the bench right now. Kevin
Jones will suffer until they open up that offense. The D is good
enough to win but they will have a tough time scoring this week
and could get trampled.
Final Score: Bucs 24, Lions
13
Houston (+9.5) at Cincinnati
1:00 p.m.
Houston was on a bye as well and needed it as well. They lost
their offensive coordinator, which I don’t know how much
that will help. That offense is anemic and when you have a receiver
like Andre Johnson and a QB like car that should not happen. The
defense is falling apart at the seams but that is because the
offense leaves them on the field for 3 quarters. They are going
to have to go against a Bengals D that is rejuvenated (actually
they never were juvenated in the first place). But they will give
it a go. They have to. Maybe they will be motivated. Play Andre
and Dominic.
The Bengals are the real deal folks. But 9.5 is a big spread.
They are licking their chops to get at this defense. But usually
things are not as easy as they seem. Always understand this is
a young team and sometimes they have the tendency to let up. They
won’t lose but they will not win by double digits. Play
everyone on offense you can get your hands on. This may turn into
a barnburner.
Final Score: Bengals 32, Texans
27
Indianapolis (-7) at
Tennessee 1:00 p.m.
Sure, Peyton Manning is getting off the blocks a little bit slow
this year, but the Colts are 3-0 and poised to keep the gravy
train rolling right through Tennessee. Manning owners need not
worry, however, because Peyton’s coming out this week just
like Diana Ross, and he wants the world to know. Got to let it
show, ya know? The Colts will get it from Manning, Edge James,
and Harrison, and Stokley owners have the slight edge over Wayne
owners this week based on past performances. Vanderjerk might
kick a few FG as well, so have at it, boys.
The Titans are in disarray, and with Henry serving four games,
Chris Brown will be the man without sharing carries. Drew Bennett
will probably put something fort, but don’t expect too much
as his outlandish performance against Indy last year was courtesy
of McNair’s courtesan — the one and only Billy Volek.
TE Ben Troupe is emerging as a solid fantasy starter, and he should
find something he likes in and around the red zone, his primary
stomping grounds.
Final Score: Colts 34, Titans
24
San Diego (+5) at New
England 1:00 p.m.
I don’t know what it is, but the Chargers just seem like
the team nobody wants to lose to. Maybe those lightning bolts
pointing at opposing players somehow charge them up, but it seems
like as good as the Chargers were against the Giants last week,
they are destined to lose to the Pats (which would be understandable)
and fall to 1-3.
The Chargers have three bona fide fantasy stars in Tomlinson,
Keenan McCardell and Antonio Gates, but their quarterback, the
capable Drew Brees, hasn’t ever really found extreme paydirt
in his own numbers. The Patriots gutsy performance last Sunday
stirred up new conversations about their dominance of this decade
and their legacy in NFL lore. Did anybody really think they were
going to lie down and die for the Steelers, who have been knocking
on their door the past few years like the young, angry kid next
door looking for a fight? Tom Brady should continue his aerial
assault with Corey Dillon grabbing the accompanying, complimentary
offensive yards on the ground. Deion Branch and David Givens are
the best options at WR, but Brady seems to like bits and pieces
of both of his TEs — Dan Graham and Ben Watson — so
picking one or the other will always be tough.
Final Score: Patriots 27, Chargers
24
Seattle (+2) at Washington
1:00 p.m.
Are the Redskins seriously undefeated? Sure, but they’ve
only played two games, so all you “Joe Gibbs is a post-modern,
nouveau NASCAR-induced genius/prophet” blowhards can take
one step back and count to ten.
The Seahawks can already feel their grasp of the NFC West title
tightening in their talons. How’s that for some alliteration?
Hasselbeck, Alexander and Darrell Jackson should deliver solid,
consistent performances — something akin to any Neil Diamond
concert — while the remaining WRs and both TEs will struggle
to score. The Skins won’t get too much from Brunell, but
whatever he does muster will go to Santana Moss — and Clinton
Portis is a must fantasy start every week based on potential alone.
I also think that David Patten is due to make his presence felt
this week, but I might just be saying that because I’m 0-3
in the Friends
of FF Today League and I happen to have Patten. He’s
a different receiver when the QB starts paying him some attention,
as did Tom Brady, but Brunell needs another receiving option to
be effective, and there ain’t much but the Little General
around.
Final Score: Seahawks 24, Redskins
20
St. Louis (+3) at N.Y.
Giants 1:00 p.m.
If the Giants performance against the Chargers is any indication
of how their defense will play this week, I predict that by Monday,
Mike Martz will once again be once again be considered an offensive
genius. But Martz does need everyone healthy to get the real thing
going, and that he doesn’t have this week. The Rams might
still be able to put some points up this weekend, courtesy of
the usual suspects: Bulger, Holt, and Bruce — if the Reverend
ends up playing through the turf toe injury. If not, look for
Kevin Curtis to step up in his place. Steven Jackson is also questionable,
so watch his status and insert Marshall Faulk if he can’t
go.
The Giants are going through their typical early season drama,
which always involves glorious highs and ignoble lows. Eli Manning
should continue to be a good fantasy option, with Plaxico Burress,
Tiki Barber, Jeremy Shockey and the tank-like Brandon Jacobs contributing.
I think they might have the Rams number,
especially playing at home.
Final Score: Giants 30, Rams
24
Minnesota (+6) at Atlanta
4:15 p.m.
For the first two weeks of the season, the Vikings were trapped
in a losing closet like R. Kelly. And for Minnesota fans, they
were about as watchable as his video, too. The Vikings resurgence
will undoubtedly continue to be led by Daunte Culpepper, and with
Atlanta on the till for week four, it’s going to be a test
for everybody. Culpepper, new starting RB Mewelde Moore, TE Jermaine
Wiggins, Travis Taylor and Marcus Robinson (Burleson is out again)
are the best fantasy options, although I will keep on saying that
starting Minnesota RBs is not a good idea until somebody gets
100 yards in consecutive weeks. This could be the week, although
the Atlanta D is tough.
The Falcons should get solid games from Vick, Warrick Dunn (who
should get most of the carries against the Vikes) and receivers
Brian Finneran, Michael Jenkins and TE Alge Crumpler. While Crumpler
is Vick’s favorite target near the goalline, RB T.J. Duckett
might get some red zone carries and tally a score or two.
Final Score: Falcons 27, Vikings
20
Philadelphia
(+2) at Kansas City 4:15 p.m.
The Eagles should be able to dispatch KC with their usual smattering
of Brian Westbrook and Terrell Owens. McNabb should put up good
numbers, but nothing spectacular, as Westbrook will be the focus
despite the Chiefs improved defense. B-West will probably break
a few with catches out of the backfield, and L.J. Smith might
grab a score.
The Chiefs will benefit from the Eagles inconsistency on defense,
and Green, Holmes and Gonzalez will have okay days. But don’t
expect huge numbers from LJ, Eddie Kennison or Samie Parker, who
probably won’t find the end zone.
Final Score: Eagles 37, Chiefs
23
N.Y.
Jets at Baltimore (-7) 4:05 p.m
Baltimore will get their first win this week. I guarantee it.
They will let loose on this offense. Brooks Bollinger? Against
a winless Ray Lewis? Bad news for this offense. The defense will
hemorrhage after being on the field the entire game. I think the
best bet is stay way away from this group of offensive players.
Give it up until Testaverde comes back. Not!!
The Ravens need this game. If they don’t win here then Ray
Lewis breaks out the shank again and goes for the coach. In any
event I think they get on track offensively for one week and Lewis
break out of his 50 yards in two game slump. Certainly play Mason
he looks like a true weapon right now.
Final Score: Ravens 27, Jets
13
Dallas at Oakland (-3.5)
4:15 p.m.
I go with the Raiders here because they have to have this game.
If they don’t you can pretty much wrap up Turner’s
career in silver and black. They have to quit making some many
stupid mistakes. This offense has looked pretty good other than
Lamont Jordan. I doubt they will be able to run the ball this
week but they could certainly pass against this defense. Roy Williams
is a liability on the deep ball. Great hitter but he can’t
catch Moss
The Cowboys won by a slim margin against the 9ers. I think that
Bledsoe has looked really good and sharp. The defense has given
up some big plays and that is disturbing going into the Black
Hole. I think the Raiders will want it more I would however play
Bledsoe, Glenn, Jones, Johnson, Whitten as I think the score on
this one could get out of hand by halftime.
Final Score: Raiders 37, Cowboys
30
San
Francisco (+2.5) at Arizona (Mexico City) 8:30 p.m.
Arizona is due for a bad case of both Montezuma’s
and Rattay’s revenge when they face San Fran in Mexico City
this Sunday night. The 49ers are coming off a tough loss to the
Cowboys, and sense weakness as they play the Cardinals, a team
that is 0-3 despite pre-season praise from the so-called NFL experts.
While Rattay and Brandon Lloyd aren’t Montana and Rice,
they should be able to produce against a Cards defense that is,
let’s say, “challenged.”
The Cards may have lost Kurt Warner to a groin injury, but if
you’re looking to play Josh McCown in his place, you’re
as desperate as me. Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald are must-plays
this week, but the Cards ground game hasn’t shown us too
much, so stay away from Shipp and Arrington.
Final Score: 49ers 27, Cards
14
Green Bay at Carolina
(-7.5) 9:00 p.m.
Green Bay looks out of sorts and Favre looks like this might be
the last round up. They just don’t have the offensive horses
they once had and the defense is no longer dominant. Favre still
has the heart but this one will be tough. This defense is going
to put some pressure on the offense and with no running game that
is going to spell disaster.
The Panthers have an illusion of a running game. But 36 yards
just ain’t to cut it. This team is just plain not meeting
expectations. So much for the whole Sport Ill jinx. At 1-2 and
just getting pushed around by Miami they better be ready for this
one or a weak Packers team is going to beat to pass by them. Steve
Smith will be a perfect remedy against a weak secondary and will
be open all day.
Final Score: Panthers 27, Packers
17
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