| Week 12
 11/24/05
 
 Last Week's Projections
 (10-6) Straight Up - 62.5%
 (10-6) Against The Spread - 62.5%
 
 
 Atlanta (-3) at Detroit 12:30 
              p.m
 Are my eyes deceiving me or is that Mike Vick posing as 
              a pocket passer? Give the guy some credit he is staying in there 
              longer and trying to get better. Fantasy owners should be happy 
              as it will keep him on the field longer. He had a tough game against 
              the Bucs and beat Vick again. In this one I would say that the Lions 
              D is going to have a tough time containing the Falcons running game. 
              But don't be fooled this defense is not top notch.
 The Lions were game against the Pokes but as expected they just 
                couldn't stay with them offensively. They have to find a running 
                game this week to have any chance. Atlanta's run D is not great 
                so they should at least have the opportunity. But understand that 
                the Falcons don't fear the passing game of the Lions so they won't 
                play honest. Balance is the key
 Final Score: Falcons 28, Lions 
                20Denver (–1.5) at Dallas 
              4:15 p.m The Broncos, at 8-2, have won three straight and eight of 
              their last nine. But they really need to keep piling up wins if 
              they have any hope of getting home-field advantage in the playoffs, 
              given the situation with the currently undefeated Indianapolis Colts. 
              With Tatum Bell nursing a chest injury, Mike Anderson will get he 
              bulk of the carries. Go with Plummer, Rod Smith, and Anderson. The 
              Cowboys have also won three straight and are eyeing a playoff spot. 
              The key to their performance this week is Bledsoe’s protection. 
              If the Cowboys offensive line holds up, they should come away with 
              a win. I like Bledsoe, Jones, Keyshawn and Witten.
 
 
 Final Score: Cowboys 23, Broncos 
                20
 Baltimore at Cincinnati 
                (-9) 1:00 p.m.
 A shootout last week was expected and the Bengals delivered their 
                part. Made a mistake by asking Manning to beat them. He did, soundly. 
                He racked up 360 yards and 3 TDs. That is not championship caliber 
                defense folks. However they won't have to be as much this week 
                as the Ravens offense is horrible. They will sack Boller at least 
                5 times and have everyone talking about great the defense is again. 
                Overrated I say. Make no mistake though, that offense is serious 
                and will score some points this week.
 
 Kyle at the healm and Jamal Lewis is done. However they managed 
                to put up a win against the Big Ben-less Steelers. They pretty 
                much stopped the Steelers ground game and forced Maddox to make 
                some plays. He didn't make enough so that is why they lost. This 
                week will be a daunting task. They won't be able to control this 
                offense which is probably 2nd best in the league. Also on the 
                road they will not be able to move the ball effectively. Look 
                for a beating.
 
 Final Score: Bengals 31, Ravens 
                13  Carolina (-3.5) at Buffalo 
                1:00 p.m.Tough game at the Bears last week. They seemed to not put everything 
                together on drives however the moved the ball somewhat. They just 
                couldn't close the deal and get into the endzone. That Steve Smith 
                is ridiculous. You know he is going to get the ball because the 
                Panthers have no one else to throw it to. But he still finds a 
                way to get open. This Buffalo defense just got carved up last 
                week so look for the Panthers passing offense to have a big game.
 
 As mentioned above the Bills got carved up like that turkey you 
                will be cooking on Thanksgiving. Drew Brees made them look stupid 
                for loading the box against LT. He threw pretty much where he 
                wanted to and LT was drinking Gatorade and getting a tan by the 
                4th quarter. I don't think the offense is the problem as people 
                have said. I really think it is the defense. They have been really 
                disappointing.
 
 
 Final Score: Panthers 24, Bills 
                17  Chicago (+3) at Tampa 
                Bay 1:00 p.mI think this shows a lack of respect for the Bears. I know it 
                is on the road to a good team but this defense is the best I have 
                seen since the Ravens in 2000. They are simply monsters and will 
                eat up Simms like a kid to an ice cream cone. They must be licking 
                their chops to get a piece of this guy. Don't look for a whole 
                lot of offense in this one. But defenses will keep that score 
                down to a minimum.
 
 The Bucs took care of business in the division again. They have 
                a habit of beating Mike Vick. Chris Simms wasn't spectacular but 
                he didn't have to be. The Bucs do what they do best. Run the ball 
                the entire game and keep the other teams offense off the field. 
                When they do get on the field they get to stare down a great defense. 
                But this one I think they will meet their match. Look for this 
                one to be low scoring with the Bucs being on the bottom.
 
 Final Score: Bears 17, Bucs 
                10  Cleveland at Minnesota 
                (-3.5) 1:00 p.mHard to imagine but the Vikes are looking to make it four in a 
                row with a backup QB who has yet to throw for more than 200 yds 
                in any game. Minnesota is 3-1 with Brad Johnson at the helm and 
                will count on him to "manage" the Vikes to another victory. 
                Mewelde Moore provided the spark last week against Green Bay and 
                should fair well against a Cleveland defense ranked in the middle 
                of the pack against the run. At WR, Travis Taylor, the Robinson's 
                (Marcus & Koren), Troy Williamson, and Nate Burleson should 
                all be avoided... too many options to count on.
 
 Cleveland continues to feed Reueben Droughns and he's a solid 
                start against the Vikings average run defense. Droughns rolled 
                up 166 yds last week as they shutout the Miami Dolphins 22-0 on 
                his way to becoming Cleveland's first 1,000-yard rusher since 
                1985 (wow!). WR Antonio Bryant is a #3 WR in most leagues but 
                the Browns are intent on getting Braylon Edwards more involved 
                in the offense. He has cracked the starting lineup and should 
                post some decent numbers down the stretch.
 
 This should be an ugly, low-scoring game. Give the Vikings the 
                benefit of the doubt for being at home.
 Final Score: Vikes 17 Browns 
                10  New England (+3) at Kansas 
                City 1:00 p.m.The Patriots fall from grace will only be complete with a loss 
                in KC to the crying man. Vermeil is bound to shed a few tears 
                after this one, if only for the once gallant Patriots’ descent 
                into mediocrity. Belichick is still a genius, he’s just 
                surrounded by pain and misery. And Boston fans. Look for the Pats 
                to win this week and get good numbers from Brady, Branch and Watson. 
                The Chiefs won’t get 200 yards from LJ this week, but they 
                might see a big game from Tony Gonzalez. Go with Green, Johnson, 
                Kennison and Gonzo.
 
 Final Score: Pats 27, Chiefs 
                24  San Diego (-3) at Washington 
                1:00 p.m.If the Chargers can force two turnovers, they have this game won. 
                I’d be willing to wager actual money they will win by more 
                than three this week, especially if Tomlinson gets some big runs 
                in early, which I believe he’ll do. I can almost see the 
                NFL Gamebreaks right now. Play LT, Brees, Gates (but check the 
                injury report) and McCardell. The Skins could really make a statement 
                with a win at home over the Bolts this week, but I just don’t 
                think it can happen. Brunell, Portis and Moss are good plays, 
                but they will turn the ball over on Sunday.
 
 Final Score: Chargers 30, Redskins 
                21  San Francisco (+8) at 
                Tennessee 1:00 p.m.This game couldn’t be more meaningless if it was held in 
                the negative world from Super Mario Bros. on Nintendo. The only 
                people tuning in to this one will be fantasy junkies and degenerate 
                gamblers. The Niners have won just two games this year, beating 
                the Rams in week one and the Bucs the day before Halloween. The 
                Titans are bad enough for them to play without passion, which 
                means another loss. Go with Brandon Lloyd and Kevin Barlow for 
                the Niners and Steve McNair TE Erron Kinney, and Chris Brown for 
                the Titans.
 
 Final Score: Titans 20, 49ers 
                17  St. 
                Louis (-3.5) at Houston 1:00 p.mThe Rams actually have a decent chance at losing this game, as 
                the crappiest opponents tend to come away with wins against them. 
                Here, it looks like a trap game with Houston on the schedule, 
                but I’m taking the bait and the Rams. Start Martin, Jackson, 
                Holt and Curtis, and go easy on the Texans. They have viable options 
                in Carr and Johnson, but they might not establish too much of 
                a ground game coming from behind.
 Final Score: Rams 37, Texans 
                20  Green 
                Bay (+4) at Philadelphia 4:15 p.m.Another meaningless game, with the Packers out of it and the Eagles 
                running on fumes. Sure, you can play Favre and either Fisher or 
                Gado, Driver and Franks, but be careful how many Eagles you start 
                this week. The offense will be trolling along like syrup running 
                down a telephone pole in February. Reggie Brown is bound to have 
                a big game, as he is the new focal point of this offense, and 
                Brian Westbrook can always put up numbers. Go with Greg Lewis, 
                but don’t play any QBs.
 
 Final Score: Packers 24, Eagles 
                23  N.Y. Giants (+4.5) at 
                Seattle 4:15 p.m.Everybody likes the Seahawks at home, but I’m taking the 
                Giants in my upset special of the week. I think
                the Giants have something to prove this Sunday and want to be 
                seen as the best team in the NFC East. If
                they can knock off the Seahawks, they might just get some of that 
                respect. For the G-Men, go with Manning,
                Barber, Burress and Shockey until further notice. The Seahawks 
                should get good games from Hasselbeck,
                Alexander, Engram and Jurevicius, who has a knack for finding 
                the end zone.
 
 
 Final Score: Giants 31, Seahawks 
                27  Jacksonville 
                at Arizona (+3.5) 4:05 p.m.I hear gasps around the world saying "the Cardinals to win 
                against the Jags!!!". It is not so far fetched. Especially 
                on the road to a rejuvenate Kurt Warner. Who decided to take it 
                back three years last week against the Rams? He looked great throwing 
                for over 300 yards and was protected for goodness sakes. If you 
                give this guy some time he still has some left in the tank. I 
                see them doing more of the same this week. Boldin and Fitz both 
                should go over the 100 yard mark.
 
 The Jags survived ont he road against the Titans. They only won 
                by 3 and really haven't handled pressure well. It seems they are 
                having trouble running the football on the road and not winning 
                more soundly against team they must beat. That is why I see a 
                bump this week. I see them giving up a lot of passing yards and 
                shootout will occur. I think you should look for them to take 
                a dive this week.
 Final Score: Cardinals 34, 
                Jags 30  Miami at Oakland (-7) 
                4:05 p.mHooray for Norv!!! He had to take some pride beating his old team 
                last week in D.C. The Raiders are looking for some momentum and 
                should take the win this week. What they are doing is running 
                the ball and throwing to other folks besides Randy. Jerry Porter 
                is a great option this week. They should beat the Fins with ease 
                and put up some decent numbers.
 Boy is it getting ugly in Shaq's town?? The Dolphins just got 
                spanked in Cleveland. How do you get shut out by the Browns?? 
                They literally had no offense and looked absolutely awful. When 
                is the draft? I don't think they can get to Matt Linert quick 
                enough. I still don't think that solves all the problems but it 
                would help. I hear Zach Thomas will miss this game as well. The 
                team's emotional leader. That doesn't bode well. You might see 
                another shutout. 
 Final Score: Raiders 26, Dolphins 
                10  New Orleans (-1.5) at 
                N.Y. Jets 8:30 p.mThe battle of the worst. The Jets have zero offense with a really 
                bad running game. They are down to QB number 7 and look to be 
                ready to get involved in the USC sweepstakes. However I think 
                their attention will be more on Bush than Matt. Either way that 
                does nothing for them in this game. They will give up some points 
                and might have some motivation at home. But I see the Saints will 
                the ability to score and the defense being even so I will give 
                it to them.
 
 Rooting for the Saints is tough but they are game. Last week they 
                put up some points and were in a position to make it a game at 
                the end. I like their spunk and the fact that they have no problem 
                chunking it up 50 times a game. Makes for interesting TV. Look 
                for Brooks, Stallworth, and Horn to get it going and put up some 
                points and get a "gasp" road win for the weary Saints.
 
 Final Score: Saints 28 Jets 
                14 Pittsburgh (NL) at Indianapolis 
                9:00 p.m.If anybody is going to beat the Colts, it would be the Steelers. 
                They have the defense to do it, but they don’t have the 
                firepower to keep up once Manning starts hitting his targets. 
                Sure, the Colts have a few tough games left on the schedule, but 
                winning this week will send a message that the rest of the league 
                needs to be very afraid. The Colts offense has a multitude of 
                fantasy options, the Steelers D not withstanding. I’d go 
                with Manning, James, Harrison, Wayne and Clark, but keep Stokely 
                on the bench this week. For the Steelers, you can safely play 
                Willie Parker, Big Ben and Hines Ward. Anything more would just 
                be wishful thinking.
 
 Final Score: Colts 30, Steelers 
                20
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