Week 8
10/27/05
Last Week's Projections
(7-7) Straight Up - 50.0%
(7-7) Against The Spread - 50.0%
Arizona at Dallas (-9) 1:00
p.m
The Pokes choked again in the crunch against the Seahawks
last week. Dallas dominated defensively from start to finish. However
the old Bledsoe showed up and threw maybe the biggest bone-head
pass I have ever seen. There was no way in the Land of Oz he was
going to get that pass to Glenn, unless it mysteriously passed through
the defender. They got rid of Cortez after he missed his 4th 20-yarder
of the season. It was about time. I don't know if Jones will be
ready for this one. Pick up Barber if he is available. He proved
to be a pretty good runner.
The McCown experience keeps on trucking. He didn't do as good as
I would have thought against an average Titans defense. He only
posted 140 yards and 1 TD. The offense really didn't play that well
but the defense came to play last week. They won the game and that
is what matters. It looks as though they will still go with Josh
this week over Warner but if he struggles and they are down early
you might see Green make the switch. It looks like he might give
Arrington some more looks. No catches for Boldin last week. Not
good. I think that they will struggle to score and the Pokes will
be looking to right the ship.
Final Score: Pokes 30, Cards
17
Chicago at Detroit (-3) 1:00
p.m
Thank God for Garcia. You know the folks in Mo-Town are happy
to see some balls being thrown downfield. If you have Harrington
on your roster you can ditch him. As long as Garcia stays healthy
then you will see him for the rest of the year. Its not that Garcia
went wild but he opened it up a little and made no mistakes. He
didn't get sacked either. It looks as though the value for all their
receivers as well as Jones is looking up. But think about benching
them this week. Chicago is a tough defense for anyone to score on.
The Bears won the war of offensive ineptness. The battle between
the Bears and the Ravens was not a game that was good for TV. Other
than Thomas Jones, there was not that much offense in this game.
Jones has been crazy this year and has left the Bears looking pretty
stupid for wasting a draft pick on Benson. I think that Orton is
just not going to get much going in this one and they Garcia is
much better than Wright. The Bears will hang in but will lose by
a TD at the end.
Final Score: Lions 20, Bears
13
Cleveland at Houston (-2)
1:00 p.m
I predict the Texans will win this week!! How is that for a limb??
The Texans are way over due and tried the right thing by running
the ball alot. That strategy really took the ball out of Carr's
hands. This is not good from a fantasy perspective but good from
a trying to win perspective. But they just didn't have enough
to take down the best team in the land. Their run defense is the
biggest issue and the Browns can't run with consistency. Play
Davis but that wraps is up.
The Browns might have a worse offense. Dilfer, after starting
the season red hot was held to 73 yards passing. Jesus!! He just
didn't have any answers after the game and is lucky that he will
get the starting nod this week. Their best bet is to run Droughns
until he drops and try to minimize Dilfer's mistakes. Simply,
three interceptions is not going to cut it. This is far from a
lock but I think this might be the week.
Final Score: Texans 21, Browns
17
Green Bay at Cincinnati
(-9) 1:00 p.m
Last week had to be disappointing for Favre. First he loses a
heart breaker to a team that just go off a boat then it just keeps
getting worse for the Pack as they have to go the rest of the
way without Green. With Davenport already on the shelf it looks
like it is Tony Fisher for the rest of the way. That is not a
good thing by the way. Favre still is putting up impressive numbers
and his only real weapon has to be Driver so play both in this
game. But they will come at Favre will reckless abandon.
Boy did a team get manhandled or what? Just when you thought the
Bengals were ready to take over the division and be the new kings
the old kings stepped up and stomped all over them. The Bengals
had no answer for the Steelers running game. The feeling I got
was that they are a little soft in the middle and will need to
be more physical with bigger players to take a team like the Steelers.
However we are not talking about the Steelers here. If the Bengals
are looking towards the playoffs then they need to discard the
Packers with ease. You have to put team like this away if you
are playoff team. A team on the ropes. Play all the offensive
stars in this one as they are sure to score alot.
Final Score: Bengals 33, Packers
20
Jacksonville (No Line)
at St. Louis 1:00 p.m.
Rams QB Marc Bulger has a sprained AC joint in his right, throwing
shoulder, Torry Holt missed his first game of his NFL career last
Sunday because of a strain in his posterior cruciate ligament,
Isaac Bruce has
turf toe, the Rams front office has stopped receiving phone calls
from ailing head coach Mike Martz, who has
a heart infection, and defensive end Leonard Little missed Sunday’s
game because his brother was shot to
death last Tuesday. Karmically speaking, things have not been
going well for the 1999 Super Bowl champs.
The Jaguars should be able to capitalize on the Rams misfortunes.
Byron Leftwich faces an inept Rams secondary that often yields
big stats to opposing QBs and RB Fred Taylor is back after nursing
an ankle injury — with the help of a bye.
I like Leftwich, Taylor and Jimmy Smith, with backup RB Greg Jones
even a possibility for some stats and a score if the Jags get
up big early. The Rams managerial power struggle hasn’t
helped them recover from the injuries that have plagued them as
of late, and the offensive performances will continue to suffer
until the team gets some direction. Interim coach Joe Vitt is
a defensive guy and has little more than a cool name working for
him, so don’t expect more than 7-13 points from the Rams
offense this week. RB Stephen Jackson will shoulder much of the
load this week, Holt probably wont platy (although he should be
in your lineup if he does) and WR Kevin Curtis is the only receiver
that makes any real sense in the current vacuum. Waiver wires
may also offer WR Dane Looker as a possibility in a pinch, but
his inconsistency is a huge liability.
Final Score: Jags 30, Rams
13
Minnesota (+8) at Carolina
1:00 p.m.
I’ll be perfectly honest — it’s not often that
I weigh the statistical importance of road performance in making
my fantasy selections from week to week. But it has come to my
attention from a couple of astute readers out there that the Vikings,
and especially their mercurial quarterback, suck pretty bad outside
of Minnesota. The Vikings problems away from home should continue
this week. Culpepper has tossed nine picks and has thrown for
just one touchdown on the road this season, and the Panthers defense
will be successful in forcing both turnovers and general malaise
for the Minnesota O. Whatever numbers you get from these guys
will be minimal and garbage time-induced. The Panthers have several
solid options this week — given the Vikings poor defense
— including QB Jake Delhomme, WR Steve Smith, RB Stephen
Davis and TE Kris Mangum, and should put up lots of points at
home.
Final Score: Panthers 31, Vikings
17
Oakland (Pick) at Tennessee
1:00 p.m.
While this game is still off the boards, I see it materializing
as a pick, since the Raiders are 2-4 coming off a big win over
Buffalo and the 2-5 Titans are at home coming off a 20-10 loss
to Arizona. Doesn’t it sound like a wash to you? The Raiders
should put up BUKU points against the Titans, who they had a scoring
fest with last year that featured big numbers from Kerry Collins.
Lamont Jordan is on fire, and a healthy Randy Moss will also light
up the scoreboard, but watch the injury report and use WRs Jerry
Porter and Doug Gabriel with even more confidence if Moss doesn’t
go.
The Titans should see the return of Steve McNair this week, but
even if Billy Volek plays in McNair’s absence, he should
still put up good numbers — as he did last year versus Oakland.
Travis Henry is back, and with Chris Brown suffering a stinger
last week, he might be the go-to guy. Watch the injury report
closely as it develops this week, but in any event, play the other
receivers, including wideout Tyrone Calico and both TEs (Kinney
and Troupe) if you’ve got ‘em.
Final Score: Raiders 34, Titans
27
Washington (+2.5) at
N.Y. Giants 1:00 p.m.
A decade ago, this would have been a completely different type
of game, but given the offensive attributes of these NFC East
rivals right now, we should be in for a (do I dare say it?) veritable
scoring bonanza. The Redskins scored 52 points last week, their
highest total since a 56-17 win over Atlanta in 1991. Other than
the apocalyptic situation that has the Bears and Detroit leading
the NFC North, the Redskins season has been the biggest surprise
of 2005. But the fairy tale should soon be over. Brunell, Portis,
Moss and Cooley are all hot enough to start this week, but I have
a feeling they all won’t be must-plays after Week 8. Either
somebody’s going down, or somebody’s going to get
exposed. The Giants offense is a well-oiled machine that lacks
only big-game experience and a little credibility. Plaxico Burress
is turning into the #1 receiver that everyone thought he would
be out of college, and Eli Manning has been solid engineering
the team’s drives. Barber should have an okay week, as should
Shockey and Toomer, but Manning and Burress will be the guys putting
up the big numbers.
Final Score: Giants 27, Redskins
24
Philadelphia (+3.5) at
Denver 4:15 p.m.
Pundits are saying the Eagles won’t go anywhere in the playoffs
unless they can run, and while that might be true, they might
not even make the playoffs. I’m rooting against them. The
Eagles should be able, however, to dispatch the Broncos this week
by exposing the Denver secondary with Owens, Greg Lewis, L.J.
Smith and Westbrook catching passes out of the backfield. Start
McNabb and those guys with confidence. The Broncos offense has
been weak an ineffectual, with running statistics getting split
by ex-Marine Mike Anderson and Tatum Bell. Did I mention that
I hated Mike Shanahan with a passion usually reserved for ignorance
and uncommon human suffering? Plummer will most likely throw some
picks, and Rod Smith will most likely take some Centrum Silver.
I hate to say it, but the best Broncos starter is still Jason
Elam.
Final Score: Eagles 23, Broncos
17
Tampa
Bay (-11) at San Francisco 4:15 p.m.
With Griese out, the Bucs offense falls into the capable hands
of Steve DeBerg — I mean, Phil Simms — I mean, Chris
Simms. Whew, now that’s out of the way, let us proceed with
the debacle. The Bucs will get good numbers from Simms, Galloway
and Cadillac (if he starts), with the Michaels (Clayton and Pittman)
even chipping in a little. Of course, Pittman will be a must-play
if Carnell Wiliams is unavailable and he gets the starting nod,
and with the 49ers on the docket, I wouldn’t be surprised
if Chucky left the Caddy in the driveway for another week. I’m
not even going to address the 49ers, expect to say they got trounced
by 35 at home versus Washington last week. Nuff said.
Final Score: Bucs 31, 49ers
13
Kansas
City at San Diego (-6) 4:05 p.m
Best 3-4 team in history. It seems as though Marty got "Parcells"
disease last week. Again a team is just too conservative down
the stretch and calls plays they do not help its cause. The result
was a long field goal that got blocked and returned for a TD.
Eagles with the score and the game is over. LT had a horrible
day as the line did absolutely nothing to stop Trotter and the
gang. That was just a pitiful display. Ah, but hopes springs eternal
as the Chiefs and their soft D come to town. You can bet they
give LT the ball a few times. Not bad numbers for Bees (299 yards,
2TDs) and look for him to have a good game this week.
A game that was moved up a couple of days you would think would
favor the home team. Guess again. The firm of Johnson and Holmes
took care of any delusions that the Dolphins could hang. Both
ran for close to 100 yards and 3 TDs between the two of them.
Green looked much better with 289 yards. By gosh we even had a
Tony G sighting. This will be a pretty high scoring contest but
I think the Chargers D is better and they need it more.
Final Score: Chargers 28, Chiefs
20
Miami at New Orleans
(-2) 4:05 p.m
Bring on Rosenfels!! The S.S. Frerotte has just hit an iceberg.
He did nothing last week with only 125 yards passing and 1 interception.
I think it might be time to throw in the towel and give the kid
a shot. First pass?? Went for 77 yards and a TD to Chambers. Brown
is starting to pull a Cadillac impression and has looked great
as of late. He will continue to keep Ricky's touches to a minimum.
I wouldn't touch anyone other than Brown on this team.
Another prediction is that the Saints will win this one. They
will be back in Louisiana for the first time this weekend. The
really had the Rams on the ropes but just stopped paying and allowed
them get back in it with mistakes. They will be pumped up for
this one. Hakim and Stallworth would be good plays along with
Brooks.
Final Score: Saints 24, Dolphins
17
Buffalo
(+9) at New England 8:30 p.m.
Are the Patriots on their last legs as perennial Super Bowl contenders?
Has the magic salve that Bill Belichick applied liberally to the
oft-injured defense over the past few years finally reached its
expiration date? Is Tom Brady really just a common, third-string
QB that sold his soul to the devil for three Super Bowl rings?
Find the answers to these questions, and more, this Sunday after
Mike Wallace, Morley Safer, Andy Rooney and all the other old
bastards at 60 Minutes wrap up their bullshit this Sunday on CBS
and you switch to ESPN to watch the Bills and Patriots. The Bills
are a team capable of scoring some points and forcing some turnovers,
if they can get to opposing quarterbacks. They’ll be hard-pressed
to do both of those this week against the Pats, but they will
get good performances from Kelly Holcomb, Willis McGahee and Lee
Evans, who is emerging as a Holcomb’s go-to guy over the
older, more decrepit Eric Moulds.
The Pats will probably go back to what’s been successful,
spread the field and get serviceable games from Brady, Dillon,
and Branch. A TE touchdown is probably overdue for the Pats, and
it’s a common thing in the games between the Bills and Patriots.
If you’re guessing between Ben Watson and Dan Graham, just
go with Graham and pray you’re correct.
Final Score: Pats 24, Bills
20
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
(-9 1/2) 9:00 p.m
Pretty easy one here. Pittsburgh is the toughest team in football
and will run the ball all over the Ravens. The Ravens will be
without Lewis and Reed so you can forget it. I will sum this one
up in one paragraph as the Steelers D against A Wright is downright
against the rules. Look for this to be over by halftime and we
can all get to sleep a little earlier.
Final Score: Steelers 35, Ravens
13
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