“Not Just For The Courtroom
Anymore!”8/6/08
When you mention the word “handcuff” in relation to
football, a non-fantasy enthusiast will probably think you’re
referring to Pacman Jones or Chris Henry. To the hardcore fantasy
football manager however, a “handcuff“ is a player
who is vital to a serious run at the championship and an insurance
policy for early round player investments. With the amount of
players getting injured each year and the “win now”
mentality of the NFL the line between handcuff backup and starter
(and potentially stud) is thinner than ever. In leagues that have
medium to large benches, smart managers will take note of these
backup players and make arrangements now to save some serious
headaches later. In the following article I will take a look at
some of the leagues top handcuffs at the three major positions
as well as some sleeper backups that savvy owners will want to
take note of and possibly grab before it’s too late.
As fantasy football’s premier position for stud players
it is only natural that it is also the hot spot for the leagues
most valuable handcuffs. Out of the top 30 backs drafted at the
beginning of the 07’ season over half of them (19) ended
up missing at least one game because of injury. The list of backs
that missed significant time (3+ games) included some big names:
We’re talking about four, first round picks missing between
25%-60% of the fantasy season. When you look at the fantasy points
per game these owners missed, it’s a significant loss for
a team. Although the games missed by these and other backs obviously
hurt their owners it also opened the door for a large number of
handcuff and backup players:
Depending on your knowledge of the back ups, you either ended up
with huge hole in your lineup (Larry Johnson/Kolby Smith) or even
better production (Cadillac Williams/Earnest Graham). Ryan Grant
and Derrick Ward seemingly came out of nowhere to aid fantasy owners.
While it is impossible to exactly predict who the “out of
nowhere” guy will be this year, the following list should
give you some ideas on who to target to protect your investment
and/or stash away for possible future rewards.
Top Running Back Handcuff Backups
- Chester
Taylor (Adrian
Peterson): Last year at this time it was not a sure thing
which back would get the majority of the carries in the Vikings
backfield. With over 1,300 rushing yards Adrian Peterson put
any doubts to rest that he will be the main man this year. As
backups go though Taylor may be near or at the top. Running
behind one of the leagues best o-lines Taylor averaged over
5 yards a carry to go along with almost 10 yards per catch last
year.
Taylor is still in his prime and has only one season with over
200 caries, so he should be plenty fresh if Peterson pulls up
lame for any amount of time. Even if Peterson stays healthy Taylor
may have some limited value as a bye week replacement or emergency
flex player as he should see 7-10 carries and 2-5 catches a game.
As a Peterson owner you may want to reach for Taylor in the early
middle rounds and if he drops to the late middle rounds all owners
should pounce on him for a possible payoff down the road.
- Ladell Betts (Clinton Portis): In 2006 Betts showed what he
could do, filling in for an injured Clinton Portis by racking
up 1,154 yards and 5 total td’s in mostly 8 games of work.
Last year Portis played in all 16 games while Betts was not really
the factor that many thought he would be pre-season. While Portis
is slowly shaking the label of not being durable it is important
to note that he has amassed over 1700 carries in his 6 year career
and while only missing 12 total games he has been known to get
nicked up and miss parts of several others.
Betts is a proven commodity at the position and has the skill
to be a feature back if called upon due to a Portis injury. Betts
will probably not provide much usefulness unless Portis goes down,
but because of his past achievements and the injury risk of Portis
all owners (even non-Portis owners) may look to Ladell as a player
to add to their bench. As a Portis owner I would make a push for
Betts somewhere in the early middle rounds after you have your
starters in place. For all other owners I would certainly take
a look his way in the late middle rounds after you have your starters
and key backups in position.
- Rashard Mendenhall (Willie Parker): “Fast” Willie
Parker was not seen as an every down back in the NFL when he started
getting reps with the Steelers 4 years ago, but a funny thing
happened when they gave him the chance- he ran with it. Fast forward
to the middle and end of last year and it was clear that just
like Frodo Baggins with the one ring, the burden was taking its
toll on him. He only had 2 rushing touchdowns all year while getting
stuffed on several more attempts from close range. The past 3
years Parker has averaged over 300 carries per year and at that
pace with his frame he was perhaps on the course to a short career.
Luckily for Pittsburgh, Mendenhall fell to them in the first
round of this years draft after most experts had him ranked as
a top three back in the draft. While it is not exactly clear what
his role will be yet it is safe to say that the team will not
be shy to give their talented first round investment reps wherever
they can find them. I believe Rashard has a great chance to steal
the full time goal line duties as well as some third downs while
being the primary backup to Parker. If Parker would go down Mendenhall
might have even more value as a starter than Parker based upon
him being an every down back and the strength of Pittsburgh’s
offense as a whole.
Parker owners should certainly handcuff Mendenhall in the middle
rounds and non-Parker owners might even want to spend a middle
to late round pick on the rookie if he is there based strictly
on potential breakout possibilities. Touchdown heavy leagues may
even want to reach for him in the early middle rounds because
of his potential and Parkers lack of success in that area. In
dynasty leagues he should be a top four pick in rookie drafts.
- Ricky
Williams (Ronnie
Brown): When Williams came into the league many had visions
of him being one of the all-time greats. Those visions soon
went up in smoke as Williams dealt with suspensions, early retirement,
erratic behavior, and injuries. Owning Williams in recent years
has been more of a headache than a payoff but this just might
be the year to take a shot on him. For starters Brown is coming
off a major injury with less than 11 months of recovery time.
Secondly, Miami will probably have one of the leagues worst
pass offenses, which means a hearty workload for Brown and some
extra carries for Williams.
Even if Ronnie stands up to all the pounding Ricky should see
plenty of carries in the new power running game. The offensive
line has been overhauled, including the drafting of Jake Long
and should provide some decent holes for whoever is carrying the
rock. The word out of Dolphins camp is Ricky is looking rejuvenated
and hungry to show he still has it. If Williams fails to show
his skills this year it will probably be his last chance at a
major role in the NFL so that alone should be extra motivation
to lift his game. As a Brown owner you should be looking to handcuff
Williams in the middle rounds and all other owners should take
a look at Ricky in the last few rounds if available and wait and
see if Brown looks fully recovered from that ACL tear.
- Ahmad
Bradshaw (Brandon
Jacobs): While Derrick Ward may appear second on the NYG
depth chart it is Bradshaw who is the more dynamic back and
who should have more fantasy relevance this year. Bradshaw burst
onto the scene last year with a 17-carry, 151-yard performance
in week 16 and followed that up with over 200 yards against
4 very good defenses in the playoffs as a backup.
As with any handcuff, Bradshaw’s role this year will greatly
depend on the starter, Jacobs. Last year Jacobs ran hard to the
tune of 1,009 yards in 11 games including a 5.0 ypc average. As
the leagues biggest feature back Jacobs hands out a lot of punishment
to opposing defenses but of course takes some of that punishment
back each game. If the Giants give Jacobs a heavy workload his
big body may not stand up to hits and Bradshaw will get his chance
to shine.
It is likely the G-men will employ Bradshaw as more of a change
of pace back, which increases his value even to non-Jacobs owners.
Bradshaw does have some off the field concerns but we should know
about any possible suspension within a few weeks and my guess
is he will not miss any games. Due to Jacobs injury history, chance
of future injuries, and Bradshaw’s clutch performances last
year Ahmad should be drafted in all leagues. For Jacobs owners
Bradshaw is a good pick in the middle rounds and in the late rounds
for all other owners.
Other Top RB Handcuffs To Consider:
6. Kolby
Smith (Larry Johnson)
7. Pierre
Thomas (Deuce McAllister)
8. Antonio
Pittman (Steven Jackson)
9. Felix
Jones (Marion Barber)
10. Ray
Rice (Willis McGahee)
“Sleeper” Running Back Handcuffs
Here are 3 names that seem to be flying under the radar that could
provide owners with a huge boost for a few games during the upcoming
season.
- Lorenzo
Booker (Brian
Westbrook): The order of the depth chart behind Westbrook
is a little jumbled with Booker, the more proven Buckhalter,
and second-year man Tony Hunt all in the mix. While Booker is
not a real goal line threat I believe he would be best suited
to step right into the Westbrook role, should he be forced to
miss time due to injury. Bookers skill set and size is very
similar to Westbrook’s and offers more explosive upside over
the Eagles other options.
While Booker does not have Westbrook’s talent, he should
excel in pass catching, screen plays and dump-offs, something
that the Eagles offense revolves around with Westbrook. While
Westbrook has pretty much shaken the injury prone label he has
yet to play all 16 games in a season, will be 29 on opening day,
and has over 1,300 touches in his career with his heaviest workload
coming last year. Westbrook owners should consider Booker in the
late middle rounds and other owners with deep benches might take
a look at him with one of their last picks.
- Jason
Wright (Jamal
Lewis): The Browns offense came alive last year with a top
notch offensive line, above average receiving corps, the emergence
of Derek Anderson, and the re-birth of Jamal Lewis. Wright got
in a little action a few weeks (277 rushing yards, 233 receiving
yards), but Lewis was such a workhorse that the Browns did not
need much more out of Jason.
While Lewis looked great last year and has been pretty durable
through his career I predict this may be the year the wheels start
to lose their tread. Lewis has a high number of career carries
(2120), averaging over 300 per year and before picking his game
up in Cleveland last year he really started looking older than
his age. Wright should not be mistaken for an elite running back
but has decent hands, size, vision and burst. On top of this he
has little competition, fresh legs and a great supporting cast
around him if given the chance to start. Lewis owners should handcuff
Wright in the later middle rounds and all others might take a
late round flyer on the fifth-year back.
- Jesse
Chatman (Thomas
Jones): While Leon Washington is second on the official
depth chart I believe the Jets would prefer to keep him as a
change of pace back while keeping him fresh for kick returns.
This leaves the door open for Chatman as the best option if
Jones would miss significant time or see a lack of production.
Chatman has been around a few years, but did not get much action
until last year in Miami where he racked up over 600 total yards
as a backup, starter, and as part of a committee.
Chatman has good size and decent hands and is a reliable blocker
in pass protection. With an improved offensive line and some nice
receiving threats Chatman could be a nice flex option or fill
in if Jones would miss any time. Jones owners may want to grab
Chatman in the late rounds and others should keep an eye on him
and watch how the soon to be, 30-year-old Jones holds up as the
NYJ starter. If Jones falters or gets hurt Chatman could be a
waiver wire gem.
Other “Sleeper” Running
Back Options To Consider
1. Jacob
Hester (LaDainian Tomlinson)
2. Fred
Jackson (Marshawn Lynch)
Unlike running backs that take constant punishment and several
big hits per game, quarterbacks are, for the most part pretty
durable. There are a couple big injuries each year to Qb’s around
the league but often times a lack of production by the starter
is just as much of a reason to go to the backup. In recent memory
several prominent Qb’s have gone from backup to stud including
Tony Romo, Tom Brady, Marc Bulger, and Derek Anderson. The following
are a list of guys to watch and possibly handcuff, as their situations
may go from clipboard holder to fantasy standout faster than you
can get up and get another beer.
Top Quarterback Handcuff Options
- Kurt Warner (Matt Leinart): Leinart should start the season
as Arizona’s top signal caller but if you draft Leinart
as your starter, Warner should be on your draft board as he is
possibly the league’s top backup. Despite not starting every
game Warner finished as a top-12 QB in most fantasy leagues last
year and certainly has the tools to do it again if given the chance.
The Cardinals invested a first-round pick on Leinart but his first
two years have been erratic and injury plagued.
Warner, 37, is certainly not the long-term answer in Arizona
but for at least the coming year he may be the present. Warner
has good size, a decent arm, great touch and a ton of experience
and knowledge at the position. Unlike many backups who come in
and are told to be game managers, Warner can take control of a
game and win it. On top of this he has two of the leagues best
receivers in Boldin and Fitzgerald. Any Leinart owner should scoop
up Warner without hesitation, maybe as soon as the following round.
Other owners with room might also grab Warner and see how the
first few weeks go with Leinart under center.
- Kellen Clemens (Chad Pennington): While the Jets have not
named a starter yet many believe Pennington will be given the
first shot (and maybe his last) to lead an above average Jets
offense. While neither of these Qb’s will be top 10, the
one who lands the job should be a good backup and bye week fill
in guy. The Jets should have one of the better offensive lines
led by newly acquired Alan Faneca and anchored by some young former
1st round draft picks (Ferguson and Mangold). They also have two
solid receivers in Cotchery and Coles to go along with Dustin
Keller, a rookie tight end who should contribute right away.
Both quarterbacks bring something different to the table, Clemens
with his stronger arm and Pennington with his pinpoint accuracy,
and so both may be given the chance at some point during the season.
The Jets may have a hard time choosing a starter so if you are
going to draft one of these guys make sure to play it safe and
draft both. Pennington should probably be drafted first but make
sure you get Clemens with one of your next subsequent picks.
- Matt Moore (Jake Delhomme): After putting up good numbers
the first three games last year Jake Delhomme went down with an
elbow injury that required Tommy John surgery. This kind of surgery
for a starting quarterback is mostly untested and so all eyes
will be on Jake this pre-season to see if he can hold up while
making all the necessary throws. As a rookie last year Moore started
three games and played fairly well, completing 62 percent of his
passes while throwing for three touchdowns and two interceptions.
That game experience will be valuable if Delhomme is not able
to make it through an entire season.
If he does get the call Moore will be throwing to a revamped
receiving corps led by all world wideout Steve Smith and supported
by newly acquired DJ Hackett and veteran Mushin Muhammad.
Add that to what should be a strong run game and Moore may
have the ingredients for success, at least as a nice fantasy
backup or fill in player. If you take Delhomme, especially
as your starter you’ll want to grab Moore as one of your last
picks as insurance against Jake’s elbow falling off.
- Kevin Kolb (Donovan McNabb): The past four years McNabb has
missed a season’s worth of games and the “injury prone”
label has begun to stuck to him so much that the Eagles went out
last year and drafted Kolb as their first pick in the draft (2nd
round). While McNabb has been effective when healthy his playing
style may contribute to more hits, and in turn, greater chance
for injury. Kolb has a solid combination of arm strength, mobility,
and size and has had a year to pick up and practice in the system.
Chances are the Eagles will want to see if Kolb is their future
and so will give him every opportunity to win the backup role
and come in for McNabb if, or more likely when, he misses some
time. Mcnabb is still being drafted as a top 12 Qb and so handcuffing
Kolb should be a priority in the later rounds for all Mcnabb owners.
- Brady
Quinn (Derek
Anderson) When the Browns traded back into the first round
to get Brady Quinn the Cleveland fans thought he would be seeing
plenty of action his first season. Obviously nobody notified
Derek Anderson of this, as he led the Browns to a 10-6 record
and fantasy teams to glory as a top-10 quarterback. Despite
putting up good fantasy numbers last year there are some things
going against Anderson, and therefore in favor of Quinn.
For starters Anderson started to fade the last five games of
the season, even against sub-par defenses, throwing for more interceptions
than touchdowns. Secondly, while putting up good yardage and touchdown
totals, his completion percentage (56.5) was one of the lowest
for the top 20 fantasy Qb’s. Finally, Anderson’s leash
may be pretty short considering the expectations to make the playoffs
now and also to see what they have in their former first round
pick Quinn.
If Quinn does see action he will be behind one of the leagues
best o-lines and have some pretty nice targets to throw to
in Braylon Edwards, Donte Stallworth and Kellen Winslow Jr.
Quinn has above average size and arm strength and the “smarts”
and intangibles to be a NFL starter. Since Anderson will most
likely be drafted as a top-10 Qb, it is important to handcuff
Quinn in the later rounds so you are not stuck later in the
year without a decent starter.
“Sleeper” Quarterback Handcuff Options
- Shaun
Hill (Alex
Smith): After watching the 49ers offense last year most
fantasy owners would want nothing to do with any San Fran Qb
but two words changed all that this off-season: Mike Martz.
For the most part wherever Martz goes Qb’s on the fringe of
fantasy relevance become starters and in some cases studs. As
a former #1 pick, Smith has failed so far to live up to his
draft position and Hill has been nothing more than a decent
NFL Europe player and NFL backup.
While we shouldn’t expect miracles here, Martz calling the plays
could at least mean that one of these two guys will make an
above average backup or emergency starter as early as day one.
Martz has been known to make a lot out of a little (see Shaun
McDonald) and the 49ers are stacked with untapped potential
(Bryant Johnson, Vernon Davis, Frank Gore) to go along with
a veteran, Isaac Bruce, who is already familiar with the Martz
playbook. Be sure that if you take the plunge in drafting a
San Fran Qb you wear your life preserver by grabbing the other
one a round or two later.
- Brian
Brohm (Aaron
Rodgers) If this whole Brett Favre thing blows over and
things stay the way they are now on the depth chart Brohm may
just be one of the few rookie Qb’s in recent memory to come
into a decent situation. First of all, the pressure is on Rodgers,
not Brohm, to follow in the footsteps of a legend. Second, one
of Brohms biggest strengths coming out of college was that he
was deemed “NFL ready” with good accuracy and decision making.
Finally, the Packers receiving corps is one of the league’s
deepest and the emergence of Ryan Grant and a good young o-line
should take some pressure off the rookie Qb, if given the chance.
Rodgers is still not a proven commodity under center and has
seemed to get hurt frequently compared to the amount of playing
time he’s been given. It all adds up to this: if you are going
to draft Rodgers, make sure you get Brohm in the later rounds
or he just might become somebody else’s waiver wire gem later
in the year.
- Troy
Smith (Kyle
Boller, Joe
Flacco) If you are really digging deep and looking for a
possible one-year wonder type backup player, Smith may fit the
bill. His competition is a rookie who didn’t even play at the
division one level and, well, Kyle Boller (enough said?). As
a rookie last year, Smith got a little playing time to get some
experience and besides not having the ideal NFL Qb size, Smith
generally has everything else you’d want in an average (not
star) quarterback. Then again, Drew Brees and Jeff Garcia lack
ideal size. No Ravens quarterback is going to light up the scoreboard
this year, but if you are in a deep league or looking for a
sleeper, make sure you consider Smith depending on the outcome
of training camp. Editor’s Note: Smith is considered by many
to have a strong chance to win the starting job heading into
training camp.
When talking about handcuff options Wr’s are not usually
in the discussion, and for good reason. Receivers do not take
the pounding that other positions do and usually there is no clear,
reliable option if a star Wr goes down anyway. On top of that,
most teams already have two Wr’s that are fantasy relevant
and some even have three. The following Wr’s are probably
not handcuff players by the standard definition, but currently
as third or fourth on their teams depth charts and just below
fantasy relevance they are potential break out players to keep
on your radar during the season and grab if the guys above them
get hurt or under perform.
Top Receiver Handcuff (sort of) Options
- Steve
Smith (Plaxico
Burress, Amani
Toomer): The “other” Steve Smith saw limited action in his
rookie regular season, showed up in the playoffs with 14 grabs
for 152 yards in 4 games. With the growth of Eli Manning, a
decent run game, and other complimentary receivers, Smith could
flourish if given the chance in this offense. He is a smart
and reliable possession type threat who is quick and tough for
his size. With Toomer being 34 at the start of the season the
Giants may look to their former 2nd round pick more often to
see what he can offer them for the future. If one of the guys
in front of him go down or Toomer starts to show his age, expect
Smith to step in and contribute right away with the upside of
a high end #3 fantasy receiver. In yearly leagues take a late
round flier on Smith if you have the room, or at least watch
the how the Giants use him early on and grab him up quick if
it looks like he is getting 5+ targets a game.
- Early Doucet (Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin) Although not
considered an elite receiving prospect, Doucet certainly landed
in one of the better situations for a rookie wideout. Doucet has
above average size, speed, and hands and does a nice job of getting
open which is crucial for him to get playing time. As you know,
the Cardinals starting receivers are among the best in the league
however, neither are the perfect pictures of durability. Boldin
has missed 12 games over the last four seasons and Fitzgerald
has missed four over the past two. Even if both guys play a full
season Doucet should see plenty of action in three- and four-receiver
sets and has the skill set to put up modest numbers in those situations.
In yearly leagues you might take Doucett with one of your last
picks as a potential sleeper or at least be prepared to grab him
off waivers if he sees a lot of action as a 3rd receiver or one
of the Cardinals studs goes down due to injury.
- Limas Sweed (Hines Ward, Santonio Holmes): Staying on the
subject of rookie receivers landing in good spots Limas Sweed
may be just what the fantasy doctor ordered. With great size,
strength, and leaping ability Sweed fits the bill of a prototypical
NFL receiver. Although most rookie wideouts do not breakout their
first year, some factors are certainly in place for Sweed to succeed.
First, he will be learning from one of the better veteran guys
in Hines Ward. Second, he won’t have the pressure to be
the go to guy right away with a solid run game and at least 2
other good receivers in front of him. And third, he is the type
of receiver that Roethlisberger, an already good quarterback,
has been missing in this offense.
Unless there is an injury Sweed will probably be the teams 4th
option behind Ward, Holmes, and tight end Heath Miller. Until
recently Ward had been the picture of durability but perhaps
his age (32) and taking hits in over 160 games has started
to catch up to him. He’s missed six games the past three seasons
and had another off-season knee surgery this past year to
go along with recent hamstring issues. Ward may be an above
average injury risk this year, and so Sweed should become
the next in line to see more balls thrown his way. If you
have the bench depth take a late flier on Sweed in yearly
drafts and if not be sure to pay close attention to Ward’s
status this year as Sweed should be ready enough to at least
be a good red zone threat.
- Antonio Bryant (Joey Galloway, Ike Hilliard): Before being
out of the league last year Bryant showed flashes of his potential
with the Browns in 2005 when he caught 69 balls for over 1,000
yards. While he does have close to ideal skills as a receiver,
Bryant has made more noise off the field where he has had altercations
with coaches and the law. As with any player that has a bad reputation
you are taking a risk that he may be limited in playing time,
however if Bryant can clean up his act his situation could warrant
success. The only real threat in front of Bryant, from a talent
perspective, is 36-year-old Joey Galloway who is mostly durable
but more of an all or nothing type fantasy player.
The word out of Bucs camp is Bryant looks like one the best
receivers on the team, which may not be saying a lot considering
his competition, but noteworthy because if he earns starting
type play time he should be a decent possession type player.
With an accurate Qb (Favre?), a decent run game, and an improving
o-line Bryant just might be worthy of a solid #3 fantasy wr
if given the chance. If you have the room, draft Bryant as
a sleeper and see how much playing time he gets the first
few weeks. If he makes his way into the starting lineup he
just may be worth the late round gamble.
- Robert Meachem (Marques Colston, Lance Moore): After spending
a first round pick on Meachem last year the Saints rookie wideout
disappointed many by showing up out of shape and eventually getting
hurt and missing the season. With long arms, above average size,
and good speed, Meachem fits the mold of a solid #2 NFL receiver.
Besides Colston, the talent in front of Meachem on the depth chart
is unspectacular. If motivated and healthy, Meachem could break
his way into the starting lineup by mid-season.
Watch Meachem’s progress in training camp and pre-season
as it should be a good indicator of how much playing time the
Saints will initially give him. He probably will start the season
as their number-four guy, but if he wins the third spot he could
pay immediate dividends. If you are drafting soon, he is probably
not worth taking unless you have a deep bench. But if he works
his way up the depth chart, make sure you grab him before your
opponents because with a close to elite Qb and a star wideout
to take the pressure off, Meachem might just put up good fill-in
type fantasy Wr numbers.
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