QB - Drew Bledsoe proved he
still had something in the tank last season. He revitalized the
entire Buffalo offense, tossing for 24 scores and 4,300 yards.
He raced out of the gate, tossing 14 touchdowns in the first six
games, filling his fantasy owners with a sense of pride. But he
slowed considerably after that, averaging only one touchdown per
game in the final 10 games of the year. That filled his fantasy
owners with the taste of disappointment, which is strangely reminiscent
of Chili Cheese Fritos. Which Bledsoe will we see this year? His
trade was brought forth due a perceived decline in his skills.
He looked like an average player in the second half of the season.
And I think that is what you will see this year. With an improvement
on the defensive side of the ball this off season, talk has the
Bills being more ball control oriented this year. That is not
good news for his fantasy numbers. He also isn't getting any younger
and still possesses all the mobility of a marble coffee table.
Prediction: He is on the downside, just like the joker in your
league who picks him entirely too high.
RB - Where Bledsoe will suffer
this year, Travis Henry will flourish. Henry broke out last year
and scored 14 touchdowns. His success is crucial for the Bills.
If he runs well, the team will do well. If he runs well, his trade
value skyrockets if they choose to move him down the line to make
room for Willis McGahee. Everyone benefits from a big year from
Henry, so they will enable him more than one of Winona Ryder's
"doctors".
Prediction: Henry will be a top five running back and I will
be contacted by someone's team of "lawyers."
WR/TE - There has been so much
talk about the loss of Peerless Price, you kind of forget the
big year Eric Moulds had. He finally put together that complete
season, with 100 catches, almost 1,300 yards and 10 touchdowns.
That was the kind of season they envisioned when they locked him
up to that fat contract a few years ago. I think he will be fine
this year. Big things are expected from Josh Reed and that is
where the problems might lie. I think he will be adequate, but
with the reduction from Bledsoe and the increase of Henry, I think
he will get squeezed this year. Dave Moore will replace Jay Riemersma
at tight end. So it's out with the old, in with the faceless schmo
who has yet to make a name for himself.
Predictions: Moulds stays around the same, Reed will be middle
of the pack at best and less should be expected from Moore.
K/D - Of all the kickers in
the NFL, Rian Lindell is the only who spells Rian that way. Buffalo
will move the ball, and he has the potential to be in the top
12. I'm sure he will be around in the late stages of your draft,
like hotel security was at mine last year. Takeo Spikes will help
give some character to a defense John Fox has been longing to
rebuild. Aaron Schobel had 8.5 sacks and Nate Clements finished
with 6 INT's to go along with Spikes, who should be the best of
the bunch.
Prediction: Changes have been made to improve the team unit,
but they aren't ready to dominate yet.
Miami
QB - Needless to say, since
the departure of Mr. Marino, the Dolphins have become a run first
team. Jay Fiedler's statistics bear that out. It isn't like they're
stifling a great passer in the system, but history has shown he
is an average passer who increases his name recognition by running.
Why does Jack Kemp's name come to mind here? Fiedler will throw
in the neighborhood of 200 yards a game and a touchdown a game.
He will run for a few scores as well, but to expect more than
that would be foolish.
Prediction: What you see is what you get with Fiedler. His appearance
on the highlight reels will consist of him handing off to Ricky
Williams.
RB - Ricky finally showed what
he was capable of and has made people speculate that he might
be the top pick in this years draft. He is one of the handful
of players who could justify that spot. He averaged over 110 rushing
yards a game last year and finished with over 2,200 total yards
and 18 touchdowns. I haven't smiled at numbers like that since
the opening box office figures for "Gigli," were announced.
I don't see Ricky slowing down and the Fins are going to run like
they stole something.
Prediction: Ricky wins another rushing title and does a repeat
performance of last year.
WR/TE - Most people knew Miami
was going to run last year, but Chris Chambers was still such
a sexy pick. Tall, fast and coming off a year where he whet the
appetites of owners around the league. However his 52 catch, three
touchdown performance last season had all the sex appeal of watching
a vasectomy. James McKnight will start at the other spot, but
it is hard to see him doing much. I'm not sure this is the right
system for a receiver to produce good numbers in. I say that and
will proceed to say what a good year tight end Randy McMichael
could have. He was good for almost 500 yards and had four touchdowns
last year and will probably lead the team in receiving touchdowns,
again.
Prediction: Four receiving touchdowns led the team, so make a
mental note of that.
K/D - Olindo Mare could be
one of the top kickers again this year. The team won't gamble
and their conservative ways will be good for the running and kicking
game. He will be a top 10 kicker, maybe closer to the top five
if things fall right between the uprights. Defensively, the team
will be produce solid numbers. Jason Taylor led the league in
sacks last year and could do the same this year. Sam Madison,
Patrick Surtain and Brock Marion all finished with more than three
interceptions. Junior Seau was brought in, but if you think he
is going to do anything, you are slower than his old legs.
New England
QB - If you predicted that Tom
Brady would lead the NFL in touchdowns passes last year, you would
have won a commemorative Steve Grogan padded neck collar. Coach
Bill Belichick wanted to break someone's neck last year, as the
team was only able to move the ball through the air. Offensively,
the team was as balanced as a diet of powdered donuts and RC.
However, that was good news from a fantasy perspective. But the
Pats will go back to the drawing board again this year and try
to get the run going, so Brady's stock will slip. But there is
no guarantee the team will be able to run, but don't get your
hopes up.
Prediction: Brady will tumble back to the middle of the pack.
RB - Here is where the problem
lies. Antowain Smith couldn't even reach the meaningless and overrated
1,000-yard mark last season. His rushing touchdowns fell from
12 in their Super Bowl year to six last season. The offense is
screaming at the top of its lungs for someone to step up. No wait,
that was coach Belichick. Kevin Faulk is a third down back who
they want to try and lighten Smith's load. They ought to try and
lighten some of that lead from Smith's rear end.
Prediction: Another exercise in futility, but at least Smith
will get some exercise.
WR/TE - Where did the stats
go? Brady threw for 28 touchdowns, but where did they go? Troy
Brown finished with 97 catches last year. The bad thing was only
three of those catches were for touchdowns. He also saw his receiving
yards drop by 300. David Patten and Deion Branch will start alongside
Brown but they scores only five and two touchdowns, respectively,
last year. If the passing numbers decrease this year, they will
be seen on the side of milk cartons instead of the Monday sports
page. Christian Fauria was the major culprit as the tight end
scored seven times from close range. He looks as if he will be
the only who continue to find the end zone.
Prediction: Fewer visits to the end zone, but a special visit
from Jake and the Fat Man hopefully unravels the mystery.
K/D - Adam Vinatieri is solid
and dependable. He wont lead the league in scoring, but he is
a top 10 type of scorer who will finish closer to the ten than
five. He is accurate and if the Pats can't put the ball in the
end zone, he will benefit. The signing of Rosie Colvin makes him
the marquee name on the defense. He finished with 10 sacks last
year and will put up better numbers in Belichick's 3-4 scheme.
Expectations are high for Richard Seymour who will move outside.
Cornerback Ty Law is a playmaker to look out for as well.
Prediction: Vinatieri will be a top ten kicker and the team unit
and Colvin will be top ten producers as well. Actually, the squad
will produce more top tens than England Dan and John Ford Coley.
N.Y. Jets
QB - The arrival of Chad Pennington
has the Jet faithful thinking they might be seeing the ascension
of as future star. Chad Pennington took over from Vinny Testaverde
and proceeded to take the Jets to the playoffs. He was a star
stat-wise as well. He tossed 22 scores in 12 games. I say tossed
because he is known for having a weak arm. But where that isn't
going to hurt him statistically, the loss of Laveranues Coles
might. Pennington is poised to make a name in the league and don't
think the NY media doesn't know that. The comparisons to Joe Montana
made you think if they got whipped up in any more of a frenzy,
someone would have to stick a wallet in the guy from Newsday's
mouth.
Prediction: His numbers will stay about the same over the course
of an entire season, with a slight increase.
RB - Is it just me, or has
Curtis Martin been playing since the Ford administration? All
those years of hard running might be catching up with the former
fantasy star. I'm afraid he is on the downward slide of his career,
as Lamont Jordan will continue to be implemented in the offensive
scheme. A pair of ankle injuries also slowed him. Let's not tamp
on his grave just yet, he still could have a year with 1,100 yards
and 8 scores, but his days as a workhorse are over. Jordan might
cut into his numbers, but he won't scrape enough stats together
to warrant a pick.
Prediction: The Jets might have some problems moving the ball
this year on the ground, and if you can't run in New York, you
need a big gun or a fast wheelchair.
WR/TE - With Laveranues leaving
for Washington, Wayne Chrebet, Santana Moss and Curtis Conway
are now responsible for making it happen. The problem is, if I
want to see marginal talent from a threesome, I'll watch the female
leads on "Friends."
Chrebet will score for you, but yardage is out of the question.
Moss is explosive, but is size is a hindrance. Conway looks to
fill Coles spot and if he can pick up yardage, especially after
the catch, he will be the difference maker. It is hard to see
him coming up big, but I would bet on an increase on his 800-yard
five score season last year. Anthony Becht will give you some
scoring around the goal line, scoring five touchdowns each of
the past two seasons.
Prediction: The team is going to live and die by what these players
do, so don't abandon hope, but to paraphrase Frank Drebin, "I
wouldn't wait until the last moment to fill out those organ donor
cards."
K/D - Doug Brien lost his
job in Minnesota last season to Gary Anderson. That's the equivalent
of getting slapped around by Hume Cronyn. Brien is no lock to
keep his job, so steer clear of him on draft day, like you would
steer clear of Hume Cronyn. John Abraham is the money man on the
defensive side of the ball. He racked up 10 sacks last year and
the arrival of top pick Dewayne Robertson inside will hope make
room for another big year for Abraham. The team unit is solid
in preventing points, but aren't the biggest group of playmakers.
Prediction: Average from the defensive side of the ball with
the exception of Abraham and people using Google to figure out who the hell
Hume Cronyn was.