QB - One of the biggest fantasy
questions pertains to Jake Plummer. Can he thrive in coach Mike
Shanahan's offense? So far in his career, Plummer's strength is
rolling out of the pocket and throwing more interceptions than
touchdowns. Given, he played on some plain awful Cardinal teams
explains some things, but the future is on the line for both of
these two, so they will find a way to make it happen. If not,
Shanahan might be gone next year and the team will be saddled
with another overrated QB.
Prediction: They find a way to make it work and serve as an inspiration
to the millions of common folks who deal with the everyday pressure
of scheming an offense for a professional football team.
RB - There is a handful of
running back being mentioned as a possible number one pick. Clinton
Portis' name has been thrown out there and has a much of a claim
to the spot as anyone. He put up crazy numbers last year running
for over 1,500 yards and scoring 17 touchdowns. He closed stronger
than a steel door last year. In his final nine games, he broke
the century mark six times and had five mutli-touchdown games.
So to expect similar numbers is fair, to hope for an improvement
is greedy, but not out the realm of possibility. The Bronco offensive
line's style of play is, how can I say it, dirtier than an after
hours hook-up between Prince and Jenna Jameson. That style has
enabled Portis, Terrell Davis, Mike Anderson and Olandis Gary
to succeed. Geez, the only one with a greater track record than
that is Jesse Owens.
Prediction: Crazy numbers to place him as one of the top three
scorers in the league and, mark my words, a defensive lineman
will "accidentally" break his leg during a game against
the Broncos. Watch for it.
WR/TE - Ed McCaffrey and Rod
Smith are getting up there in age. Smith led the team with a little
over 1,000 yards and five touchdowns. McCaffrey finished with
900 yards and two scores. Only Breckenridge has more people on
the downhill that this receiving group. The team is banking on
speedy Ashley Lelie to become the number one guy this year. He
finished well with his only two scores coming in the final four
games. If he can get a rapport with Plummer, he could have a big
year as defenses try to stop Portis. Shannon Sharpe is in his
final campaign and I'm sure he will go out with the subdued style
and reserved charm we have all come to expect from him. He is
a professional though and should be on par with his usual 500
yards and 4 score campaigns of recent seasons.
Prediction: I see a big improvement in Lelie, and consistency
from Sharpe. However, McCaffrey and Smith will provide window
dressing that local Mannequin Union 247 would be proud of.
K/D - Jason Elam will once
again finish in the top five in scoring. It might sound a little
anti-climatic but he has the big leg, a good offense to follow
and thin air. The last person to take such advantage of their
altitude was Bob Marley during the "Exodus" recordings.
Defensive end Trevor Pryce will get you sacks as he has averaged
more than 10 a year over the past four seasons. Linebackers Al
Wilson and Ian Gold should be a source of plenty of tackles and
a few sacks. Former star corner Deltha O'Neal should be avoided
after he was lit up more often last year than a Marlboro at Denis
Leary's house.
Prediction: Elam shines, the team unit is spotty, but Pryce,
Wilson and Gold should be solid.
Oakland
QB - "Rich Gannon is getting
up there in years and this is the season that he comes back to
earth" Yes, I made that statement, but the thing is I made that
statement in 1998.I always think this is the years that he's comes
crashing back to earth like SkyLab. But, as usual, he proved me
wrong. He was crazy good last year with 4,600 passing yards, 26
TD passes and three rushing scores. People are expecting the Raiders
to run more this year. They ran for 1700 yards a sa team last
year, it isn't like they were just ignoring the run and just executing
the run-and-shoot. I will no longer doubt Gannon. It makes me
look bad every year, like the Stars-and-Bars thong I break out
on Independence Day.
Prediction: He won't throe for 4,600 yards again, but his numbers
will be very similar to last year and he remains a top 5 QB.
RB - No respect for Charlie
Garner. 1,900 total yards and 11 touchdowns last year, but everyone
just glazes over it and no one appreciates how good it is it,
kind of like Ringo's drumming on "Abbey Road". Yes,
he will lose carries, but I don't think Tyrone Wheatley and Zach
Crockett are really going to be responsible for Garner loosing
that much stat-wise. He knows the system, he is durable and if
the Raiders do choose to run more this year, he will be the main
beneficiary. Things look good for him.
Prediction: Similar numbers in yardage, a slight increase in
touchdowns and limited respect could be a coup for you on draft
day.
WR/TE - I think a wooden stake
to the heart is the only thing that will stop Jerry Rice. He is
no longer a number one receiver, but 1,200 yards and seven scores
are pretty good stats for your number two guy. The hot name is
Jerry Porter. He had a decent year last year with 600 yards, but
nine scores have everyone thinking this is the year they ease
Tim Brown out a little more and bring Porter in. Brown had 900
yards last year, but two scores in the first three weeks and not
a single score the rest of the season. The transition is hopefully
taking place and Porter is poised to be a star, but he doesn't
have the track record yet to deserve it, kind of like Colin Ferrel.
Doug Jolley plays in a system that passes a lot features the tight
end, so he looks to improve on his 400 yard-two touchdown season
of last year. He will be a top ten TE this year.
Prediction: Rice stays the same, Brown looses yards and Porter
breaks out like he washed his face with butter. Jolley should
be solid, but not gaudy stat wise.
ST/D - What can you say about
Sebastian Janikowski that hasn't already been read in a plea agreement
by his lawyer? He will remain a top five kicker this year and
is always close to being the number one kicker every campaign.
He was good boy last year and the Raiders hope that trend continues.
The defensive unit has value only because of the stars it has
in its backfield. Rod Woodson had eight picks, Charles Woodson
is always a threat to run one back and hopes are high for Phillip
Buchanon. The rest of the unit is pretty plain.
Prediction: Big year from SeaBass, good individual performances
by their big three but the rest if the group gets a year slower
and older. I also predict this is the year that Bill Romanowski
winds himself entirely too tight and has a "Scanners"
type moment where his head just explodes.
Kansas City
QB - Trent Green had a solid,
but quiet season last year. Lost in the year of the Priest, Green
finished with 26 touchdowns and 3,600 yards. He is playing like
the player the Chiefs hopes he would be. The problem was Holmes
was so efficient last year, it actually cut in to Green's stats.
With so many questions regarding Holmes health and teams stacking
the line stop the run, Green could actually improve on his stats.
The problem lies with his receivers. Oh how his problems lie with
his receivers. If this mediocre unit and Tony Gonzalez can make
marginal improvements, Green will boost his stats. He is not mobile
and he is not a runner, just ask Rodney Harrison.
Prediction: Slight stat improvement, solidifies place in the
top ten for next season.
RB - The biggest fantasy question
this year surrounds Priest Holmes' hip. His hip injury obscured
a gargantuan statistical campaign this offseason. 2,220 total
yards and 24 touchdowns in 14 games. For cryin' out load, he had
four games where he scored three or more touchdowns. But his injury
has left people wondering if he can come back and take his spot
as the number one pick this year. Nobody knows. You can go back
and forth. He raises more questions than the Riddler with amnesia.
(Yes, I realize the gray area of this joke because if the Riddler
did have amnesia, would he remember he was the Riddler? I need
some room, you're suffocating me.) The team drafted Larry Johnson
in the first round as insurance. Injury concerns make you think
of drafting him, but he isn't worth the pick.
Prediction: Holmes stays healthy and has another big year, but
I don't take him number one because the risk of the unknown scares
me more than investing my retirement savings in this stock market.
WR/TE - If hopes are really
high for Mark Boerigter, things aren't looking good at our WR
spot. I haven't seen such glaring weakness on public display since
Tarantino wanted to act. Eddie Kennison and Johnnie Morton were
supposed to be contributors, but they combined for stats of 1,200
yards and three scores. That is just awful. Boerigter is on the
upswing because if you finish with 8 touchdowns on 20 catches
on a team without a number one receiver, you stick out a little
bit. If they can find a spot for him, which they will, his numbers
will rise. Gonzalez is still the best tight end in the league,
and is almost predictable in your expectations of him. You'll
get 700 yards, seven touchdowns and a story on Sportscenter about
his delusional belief that he can play in the NBA. He earned that
invitation to the summer league like that Lisa Marie Presley earned
her record contract.
Prediction: Boerigter steps up and becomes the number one, Kennison
and Morton will be dogs and Gonzalez will go the Pro Bowl.
ST/D - Morten Andersen benefited
from the year the offense had and scored 117 points despite missing
two games. He doesn't have the leg strength anymore and but his
trademark accuracy is still there. Keep an eye on his health,
but he could finish near the end of the top ten if healthy. The
team stunk defensively last year. They allowed more 30 point games
this side of Antwan Jamison. They didn't add anyone in the draft,
though Vonnie Holliday and Shawn Barber were good pickups through
free agency. But they lack individual playmakers.
Prediction: If Andersen is healthy, he will have a good year
again. The team unit is on the rise, but if you sit up from laying
flat on your back, you are technically on the rise as well.
San Diego
QB - Drew Brees will not have
a big season this year. If Marty Schottenheimer plays his hand
any closer to his vest, his arms going to cramp up. Brees will
be asked to go in and not make any mistakes and pick up some first
downs. He is the quarterback equivalent of a fullback. Even with
the arrival of David Boston, he number will only improve marginally.
If good fantasy players are a product of the system, Brees is
an example of a bad system producing a bad fantasy player.
Prediction: He will be good for about one touchdown a game and
people who see him without his helmet will say something about
him having some dirt on his face.
RB - LaDainian Tomlinson can
also stake his claim as one of the few players who could be the
potential number one draft pick. He has gotten better in each
of his two years and had a big campaign last year with over 2,100
combined yards and 15 scores. He will be helped by the arrival
of Boston as well, as teams will no longer be able to put eight
guys in the box. He is a tough and durable, with durability being
the big decision maker at the top of the draft this year. He will
be a top 5 back for sure, but I hate to think I'm drafting someone
just because they don't get hurt. If toughness and durability
were the most important things, cleaning women would be treated
like supermodels.
Prediction: LaDainian has a big year and will warrant the high
pick, but not the top pick.
WR/TE - David Boston is a physical
freak. Just look at his arms, if they get any bigger, they might
burst. His signing gives the offense a boost, but will they transfer
into big receiving numbers in a conservative offense? I don't
see big numbers on the horizon. He has had one great year, but
with Arizona, you can't make an accurate read. I hate to blame
everything on the Cardinals; I'm starting sound like a bitchy
secretary at the Vatican. But the offense doesn't lend itself
to big passing yards. He will do a 1,200 eight-touchdown season
and it will seen as a success. Reche Caldwell might become a solid
number two, but their aren't enough passes for him to be considered
a fantasy threat. Tim Dwight is the guy who gives it his all on
every play. He is fun to watch, but I don't want him on my fantasy
team. Kind of like David Copperfield. Stephen Alexander is an
average tight end who will produce average numbers. Not my most
original critique, but its hard to make melba toast sound sexy.
Prediction: Boston is the only player drawing fantasy consideration,
but my question is if it's true he walks around with a picture
of himself with his shirt off to show the ladies. If so, he stole
my idea. Call me when you have an original idea, Boston!
ST/D - Steve Christie is still
kicking around. He will be the kicker this year and I find it
hard to believe the offense is going to be wide open enough to
score enough points to make him draft worthy. The team unit was
pretty awful last year. They don't look to make that many strides,
but LB Donnie Edwards finished with 100 solo tackles, so keep
him in mind.
Prediction: Contrary to popular belief, I just realized they're
aren't that many funny Steve Christie/crummy defense jokes floating
around out there.