QB - Anyone still holding out
hope that Jon Gruden can transform Brad Johnson into Rich Gannon
needs to face the fact that having Johnson as your keeper pick
is just a dead end. Deal with it. There isn't enough black magic
in Haiti to make Brad Johnson a top tier QB option this year.
He wasn't bad last year. He threw for 3,000 yards and 22 scores
which were numbers that placed him squarely in the middle of the
pack. He even finished with a flurry, tossing 15 touchdowns in
the final six regular season games he played. But his cranky back
acted up and he missed the final two regular season games. What
was even more distressing was the fact that he still wears his
hair in a middle part. Who does he think he is, Vince Ferragamo?
Prediction: He has always been accurate, but mobility has always
been an issue, kind of like my grandmother playing Jai Alai. The
Gruden system helps produce good numbers but I don't think Johnson
does anything beyond good this year.
RB - This is where it gets
interesting. Michael Pittman wanted to dispel any thoughts that
he actually has his act together and spent the off-season getting
arrested for ramming his vehicle into his wife's car, which had
his child inside. A rational act from a rational man. They traded
with Cardinals to bring in first round bust Thomas Jones. The
Bucs hope Jones pulls a Simeon Rice and continues the trend of
former Cardinal players thriving in Tampa once they leave the
desert. (Wait, didn't Pittman come from the Cardinals as well?)
Mike Alstott returns to give some stability to running attack
and the economy of bar owners in the region. Buyer beware before
investing into any part of this group. Their prospects remind
me of one of those live albums by Rush. There is individual talent
and some of the players have their moments, but it will get old
fast and will seemingly drag on for a thousand lifetimes, producing
a steady string of banality before it comes to a merciful end.
Predictions: I expect too much diversity from the trio to produce
good individual numbers for any of these three. I also expect
an inordinate amount of hate mail from an angry and confused Geddy
Lee.
WR/TE - Has Anyone ever talked
so much and produced so little as Keyshawn Johnson? The glorified
possession receiver is coming off a year, where he scored five
touchdowns and didn't quite make it to 1,110 yards. If you rag
on Wayne Chrebet, you should at least put up better numbers than
him. Keyshawn lacks speed, so he isn't a deep threat and he will
get most of his catches underneath. He has scored 14 touchdowns
in the past three years. If those numbers stagnate any longer,
he will start to attract mosquitoes.
On a team full of possession receivers, Keenan McCardell might
be the best one. That doesn't reflect well on them. The 13-year
pro scored six times last year and hopes to improve on that figure,
though the odds are against him. Tight ends Ken Dilger and Ricky
Dudley should have a big upside, but they really don't. Dilger
is wrapping things up in his career and Dudley still looks as
if someone startled him. To see them contribute big numbers is
what would be startling.
Prediction: Average to below average results for anyone catching
the ball. Not unlike the Mets.
K/D - The best fantasy options
for Tampa Bay come in this category. Martin Gramatica reminds
me of Terry Bradshaw. I just want to punch him in the face, but
I don't like to wait in long lines. The thing with Gramatica is
that he actually puts up the numbers to back up his grating personality.
He gets scoring opportunities with 39 FG attempts, he has a big
leg with 5 field goals over 50 yards and finished in the top five
in points scored. He is the person everyone else hates, but you
love him when he is your side. It's that lunatic cabbie/Rickey
Henderson kind of thing. He will not disappoint this year.
The defense is where the gems are. Simeon Rice was second in the
league in sacks with 16. Brian Kelly led the NFL with 8 interceptions
and Derrick Brooks was the Defensive Player of the Year. If you
want to know how good Warren Sapp is, just ask him. The team unit
is the best in the game and those four players are at the top
of their positions. The team is hungry and motivated for a repeat.
The offense might not be there, but with the defense, it might
not matter.
Prediction: A whole lot of jawing and a whole lot of production.
New Orleans
QB - Who is second in the NFL
in touchdowns passes over the past two years? If you didn't guess
Aaron Brooks, maybe you should pay attention to your surroundings.
Brooks is young, spindly and has a big arm. But the suspension
bridge-like collapse of the Saints over the past two years has
people looking for scapegoat, and John Forcade isn't around to
take the blame.
Brooks will make the fans choose if he is the hero or the goat
this season. Talent at the WR and RB position surrounds him. The
offense is wide open and he has the chance to put up big numbers
again this year. He was second in the league with 27 touchdown
passes; he threw for 3,500 yards and ran for a pair of scores
as well. If he can stay healthy and show some leadership he will
make the fans happier than frat boy with a 1,000 pair of beads
and a camcorder.
Prediction: Brooks makes the small move up into the highest tier
of fantasy QB's, all while running around on a pair of spider
legs. I implore you, look at his legs sometime; it looks like
someone wrapped some tissue paper around a pair of broom handles.
RB - The trade of Ricky Williams
helped both teams. It rid the Saints of the enigmatic Williams
who was able to mature with the Dolphins while opening up the
spot for Deuce McAllister. He justified the Saints faith in him
last year and is poised for another Prudhomme-sized campaign this
year.
Deuce led the NFC with 1,388 yards and combined to score 16 total
touchdowns. He almost has that Earl Campbell combo of speed and
power that makes him a threat to score every time he gets the
ball. The Saints like to run the ball as well, so things look
good for Deuce. The only problem is that he tends to get nicked
up, even going back to his days at Ole Miss. If he stays healthy,
he could lead the NFL in rushing. If he doesn't stay healthy,
he won't lead the league is rushing. You heard it here first.
Prediction: Another huge year from Deuce with a nice statistical
improvement.
WR/TE - Joe Horn wants the
ball all the time. And no, it isn't because he has a big mouth
and any equally big ego and likes to back up his with his play
or anything like that. Seriously. Why are you laughing? Horn has
been consistent since his arrival in New Orleans. He has averaged
8 scores and 1,200 yards in his three year tenure. As good as
he has been, second year man Donte Stallworth might move him aside
stat-wise. He was waging his ongoing battle with his hamstrings
that saw him miss three games last year and limit his receptions
to 42. But he did manage eight touchdowns in catching half as
many passes as Horn. Stallworth has the speed to stretch the field,
which will give him big time opportunities awhile also opening
thing for Horn across the middle. Good news for everyone. The
tight end position has as many bland choices as a menu from IHOP.
Ernie Conwell, David Sloan and Boo Williams also remind me of
the band Rush. No, wait, uh never mind. The offense doesn't feature
the tight end much, so draft at your own risk.
Prediction: Stallworth stays healthy and posts a big year. Horn
stays level and the tight ends stay away from gratuitous things
like big stats for the greater good of the team.
ST/D - John Carney has revived
his career and looks to continue his success this year. The Saints
will move the ball and give Carney a chance to see more kicking
indoors since the start of the Billy Batts scene in GoodFellas.
He won't get his shine box, but he will be a top five kicker again,
you f***in' mutt, ya!
As much as coach Jim Haslett wants to be a defensive guy, he still
doesn't have the personnel. Darren Howard and Charles Grant hope
to improve on a year where they each picked up seven sacks. As
a unit, the squad is slow and will give up a lot of points. This
isn't the place to look for playmakers, but Tebucky Jones might
have an impact.
Carney will be good, but the defense has more holes than Billy
Batts at the end of his scene in GoodFellas.
Atlanta
QB - The sexy as fishnet stockings
pick this year has to be Michael Vick. That long touchdown run
against Minnesota at the end of last year opened a lot of eyes
and nothing has made more owners salivate since the creation of
deep fried bacon. Vick worked on his mechanics over the winter
and has played well so far in the preseason. Add Peerless Price
and the tongues wag even more. The danger with Vick is that he
is so talented, where do you put the ceiling on him? Can you expect
him to throw 30 scores and run for 15? I think you can, but all
owners have visions dancing in their heads. He will be better
than last year's 16 TD throws and 7 runs. The yardage is where
it gets crazy. Could he throw for 3,500 yards and run for 900?
Prediction: I think he will be great and he will cement his place
as the future #1 overall pick for the next 5-7 years. The stock
is way up, but I don't know how high.
RB - Warrick Dunn and T.J
Duckett will have to find a way to coexist. Dunn was quietly successful
with nine touchdowns and 1,300 combined yards. Duckett was the
short yardage guy with 4 touchdowns on 500 rushing yards. His
first round selection by the Falcons after they dropped big coin
on Duckett was the worst personnel choice since Sofia Coppola
in Godfather III. They will have to find a way to make it work
without their being any controversy, all the while watching as
Vick runs the ball in from every distance. It is just an odd situation.
Prediction: These two get left in the wake of Vick's emergence.
Take Dunn late because he will still be a yardage threat. Duckett
is a threat because of his size, but that only goes so far without
talent, just ask Big Daddy Wilkinson.
WR/TE - Things look good for
Peerless Price. He comes off his breakout year and hooks up with
the hottest quarterback in the league. No offense to Brian Finneran,
but he is the top target for Vick now and they have been working
on their chemistry. He does have is questions regarding his ability
to be a number one receiver in the league without the help from
Eric Moulds. His 1,200 yards and nine Td's were career highs for
him. Questions also surround the audacity of his mother to name
him Peerless. He better live up to that name, I don't think Moms
would settle for Peerless, the nighttime janitor at Home Depot.
Finneran will benefit from Price drawing attention and could improve
on last years totals of 800 yards and six scores. Alge Crumpler,
son of Carlester, will also see some improvement. His speed is
his weapon and he will use it on the rug of the Georgia Dome.
Prediction: Price will be similar to last year with Finneran
and Crumpler seeing the most improvement.
ST/D - Jay Feely finished
an impressive season by leading almost every kicking category.
Giving further proof that the best kickers usually aren't drafted
high and that not all of them love those old MGM musicals of the
50's. That is such a stereotype. Dan Reeves is as conservative
as a coach can be with Michael Vick around, so instead of trying
anything risky, they will go for a three. That is called the Antoine
Walker strategy. The defense as a team is solid and doesn't score
a lot of touchdowns, but they finished in the top five in sacks.
Patrick Kerney led the team with 10 sacks. But the individual
prize of the team if Keith Brooking. He is quietly becoming one
the best linebackers in the game. He finished with111 solo tackles
last year and is looking to justify his new contract.
Predictions: Feely will not surprise this year and will once
again be a top five talent. The team will be a top ten unit with
Brooking solidifying your individual defense.
Carolina
QB - With all due respect to
Rodney Peete, he is a less than average NFL quarterback. All he
had to was beat out Chris Weinke last season and run John Fox's
super conservative offense. That works out to about a touchdown
pass and 180 passing yards a game. Those are great numbers if
you are a NFL quarterback with one leg, but alas, Peete has both
legs, and he can't even use them to scramble for some rushing
touchdowns. Thank you for nothing, Rodney. So in comes Jake Delhomme
from the Saints bench. He will look to electrify the offense to
the tune of 190 passing yards a game. Hold on to your hats, Charlotte!!!
The offense will remain conservative and as dry as the Gobi Desert.
Prediction: Avoid Carolina QB's like they are made of radioactive
materials.
RB - Oddly enough, the offense
might actually be a good fit for Stephen Davis. After being cut
loose from the Redskins, he signed with the Panthers and looks
to be a perfect fit. He is big, he can give you 25-30 carries
a game and he wants to prove that he still has something in the
tank. He has the potential to put up huge numbers this year. DeShaun
Foster's return might make some owners skittish. He is coming
off knee surgery last season, but has shown flashes this preseason
that he could contribute and swipe some scores and yardage. Davis
is going to get the bulk of the carries, especially around the
goal line, so Foster's arrival might not be that big of a deal.
Prediction: Davis has a big year, Foster returns and doesn't
take anything from his teammate. That is more of an Albert Connell
thing.
WR/TE - If the offense in conservative,
you can imagine the gaudy stats the wide receiving corps must
be posting. These guys make Travis Taylor look like Fred Biletnikoff.
Muhsin Muhammad and Steve Smith each picked up over 800 yards
and three scores last year. The arrival of Ricky Proehl ensures
that Muhammad and Smith will look faster with him around. The
possession guy will give Delhomme another weapon that is dangerous
enough to maybe break the skin. Wesley Walls was released, so
a huge void was left at tight end with his departure. Kris Mangum
might start and might even draw fantasy attention, from members
of his own family.
Prediction: Better off taking a number three receiver on a good
team than one of these gentlemen.
ST/D - John Kasay, when healthy,
was a viable backup kicker. His injuries however have limited
his play and he might not even make the roster this year. Shayne
Graham filled in for the injured Kasay and went 19-for-26. The
offense will not warrant enough opportunities and the defense
is where the points are. Fox has molded these players in to a
solid unit and is probably the number two defensive team in the
game. Julius Peppers might battle Davis as the best fantasy player
on the team. The rookie averaged a sack per game before getting
the boot for testing positive for a controlled substance. He could
have a huge year. At the other end, Mike Rucker quietly picked
up 10 sacks. He might be a great sleeper pick late.
Prediction: More Panther defensive players will get picked than
offensive players. Look for Peppers to be a monster this year
and for the league to test him for monster drugs.