10/17/06
Targeting weekly waiver picks is a completely subjective business,
but this column hopes to point out some obvious and not-so-obvious
selections that will help your team from week to week while you
strive to collect fantasy wins, reach your league playoffs, and
win the elusive title that your friends say is out of your grasp.
While I’m just as big a proponent of making trades to bolster
your roster, the waiver wire can be an almost limitless resource
when it comes to discovering fantasy value in strange places. Each
week, I’ll target players that may be available in shallow
leagues – sometimes just breakout stars that eluded your team’s
draft – as well as players who can help your squad that will
still be available in most deeper leagues.
Off The Top
Alex Smith, SF – I’m
bringing Alex back to the wire in consecutive weeks because I
know he’s still out there in some leagues. It’s getting
more and more difficult to argue with the numbers he’s put
up, since they’ve been pretty consistent. He’s had
one bad game all year and while the 49ers have a bye next week
and face the Bears when they return, many of their remaining games
will allow Smith to air it out.
Every week another receiving threat seems to emerge for the Niners,
and it’s good that Smith is spreading the ball around. Antonio
Bryant got quiet and Arnaz Battle started getting looks. Eric
Johnson hasn’t been the reliable option I thought he would
be, but it’s possible he’ll start getting more looks
in the games leading up to Vernon Davis’s return. And let’s
not forget the TD receptions hauled in by Bryan Gilmore and FB
Moran Norris this week for SF. Quarterbacks who spread the ball
around quite a bit tend to put up reliable fantasy numbers.
Digging Deeper
Ben Roethlisberger, PIT –
Somebody in one of my leagues just dropped Big Ben, and he responded
with a solid game. The trouble with Ben is that he doesn’t
throw for tons of yards and you don’t know what you’re
going to get each week, which both make him a liability. But he
is capable of exploiting favorable matchups like he did Sunday.
Over the course of the rest of the season, there’s about
four games where he should perform well. Don’t rush to snap
him up over the likes of a Rivers, Smith or Kitna, but pay attention
to his numbers.
Scouring The Barrel
Kyle Boller, BAL – This
is not a recommendation, and it really is the bottom of the barrel
if Boller’s name is involved. First of all, McNair looks
like he’ll be ready by Week 8, and second, Boller has been
playing anti-fantasy football his entire career. But he was decent
in relief of McNair last week and has obvious rapport with Mark
Clayton, something the starter has yet to develop. Plus, Boller
never had a possession receiver like Derrick Mason. So if Steve
suffers setbacks and can’t go after the bye, keep an eye
on Boller’s production.
Updates:
Philip Rivers, SD – Don’t
let him slide by for another week on the wire. He’s still
available in my ten-team-league, and even with Carson Palmer (killing
me with mediocrity) and Byron Leftwich, I’m considering
grabbing him.
Damon Huard, KC – Nothing
doing against the Steelers, but the Chiefs won’t run into
that train every week.
Bruce Gradkowski, TB –
I’m giving you folks another update for this guy because
he’s coming off another solid week where he protected the
football well. Plus, he got the win on a last minute TD pass.
Waldman is a genius.
Off The Top
Brandon Jacobs, NYG –
Handcuffed to Tiki in most leagues, he’s a great pickup
if he’s still available (especially in TD-only leagues)
The Giants give him the goal line touches and he’s a physical
back with plenty of skill, carrying 11 times for 53 yards and
a score on Sunday versus Atlanta.
Digging Deeper
Najeh Davenport, PIT –
His role in Pittsburgh is similar to the one Jacobs has in New
York, but he’s just finally getting into it, so you won’t
see him handcuffed to Parker as often as you do the Barber-Jacobs
team. Take a chance on him in TD-only leagues and as a capable
#3 when the Steelers play weak defensive teams.
Scouring The Barrel
Michael Pittman, TB –
With Cadillac firmly planted as the Bucs #1 back, he probably
won’t produce unless the starter gets hurt. But he’s
played well this season with his limited opportunities (5.7 YPC
and 10 catches for 100 yards). The Cadillac still seems stuck
in the garage, but if the offense starts clicking coming off the
big win versus Cincinnati, his looks might increase.
Updates:
Leon Washington, NYJ –
Splitting time with Barlow, his touches will be further jeopardized
by the possible returns of Cedric Houston and Curtis Martin.
Travis Henry, BUF – Had
him as a good deep pickup and he came through nicely. As Vince
Young and this offense matures, he’ll continue to produce.
Marion Barber, III, DAL –
57 yards and TD on just 10 carries is pretty decent. He’s
keeping Julius Jones from being a top five RB but maintaining
top20 status for himself.
Noah Herron, GB – He’s
taking on the Dolphins this week, and I think the Packers are
going to air it out all game.
Off The Top
WR Arnaz Battle, SF –
See Alex Smith above. He won’t be a great play for the next
couple weeks (bye, @CHI), if you have the luxury of not having
to pick up a starter for your team this week, he’s not a
bad choice. For the whole season, his numbers aren’t spectacular,
and they’re skewed a bit by the one game where he blew up.
But he’s ranked as the 27th WR over the last three weeks
and he’ll get plenty of looks in the second half of the
season.
WR Mark Clayton, BAL –
See Kyle Boller above. Again, not a guy to grab if you need a
WR this week, since the Ravens are on a bye. But 5 catches for
101 yards and two TDs can’t be ignored.
Digging Deeper
TE Chris Baker, NYJ –
Ranked 16th among fantasy TEs this season, he’s got two
good matchups coming up – at home versus DET and in CLE
during the NFL’s final bye week.
WR Samie Parker, KC –
He ranks 35th among fantasy WRs in the last 3 weeks, an obvious
sign that Huard’s looking for him. He has some use as a
#3 WR with the last two oppressive bye weeks coming up. And his
next five matchups could mean some decent numbers.
Scouring The Barrel
WR Michael Clayton, TB –
He’s been so disappointing since his impressive 2004 campaign,
it’s hard to get excited about one decent game and one great
catch. But he’s clicking with Gradkowski and as the young
Buc gains confidence, he’ll look more and more for Clayton
when Galloway gets double coverage.
Updates:
WR Troy Brown, NE – Might
be a decent start this week if you need a #3 WR.
WR Wes Welker, MIA – No
TDs yet in 2006, but he’s caught at least four balls every
game so far.
TE George Wrighster, JAX –
A decent option at TE this week against the Texans, as he’s
a big goal line target that might find the end zone.
Off The Top
LB Eric Barton, NYJ –
Not always gonna be available, but he’s managed to stay
on the waiver wire in one of my IDP leagues. Vilma and Rhodes
get a lot of the fantasy attention, but Barton is about as consistent
as you can get from a LB. He always gets his 8-10 tackles, and
occasionally throws in a big play. That’s really all you’re
looking for from your IDP.
LB David Thornton, TEN –
Also a guy that many have scooped up. But with the emergence of
Chris hope and the ongoing studliness of Keith Bulluck, some have
forgotten about Thornton, who thrived as the WLB for the Colts
a few years back. He’s always around the action.
Digging Deeper
DB Donte Whitner, BUF –
The Bills saw something in this 2006 first-round draft pick (#8
overall), and it’s paying off. Injuries in the secondary
thrust the rookie into a starting role, where he’s compiled
40 tackles, an INT and 3 PDs in just five starts. I have a feeling
he’ll get even more involved and begin making more big plays.
Scouring The Barrel
DB Anthony Henry, DAL –
In leagues that reward passes defensed with a point or two, Henry
has been putting up some decent numbers (about 8-10 PPG). He shares
the NFL league lead in the PD category with 10 (five last week)
and has a couple games with 8 tackles (28 total on the season).
He plays his best in the secondary as a true safety valve when
the Cowboys have a lead – and he can hang back and get lucky
while Roy Williams blitzes and plays up on the run.
Updates:
LB Kirk Morrison, OAK –
Continues to see lots of action and get plenty of tackling opportunities.
Expect more of the same this week as Oakland takes on the Cards,
who ran Edgerrin James 36 times Monday night.
DB Lito Sheppard, PHI –
Five tackles, INT, and a PD last week for a solid game.
DB Oshiomogho Atogwe, STL –
On a bye his week, he’ll come back strong after the rest.
DL Trent Cole, PHI – Couldn’t
get to Brees, but everybody has an off week once in a while.
DB Richard Marshall, CAR –
Still just a guy to keep on the radar.
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