12/20/11
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Targeting weekly waiver picks is a completely subjective business,
but this column hopes to point out some obvious and not-so-obvious
selections to help your team from week to week while you strive
to collect fantasy wins, reach your league playoffs, and win the
elusive title that your friends say is out of your grasp. While
I’m a big proponent of making trades to bolster your roster,
the waiver wire can be a limitless resource when it comes to discovering
fantasy value. Each week, I’ll target both offensive and defensive
players — sometimes breakout stars that eluded your team’s
draft — as well as players who can help your squad that may
be lurking in deeper leagues.
Off the Top - Includes my premier
recommendations. These are sometimes players available only in more
shallow leagues, and occasionally guys who are more readily but
are thrust into the fantasy spotlight because of opportunity or
exceptional production.
Digging Deeper - Covers the next
tier of quality waiver wire specimens, usually players available
in a majority of online leagues. There are a lot of gems in this
range who can be plucked rather easily.
Scouring the Barrel - Chronicles
the deepest of fantasy adds — and sometimes highlights players
being tacked onto fantasy squads who I don’t have much confidence
in. Make sure you read the fine print.
Each week, I’ll also provide a brief update on the 20-30 players
I covered the previous week. It’s the most accurate, comprehensive
one-stop waiver-wire column available on the Internet, and it’s
only available here at fftoday.com.
Feedback is always welcome,
appreciated and encouraged. I’ll get to as many e-mails as
I can.
Note: Players’
remaining games listed in parentheses, e.g. (MIN, @PHI)
Quarterbacks
Off The Top
Mark Sanchez, NYJ (NYG, @MIA) – Sanchez (67 percent owned)
has accounted for 11 touchdowns (nine passing, two rushing) in
his last four games, and makes for a respectable, low-end, QB1
play in Week 16 against the Giants – who can’t stop
anybody’s passing game right now.
Digging Deeper
Matt
Moore, MIA (@NE, NYJ) – He hasn’t been the most consistent
QB in the league, but Moore is capable of good fantasy days, and
Week 16’s favorable matchup against the sieve-like Pats defense
could be one of those days. If you survived one of last week’s
brutal QB performances (Eli Manning, I’m talking to you) then
Moore could be a decent fill-in.
Scouring The Barrel
Kyle
Orton, KC (OAK, @DEN) – You have to consider Orton for this
week in two-QB leagues. The Chiefs are surging and it’s obvious
they feel more comfortable with Orton at the helm. Oakland gave
up a monster day to Matthew Stafford last week, so you can expect
200 yards and at least one score from Orton.
Updates
Carson Palmer, OAK (@KC, SD) – Palmer turned in a solid
performance, tossing for 367 yards and a TD in the tough 28-27
loss to Detroit.
T.J. Yates, HOU (@IND, TEN) – Just when we start heaping
praise on Yates, he throws up a stinker: 212-0-2 just ain’t
gettin’ it done.
Jake Locker, TEN (JAC, @HOU) – Hasselbeck stunk up the
joint before Locker got his shot, so he didn’t help any
fantasy owners with his 108-1-0 on 11-of-16 passing.
Running Backs
Off The Top
C.J. Spiller, BUF (DEN, @NE) – Spiller’s breakout
day coincided with my decision to play him as my flex in my 14-team
league. The shifty back rushed for 91 yards and a TD and put together
an equally impressive receiving day: 9 receptions, 76 yards and
a TD. In PPR leagues, it was over a 35-40 point day.
Digging Deeper
Donald
Brown, IND (HOU, @JAC) – I actually dropped Brown in the aforementioned
league (started Felix Jones and Maurice Jones-Drew) to pick up
some insurance at another position, and it was an obvious mistake.
Brown’s breakout game was highlighted by an 80-yard TD run that
ran his rushing total to 161 yards for the day. He’s a must-play
in all formats facing the Texans, who really have nothing to play
for and yielded 166 rushing yards and two TD on the ground to
the Panthers in Week 15.
Scouring The Barrel
Lance
Ball, DEN (@BUF, KC) – If Willis McGahee can’t go for any
reason, Ball makes an solid RB3/flex play. If McGahee’s healthy,
he a risk, because Tim Tebow eats up a lot of yardage and runs
in a few of the team’s TDs as well.
Updates
Felix
Jones, DAL (PHI, @NYG) – Jones finished with 108 rushing yards
and 3-23-0 receiving, but didn’t get into the end zone against
Tampa Bay.
Ryan Grant, GB (CHI, DET) – 101 total yards isn’t
bad, but Grant didn’t get into the end zone and the Packers
lost their first game since the calendar said 2010. Wow.
Kahlil Bell, CHI (@GB, @MIN) – The Bears sputtered to a
38-14 defeat at the hands of the surging Seahawks, but Bell had
a monster game for a guy available in most fantasy leagues: 65
rushing yards, 5-43-1 receiving. He scored the lone offensive
TD for the Bears and finished among the Top 10 fantasy RBs for
Week 15.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Off The Top
WR Lance Moore, NO (ATL, CAR) – With his most recent two-TD
game, Moore now has eight on the season and averages close to
10 points per game in PPR leagues. There’s really no telling
how many targets he’ll get in any particular contest, but
the matchup against the Falcons could mean a shootout.
Digging Deeper
TE Brent
Celek, PHI (@DAL, WAS) – I benched Celek (5-165-1) in favor
of Vernon Davis (6-72-1) last week in my semifinal, and although
starting the Eagles TE would have only gotten me a tie (and thus
a loss since I lost the tiebreaker), I still was pulling me hair
out Sunday when I caught wind of his monster day. It’s clear that
Celek is a more important option when Vick is at the helm, so
he’s worth picking up for Week 16 as a low-end TE1 if he’s still
available in your league.
WR Demaryius
Thomas, DEN (@BUF, KC) – Thomas should see plenty of opportunities
against the Bills, who struggle to defend the pass. Over the last
three weeks, Thomas is third among WRs (PPR) behind Roddy White
and Percy Harvin in total points, just ahead of Calvin Johnson
and Hakeem Nicks, so it’s time to give him his due.
Scouring The Barrel
TE Jeremy Shockey, CAR (TB, @NO) – The Panthers have two
tight ends, but Shockey has been more productive than Olsen the
last few weeks. He’s not a viable starter in one-TE formats,
but in deeper two-TE leagues, a red zone threat like Shockey means
cheap upside.
Updates
WR Malcom
Floyd, SD (@DET, @OAK) – Floyd lit up the Ravens with 5-96-1,
hauling in the only TD thrown by Philip Rivers in the 34-14 victory.
He was a Top 10 WR in Week 15.
TE Kellen Winslow, TB (@CAR, @ATL) – While the Bucs played
catch-up and did manage to close the score to 31-15 by game’s
end, Winslow just tallied a forgettable 4-37-0 in the loss.
WR Jabar Gaffney, WAS (MIN, @PHI) – The Redskins rolled
over the Giants, and Gaffney was solid, picking up 6-85-0 in the
decisive victory.
TE Jake Ballard, NYG (@NYJ, DAL) – Ballard aggravated an
old PCL injury en route to 1-15-0; the rest of his season is in
doubt and he should be dropped in all redrafts.
TE Marcedes Lewis. JAC (@TEN, IND) – Lewis couldn’t
get loose on Thursday night in Atlanta, where the Falcons shredded
the Jags. Lewis posted 3-30-0 and continues a disappointing season.
WR Titus Young, DET (SD, @GB) – The rookie receiver didn’t
blow up like Megatron, but he did contribute a TD in his 5-21-1
performance.
IDP
Off The Top
DB Eric
Weddle, SD (@DET, @OAK) – Weddle is a big-game player and
the final two games can’t get any bigger. He’s already got seven
INTs this season and will be looking to add to his league-leading
total (tied with Kyle Arrington and Charles Woodson) against Detroit
and Oakland.
Digging Deeper
DL J.J. Watt, HOU (@IND, TEN) – Watt had seven total tackles
last week and promises to another big game versus the have Colts,
who are starting to move the ball and sustain a few more drives.
Also – it’ll be up to the defense to garner wins in
the last few games, so Watt is a safe play in semi-deep leagues.
Scouring The Barrel
LB Jordan Senn, CAR (TB, @NO) – Senn broke out with a monster
Week 16 and could make an additional impact in the final two games.
He’s almost universally available and has 45 total tackles
in his last five games since taking over at OLB in Carolina.
Updates
LB Stephen Tulloch, DET (SD, @GB) – Tulloch had a solid
game with 10 tackles (eight solos), although he didn’t contribute
any junk points.
DB Tyvon Branch, OAK (@KC, SD) – Five tackles (four solos)
– the second-worst IDP performance of the season for Branch.
Great timing, Tyvon.
DL Michael Johnson, CIN (ARI, BAL) – Five tackles, but no
sacks. Johnson is one of many bright young stars on the Bengals
defense.
LB Lance Briggs, CHI (@GB, @MIN) – Four solo tackles; Briggs
just couldn’t break through in 2011 with many huge performances.
DL Chris Clemons, SEA (SF, @ARI) – Clemons had three tackles,
2.0 sacks and a PD in the win over Chicago. He remains a quality
DL1 in most formats.
DB Vontae Davis, MIA (@NE, NYJ) – Davis had a huge Week
15, recording five total tackles, two PD and a pair of INTs –
second in fantasy scoring among DBs.
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