| Week 1
 9/9/09
 
 In my final summer column, 
              I asked readers to weigh in on the question of whether the responsibilities 
              of most commissioners put them at a competitive disadvantage. The 
              question actually came from an FFToday reader named Robert, and 
              he was not alone in his frustration, as I heard from quite a few 
              frustrated commissioners, including Tom:
 
 We ARE at a disadvantage when drafting. I am 
              trying to keep track of 13 other draft picks, dealing with possible 
              trades, keeping an eye on time limits, keeping track of roster limits, 
              preventing Beto from eating everyone else’s chicken wings, 
              and then making my pick if I can think straight.
 
 I do not have a system that makes me able to feel comfortable in 
              my picks. When I leave the draft, I have no clue who I just drafted, 
              and it was never like that in the past when I wasn't the commissioner.
 
 I would love some hints.....
 
 Bud wrote in to point out that frustration with the draft is only 
              the tip of the iceberg for some commissioners, since the management 
              of a league for an entire season is a workload unto itself.
 
 I was the commissioner of two leagues up until 
              this year. I shut down one of them in order to focus more on the 
              other one. I can tell you that "managing" a league of 
              16 owners (including myself) is a job in and of itself. The draft 
              was conducted on-line, however it was not without its problems. 
              Owners were instant-messaging me with all sorts of things from potential 
              trades they were working on to questions about the draft, to issues 
              with their internet browser!
 
 I had to get reminders from people to tell me that it was my turn 
              to pick (for my own team), and when that came up, I had to pick 
              quickly, and I felt rushed.
 
 Oh - and I think that all commissioners should get free entry into 
              their leagues that they participate in. Please print that for ALL 
              to see, I'm sure most commissioner/owners would agree that the commish 
              job is just that, a job. Throwing us a bone like that would go a 
              long way!
 
 David makes a point that echoes Bud’s sentiments without 
              losing sight of the question about whether commissioners are at 
              a competitive disadvantage:
 
 Being commish is a job, but I don't think you 
              can say that it necessarily puts you at a competitive disadvantage. 
              You just need more preparation because you can't be reading a magazine 
              on draft night. And since the commish does have all these other 
              duties... he's more aware of the upcoming draft and probably is 
              in the mindset to do research earlier than the other guys.
 
 This column will focus on how commissioners can be competitive 
              with the other participants in their leagues, but since Bud pointedly 
              raised the question of commissioner compensation, I want to get 
              that matter out of the way. I heard from at least half a dozen readers 
              who pointed out that since commissioners do get more than their 
              fair share of frustrations from running fantasy leagues, their entry 
              fees are covered by league. For what it’s worth, the league 
              that I consider my “main” fantasy league has had such 
              a policy in place for more than a decade. I have never heard any 
              complaints about the policy. If anything, I think most of us suspect 
              the commissioner is undercompensated.
 I received far too many responses to Rob’s question for 
                me to include the remarks of all those who wrote in, so I have 
                done my best to break the responses into general categories and 
                to include only the most comprehensive or representative answers 
                that I received.  Although a few readers (mostly former commissioners by the sound 
                of their notes) wrote in to say that being commissioner was nothing 
                but a liability, that was a minority perspective. Most of the 
                responses I received suggested that the disadvantages of being 
                a commissioner are either completely offset or more than offset 
                by the advantages. As Mike put it:
 I don't complain about the extra work because 
                I see running the draft as more of an advantage than a disadvantage. 
                I have NEVER called a player’s name only to hear, "He 
                was picked two rounds ago!" I always know what everyone has 
                drafted, and what they are likely to be targeting in the next 
                round or two. I never reach for a QB or TE when those around me 
                have already filled the position and I can wait a round or two. 
                I can see runs coming before they start by looking at the available 
                list compared to the league rosters. This more than offsets the 
                frantic filling out of boards and draft lists.
 
 John expands quite persuasively on this point:
 
 As one who has commissioned a league with 
                friends for a number of years, and more recently a work league 
                as well, I find that the duties of the position can have pros 
                and cons. On a very basic level, being a commissioner can give 
                you a better understanding of the league and its members. What 
                I mean by this is that commissioners are probably the most knowledgeable 
                league members with regard to scoring, roster sizes, trade deadlines, 
                free-agent settings and so forth. Granted, any fantasy player 
                worth his salt "should" know these very basic but important 
                pieces of information, but commissioners are almost forced to 
                become walking encyclopedias of any rules and regulations.
 
 If knowledge is indeed power, this is taken a step further by 
                the ability of commissioners to easily look back and dissect the 
                drafting patterns and tendencies of their competition. For example, 
                with the draft results from the last 4 years at my fingertips, 
                I can readily determine who tends to draft which players. I also 
                notice general strategies by certain players, i.e. who targets 
                RB/RB in the first two rounds, who reaches for a TE early, and 
                for the less savvy members, who likes to get their starting lineup 
                (DEF and K included) set within the first 10 rounds of the draft. 
                In many ways, the draft is the most important time for any league, 
                so if you have a solid grasp of how the draft might unfold based 
                on the habits of league members, that can be a competitive advantage.
 
 However, these advantages extend only so far. Commissioners often 
                seem to be the most gung-ho fantasy players, but against other 
                fanatical researchers and draft preparers, they can certainly 
                find themselves at a disadvantage. The free time we have to spend 
                on scouting players can vary from person to person, but it is 
                certainly a fact that if two people have identical free time but 
                one has to separately email owners, bang down doors for fees, 
                organize draft dates and locations, and take care of any other 
                peripheral issues, then those responsibilities can work against 
                you.
 
 The many readers who made arguments similar to John’s 
                know who they are, but since I think he makes the point adequately, 
                I want to move on to the two primary tools stressed by commissioners 
                who feel that they have overcome the disadvantages that are inherent 
                in attempting to manage a draft while participating in it: 1) 
                delegation (which I will touch on below); and 2) preparation (a 
                topic which will be discussed in detail in my Week 2 column). 
                Lee has adopted a delegation policy that would likely be useful 
                in most leagues:
 
 I appoint a league member to help me run the 
                draft. The person I use is the one 6 spots away from my own draft 
                position in a 12-man league. I seat this person to the left of 
                the board; I am at the right. While I am conducting the draft, 
                he will mark off the taken picks from a draft sheet for me so 
                I know who is gone. I have another draft sheet with my info on 
                it I don't want him to see. When it gets to the 6th pick we switch, 
                He runs the draft and I do the same for him. That keeps me up 
                on the draft and gives me plenty of time to prepare my own selections. 
                Works great for me.
 
 Brad and Cliff take things further than Lee, as their 
                leagues actually divide the responsibilities of the commissioner 
                position between various league members. I quite like Brad’s 
                idea of a “draft coordinator”:
 
 I am the commissioner in a keeper league, 
                and I actually assigned a "draft coordinator" position 
                in my league! It is his responsibility to choose the date, and 
                put it all together. I will do some of the prework for creating 
                the charts and pulling rankings, etc. This splitting up of tasks 
                allows me to focus on the draft more.
 
 Cliff’s league doesn’t stop delegating after 
                the draft:
 
 As far as our commissioner goes, we have two. 
                There is one guy who is the 'Comish' who sends out all the emails, 
                coordinates the draft, oversees the summer rules meeting/draft 
                number selection meeting, deals with any disputes, oversees the 
                league, collects the money and handles payouts, etc. Then we also 
                have an assistant commissioner, or “Commish Jr.” as 
                we call him. Commish Jr. runs the website, manually adds the bonus 
                points we award (for NFL's leading QB, RB, and WR that week), 
                oversees weekly waivers/trades, and generally deals with any technical 
                problems.
 
 Most leagues move organically towards the kind of delegation 
                that works for them, but if your league delegates duties in a 
                particularly helpful or interesting way, I will do my best to 
                share your practice with other readers in next week’s column.
 However, since I received a number of detailed responses about 
                how preparation is a commissioner’s best friend when it 
                comes to running a successful draft, I want to focus in my Week 
                2 column on the preparative strategies that appear to be working 
                for commissioners in all sorts of leagues. I already have more 
                on the topic of preparation than I will be able to fit into a 
                single column, but if any readers know of some particular form 
                of preparation by their commissioners that enhanced their draft 
                experience this year, please 
                let me know about it. 
 Last Man Standing - (Courtesy 
                of Marc Mondry)
 LMS is an acronym for “Last Man Standing,” and this 
                column offers advice and information to help people in their LMS 
                or Eliminator competitions. In these competitions, participants 
                must pick one team each week to win. If your team wins, you’re 
                in; if not, you’re out. The wrinkle is that you cannot pick 
                any team more than once during the season.
 In this column, I will highlight at least 3 games that make for 
                good options each week. I will also usually single out a “trap 
                game”—a game that most people think would be a good 
                choice, but that I consider risky for whatever reason. Of course 
                I don’t expect anyone will agree with me 100%, so please 
                feel free to email me with your gripes and arguments. I can talk 
                (or text) about football until I am blue in the face (or fingers). Last year I had a couple of people write to me and tell me that 
                they could do a better job picking the games than I could. One 
                enterprising reader even said that his eleven-year-old sister 
                could do a better job than I had done. Ouch. This year, it’s time to put your pride where your mouth 
                is. I invite any and all of you guys and gals to submit 
                your own picks to me at least an hour before the first kickoff 
                for the week. Shoot me your 3 picks for the week, and I will keep 
                a running track of wins and losses (ties count as losses) over 
                the season. I will post a short leaderboard at the end of the 
                column identifying the readers with the highest win percentages. 
                Who knows? Maybe someone will give me a run for my money.  Honestly, I’m sure plenty of you will, and I’m sure 
                a couple will beat me. You think you’re one of them? Send 
                me your picks each week and we’ll see. Trap Game: Oakland over San Diego Okay, I know an Oakland upset sounds crazy, but hear me out. 
                The Chargers are undoubtedly the more talented team—and 
                should win this game by 10+ points. That said, there are a couple 
                of things that scare me about this contest. First and foremost, it’s Week 1, the week during which 
                anything can happen. This week San Diego has to travel out to 
                Oakland Coliseum. Honestly, I cannot think of a more hostile place 
                to play than Oakland, especially when Oakland still (theoretically) 
                is in the race for the playoffs. Raider fans won’t be able 
                to sustain the delusion for long, but they are a downright scary 
                bunch of folks when they actually think their team has a shot 
                of going somewhere.  Furthermore, Oakland isn’t as hopeless as everyone seems 
                to think. They have plenty of offensive talent, and they are taking 
                themselves seriously enough to have released Jeff Garcia. Apparently 
                they have realized that JaMarcus Russell is the long-term answer, 
                a step in the right direction. Plus, at the end of last season 
                Oakland made some strides, particularly on offense. They have 
                a very talented TE in Zach Miller and 3 talented (and healthy) 
                running backs: Darren McFadden, Michael Bush, and Justin Fargas. 
                It wouldn’t surprise me if they put up a fight against the 
                Chargers, and if that wouldn’t surprise me, they don’t 
                make for a great LMS pick. 3. Baltimore over Kansas City In all honesty, I do not love this pick. I was extremely close 
                to taking Atlanta for my third pick, but decided I could not trust 
                the Falcon defense. Instead I am going with Baltimore, in a game 
                that the Ravens should win handily at home against Kansas City. 
                I don’t have full faith in the Baltimore defense anymore. 
                Parting with Rex Ryan and losing a bunch of defensive talent (notably 
                Bart Scott) to the Jets is going to hurt. It could hurt A LOT. 
                That said, I am one of the ‘non-believers’ in Matt 
                Cassel and the rest of the KC offense, especially since Cassel 
                hasn’t gotten into a rhythm with Dwayne Bowe. The Raven 
                D should be able to get lots of pressure and create turnovers. On the other side of the ball, I would not describe the Ravens 
                as an offensive juggernaut, but they should be able to get the 
                job done against the flimsy Chiefs defense. The real key is that 
                they are at home at M&T Bank Stadium. I really just can’t 
                visualize the Chiefs coming in and having their way with the Ravens, 
                though I certainly can see the game going the other way.  2. New Orleans over Detroit It was pretty much a no-brainer to include this game on the list. 
                Before I explain, please note that I think Detroit is improving 
                by the day as a franchise and in 5 years or so could have a bright 
                future (if they can draft some solid defensive players). The offensive 
                talent is in place now, and it wouldn’t surprise me if they 
                put up 20+ points vs. the Saints in week 1. Unfortunately for Calvin Johnson and the crew, 20 points just 
                isn’t going to get it done. 30 points might not get it done. 
                40? Well, 40 would probably do it. Drew Brees is going to have 
                a field day at home against the Lions’ secondary. Moreover, 
                between Pierre Thomas, Reggie Bush, and Mike Bell, the New Orleans 
                running game should top 150 yards. My over/under for the New Orleans 
                offense is 33.5 points. Anyone taking the under? At best, New 
                Orleans absolutely dominates this game; at worst, it’s a 
                shootout, and Sean Payton’s got the bigger guns. A word of caution: Games like this can be dangerous for LMS competitions. 
                Generally, I trust defenses, not offenses, to show up with consistency. 
                That’s why this game isn’t number 1 for the week. 1. New England over Buffalo Full disclosure: I have a genuine visceral dislike for the New 
                England Patriots. My girlfriend of 4 years is from Concord, MA. 
                On this point, we do not get along. The 2007 Super Bowl was mighty 
                satisfying. I made that disclosure for two reasons—first, to give a 
                shout out to my lady (since I promised her); and second, to provide 
                some background for this recommendation. I have a litany of reasons for recommending the Pats this week. 
                They are at home against a divisional opponent that they have 
                historically dominated. This divisional opponent has a bonehead 
                for a head coach (Dick Jauron) and will be missing its ‘beastly’ 
                running back (Marshawn Lynch). Tom Brady wants to come back and 
                prove that he can still dominate as he did in 2007. Bill Belichick 
                will certainly want to run up the score and make a statement that 
                the Pats are back in business this year. Honestly, need I say 
                more? Okay, if I must, I’ll continue. I have no worries about 
                Brady’s injuries. The shoulder will be fine, and the fact 
                that the Patriots (a team historically excellent at personnel 
                management) let Matt Cassel leave speaks volumes about Brady’s 
                leg injury. The last time Buffalo beat New England was opening 
                day of the 2003 season. To put that in perspective, that was when 
                the dynamic duo of Drew Bledsoe and Eric Moulds still led the 
                Bills. Lightning strikes what, once every six years? Bills fans 
                sure hope so . . .  With that, I am finished. Remember to send in your picks for 
                this week! They are due Thursday at 7:30 EST. I know it’s 
                a quick deadline this week, but get them in. After all, I wouldn’t 
                want anyone else to miss out on the crapshoot that is Week 1 forecasting!
 For responses to this week's fantasy question please email 
              me no later than 10 a.m. EST on Wednesdays during the football 
              season.
 
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