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6/24/11
“Is there a drop-dead date? There isn’t. But obviously
time is moving quickly, and we’re fast approaching the training
camp period. And I think there’s an urgency for everyone to
get this done.” -- Roger Goodell
At the time of this writing (June 22nd), the lockout of NFL players
continues, but various reports from around the nation indicate
that labor and management have struck a deal and that the paperwork
should be worked out by the July 4th holiday. Barring any unexpected
setbacks, it seems very likely that the 2011 season will start
on time.
Moreover, the ballyhooed proposal to move from a 16-game to an
18-game season appears to be a matter for future discussions--likely
not to be taken seriously until the NFL renegotiates its television
contracts in 2013.
Based on the number of articles about a forthcoming deal that
are coming out even as I write this column, my advice to commissioners
is not to worry about the possibility of a shortened season in
2011, but I know there are plenty of owners out there like Kevin--owners
who want to be prepared for anything. Kevin wrote to me last week
with a question that is perhaps worth considering until all the
i's are dotted and t's are crossed on the new contract between
labor and management in the NFL.
What would be the fairest way for fantasy leagues
to deal with a shortened NFL season? I told my guys not to worry
about how short the season is because we can always schedule multiple
games on the same week.
We have 3 divisions with 4 teams each. Usually you play each team
in your own division twice and each team from the rival divisions
once in weeks 1-14. The three division winners and one wildcard
team (the team with the best record not to win a division) advance
to the playoffs in Week 15. It's a pretty [standard progression
from there.] The top-seeded team plays the wildcard team, and
the other two division champs play each other. The winners in
Week 15 face each other in Week 16 for our [championship, and
we] ignore Week 17.
We don't even know if the 2011 season will be shortened yet, and
two of my guys are already arguing about how we should handle
anything less than a 16-game season. I told them that if the season
is shortened by a 4 games, then we will just schedule 2 head-to-head
matches per week for the first 4 weeks of the season. For example,
Team 1 in Division A would play against Team 1 in Division B and
Team 1 in Division C in Week 1. They both said they didn't like
the idea because they don't know what the bye schedule would be
in a shortened season. The worry is that if two of your studs
are on their bye when you have to take on 2 teams at once, that
could pretty much kill your chances at the playoffs.
I see their point, but I really don't want to change from a head-to-head
league to a league that counts up points at the end of the season
(as one owner is insisting). The league I play in at work [just
tallies points at the end of the year to see who won], and that
is why I don't even care if I am winning. I don't want my fun
league to end up like that one, so I really need a solution that
will seem fair to all the owners and preserve our head-to-head
style. Have you or your readers given this issue any thought?
My first piece of advice is to distribute chill pills to your
owners until we know for a fact that the NFL season will be shortened
(which, as I indicated above, seems extremely unlikely).
Secondly, I think it's important for commissioners to run the
leagues that their owners want. A commissioner's opinion matters,
but so do the opinions of other owners. If the season does end
up being shortened, I would put the points-only vs. head-to-head
approach up for a vote. If there is only one guy that wants to
abandon the head-to-head model, then it will be time to start
looking for a head-to-head schedule that works. (As an aside,
I can't help noticing that Kevin indicates his own personal preference
for head-to-head leagues, but he doesn't say whether any of his
owners feel as strongly as he does.)
Thirdly, if the 2011 season is shortened and if the owners want
to stick with a head-to-head format, it is definitely worth considering
whether you want to have a period in which owners play multiple
games each week. Ordinarily, the NFL does not schedule byes during
the very early and very late weeks of the season, so you could
try to schedule your double-headers during those weeks. However,
since there is no telling what the bye schedule might be for a
season that could be drastically abbreviated, the best solution
might be settle for as many head-to-head matches as a shortened
season permits. Perhaps that would mean playing opponents in your
own division only once; or it might mean eliminating a set of
inter-divisional games.
If any readers of this column choose to weigh in on the topic,
I will be happy to share their thoughts. However, Q&A isn't
likely to receive much feedback until we get closer to the season,
by which point the question will probably be moot. Nevertheless,
since a shortened season is always a possibility (recall that
in the wake of the 9/11 terrorist attacks in 2001, the games scheduled
for September 16th and 17th were postponed--and it was not immediately
clear that they would be made up at the end of the season), I
would appreciate hearing from any commissioners who believe
that they have a solid proposal for handling a shortened season
in head-to-head leagues fairly.
For responses to this month's fantasy question please email
me.
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