Because I’m not sure how best to say this, I’m writing this June
Q&A installment as a letter to you, the founder & editor of FFToday
who gifted me with a column that it has been my pleasure to maintain
since 1999. I’m grateful to you for the
opportunity, grateful to Matthew Schiff for providing so many
insightful Survivor Pool picks over the years, & grateful most
of all to the readers who took time out of their schedules to
share details about their leagues (from outrageous sidebets to
intricate scoring systems and everything in between). Of all the
freelance assignments I’ve ever taken, none has brought me as
much joy & never-ending surprise as hearing from readers in response
to the questions posed in this space over more than two decades.
Sadly, however, that joy was a mere shadow of its former self
last year. The COVID nonsense was a droning buzzkill for the entire
season. Every Sunday, I felt a sense of duty to watch the contests
(if only because I write a weekly column about fantasy football),
but I could never make it through an afternoon of games. Different
things sent me over the edge of my patience in different weeks.
Sometimes it would be an Uber ad that made me turn off the TV
for the day. Sometimes it was Sean Payton wearing a mask even
though everyone knew he had already recovered from COVID. I don’t
remember each individual straw that broke the back of my patience
for the NFL in those weeks, but the whole season was unwatchable
and creepy. It was creepy when the stands were empty, creepier
still when the cardboard cutouts appeared, and creepiest of all
when live human beings showed up wearing masks while outdoors
(because COVID policies in the NFL have always been about making
imaginary people feel safer, not making real people be any safer).
When I talk to my friends about how sickening the COVID drama
has made watching the NFL for me, they all object, “Well
you didn’t seem too upset by the Colin Kaepernick stuff,”
which could mean (depending on which period in NFL history they’re
referring to) that the NFL was too dismissive or too indulgent
of Kapernick-inspired kneeling. But these friends simply do not
understand fantasy football. As any true enthusiast knows, it’s
hard to notice who’s doing what during the national anthem
if you’re finalizing your lineups, which, duh, is exactly
what any serious fantasy manager should be doing any time the
national anthem is playing during any professional football game.
It’s axiomatic.
But seriously, in terms of gamewatching experience, there is
no comparison between COVID coverage & kneeling. Maybe the
cameras will focus on kneeling during the anthem or maybe they
won’t, but there’s zero chance of cutting to an Uber
commercial about how the players in Miami have to kneel to protect
the players in Seattle. By contrast, there was no escaping COVID
chatter in the NFL last year--from the moment at season kickoff
when players took their masks off to pant & sweat on each
other for three hours before putting them back on all the way
to Super Spreader Bowl LV, when Tom Brady single-handedly forced
millions of grandmas all over the world to die in isolation for
their own protection because he wasn’t as eager to get his
mask back on after the game as Patrick Mahomes. The nonsense was
unrelenting.
When we got a break from chatter about players who hadn’t
tested positive but had been tracked & traced to the same
meeting rooms as players who had tested positive, it was only
to learn why the Steelers had to play on a Tuesday or to fret
about whether the latest “outbreak” was going to postpone
the playoffs by an entire week. We could never allow ourselves
to forget that at any moment, cases could suddenly flare up all
over the league and result in a suspended season. Sorry NFL, but
I just don’t have 17 more weeks of pearl clutching left
in me.
I mentioned last straws earlier to make you understand how I’m
feeling right now, which is exactly how it felt each Sunday last
season when I snapped, “That’s enough COVID nonsense
for this week. I’ll try again next Sunday” before
turning off the TV. My last straw today is an
article that popped up when I started browsing the latest
news about the NFL; it describes the preferential treatment that
vaccinated players will receive over unvaccinated players.
The NFL argues that it won’t coerce anyone to get vaccinated,
but it is deliberately making things more onerous for unvaxxed
players (who must still test daily for COVID) than for vaxxed
players (who only need to be tested once per week). There are
even odder restrictions in place for unvaxxed coaches, who apparently
won’t be allowed into certain team facilities in person
(which could definitely make coaching a challenge).
But these bizarre restrictions weren’t the last straw.
I was still bearing up under the weight of all this COVID silliness
until I reached this response from Bruce Arians when he was asked
whether he had brought in any medical specialists to talk to the
reigning champions about vaccination: “I’m the specialist.
If you want to go back to normal, get vaccinated. … It’s
still a personal choice, but I don’t see a reason not to
be vaccinated.” That’s an astonishing assertion. The
same Bruce Arians who is smart enough to beat Andy Reid in the
Super Bowl apparently cannot fathom why any NFL player would choose
not to be vaccinated.
Let me take a stab at it for ya, Coach. Most players in the NFL
are in their 20s. Perhaps even more importantly, they’re
healthy--freakishly healthy. One of the weird things that even
Yogi Berra could observe simply by watching is that you don’t
encounter a lot of morbidly obese professional athletes. According
to CDC data, even if you include those with underlying comorbidities,
people in their 20s face a trivial risk from COVID. If you focus
on those without comorbidities (like most NFL athletes), the risk
from COVID shrinks practically to zero.
Now let’s think about the risk of side effects from the
COVID vaccines in 4 years. Why 4 years? Because that’s when
players typically sign their second contract (for the only big
payday in most NFL careers); 4 years is also the minimum duration
of long-term testing we have done on vaccines in the past (though
not this time). Is it possible that within 4 years of vaccination,
1% of COVID vaccine recipients will develop arthritis in their
thumbs or swelling in their heels or reduced range of motion in
their hips or some other such symptom that would be a minor inconvenience
for an ordinary person but a career-ending condition for an elite
athlete? Please don’t misconstrue me. I’m not suggesting
that there’s any reason to expect any of those particular
side effects. I have no idea what side effects one could expect
to see in 1% of COVID vax recipients 4 years from now, but my
point is that no one else has any idea either. It’s not
possible to know what we haven’t tested, so the only reasonable
way to characterize the long-term risk of taking the vaccine is
“unknown.”
It’s easy to understand why a rookie might be reluctant
to take a vax that he sees as offering virtually no upside along
with a potential downside that is completely unknown (and conceivably
career ending). Arians has a profound lack of imagination if he
can’t see why some of his players would reject a vaccine
that has almost no statistical chance of improving their own health
outcomes. When a coach says, “If you want to get back to
normal, get vaccinated,” to players who can miss a game
check because of a positive COVID test that they wouldn’t
have had to take if they had been vaccinated, I don’t have
to call that coercion to see it as a reprehensible attempt to
influence a decision that adult U.S. citizens should be permitted
to make in privacy and according to their own best judgment.
I realized as I read that line from Arians that the 2021 NFL
season is probably going to be even less watchable than the 2020
season. There may be full stadiums, but there will almost certainly
be new and improved arbitrary restrictions imposed on players
and fans along with insane virtue signaling from coaching staffs
and corporate sponsors. I enjoy writing my Q&A column so much
that I was admittedly tempted to fake my way through another season
in the hope that the NFL of old will return in 2022. Mike, when
you emailed me about the dates of submission for my articles in
2021, I said that everything looked good because I genuinely thought
at the time that I could push through all the BS. But upon further
reflection, I can’t. As with the pearl clutching, I just
don’t have it in me.
Last year, FFToday was brave enough to publish a piece of mine
that was openly critical of COVID hysteria in the NFL. There was
a lot of pushback on that piece (both in the comments section
and on twitter) from people who are more concerned about computer-generated
models than real-world data. So Mike, if you need to cut out any
part of this explanation to forestall criticism that won’t
be any fun for the website to contend with, I’ll understand.
But I thought you and the rest of the staff deserved to know
how I reached this conclusion and why, after more than 20 years
of Q&A, I’ve decided to ignore the NFL for 2021 at a
minimum (though I suspect I’m done with it entirely). I
hope that my colleagues here at FFToday and my readers over the
years who are still enjoying fantasy & the NFL will continue
to have fun with the hobby for their own sake (and for mine).
But as for me, I’ve moved on from COVID. And since the NFL
refuses to move on, I guess I’ll have to move on from the
NFL.
Peace out,
Mike Davis (not the running back)
Mike Davis has been writing about fantasy football since 1999--and
playing video games even longer than that. His latest novel (concerning
a gamer who gets trapped inside Nethack after eating too many shrooms)
can be found here.