Andrew Luck is one of the premier fantasy players in the league,
and 2015 may see him get even better. His name is being tossed
around as the top player off the board, and why wouldn’t it be
after he saw his touchdown total jump from 23 in 2013 to 40 last
year? If not for a lackluster three weeks to close out the regular
season, Luck’s per-game statistics would be even better. The coaching
staff clearly trusts their franchise quarterback to win them football
games and relies on his arm to dissect opposing defenses. This
pass-happy approach allowed Luck to finish third in the NFL with
297.6 passing yards per game. His receiving corps is arguably
better and deeper with the addition of Andre Johnson and expected
return to health of tight end Dwayne Allen. The running game was
anemic a year ago, but the play-action pass should be far more
effective with Frank Gore lining up behind Luck in the backfield.
At the end of the day, Luck gives you a high ceiling, high consistency
and high volume. He may not be the top player when the season
ends, but he is probably the best bet to finish the season as
a top-five overall fantasy player.
Matt Hasselbeck was resigned in the offseason to handle the backup
quarterback duties. This is what happens when a team knows it
has its starter for the next decade and doesn’t want to invest
more resources in the position. Hasselbeck will turn 40 this year,
and chances are the Colts would make a transaction if Luck was
forced to miss a lengthy amount of time.
Frank Gore has rushed for over 1,000 yards in eight of the past
nine seasons, but he won’t be asked to carry the ball as
much in Indy. One of several 49er defectors, The Colts will gladly
welcome a proven veteran running back after dealing with injuries
and ineffectiveness at the position throughout last season. Gore’s
receiving skills and ability to pass protect make him an ideal
fit to stay on the field in any situation and boost his stock
in the fantasy realm. Given his age and expected decline, Gore
should take a step back from his usual pace and may become more
reliant on touchdowns to bolster his fantasy lines in 2015. If
he can find pay dirt regularly, he’ll reward his owners
with RB2 numbers. However, any dip in touchdowns would likely
put him into RB3 territory and this is where you should look to
take him.
Aptly named “Boom” Herron was hardly known to most fantasy owners
prior to the 2014 season. However, poor performances from Trent
Richardson and injuries to Ahmad Bradshaw led to the former sixth-round
choice getting steady reps as the season wore on. He is best used
as a complementary running back, and he’ll be the best handcuff
choice in the Colts’ backfield. Then again, Luck would be asked
to pick up the slack in such a scenario, limiting the upside of
Herron as a potential replacement. He is battling rookie Josh
Robinson in training camp for the right to be the primary backup
to Gore. As a handcuff-only option with limited upside outside
of PPR formats, Herron is only worth considering in deep formats.
A five-foot eight-inch, 217-pound fireplug out of Mississippi
State, Josh Robinson will need some time to develop in the NFL.
The coaching staff liked his raw skills enough to draft him in
the sixth round. He has adequate receiving skills to be used in
a change-of-pace role later in the season if something happened
to Gore. Vick Ballard is still recovering from an Achilles injury
and may wind up on the PUP list to open the season. He is buried
on the depth chart and won’t be at full strength until midseason,
making him a long shot to be an impact in the fantasy game during
2015.
T.Y. Hilton took another step forward as the top option in the
Colts’ passing game during the 2014 season. However, he is entering
the last year of his contract and lacks prototypical size for
a No. 1 receiver. It remains to be seen whether the team and its
star receiver will get an extension hammered out prior to the
regular season, but fantasy owners shouldn’t worry too much. Hilton
led the team in targets, finishing with at least eight targets
in 11 of 18 games played including the playoffs (this also counts
week 17 when the Colts didn’t play their starters the entire game).
If there is a knock on Hilton, it is his relatively low touchdown
total given his stature atop the Colts’ depth chart and high-scoring
offense. This isn’t an area that is likely to improve with the
addition of Johnson and the team’s preference to use the tight
end position when in the red zone. For this reason, Hilton remains
a borderline WR1 in most formats.
In 2014, Reggie Wayne and Hakeem Nicks combined for 102 receptions,
1,184 receiving yards and six touchdowns behind Hilton. It wouldn’t
be a surprise to see Johnson get a good chunk of that production
if he can stay healthy in 2015. The lifelong Texan should feel
invigorated to catch passes from an elite passer for the first
time in years after mediocre quarterback play undermined the Houston
offense. Johnson shouldn’t see his targets decline too much
even as the secondary receiving threat due to the high volume
of passes thrown in the Colts’ offense. He just turned 34
years old and has never won a Super Bowl. After the first 15 or
so wide receivers are gone, rolling the dice on a future Hall
of Famer in one of the richest passing offenses isn’t a
bad gamble to take for your WR2.
Indianapolis continues to churn out productive fantasy wide receivers,
and Donte Moncrief has the talent to emerge from a position battle
that includes former Charger Vincent Brown and rookie Phillip
Dorsett. This is a talented and deep pool of receivers, but Moncrief
showed his playmaking ability last season and you can bet Luck
and the coaching staff will get him more involved in 2015. He
has nice size at six-foot two-inches and 226 pounds with deep
speed, matching up extremely well against team’s nickel backs
and safeties. Yet, for all of the potential, Moncrief’s fantasy
value is capped by the number of quality passing options in the
offense and the presence of Dorsett. The Colts probably see a
lot of Hilton in the man they took with the 29th pick in the 2015
draft. Coming out of Miami, listed at five-foot ten-inches, he
not only gives the team depth at the position but provides a potential
long-term replacement for Hilton, who will be a free agent after
the season. If Moncrief falters and Dorsett continues to shine,
he would only need an injury to step into a cushy starting role
within a Luck offense.
TE Dwayne
Allen (2014 TE Rank – No.24, 5.4 FPts/G)
If not for injuries over the past two seasons, Allen may be one
of the top five tight ends off the board in 2015. Still the better
fantasy asset over Coby Fleener, Allen continues to be bothered
by an ankle injury that plagued him throughout the 2014 campaign.
He has missed time during OTAs in hopes that the extra rest will
allow him to be healthy once the regular season nears. When in
the lineup, he exploits the holes created by the speed on the
outside and can split the field up the middle. The Colts love
to line up with two tight ends, so Allen’s health is certainly
worth keeping an eye on as the preseason gets underway. Fantasy
owners should still consider him the team’s fantasy option
at the moment, but Fleener isn’t far behind. Fleener led
all Colts tight ends with 92 targets and eight touchdowns a year
ago but isn’t likely to see as many opportunities if Allen
is at full strength. Nonetheless, Fleener will see plenty of time
in two-tight-end formations and near the goal line for red zone
opportunities but may not rack up the yardage like other elite
fantasy tight ends.