Running Backs
Start 'Em:
Running Backs Who Will Outperform Relative
To Their Draft Position And Recent Hype
Frank Gore vs. DET
Gore had back-to-back 100+ yard games for the first time since
2006. He is 58 rushing yards away from gaining 1,000 yards for
the 4th consecutive year. Last year he became the first player
in 49ers history last year to rush for 1,000 yards in 3 straight
seasons. It seems the Niners have found a way to keep Gore involved
despite a more pass-friendly offensive scheme. The Lions have
allowed 17 rushing TDs and give up 127.9 YPG on the ground. Gore
should deliver his owners tidings of joy this week.
Cedric Benson vs. KC
Even before Jerome Harrison’s monster game last week against the
Chiefs, KC appeared to present a drool-worthy matchup for Benson
and his owners. Now we can feel quite confident that Benson will
put up very good totals this week. RBs Larry Johnson and Bernard
Scott could steal touches, which is a mild concern, but still
shouldn’t factor too much against a team that has allowed 162.6
rushing YPG and 16 TDs on the ground this year.
Jerome
Harrison vs. OAK
Given that he plays for the Browns, I’d be a little nervous
rolling Harrison out at RB2 this week, even after his record-setting,
286 yard, 3 TD game last week. Keep in mind that the 34 carries
he received last week were more than he received in the previous
6 weeks combined (32). So it is no guarantee that Harrison will
even get the majority of carries this week, but I do like his
chances in a flex spot. Oakland has been shredded on the ground
all season (148.9 YPG); they have allowed 20 rushing TDs, the
highest number in the league.
Five TDs inthe last six games for Wells.
Beanie
Wells vs. STL
Wells ran for a career-high 110 yards last week (1 TD); he has
rushed for 5 TDs in his last 6 games. In the last 2 weeks, Wells
has gained 189 yards on 32 carries and seems to have firmly taken
the featured back role over Tim Hightower. Wells has the homerun
ability that Hightower lacks. On 11/22 in St. Louis, Wells had
14 carries for 74 yards and a TD. It’s not unreasonable to expect
a little more this time around. The Rams have given up 19 TDs
on the ground this season and an average of 140.4 rushing YPG.
Bench 'Em:
Running Backs Who Will Under Perform
Relative To Their Draft Position And Recent Hype
Seattle RBs @ GB
Julius Jones apparently has a rib-injury but could suit up and
play this week. Justin Forsett’s stock would slightly rise
if Jones can’t play, but neither makes for an attractive
option this week in Green Bay. The Packers have the #2 ranked
(likely #1 after this Sunday) run defense in the NFL. They have
allowed just 83.6 YPG and 5 TDs on the ground this season and
have forced 9 fumbles. It has gotten to the point where it is
very hard to trust a Seahawk in the fantasy playoffs.
Joseph Addai vs. NYJ
Addai has rushed for 9 TDs and has caught 3 TD passes. He has
also thrown for 1 TD this season. He may not even rush for 1,000
yards, but he has been valuable to the Colts and fantasy owners
alike. Like his QB Peyton Manning, Addai is capable of a big game
this week, but how much will he play? If the game gets out of
hand, will he be done at the half? If only we knew. Either way,
Addai’s matchup is not great as the Jets have been in the top
third of run defenses this season. Hopefully you have an RB option
that makes this decision less tricky.
Maurice Jones-Drew @ NE
MJD is one of the “unbenchable” RBs in fantasy; unfortunately
for his owners he has a less than inviting matchup this week.
You have no choice but to play him, but be advised that the Patriots
have allowed just 3 rushing TDs this season, the lowest such number
in the NFL.
Ray Rice vs. PIT
Another one of the NFL’s “unbenchables” (especially
in PPR leagues), Rice goes up against the top-ranked run defense
of the Steelers (83.1 YPG). In their November 29 meeting, Rice
had 19 carries for 88 yards and 5 receptions for 67 yards but
was held out of the end zone. Rice has just 1 TD in his last 5
games. I’d keep him active this week, but temper expectations.
Wide Receivers
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