GPP tournaments offer the largest payouts in daily fantasy but are
also typically the hardest to win for an inexperienced player. If
you are looking to dip your toe into daily fantasy football for the first time,
I would implore you start with the 50/50 style of contest.
It’s simple. If you finish in the top half of the small
group of competitors you nearly double your buy-in. It is a great
way to get a feel for how daily fantasy works without the discouragement
GPP tournaments can bring.
Choosing Your Roster
In large tournaments or GPP play you are often looking for a
diamond in the rough. A player that has high upside, but still
sets you apart from the rest of the field. High variance players
are your targets. To put it simply, variance is a term that is
associated with the volatility in the NFL. A high level of variance
means higher unpredictability. In comparison, lower variance means
the player or team is more reliable or predictable.
In 50/50 contests however, it is typically more lucrative to
play low risk players with a consistent track record. Low variance
players are more viable targets for you to consider in this format.
A player that comes to mind from last season would be Antonio
Brown. He averaged just over 8 catches, 100 yards, and 0.8 TD
per game throughout the regular season. That’s exactly what
you’re looking for in this format, consistency and low variance.
Often, you will see similar lineups in 50/50 games. This is okay.
There is no added bonus for being the top scorer in the group.
The risk it would take to diversify your lineup to be the top
scorer is not worth the gamble in this format. Again, the key
to 50/50 games is to minimize risk.
The best advice is to go with you gut. Yes, you can find value
at cheaper salaries but it’s important to not get to cute
with your lineup choices. You want to maximize the number of targets
and touches in your 50/50 lineup first.
Never overspend on a Kicker and Defense. Play matchups with your
defense and get a minimum cost kicker you think will be in a high
scoring game or in a dome.
Bankroll Management
Strategy aside, once you build your lineup you need to decide
what games to join and how much of your bankroll to commit.
If you are looking to play more than one week I would recommend
never playing more than 20-25 percent of your bankroll or 10-12
percent for a more conservative player. This is one of the biggest
mistakes I see with new players. There are factors in NFL football
that no one can control. You need to be able to ride out a bad
week or a bad call once in awhile to be successful in the long
term.
Game size is also a factor. You can choose from a small field
(10, 20, 30 players) to a large field (100-300 players) in 50/50
games. For a beginner you may have more success in the large field
50/50 games. You may catch more inexperienced players in a larger
field which increases your odds of finishing in the top half.
Closing Tips
Know who is injured - It sounds
simple but you would be surprised how many people end up with
players in their lineup that become inactive right before kickoff.
Don’t be this person. Be the person that capitalizes on injuries
because many people will not alter their lineups for last minute
developments. Value can surface late in a week due to injuries
especially at the running back position.
Find bargain players - When players
are injured you can get the backup for cheap which allows to you
to spend in other areas. For example, Alfred
Blue became a nice value play last season when Arian
Foster was out due to injury. He was a good play not because
of his talent, but because you could insert him into your lineup
for cheap and reasonably expect a high volume of touches in a
very good running game.
Use QB and WR tandems - Also called
“stacking”. If a game is likely to be a shootout, why not grab
the quarterback and wide receiver (Ex: Peyton
Manning & Demaryius
Thomas). They are bound to score and when they do it will
pay off twice in the touchdown department.
Find favorable matchups, especially when
choosing your RB - Matchups are key. You need to be aware
of what defense your running back is facing as no matter who they
are, an unfavorable matchup can effect how well they perform.
You don’t want to pay top dollar for a player who may have a down
week due to a poor matchup.
Check the weather - Sounds simple
enough but poor weather can kill fantasy numbers, especially if
you are relying on a quarterback to have a big day through the
air. Same holds true when choosing between a kicker playing outside
and a kicker in a dome.