2004 
            5/17/04  
               
              Every rookie pick is an investment in your dynasty team. Due to 
              supply (limited pool of starters) and demand (better scoring in 
              most leagues), offensive players are where you have to devote most 
              of your resources. So picking defensive players typically assumes 
              more risk, no matter where you draft them. No one wants to miss 
              out on the next supposedly undersized RB that rushes for 1,000 yards 
              or the too slow rookie WR that doesn't wait for his third year to 
              break out. So from that investment perspective, here's how this 
              year's crop of rookie defensive players can be viewed.  
              Blue Chips | Most 
            Undervalued | Most Overvalued | Market 
            Performers | Speculative | Penny 
            Stocks | Underperformers | DTs & 
            CBs | Undrafted Free Agents     
            Blue Chips 
              Two players jump out as having the best combination of elite talent, 
              NFL measurables, and opportunity. They are as close as you can get 
              to stone cold locks to put up great fantasy numbers from Week 1 
              of 2004 through long, productive careers.  
            Sean Taylor (S, Redskins) 
              The first defensive player taken in the draft, he brings linebacker 
              size and hitting ability with speed and cover skills of a corner. 
              Like his former college teammate, Ed Reed, Taylor should be a playmaker 
              at safety from day one. If you reach for one IDP in your dynasty 
              rookie draft, this should be the guy. 
            D.J. Williams (LB, Broncos) 
              He landed in a terrific situation, facing little competition in 
              winning the weak-side job. Williams should be the first LB off the 
              board in dynasty rookie drafts and projects as the highest scoring 
              rookie defensive player (in most systems). 
            Most Undervalued 
              It's hard to be a "sleeper" when you're taken early in 
              the NFL draft, but these four Day One picks carry question marks 
              or come into situations that may have other owners skittish about 
              their outlook. They may also simply fall due to all the offensive 
              rookie talent this year. However, they are talented players with 
              great upside that will leave you with bargains falling farther than 
              they should and outperforming their draft position. This doesn't 
              mean reach for them early, but keep an eye out for them as potential 
              bargains where they fall relative to your league. 
            Kenechi Udeze (DE, Vikings) 
              It's unusual for a potential franchise end to slide as far as he 
              did in the first round, but the deep WR class and concerns about 
              his shoulder resulted in just that. How does a guy with shoulder 
              problems put up 25 reps in the bench press? Regardless, he didn't 
              slide far enough (e.g. Lee Suggs in 2002) to believe it is a threat 
              to his season. Normally top rushing DE is one of the first IDPs 
              taken in dynasty rookie drafts, but for the same reasons he slid 
              in the real NFL draft, expect him to fall, a bit, and plan to take 
              advantage of it. The Vikings have a deep rotation of defensive linemen, 
              but he's already lining up as the starting right end and offers 
              the complete package. New DC Ted Cotrell has employed a 3-4 scheme 
              before, where the DEs are typically much less productive fantasy-wise, 
              but the Vikings are likely to continue with a base 4-3. 
            Dontarrious Thomas (LB, Vikings) 
              An intelligent hard worker, he also offers very appealing measurables. 
              Thomas struggled through a transition to MLB last year, not demonstrating 
              the instincts for the position. However, in Minnesota, he'll return 
              to the outside, where he'll have more freedom to just react and 
              utilize his physical talents. The Vikings plan to move Chris Claiborne 
              (assuming he's healthy) to the strong-side and Thomas is already 
              working with the first team defense as the weak-side LB. 
            Antwan Odom (DE, Titans) 
              After deciding to let Jevon Kearse walk, the Titans theory to addressing 
              DE in the draft appeared to be "throw enough crap at the wall 
              and something will stick". Out of three DEs they added, Odom 
              has the highest upside. He combines ideal size and great athleticism 
              with sufficient speed to succeed on the right side. With his wingspan 
              and leaping ability, he should be tremendous at deflecting passes 
              and coming up the middle on field goals. Another year of college 
              would have benefit him, so he might need a year to develop, but 
              he's the guy I'd want out of the crowded young DE situation in Tennessee. 
              He'll likely start out replacing Kevin Carter, who'll move in on 
              passing downs, at LDE, but could end up at RDE shortly. 
            Michael Boulware (S, Seahawks) 
              College LB who lacks the bulk and frame for the position at the 
              next level, but has the speed and cover skills to excel at SS. Many 
              teams avoid "tweeners", concerned about their ability 
              to make a position change, but Seattle reportedly thought enough 
              of him to try to consider moving for him in the first round. He 
              played well in space at FSU, and spent time practicing at S, so 
              he should not only make the adjustment, but also provide sufficient 
              coverage and superior run support on a team with an average LB group. 
            Most Overvalued 
              There's no greater buyer's remorse than remembering the defensive 
              player you selected early to pass on a Domanick Davis or Anquan 
              Boldin. These six may go higher than they should in dynasty rookie 
              drafts due to name recognition or their real NFL draft position. 
              They may be talented players, but relative to their potential and/or 
              the situation they landed in, you might be better taking a flyer 
              on another offensive player and seeing if they fall another round. 
            Jonathan Vilma (LB, Jets) 
              Drafted 1.12 (Fourth defensive player taken overall and first LB 
              taken) 
               
              I don't discredit Vilma's talent, but as the fourth defensive player 
              overall, and top linebacker, taken, he'll be going too early, when 
              you consider the negatives. He's undersized for a MLB and either 
              will have a tremendous player in front of him on the depth chart 
              or his team is moving to a 3-4. If the Jets had left Sam Cowart 
              on the outside, I might like Vilma's prospects better, but if they 
              think he's best suited to the middle, Vilma won't be taking that 
              job from him. If the Jets convert to a 3-4, it's a less desirable 
              situation, fantasy-wise, even if Vilma is a starter. 
            Jason Babin (LB, Texans) 
              Drafted 1.27 (Third DE taken) 
               
              After climbing draft charts this post-season, Babin helped himself 
              into the first round, but fell into a bad fantasy situation. While 
              he proved himself a strong pass rusher at DE with his hand on the 
              ground against inferior collegiate competition, he'll now need to 
              adjust to doing it standing up, against the best players in the 
              world, while learning the additional responsibilities of being a 
              LB. To complicate things, he now carries the pressure of being a 
              first round pick, expected to earn a starting job. If he can overcome 
              all this, he's still likely to start this year lining up at the 
              left outside position, which means he'll be coming in the line of 
              vision of most QBs, who are right-handed. 
            Daryl Smith (LB, Jaguars) 
              Drafted 2.7 (Fifth LB taken) 
               
              Probably too small to play inside, and the Jaguars have a young 
              stud there already in Mike Peterson. He was a great college player, 
              but he lacks the speed and suddenness to thrive outside. If he wins 
              a job outside, it will likely be at strong-side LB, so his potential 
              scoring appears limited even if he's a starter.  
            Travis LaBoy (DE, Titans) 
              Drafted 2.10 (Fourth DE taken) 
               
              Well, since I went with Odom as "Undervalued", I feel 
              cornered into ranking LaBoy as Overvalued, since he was drafted 
              first. However, the two were drafted just 15 picks apart, and it's 
              not because LaBoy doesn't have potential. However, he's probably 
              better suited to being a pass rush specialist in a 3-4. 
            Bob Sanders (S, Colts) 
              Drafted 2.12 (Second S taken) 
               
              Tremendous hitter with top speed, but saying he's undersized is 
              an understatement (he was one of the shortest players drafted at 
              5'8"). His height will make it challenging for him to ever 
              have sufficient coverage skills to thrive as an every down player. 
              As the IDP gods way of emphasizing "Stay Away", we also 
              find out he has a stress fracture in his foot that will prevent 
              him from participating in football activities until at least training 
              camp. That's a short time to earn a starting position, and it is 
              the type of injury that often seems to linger with a player over 
              the years. 
            Marquise Hill (DE, Patriots) 
              Drafted 2.31 (Sixth DE taken) 
               
              Hill is space-eater that is a great fit for a 3-4 and some interior 
              work, which means he's unlikely to produce good fantasy numbers. 
              He lacks the speed to ever be a premier edge rush threat and will 
              be asked to draw the double teams and collapse the pocket to allow 
              others to make plays. Textbook example of a player likely to be 
              a successful NFL player, but have significantly less fantasy value. 
            Market Performers 
              Talented players likely to be drafted in most dynasty leagues, whose 
              value should be commensurate with where they are drafted (early 
              to middle rounds). They have a strong outlook, but a situation that 
              immediately falls short of ideal and/or who need time to develop. 
              Their potential is great, but they might not fully display it as 
              rookies. 
            Will Smith (DE, Saints) 
              The Saints taking Smith was a move of value over need, which leaves 
              Smith in a crowded DE situation. Smith has the talent and measurables 
              to be a franchise RDE, but not the opportunity. He'll be a high 
              pick, but likely to offer little if your team needs immediate help. 
              Charles Grant is a fixture and Darren Howard just signed a one-year 
              deal, so Smith's ETA is 2005. However, the Saints defensive line 
              was plagued with injuries last season, so there's still hope for 
              this year. Great developmental prospect, for those who can afford 
              to wait. He was picked higher than Udeze, so for the guy(s) in your 
              league who will simply go off a list of defensive players in order 
              they will drafted, don't count on him falling far. 
            Karlos Dansby (LB, Cardinals) 
              A high school WR, Dansby started as a safety at Auburn, but kept 
              growing, figuratively and literally, into a LB. Now he has the size 
              of a linebacker, but retained the speed and cover skills of a safety. 
              He should be a top cover LB, but in the running game and as a pass 
              rusher, he is still learning how to play the position. Now his learning 
              curve increases, as he'll no longer be able to get buy on physically 
              dominating most opponents. Injury-prone Levar Fisher and Gerald 
              Hayes, who is better suited for the middle, are his competition 
              this year for an OLB job. If he can't win it right away, he has 
              tremendous promise as a playmaking OLB in the Julian Peterson mold. 
            Teddy Lehman (LB, Lions) 
              A successful OLB, he moved inside last year after a season-ending 
              injury to Lance Mitchell, and didn't miss a beat. The Lions seem 
              tentatively committed to James Davis on the weak-side, and Boss 
              Bailey's future may be there too, however Lehman is stout enough 
              to man the inside. He has the speed and coverage ability to be an 
              every down MLB, and Detroit experimented with him there in rookie 
              camp. The only negative is dreaded "product of the system" 
              cliché. Oklahoma has had a string of well-decorated LBs recently 
              that have failed to translate their success at the next level. However, 
              Lehman seems to have a better combination of sufficient measurables, 
              instincts, and football acumen than the others did. 
            Sean Jones (S, Browns) 
              Great physical specimen and solid all-around skills. Although a 
              few others went between him and Sean Taylor, this 2004 safety draft 
              class will be remembered for the Two Seans. In line to replace Robert 
              Griffith when injury or retirement ends his career soon, he also 
              has more upside than Earl Little. Should see time this season and 
              start at one of the safety spots by next season. 
            Speculative 
              Due to the limited starting lineup requirements and lack of scarcity 
              at IDP positions (in most leagues), taking a flyer on defensive 
              players in a dynasty rookie draft is uncommon. These guys will be, 
              and should be, late round picks or, in many cases, waiver wire material. 
              However, they have nice upside, or are in a situation to have value 
              as rookie, or both. Some of the first few mentioned are likely to 
              be drafted, but dropped, if they don't start, so they may be valuable 
              FA pick-ups in the future. 
            Demorrio Williams (LB, Falcons) 
              Great college player, he was undersized for a LB, but showed up 
              to the Combine at 232 pounds and still ran the 40 with RB speed 
              (4.45). Could be moved to safety, but if he can maintain that weight, 
              he has the instincts and explosiveness to succeed as a weak-side 
              LB. Despite converting to a 4-3, the Falcons had plenty of injury 
              and off-field problems at LB last year, so he could earn a spot 
              sooner rather than later. 
            Reggie Tobor (LB, Giants) 
              Moved to DE in college due to development of teammates Karlos Dansby 
              and Dontarrious Thomas. Led team with those guys in sacks and hurries. 
              Great opportunity as edge rushing LB with turnover on Giants. 
               
              Courtney Watson (LB, Saints) 
              Added weight to move to the middle last season and didn't compromise 
              any of his speed. He joins a crowded competition to start in the 
              middle, but has the versatility to play outside. While he has limited 
              upside to be special, his consistency and effort could make him 
              a solid starter. 
            Tony Hargrove (DE, Rams) 
              If you don't recognize the name, it's because he's been out of football 
              for a year. Academic ineligibility led him to miss the 2003 season 
              at GaTech. The most appealing aspect here is situation. With Grant 
              Wistrom gone and Leonard Little facing serious legal problems (again), 
              the opportunity here is better than most rookie defensive players. 
              He also has solid measurables for the position, including good speed. 
              In a DE class that lacks a lot of promising edge rushers, he at 
              least appears to have the physical potential. 
            Shaun Phillips (LB, Chargers) 
              Phillips will follow in the footsteps of fellow Purdue alums Rosevelt 
              Colvin and Akin Ayodele as an undersized, strong edge rushing DE 
              converting to OLB. He has the skills and measurables to make the 
              outlook promising for him to find similar success. With the Chargers 
              converting to a 3-4 defense, he could see work immediately on third 
              downs. They are crowded in the interior, but with apparently moving 
              Donnie Edwards inside, lacking on the exterior. He'll have to develop 
              coverage skills to have the opportunity to be a starter, so it could 
              be a year or two before he's in a position to be a major contributor, 
              but a successful start as a pass rusher will be a good sign he's 
              on his way. 
            Will Allen (S, Buccaneers) 
              Grew into a starting role last season, so he didn't have as much 
              exposure as players from schools with less depth, but he demonstrated 
              the skills and provides good measurables to be a promising prospect. 
              The track record of Ohio State DBs in the NFL is an excellent one, 
              as well. Free agency has left Dwight Smith and Jermaine Phillips 
              as the relatively new, and so far unspectacular, starters. With 
              the versatility to play either role, Allen could win a starting 
              role by next year. Great character, no off-field issues, add to 
              his appeal. 
            Keyaron Fox (LB, Chiefs) 
              An explosive player in college, including the ability to provide 
              a strong pass rush from the edge, he is a bit undersized for the 
              next level. However, he's a good fit for the Chiefs system that 
              is predicated on speed and disruption from their outside backers. 
              The Chiefs had no depth at LB last year, so he immediately looks 
              like their best option if Fujita or Barber goes down, and the likely 
              replacement if either leave. 
            Stuart Schweigert (S, Raiders) 
              After heading into last season being viewed as one of the top safeties, 
              off-field problems, as well as a building reputation as a poor tackler, 
              dropped him. He's a top athlete, reminiscent of Derrick Gibson, 
              in being more of an outstanding physical specimen than football 
              player. However, they didn't reach as high for Stu, and now he could 
              replace Gibson. In addition, with Rod Woodson potentially retiring 
              and a new coaching staff with no allegiance to current starters, 
              he has a tremendous opportunity. 
            Madieu Williams (S, Bengals) 
              Tweener who brings CB coverage skills with S run support. He joins 
              a crowded situation in the middle of the Bengals defensive backfield. 
              However, it's mostly a variety of has beens and never wases, so 
              he could find a starting job before the end of the season. 
            Marquis Cooper (LB, Buccaneers) 
              Classic system pick. Undersized for teams with other schemes or 
              preconceived notions, Cooper has the speed, skills, and coverage 
              ability to pan out as an understudy to Derrick Brooks. The addition 
              of Ian Gold eliminates a starting opportunity, but with at least 
              a year to add bulk (he has a frame that should support it) and absorb 
              knowledge, Cooper will be well positioned for a future starting 
              job. 
            Richard Seigler (LB, 49ers) 
              Good measurables and great instincts for an ILB. It's currently 
              a crowded situation, but filled with a lot of journeymen vets. Upside 
              to be a quality starter down the road, but his fantasy value is 
              limited in a 3-4. 
            Darrion Scott (DE, Vikings) 
              Like his new teammate Kenechi Udeze, Scott fell due to some shoulder 
              concerns. Intriguing tweener who lacks the top end speed to be a 
              premier pass rusher and is likely destined for less fantasy-friendly 
              work as an anchor end. His athleticism and explosive first step 
              could make him a very productive DT, if he spends more time there 
              as is considered one for fantasy purposes. The Vikings were very 
              successful moving Kevin Williams around, and while Scott does not 
              have the same upside, he gives them similar versatility. 
            Niko Koutouvides (LB, Seahawks) 
              Strong form tackler, not just a "hitter", which is important 
              at the next level, where you can't physically dominate running backs 
              and receivers like you could in college. That skill, combined with 
              his size, make him at least a prototypical two-down MLB. He has 
              limited upside, but there is reason to believe he could have a productive 
              career piling up tackles in the middle. It could start as soon as 
              this year, where the departure of Randall Godfrey leaves the MLB 
              job an open competition in Seattle. 
            Kendyll Pope (LB, Colts) 
              Lacks size for LB, but unlike FSU teammate Michael Boulware, does 
              not have the top speed to convert to safety. However, he comes to 
              a good system for undersized LBs. His speed could compensate in 
              a weak-side role, if David Thornton moves to the hole left by Marcus 
              Washington's departure on the strong-side. 
            Guss Scott (S, Patriots) 
              Bill Belichick always seems to land players on Day One he evaluated 
              differently than 31 other teams and countless "experts". 
              I don't know if he's necessarily right every time, but the guys 
              he gets succeed in his system, and that's what make him great at 
              what he does and the guys he picks to do it worth looking at. Eugene 
              Wilson's conversion from CB to S was prompted by BB's dissatisfaction 
              with his other options. That would line up Scott to be the current 
              heir to Rodney Harrison's SS spot. Harrison's age and vicious approach 
              to the game make him a higher than average risk to miss significant 
              time. While a bit undersized and lacking in coverage, Scott brings 
              the right attitude, hitting, and speed to succeed as a SS. 
            Landon Johnson (LB, Bengals) 
              Sufficient speed for an outside backer, he needs to put on some 
              weight, but appears to have a frame that could support it. If he 
              does, he provides flexibility to back-up all LB positions and could 
              shape up to take over one of the outside spots, eventually. 
            Leon Joe (LB, Bears) 
              The physical ability is there, he's one of the strongest and fastest 
              draftees at LB, but it remains to be seen if he can master the technique 
              and mental side to become more than a special teams player. He has 
              the speed Lovie craves and plays a position of need, so he's likely 
              to make the roster. With the departure of Warrick Holdman, the Bears 
              are left with two second-year players as the bookends to Urlacher 
              Lance Briggs is likely to hold the strong-side job, but Joe could 
              compete with Odom for the weak-side. However, I expect the team 
              to bring in a veteran after June 1st. Could be a SS too. 
            Dexter Reid (S, Patriots) 
              Unlike Gus Scott, Reid's draft position was more on par with the 
              consensus. Like Scott, he comes into a potentially good situation 
              for the similar reasons. If Wilson heads back to CB, opening up 
              FS, Reid is better suited for it than Scott. 
            Rod Davis (LB, Vikings) 
              A very highly regarded player after the 2002 season, he failed to 
              build on it last season and didn't show much potential to be special 
              in workouts. An intense player, he has the upside to be a solid 
              two-down MLB. With Greg Biekert retired, E.J. Henderson inherits 
              the middle job and has great upside, but already experienced some 
              concerning off-field and injury issues. If Henderson is out, moving 
              Dontarrious Thomas there might be the first option. If not, and 
              Davis gets the shot, he could be a solid waiver wire find. 
            
             Penny Stocks 
              Guys with little to no value right now, but with the chance to surprise 
              down the road. 
            Jason Shivers (S, Rams) 
              Surprised how far he fell, but he brings good talent and measurables 
              to a good situation. Learning behind Aeneas Williams will benefit 
              his development and allow him to develop physically. Best shot at 
              being a solid starter of any of the defensive players selected from 
              the fifth round on. 
            Etric Pruitt (S, Falcons) 
              Solid college player with decent measurables who does everything 
              well, but nothing exceptional. Between injury and disappointing 
              play, the Falcons secondary was a mess last year. He comes into 
              an excellent situation to see playing time right away and potential 
              to be an interim starter until someone better is found. 
            Nathaniel Adibi (LB, Steelers) 
              Like Baltimore, the Steelers are a good place for DE/LB tweeners 
              to land. Unlike Baltimore, the Steelers don't reach early for these 
              guys, but have had fantastic success at targeting undersized DEs 
              and converting them to productive LBs in their 3-4 scheme. For that 
              reason alone, Adibi is worth tracking. Despite Jason Gildon expected 
              to be a June 1st cut, the Steelers have Clark Haggans and last year's 
              conversion project, Alonzo Jackson, waiting in the wings. He'll 
              have to earn a roster spot first, and then it will probably be a 
              couple years before you hear from him, but he fits the mold of guys 
              who've been successful in Pittsburgh. 
            Isaac Hilton (LB, NYG) 
              He dominated Division I-AA and displayed fantastic athleticism in 
              his workouts, including the fastest 40 time of all defensive linemen 
              (4.59). However, two NFL stigmas - tweener and small school player 
              - had him plummet on draft day. Despite his speed, he's not looked 
              at as big enough to play with his hand down in the NFL. If not in 
              New York, he'll be looked at as a pass rush specialist somewhere 
              down the road. 
            Roderick Green (LB, Ravens) 
              Tremendous Division II DE landed in a good situation in Baltimore. 
              He's a great fit for their scheme where a speed pass rush is delivered 
              from the edges by their OLBs, both of whom are currently converted 
              college DEs. He's definitely not in the class of Peter Boulware 
              or Terrell Suggs out of college, but is a similar type player and 
              could be groomed for a similar role, but doesn't have the same kind 
              of upside. 
            Bobby McCray (DE, Jaguars) 
              Classic underachiever, measurables and skills rate him much higher, 
              but questions about his attitude, work ethic, and off-field issues 
              had him free fall. With the financial investment involved, teams 
              have become much more cautious about the intangibles. He's a complete 
              boom or bust pick, but carries no risk as a seventh round pick. 
              The opportunity is there with age on the edges of Jacksonville's 
              defensive line. 
            Claude Harriott (DE, Bears) 
              Viewed as one of the top collegiate DEs heading into last season, 
              he descended on draft boards through a year of injuries and underachievement. 
              He is a bit on the small side to play the run, but has decent speed 
              and displayed great pass rush skills in the past. Similar player 
              to Alex Brown, who found himself in a very similar situation when 
              he came out. The front four is definitely in flux, so a strong showing 
              from Harriot could fast track him into at least a third-down specialist 
              role. 
            Rashard Washington (S, Jets) 
              Fits in the classic cliché of being more an athlete than 
              football player. Measurables are very good for a FS, but his instincts 
              and cover skills are poor. He can hit though, so he should find 
              work on special teams and fall at the end of the line on the SS 
              depth chart. 
            Alex Lewis (LB, Lions) 
              People have said in selecting Teddy Lehman, Matt Millen was picking 
              a player like himself. However, Lehman comes into the league with 
              much better credentials and much more speed than Millen had. If 
              any Detroit pick looks like a poor man's Millen to me, it's Lewis. 
              Undersized for a LB, but is a high motor guy who should excel on 
              special teams and could earn a bigger role in a Detroit LB group 
              lean on depth. 
               
              Jorge Cordova (LB, Jaguars) 
              Unusually combination of ILB and DE in college. Undersized, but 
              also fast, for either position. A project who offers versatility, 
              which could speed his development in multiple situational roles. 
            Glenn Earl (S, Texans) 
              A big time hitter with the ideal size and intensity for SS. However, 
              with speed already a concern, he blew his knee last season and his 
              draft stock fell. He's unlikely to even be ready to contribute until 
              late in season. 
            Cody Spencer (LB, Raiders) 
              Great small school performer who impressed in workouts. Good measurables 
              and skills for a two-down inside LB. More opportunity if they move 
              to a 3-4. 
            Darrell McClover (LB, Jets) 
              Spent most of his career as a back-up with the Hurricanes, but he 
              got on the radar with a tremendous showing at Miami's Pro Day. Obviously 
              a project, but you have to consider a back-up on the Hurricanes 
              probably would have been a starter at many other schools, so there 
              could be untapped potential. 
            Jammal Lord (?, Texans) 
              Latest in a long line of scrambling QBs, particularly from Nebraska, 
              who will try to catch on at another position. Many "experts" 
              expected a shot as a RB or WR, but he worked as a LB and S prior 
              to the draft. The track record of successfully converting these 
              types of players is not good, so he's a long shot to ever become 
              useful from a fantasy perspective. However, GM Charley Casserly 
              has already demonstrated some good thinking out of the box with 
              a late round pick last year, in his move with Drew Henson. 
            Underperformers 
              Some middle round picks that were solid collegiate performers, generally 
              where you find quality sleepers, but due to situation and/or potential, 
              don't have promising short or long term outlooks. 
            Gilbert Gardner (LB, Colts) 
              First selection from a Purdue LB group that was arguably the best 
              in the country. Bad combination of poor speed and lack of size dim 
              his upside at this level. The departure of Marcus Washington leaves 
              a hole, but Kendyll Pope, despite being selected after Gardner, 
              appears to have better upside to be a starter. 
            Bo Schobel (DE, Tennessee Titans) 
              Landed in a tough situation as the Titans added a lot of ends to 
              find a way to replace Jevon Kearse. As the last of three selected, 
              he'll have more to prove. While tall, he lacks bulk and doesn't 
              appear to have the frame to carry much more weight. Without tremendous 
              athleticism, posted a TCU-record 17 sacks last season, succeeding 
              as a hard worker and high motor guy. That won't be enough to get 
              by at the next level. 
            Caleb Miller (LB, Bengals) 
              I thought Miller went high for a guy who appears to lack the talent 
              to succeed anywhere but the interior, but lacks the size for the 
              interior. The only thing worth watching is Nate Webster, recently 
              signed to start at MLB, is undersized and was never achieved more 
              than a back-up role in Tampa Bay. Kevin Hardy did not succeed at 
              converting to the middle last year, so the Bengals options are limited 
              if Webster is hurt or fails. 
            Brandon Chillar (LB, Rams) 
              The Rams have three young and promising LBs. He doesn't bring any 
              special skills that, barring injury, make him appear to be fit for 
              anything more than a back-up role. 
            Dave Ball (DE, Chargers) 
              Well-decorated collegiate player, but lacks the quickness and speed 
              to be a successful pass rusher at the next level. Upside limited 
              to unfriendly statistical roles as a two-down anchor end or DT in 
              NFL. 
            Robert Reynolds (LB, Titans) 
              Ideal size, but slow and in crowded situation. Upside is two-down 
              MLB, but most likely career back-up. 
               
              Defensive Tackles and Cornerbacks 
              As most leagues play with DL (either DE or DT) and DB (either S 
              or CB), I excluded DT and CB up to this point. As experienced IDP'ers 
              know, overall, DE and S are typically the more valuable positions 
              in each group. However, some leagues segregate the positions, so 
              some, for positive or negative reasons, are worth spending some 
              time discussing. 
            Darnell Dockett (DT, Cardinals) 
              Dockett can be an absolutely disruptive force in the middle and 
              is quick enough to work from the edges on running downs. He reminds 
              me of John Randle, and I imagine Denny Green saw some of that too, 
              making him the coach finally willing to look past his baggage. If 
              he can keep his head on straight, Dockett has the potential to be 
              the best fantasy producer at DT in this class, and you'll be able 
              to land him in the later rounds. 
            Tommie Harris (DT, Bears) 
              Any DT the Bears drafted on Day One could have been written into 
              the starting lineup in pen, but with Harris they landed one with 
              the skills, athleticism, and quickness to be the rare interior lineman 
              that can post decent fantasy stats. Playing for a strong Oklahoma 
              team that frequently rotated down linemen limited his stats, but 
              in Chicago, they'll need him in there on passing downs. 
            DeAngelo Hall (CB, Falcons) 
              Good chance he's a starter out of the block, but the Falcons lack 
              talent opposite him, so it's possible QBs test him less than your 
              typical rookie. Not as technically strong or with the size to be 
              a shut-down corner and post big tackle numbers as some other players 
              in the draft, but he's a tremendous playmaker, and that's what you 
              want if your league segregates S and CB. Even if he only sees a 
              few interceptions a year, he's likely to take one or two back and 
              find other ways to turn in big plays. Great return skills, as well. 
              If your league scores for kickoff and punt returns, bump him up. 
            Dunta Robinson (CB, Texans) 
              Playmaking corner still learning the position after starting as 
              a safety, a position from which he brought his run support ability 
              with him. Best aspect is he's starting immediately, and QBs tend 
              to test rookie CBs, so he should have an opportunity to contribute 
              fantasy-wise. 
            Matt Ware (CB/S, Eagles) 
              Fell a bit due to injury problems last season and because he's not 
              refined as either a corner or safety yet, but he has the skills 
              and measurables to succeed at either position. With the departure 
              of the tremendously successfully tandem of Troy Vincent and Bobby 
              Taylor, the corners are wide open in Philly this year. Third year 
              players Sheldon Brown and Lito Sheppard had extended auditions due 
              to injuries last year, and neither player has shown promise of being 
              anything particularly special. They will get first shot at the job, 
              but Ware could be the guy to eventually move into a full-time role. 
              His versatility had to make him appealing, as Brian Dawkins faced 
              a potential career-ending foot injury, as well, so his best chance 
              to make an immediate impact (and offer more fantasy value) may be 
              if Dawkins has any relapses. 
            Vince Wilfork (DT, Patriots) 
              As the second DT taken, Wilfork will probably be high on the DT 
              draft list of many people in leagues who require a DT, but he's 
              not worth reaching for. While he has the skills and athleticism 
              to make more plays than your standard 300-pounder, he didn't land 
              in a good situation. The Pats have a base 3-4, where the nose tackle 
              is simply a space eater. They also have a deep rotation on the defensive 
              line. Not someone you want to reach for, even if you're desperate 
              at DT. 
            Chris Gamble (CB, Panthers) 
              Knock on him is he is not technically sound, fluid in coverage and 
              sufficient in tackling, as a CB after only playing it part-time 
              in college. I think his double duty in college bodes well for his 
              future, as he obviously has supreme conditioning and will have the 
              legs to make plays in the fourth quarter. Measurables to be a great 
              CB and has a knack for turning in big plays. The Panthers put great 
              pressure on the QB, and it has been a boon to the fantasy production 
              of their unspectacular corners the last few years. A versatile athlete, 
              may see time in the return game and could become a talented punt 
              blocker, as well. 
               
              Keith Smith (CB, Lions) 
              Detroit's secondary was ravaged by injuries as much as any positional 
              group I've ever seen. If he finds a starting job opposite Pro Bowler 
              Dré Bly, he'll have the fantasy-friendly scenario of a rookie 
              CB who sees a lot of plays his way, and the historically conservative 
              NFC North looks to be airing it out this year. 
            Ahmad Carroll (CB, Packers) 
              Depth is a problem in the Green Bay secondary, so I'm not certain 
              how the McKenzie Situation is resolved means much to his value. 
              He might actually be in a better situation if McKenzie returns, 
              and he's the nickel corner, where he might see less balls, but have 
              a chance to make more plays on less talented receivers. 
            Will Poole (CB, Dolphins) 
              Big time skills, but lots of baggage. Boom or bust guy who will 
              either get his head screwed on straight and thrive, or disappear. 
              Seems beneficial that he'll have some time to develop behind two 
              premier corners, but this could also cause him to lose focus without 
              immediate responsibility and he didn't land in a good situation 
              with a coach who only has a tenuous grip on his locker room. 
            Igor Olshansky (DT, Chargers) 
              Very raw prospect who is still learning the game of football on 
              his way to being the first Russian-born NFL player. Skyrocketed 
              after impressive workouts. Extremely strong, but he's very tall 
              and lacks bulk, so until he learns to play with leverage, he's going 
              to get pushed around. Intriguing aspect is he played some DE. He 
              lacks the speed to be a premier pass rusher, but offers more value 
              if he sees some time there. 
            Christian Morton (CB, Patriots) 
              Morton undoubtedly came to Belichick's attention on tape of Eugene 
              Wilson, as the two formed the starting tandem at Illinois in Wilson's 
              last two college seasons. The early feedback on him is good, and 
              despite being a seventh round pick, the Pats lack depth at the corners. 
            
            
            Top Undrafted Free Agents 
              Keep an eye on all the LBs headed to the Giants. They turned over 
              their entire LB group without spending a high pick or adding a premier 
              FA. Also, teams like the Colts, Eagles, Ravens, and Cowboys are 
              good at finding and using low/no round guys. For individuals, Tommy 
              Kelly is a boom or bust guy who some people projected as a Day One 
              pick. Maurice Jones, Jonathan Harrell, Ty Meyers, and Andrew Shull 
              are guys with some skills who enter situations lacking depth. All 
              four safeties below are appealing long shots. 
            DE: Tommy Kelly, Raiders (DT); 
              Andrew Shull, Lions; Oyi Osunde, Browns (LB); Gabe Nyenhuis, Seahawks; 
              Kevin Emanuel, Cowboys; Greg Taplin, unsigned 
            DT: Darrell Campbell, Bears; 
              Brandon Kennedy, Broncos; Mondre Dickerson, Bengals; Cedric Hilliard, 
              Cowboys; Jon Bradley, Eagles; Ahmad Childress, Lions; DeMarco McNeill, 
              unsigned 
            LB: Bryan Hickman, Browns; Grant 
              Wiley, Vikings; T.J. Hollowell, Giants; Maurice Jones, Packers; 
              Greg Richmond, Eagles; Pasha Jackson, 49ers; Lewis Moore, Giants; 
              Jonathan Harrell, Panthers; Rich Scanlon, Chiefs; Billy Strother, 
              Redskins; Renauld Williams, 49ers; Cols Colas, Ravens; Ryan Fowler, 
              Cowboys; Roderick Royal, Falcons; Rob Peace, Giants; Ty Meyers, 
              Chargers; D.D. Acholonu, Bills; Josh Buhl, Browns (S); Carl Diggs, 
              unsigned; Vegas Robinson, unsigned 
            S: Arnold Parker, Seahawks; Kentrell 
              Curry, Browns; Rashad Baker, Bills; Brandon Everage, unsigned 
            CB: Roc Alexander, Broncos; Jabari 
              Greer, Bills; Lawrence Richardson, Bills; Marcell Almond, Ravens; 
              Randy Jordan, Chargers; Rufus Brown, Redskins; Stanford Samuels, 
              Colts; Johnny Lamar, Bills  
              
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