Version 2.0
1/7/05
The season is over, but that's barely half the evaluation process.
Al-star games (and more importantly, all-star practice weeks) and
the combine/individual workouts will go a long way to finalizing
draft boards. At this point, here's a look at where the top RBs
done with their eligibility, as well as underclassmen who have declared
early or are still likely to do so.
Name (School - Class as of 2004), Height, Weight, Estimated 40
Blue Chips
Cream of the crop heading into the post-season. This group combines
both NFL measurables and significant collegiate success that have
them on the path to being the top RBs selected in the 2005 draft.
Cedric Benson (Texas - 4SR) 5'11"
220 4.55
Honors: Big XII 1st Team All-Conference, Walter Camp All-American,
AP 2nd Team All-American, Doak Walker Award winner.
Strengths: Ideal measurables and durability for a feature back.
Prototypical workhorse who gets stronger as game goes on. Excellent
power runner, but is agile, with some quickness to get to the
edge and enough speed to turn it up field. Decent receiver out
of the backfield. Never buckled under pressure of playing for
Texas and comparisons to Ricky Williams. One of the most prolific
runners in college history.
Weaknesses: Despite dozens of huge games, none came against Oklahoma,
their biggest annual game. They were the only team to hold him
under 100 yards in 2004. Over 1,000 collegiate carries, he has
put a lot of wear and tear on his body already. Distracted by
pro baseball aspirations earlier in his career. Claim he'd rather
win Heisman than beat Oklahoma displays a bit of selfishness.
Dinged leg on first run, then had an ineffective day in Rose Bowl.
Outlook: He is not as talented in other areas as some feature
backs, but he has unquestionably the best potential to be a workhorse
Stephen Davis or Eddie George type of back in this class. If scouts
are impressed enough with him in all-star game practices and he
shows legit 4.5 speed in workouts, he'll be the first RB selected
and a top 10 pick.
Carnell Williams (Auburn - 4SR) 5'11"
205 4.50
Honors: SEC 1st Team All-Conference, AP 2nd Team All-American
Strengths: Number one rated senior prospect by National Scouting
and number two by Blesto coming into the season. Lets blocks develop,
then hits the hole hard, using incredible elusiveness and tremendous
vision in traffic to get up field. A slasher who is good at finding
the cutback lane when the hole is filled. Despite a slight frame,
great leg drive and balance give him impressive tackle-breaking
ability. Elusiveness and intuition allow him to elude the big
hits when tackled. Outstanding team player, sacrificed individual
accomplishment for team success, without complaint. Adds tremendous
value with his return skills.
Weaknesses: Smaller than ideal for a feature back. Despite some
workhorse games, mostly shared the load in talented backfield
throughout career. Sharing touches limited his statistical production.
Lacked defining big game, or string of games, where he clearly
dominated competition. Problems with durability early in his career,
but played in every game the last two years. Utilized a bit more
in the passing game in 2004, but underexposed to a pro style passing
game. Plays faster than his timed speed, so his 40 may disappoint
some expecting elite marks in a plain sprint.
Outlook: His slight frame, tough style, confidence, and electric
runs are reminiscent of Clinton Portis. Strong intangibles, especially
in simply being a winner and the strong scouts identify those
things. Risk of disappointing a bit in the measurables department
and as a receiver could make him a round two steal, but he's likely
to end up a first rounder.
Ronnie Brown (Auburn - 5SR) 6'0"
225 4.50
Honors: SEC 1st Team All-Conference
Strengths: Outstanding multi-dimensional talent. Size to pound
it inside, speed to take it outside, and hands to contribute in
the passing game. Ideal measurables and tremendous physical tools.
His game may be better suited for the next level than teammate
Carnell Williams.
Weaknesses: At once underexposed and overrated. Playing in the
same backfield with Williams has limited his touches, but also
left many hypothesizing about the possibilities if he didn't.
The reality is he has been in a RBBC most of his career and remained
second fiddle to Williams. Minor durability concerns as a nagging
hamstring problem that has lingered and cost him games each of
the last two seasons.
Outlook: The perception of his potential is tremendous, but without
having had the chance to fully prove himself on the field, his
all-star week and workouts will greatly influence his draft position,
one way or the other.
Ciatrick Fason (Florida - 3JR) 6'0"
215 4.45
Honors: SEC 2nd Team All-Conference
Strengths: Home run hitter with tremendous measurables. Excellent
receiver out of the backfield, developed in pro-style system.
Shows great motivation and dedication, shedding underachiever
label in his breakout 2004. Never quit playing through disappointing
losses and coaching controversy.
Weaknesses: Still very raw and got by with superior athleticism
than most opponents, which will be nullified at the next level.
Has a lot to learn about technique, blocking, and off-field work,
such as hitting the weight room and watching film.
Outlook: Underclassman - Declared. Enormous upside. His low profile
heading into the season left his breakout season underexposed
and perception of his value underrated by the media and most fans.
He has the tools to be an elite NFL back and translated it on
the field in 2004. He should blow scouts away in his workouts.
Vernand Morency (Oklahoma State - 3JR)
5'10" 215 4.50
Honors: Big XII 2nd Team All-Conference
Strengths: Tremendous all-around athlete. Brings a very complete
running game. Can work between the tackles, but has the vision
to bounce outside and the speed to hit the home run. Workhorse
in a run-first offense who produced big despite being the focus
of opposing defenses.
Weaknesses: He missed some time in the spring, including the
spring game, and was listed as low as third on depth chart for
some time. There is some rumor that there was some kind of legal
issue involved that was swept under the table. Durability is a
question, he has had injury problems every season. Limited due
to blow out in Alamo Bowl. He is an older prospect, whose football
development was slowed by four seasons in minor league baseball.
Outlook: Underclassman - Declared. Being an older prospect (he'll
be 25 in February) and coming off a great season, it's no surprise
he backed off earlier statements he was returning. The Cowboys
produce a lot of quality RBs and Morency is the latest one. He
showed flashes in 2003 as he posted a couple 200 yard games when
Tatum Bell was injured, before forcing an RBBC with the soon-to-be
2nd round NFL draft pick. As the feature back in 2004, he was
one of the most productive runners in the country, with more consistency
than his predecessor. In any other conference, he would have been
a bigger star, but he was overshadowed by UT's Cedric Benson and
OK's Adrian Peterson.
DeAngelo Williams (Memphis - 3JR)
5'9" 210 4.50
Honors: C-USA 1st Team All-Conference, C-USA Co-Offensive Player
of the Year, AP 3rd Team All-American
Strengths: One of the top all-purpose runners in football the
last three years. Quick feet make him surprisingly effective between
the tackles, then he's elusive in the open field, with enough
speed to take it to the house. He is also a gifted receiver and
talented return man. He led the nation in all-purpose yards in
2003 and was second in 2004. His intangibles are very good. Raised
in a poor and dangerous area, he spurned becoming involved in
gangs to become a blue chip prospect. Was perhaps the most highly-regarded
recruit in Memphis history and handled the burden of expectations
with record-breaking performances and helping lead the Tigers
program back to respectability.
Weaknesses: Lacks ideal size, although he has a well-defined
body. Has not proved himself against much elite competition in
a mid-major with a weak preseason schedule. Durability a bit of
a question, especially due to his size.
Outlook: Underclassman - Undecided. Most expected him to go out
on a high note against Bowling Green in the GMAC Bowl, then declare
for the draft. However, he fractured his right fibula in the disappointing
loss. It's not a major injury, so he should be able heal and rehab
in time to be in shape for an individual workout. Despite his
accomplishments and talent, his measurables are a little less
than desired, so it's unlikely he'll be a first round pick if
he declares, but he won't go past Day One. Reminiscent of Brain
Westbrook in his build, abilities, and multi-faceted game, as
well as being overlooked in not playing for a marquee program.
Possible Day One
This group has the potential to be Day One picks, but they have
concerns in one or more areas regarding measurables, durability,
or character. Their collegiate achievement and/or measurables
are not enough at this point to guarantee an early pick. They
will have to impress front offices in their all-star weeks and/or
at the combine or in individual workouts to have their name called
the first day of the draft.
Johnathan "J.J." Arrington
(California - 4SR) 5'9" 205 4.50
Honors: PAC-10 1st Team All-Conference, AP 1st Team All-American
Strengths: Extremely productive throughout breakout year in his
first season as a starter. Demonstrated ability to carry the load
and drove an offense that was expected to be led by the passing
game. Excellent open field speed gives him great big-play capability.
Familiar with pro-style offense. Good receiver, despite being
underutilized in that role. Helped himself with another big day
in Holiday Bowl, despite lack of complimentary passing game.
Weaknesses: Undersized to be a feature back at the next level,
better suited physically for change of pace role. Unknown quantity
prior to this year, exceeding expectations so much, his season
could be perceived as a fluke or by-product of Cal's success.
Trouble hanging on to the ball early in his Cal career.
Outlook: Burst on the scene in 2004 as the breakout senior RB
of the year. Will be observed very closely in all-star week and
workouts to see if his potential can overshadow his size.
Marion Barber III (Minnesota - 4JR)
5'11" 215 4.50
Honors: Big Ten Honorable Mention All-Conference
Strengths: Combined with teammate Laurence Maroney, as well as
a cast of other talented backs each of his seasons, to form one
of the most prolific backfields in college. Good size in a solid
frame with good vision and speed. He has an ideal NFL running
style, compact and keeping his pads low. So while not a bruising
runner, he is effective between the tackles. Nose for the goal
line, gets the job done in the red zone. Tremendous returner and
has soft hands, but was underutilized in the passing game. Ended
year strong in Music City Bowl against a strong Alabama defense.
Weaknesses: Needs to learn to let blocks develop. Not as productive
as he was the prior year and fell more into Maroney's shadow.
Playing in high-powered offenses during his career, with a backfield
full of options to keep defenses guessing, brings concern of being
just a "product of the system". This also resulted in
him never carrying the load as a feature back. He had a few games
near or at 30 carries, but regularly had around half that or less.
Some health issues and a groin hurt him at the end of 2003, but
no serious durability concerns.
Outlook: Underclassman - Undecided. If he built on a breakout
2004, the decision might be a no-brainer, instead he digressed
a bit. On the other hand, this could also push his decision, as
he saw former teammate completely disappear from the equation
after a very good year, due to Barber's emergence. This time,
he could be on the other end of it, as Maroney was definitely
looking like the better weapon after this season. He does many
things very well, but none truly great. However, he is one of
the more complete backs in the second tier, with little baggage.
All it would take is catching the eye of one team and/or an impressive
workout to solidify being a Day One pick.
Anthony Davis (Wisconsin - 5SR) 5'8"
195 4.45
Honors: Big Ten 2nd Team All-Conference
Strengths: Hits hole hard and explodes into secondary. Successful
between tackles because he is decisive and runs with authority,
despite his size. Excellent quickness and speed. Tremendous production,
when healthy.
Weaknesses: Undersized to be a feature back at the next level,
better suited physically for change of pace role, but lack of
experience in passing game means he needs development to be a
third down back. He needs a lot of work as a blocker and is easily
overwhelmed by a bull rush. Durability became a concern the last
two seasons. Possible "product of the system", as Wisconsin
has had other successful RBs recently that failed to translate
their success at the next level. Ineffective day in Outback Bowl.
Outlook: After looking like a future Heisman winner his first
two seasons, an ankle injury ruined 2003 and an eye injury cost
him three game this past season, while a thigh injury kept him
out of their crucial season finale. Between injuries, he remained
tremendously productive, but he really needed a huge season to
compensate for the skepticism about his size. Probably the highest
upside of the mighty mites in this year's RB class, but that still
means borderline Day One, likely Day Two pick.
Kevin "Kay-Jay" Harris (WVU
- 4SR) 6'1" 235 4.55
Honors: Big East 2nd Team All-Conference
Strengths: Tremendous all-around athlete. Great size/speed package.
Home run hitter who can turn any run or pass into a big play.
Raw pass catching skills, but decent hands and enough athleticism
that he could also be developed into a receiver. Went out strong
with huge day against tough FSU defense in Gator Bowl.
Weaknesses: Hampered by lingering hamstring and knee injuries
throughout season. Strong performances from teammates in backfield
resulted in a RBBC down the stretch, when his health was improved.
Raw, with only two season in D-IA, and unproven due to inability
to remain feature back this past season, his first opportunity
to do so at that level. He is an older prospect, whose football
development was slowed by three seasons in minor league baseball.
Outlook: Next to Maurice Clarett, Harris is the biggest enigma
in this RB class. I would be equally unsurprised to see him selected
as high as the late 2nd round and as low as the 7th round. Expectations
were high for him stepping into the starting role of a school
that has done a good job of developing RBs lately. Unlike his
recent RB predecessors at WVU, he had the measurables that could
make him an early Day One pick if he produced similarly. Then
injuries struck and a RBBC evolved, so he will have a lot to prove
during his all-star week and in workouts.
Cedric Houston (Tennessee - 4SR) 6'0"
220 4.55
Honors: SEC 2nd Team All-Conference
Strengths: Excellent physical tools, a very good size/speed combo
package. Great natural running talent and explosiveness through
the hole. Tennessee backs have a very good track record in the
NFL recently. Good hands for a big man and a decent blocker for
a college RB.
Weaknesses: Never fully stepped up and took command of the feature
back role. Frequently lost confidence of coaching staff, particularly
when plagued with fumbilitis, forcing a RBBC. Outperformed, more
often than not, late in the season by 3JR Gerald Riggs in their
RBBC. Can play like a finesse runner, at times, despite his size.
Durability a big concern, as he was frequently plagued by a variety
of injuries. Desire and dedication are questions, because him
simply never lived up to the potential he showed his freshman
year (before injuries) and inconsistently flashed since. Once
again overshadowed by Riggs in Cotton Bowl.
Outlook: This guy definitely passes the eyeball test and should
impress in his workouts, but they just leave you wondering why
he was such an underachiever and could never put it all together
for a full season. His upside is tremendous, and his draft position
will likely reflect that, but his likelihood to be a disappointing
journeyman who can never consistently produce despite his potential
and natural ability is at least as great as his chances of becoming
a solid feature back.
Eric Shelton (Louisville - 4JR) 6'2"
245 4.55
Honors: C-USA 2nd Team All-Conference
Strengths: Freakish size and speed combination, in the Greg Jones
mold (who is one of the reasons he left FSU), he presents an intriguing
package for the next level. Tremendous production, highlighted
by a few completely dominating games, despite job-sharing situation
- he scored 19 TDs and averaged almost 7 ypc.
Weaknesses: Stuck in one of the most talented backfields in the
country, his touches were limited and he was never asked to carry
the full load. Tremendous production by all RBs and playing in
an offense loaded with talent leaves concern he is a product of
the system. Needs improvement as a receiver and a blocker. A few
minor health concerns, suffering a serious head and neck injury
last year and missing part of the spring with a shoulder injury.
Outlook: Underclassman - Declared. Despite Lionel Gates graduating,
the Cardinals backfield remains stacked next year, highlighted
by the continued emergence of Michael Bush. Remaining in Louisville,
Shelton faced another season of sharing touches, so it's unlikely
he could have helped his draft value by staying. Workouts with
the draft class getting better with each additional defection
by a talented underclassmen, he's probably straddling the 3rd
and 4th rounds right now, pending his workouts.
Day Two
Weaknesses overshadow the strengths enough that these guys shouldn't
be the early picks they could be. Upside is significantly limited
by one or more of measurables, accomplishments, durability, or
character. All-star games and workouts performances could help
some move into Day One, or fall to be undrafted free agents.
Walter Reyes (Syracuse - 5SR) 5'9"
205 4.40
Honors: Big East 1st Team All-Conference
Strengths: Breakaway speed. Tremendous nose for the end zone.
Great hands, excellent option out of the backfield. One of the
most productive RBs in the country the last three years without
much support or complimentary offensive threats on his team.
Weaknesses: Undersized to be a feature back at the next level,
better suited physically for change of pace role. Disappointing,
injury-plagued senior season.
Outlook: After a couple of record-breaking seasons in a mediocre
program, expectations were high for Maurice Clarett's cousin this
past season. After a slow start, he missed a game with the flu,
the first in 42 consecutive games, and then tore three muscles
in his left shoulder in his final game at the Carrier Dome and
missed the next two games. He was healthy for their Champs Sports
Bowl game, but reinjured the shoulder in the second quarter, a
disappointing end to a disappointing season. He has a long way
to go to regain the value he's lost this year, where concerns
are his heavy workload final caught up with his undersized frame.
If his shoulder is not healthy, he could freefall into Day Two.
If it is, he should impress during his all-star week and in workouts,
moving back to Day One.
Tristian "T.A." McClendon
(North Carolina State - 3JR) 5'11" 215 4.55
Honors: None
Strengths: Knows to let blocks develop, then hits the hole hard.
Punishing running style and tackle-breaking ability complimented
by the frame of a workhorse back. Nose for the end zone. Soft
hands, very good in the receiving game, which give him upside
to be an everydown bruising feature back.
Weaknesses: Durability is a major concern. In addition to the
variety of injuries that have prevented him from being on the
field enough to reach his potential, his own HC, Chuck Amato,
openly questioned the time it took him to recover from a seemingly
minor injury in the spring. That brings his toughness and dedication
into question, as well. On the field, he giveth, but he giveth
away too. Fumbling, especially in crucial situations, has been
a problem. Lacks elite speed.
Outlook: Underclassman - Declared. After another injury-plagued
season, it was a bit of a surprise to see him declare so early.
However, rumor has it his academic eligibility was in serious
jeopardy, so he was going to make the jump regardless of where
the draft advisory board pegged him to go. The bottom line is
it will take a riverboat gambler of a GM to reach for him on Day
One. When healthy, he's one of the most talented backs in the
country, but the "when" has become increasingly rare.
Add the other questions about him in, and you have the risks outweighing
the rewards for reaching for him early in hope of having a 16-game
feature back.
Maurice Clarett (formerly Ohio State
- 3JR) 5'11" 230 4.60
Honors: Not applicable
Strengths: Ideal size and sufficient speed to be a feature back.
One of the most dynamic debuts of a true freshman in history in
leading Ohio State to a National Championship. Allegedly been
working out in Texas and is focused to perform well in workouts.
Weaknesses: His ongoing soap opera the last two years, with his
suspension, leading to dismissal, then suing the NFL to be eligible
for the draft, losing and appealing and losing again, and finally
claiming he was made a scapegoat for serious improprieties in
the Buckeyes program. The biggest impact of all that baggage is
that he hasn't played in a football game in two years. All teams
have to go on is one, albeit impressive, season, in which he also
displayed some durability issues, and his workouts. There were
mixed reviews of his workouts prior to last year's draft. His
reported 40 time of 4.58 is pedestrian for an NFL RB, but some
were impressed with the shape he kept himself in. Most were disappointed
to just plain angry that he refused to run at the combine, however.
They seemed more turned off by the audacity of his decision to
make scouts and front office people travel to see him workout
again, instead of doing it during the convenience of the combine,
than they were by some of his other issues.
Outlook: Underclassman - Declared. Even if his workouts are solid,
this is a complete crapshoot. Some thought last year he still
could have been a Day One pick. Now he's another year removed
from football and will have to workout all over again. Some GMs
seem to have enough disdain for him that wouldn't even spend a
late pick on him if he were there. I think this class has a little
more depth than last year, so I think he falls to Day Two.
Ryan Moats (Louisiana Tech - 3JR)
5'9" 200 4.50
Honors: WAC 1st Team All-Conference, WAC Offensive Player of the
Year
Strengths: One of the most productive RBs in the nation, he was
a one-man gang posting multiple huge days (over 200 yards four
times) despite lack of supporting cast and defenses keying on
stopping him. Didn't just dominate lesser teams, he had good games
against some of the better teams in the nation (e.g. at Miami
and at Tennessee, as well as pasting over 200 on bowl qualifiers
like Fresno State and Hawaii).
Weaknesses: Undersized for a feature back, lacks the receiving
and blocking skills for a third-down back. Durability became a
problem as his workload was increased in 2004. He suffered a lingering
ankle sprain and several minor injuries throughout the season.
Outlook: Underclassman - Declared. The emergence of Moats wasn't
a complete surprise to knowledgeable scouts and fans. He had a
tremendous season as a sophomore in 2003, setting multiple team
records and finishing first team All-WAC. He rose to a new level
this past season, with workhorse performances and tremendous production,
despite being the only significant threat on the offense. However,
his measurables are a bit less than ideal and the beating he took
caught up with him at various points during the season. Hard to
knock his decision to declare, it's unlikely his team will improve,
so it will be hard for him to repeat his success and leave Ruston
in one piece.
Frank Gore (Miami - 4JR) 5'10"
220 4.55
Honors: ACC 2nd Team All-Conference
Strengths: Great natural instincts and vision. Solid receiving
and blocking skills compliment his running ability. Exhibited
tremendous determination in twice successfully returning from
blown knees. He rushed his rehab and returned after only 9 months
from the latest torn ACL, so potential is there for him to improve
more by next fall. His production improved as the year went on,
finishing strong.
Weaknesses: Major durability concerns. Tore right ACL 3/19/02,
ending 2002 season before it began. After successfully returning
and being one of the top runners in the nation through the first
four games, tore left ACL 10/2/03. Returned again in 2004, sharing
carries with Tyrone Moss through the season. He was unable to
assert himself as a feature runner, carrying the full load, for
a full season. The injuries have sapped some speed and agility
he showed as a breakout true freshman in 2001, when he looked
like the next great RB.
Outlook: Underclassman - Undecided. Another season to show his
health is all the way back would help his draft status, but after
being plagued with two major injuries and finally coming off a
completely healthy season, Gore may not want to gamble waiting
one more year. As it stands, medical exams and workouts will largely
determine where he goes. Unlike former teammate Willis McGahee,
he never reached his full potential during a season to justify
reaching in the early rounds. High probability of being a boom
or bust pick with knee concerns make it likely no team will take
a chance until Day Two, and that allegedly is where the NFL Draft
Advisory Committee told him to expect to land, unless he really
blows them away in workouts.
Brandon Jacobs (SIU - 4SR) 6'4"
260 4.55
Honors: Gateway 2nd Team All-Conference, Gateway Newcomer of Year
Strengths: Freakish measurables with the size of a DE, but the
speed of a RB. Rarely brought down by the first tackler, devastating
stiff arm.
Weaknesses: Regarding his running style, at his size, it's hard
not to have an upright running style. While he has open field
speed, if he can't run you over between the tackles, he's not
going to juke you. He's followed a long and winding road to get
on the field: Signed a LOI with Auburn, but was academically ineligible,
so he went on to be a stud in JUCO. Returned to Auburn in 2003,
but was stuck behind two guys who will be among the first RBs
drafted. When Carnell Williams and Ronnie Brown both decided to
return, he had to move on again. To not lose a year of eligibility,
he went to D-IAA Southern Illinois. However, SIU had just brought
in another dissident of a D-IA crowded backfield, Terry Jackson
II from Minnesota, and had their own promising prospect in Arkee
Whitlock. So he was stuck in another RBBC. This contributed to
the fact he did not consistently dominate a lower level of competition
as much as scouts and front offices would have liked to have seen
after making such a move.
Outlook: A tremendously appealing physical prospect, it remains
to be seen if teams will consider him for a feature back role.
The fact they haven't seen him do it much against the highest
level of collegiate competition will make it hard for any team
to spend a high pick with comfort that he can handle the role.
He has the body to be a fullback, but is underdeveloped as a blocker,
since he's always been a feature back. Teams may also want to
see him work out for other positions. At Auburn, Tom Tuberville
tried to convince him to be a LB, and he practiced there some,
but he ultimately wanted to remain a running back. It will hurt
his draft value if he is reluctant to audition at other positions
during workouts.
Darren Sproles (Kansas State - 4SR)
5'7" 180 4.40
Honors: Big XII 2nd Team All-Conference
Strengths: One of the most productive multi-dimension talents
in football the last four years. Great speed, remarkable balance,
and amazingly elusive. Good receiver and outstanding return man.
Weaknesses: Vastly undersized. Disappointing season for team
and loss of offensive talent led to a decrease in productivity.
Lack of blocking skills limits his upside as a third down back.
Outlook: Textbook example of great college player who doesn't
project well at the next level due to lack of size. While still
a good year for most RBs, his 2004 performance fell far below
the record-braking, award-winning level of expectation he set
in his prior two seasons. While that was primarily due to the
struggles of the team, it also showed he isn't the type of player
who can single-handedly carry a team when defenses are allowed
to focus on him.
Lionel Gates (Louisville - 4SR) 6'0"
220 4.50
Honors: None
Strengths: Multi-talented athlete with good size and speed. Adds
value as a receiver out of the backfield and kick returner. Good
work ethic and team player.
Weaknesses: Underexposed in one of the most talented backfields
in the nation. As he never had, or claimed, the opportunity to
carry the load in college, there could be untapped potential,
but so far he's only shown he's a role player. Knee injury at
the end of the season pushed him further into the shadow of teammate
Eric Shelton. Non-factor in Liberty Bowl.
Outlook: Good at many things, great at nothing. Pro size/speed
combo and versatility make him a lock to be on an NFL roster,
but his upside may just be that of a special team player and very
capable backup RB. Great workout numbers could make him a surprise
climber before the draft, but he looks bound for Day Two or being
one of the top undrafted free agents.
End Game
An assortment of prospects with one or more intriguing facets,
but currently looking like no more than undrafted free agents,
barring surprising all-star game weeks and/or workouts. Some could
sneak into Day Two, some will be in another line of work this
fall.
Alvin Pearman (Virginia - 4SR) 5'9"
205 4.55
Honors: ACC 2nd Team All-Conference
Strengths: Outstanding all-purpose back, perhaps the best receiver
out of the backfield in the draft, as well as a talented return
man. Demonstrated some workhorse capability stepping in as the
feature back in the second half of the season. Gamer with great
work ethic and determination.
Weaknesses: Undersized to be a feature back at the next level,
better suited physically for change of pace role. In addition,
he lacks elite speed for a small back. Torn ACL in 2002, reinjured
knee in this year's MPC Computer Bowl.
Outlook: After establishing himself as a triple threat his freshman
year in 2001, the emergence of Wali Lundy in 2002 blocked Pearman
from a feature role. A knee injury ended 2002 and he remained
behind Lundy again in 2003. Exploded on the scene in 2004, returning
the favor to Lundy by replacing him as the feature runner when
Lundy struggled hanging onto the ball. Finished out the season
strong, before leaving their bowl game with a knee injury. The
severity of injury will determine if he is a Day Two pick or an
undrafted free agent, as he'll have to prove himself in workouts.
Great potential as third-down back and returner, but size and
durability concerns will prevent him from being more.
Alex Haynes (Central Florida - 5SR)
5'10" 220 4.55
Honors: None
Strengths: Excellent size and strength for RB. Powerful runner
with solid build. Versatile player, capable as a blocker and receiver.
Found success on bad team.
Weaknesses: Lacks second gear in open field. Durability a concern.
Outlook: Good at many things, very good at none. While he's shown
he can be a workhorse back, it's been interrupted with frequent
injury problems. He's the type of player who needs some scout
or GM to have a strong gut feeling about to get drafted in the
last round or two.
Bobby Purify (Colorado - 5SR) 6'0"
215 4.60
Honors: Big XII Honorable Mention All-Conference
Strengths: Displayed tremendous perseverance the second half
of the season in playing through serious injuries to both shoulders
and helping his team to win the Big XII North. Prototypical size
and hands for an NFL RB. Produced his first 1,000 yard season
in his first opportunity to be the feature back.
Weakness: Durability a major concern as he's been plagued by
several minor and major injuries throughout his careers. Injuries
have sapped his speed.
Outlook: While showing a lot playing hurt down the stretch, the
bigger issue is that he was hurt again and has been incredibly
injury-prone his whole collegiate career. It's unlikely he'll
impress in workouts. Late Day Two pick, at best.
Nehemiah Broughton (The Citadel -
4SR) 6'0" 245 4.55
Honors: Southern Conference (DI-AA) 2nd Team All-Conference
Strengths: Very physical runner with NFL measurables.
Weaknesses: Did not dominate a lower level of competition. Struggled
to produce on a poor team and in their spread offense. Better
suited to more traditional running formations, where he can hit
the line with a head of steam.
Outlook: The "Nemo-sapien" is a tremendous physical
specimen and caught the eye of scouts as seen by the rare invite
of a non-Division IA player to the Senior Bowl and combine. Might
have a future as a Zack Crockett type of short yardage/goal-line
back, but it seems likely he'll have to find his way there via
a practice squad as an undrafted free agent.
Lydell Ross (Ohio State - 4SR) 6'0"
225 4.55
Honors: None
Strengths: Ideal size and good pedigree.
Weaknesses: Consistently failed to live up to expectations after
strong freshman debut. Lacks elusiveness, runs into the pile and
goes down. Plays slower than his speed. Off-field incident at
strip club brings into question his maturity and behavior.
Outlook: What finally should have been Ross's breakthrough year
was derailed by inconsistency and trouble. He was passed first
by freshman Tony Pittman, then gave way to sharing carries with
Maurice Hall upon returning from suspension. Has the physical
tools, but not the talent, and perhaps not the dedication.
Dominique Dorsey (UNLV - 4SR) 5'7"
170 4.50
Honors: Mountain West 1st Team All-Conference
Strengths: Exploded as feature back in 2004 to lead conference
in rushing. Quick and explosive, hides behind blockers, then darts
upfield. Home run hitter. Adds value as tremendous kick returner.
Weaknesses: Size and durability. Carried the whole load for the
first time this year and broke down by the end.
Outlook: Too little (literally and figuratively), too late. It
would take another couple of inches and a lot more pounds for
scouts to reconcile his measurables with the accomplishments and
talent he flashed during the season. Lack of invitation to combine
hurts as he won't have the chance to be tested directly with his
peers. Finds himself in a similar situation to former teammate
Larry Croom, who took to barnstorming all-star games to showcase
himself last year, eventually finding work as an undrafted free
agent and getting an opportunity with the Cardinals at the end
of the year when injuries struck.
Noah Herron (Northwestern - 5SR) 5'11"
230 4.65
Honors: Big Ten 2nd Team All-Conference
Strengths: Size and strength. Punishing runner between tackles.
Soft hands make him an excellent receiver out of the backfield,
big man or otherwise.
Weaknesses: Speed.
Outlook: Great college play, but lack of speed makes in unlikely
he can transfer his success to the next level. Upside probably
limited to fullback and short yardage runner.
Derrick Wimbush (Fort Valley State
- 4SR) 6'1" 220 4.55
Honors: SIAC (DII) 1st Team All-Conference, SIAC Offensive Player
of the Year, SIAC MVP, AP 1st Team Little All-American, Harlon
Hill Trophy Finalist
Strengths: Prototypical size and decent speed. Workhorse back
who dominated competition.
Weaknesses: Unproven against superior competition.
Outlook: Wimbush is the mandatory sub-DI intriguing RB prospect
of the year. Playing against a significantly lower level of competition
in DII skews his accomplishments, but his measurables are ideal.
Missed out on a combine invite, but should make a couple all-star
stops to sell himself.
Manuel White (UCLA - 5SR) 6'2"
245 4.65
Honors: PAC-10 Honorable Mention All-Conference
Strengths: Powerful runner with excellent strength. Decent hands
for a big man.
Weaknesses: Speed. Blocking is raw, he is really an RB trapped
in a FB body. Durability has been a problem.
Outlook: The thunder to Maurice Drew's lightning is a tweener
whose value is handicapped by not being a good enough blocker
to step in as a FB and not being fast enough to be a feature RB.
He's a good football player, though, and could find a niche to
contribute.
Ryan Grant (ND - 4SR) 6'1" 215
4.50
Honors: None
Strengths: Tremendous physical specimen and all-around athlete.
Ideal size/speed package.
Weaknesses: Better athlete than football player. Durability is
an issue. Confidence and motivation are questionable, doesn't
seem to respond to challenges well.
Outlook: Breakout 2002 (behind an offensive line with a few future
NFL players), then disappeared when Julius Jones was reinstated
in 2003. Last season should have been a bounce back year that
propelled him into a Day One pick, but he struggled, being outplayed
by freshman Darius Walker, and battled nagging injuries. Extremely
disappointing season leaves him looking like not even worth drafting,
but someone could be really impressed by his workouts and want
to find a way to motivate him.
DeAndra Cobb (Michigan State - 4SR)
5'10" 185 4.50
Honors: None
Strengths: Quick and elusive home run hitter. Very good kick
returner.
Weaknesses: Not a feature back, upside is limited to change of
pace and returner.
Outlook: Kick return ability is the only thing that could land
him on a roster. If it does, he's a guy you could give 1-2 touches
a game trying for the big play, but he's not even a solid back-up.
Damien Nash (Missouri - 4JR) 5'11"
215 4.50
Honors: None
Strengths: Ideal measurables and big play ability.
Weaknesses: Significant durability concern with twice tearing
his ACL. Incomplete resume, serious lack of accomplishment at
D-IA level after only one season as starter.
Outlook: Underclassman - Undecided. Tremendously disappointing
season for Missouri culminated for Nash when he was suspended
for a game in late October after criticizing the play calling
of HC Gary Pinkel. Their differences were apparently irreconcilable,
as Nash left the team at the end of the season. With one year
of eligibility left, he could transfer to a D-IAA program to try
and build some more draft value, which he was unable to accomplish
due to Missouri's poor season. If he decides to declare, he'll
likely go undrafted, but has enough potential that he should be
quickly picked up as an undrafted free agent and be in a training
camp this summer.
DonTrell Moore (New Mexico - 4JR)
5'10" 208 4.55
Honors: Mountain West 1st Team All-Conference
Strengths: Workhorse back with decent size and great strength.
Tremendous production every year of his career, he owns multiple
team and conference rushing records.
Weaknesses: Durability concerns, as he has been hit by an injury
every season, and ended 2004 with a serious knee injury. Lacks
elite speed. Has played behind a huge and punishing offensive
line much of his career, lending concern to his individual talent
vs. the talent making holes for him.
Outlook: Underclassman - Undecided. Best served by staying another
year, and after suffering a serious knee injury in the Emerald
Bowl, it seems he has no choice. I listed him here mostly for
the benefit of people who were wondering what happened to him.
In theory, he could still declare, but as his knee will prevent
him from working out before the draft, he seems a lock to return
for his fourth season and attempt to become the seventh runner
in D-IA history to record four 1,000-yard seasons. If he can fully
return from his knee injury, he should be on of the top RB prospects
for the 2006 draft. If he had not hurt his knee and had declared
this year, he would have probably been a Day Two pick.
All-Star Games
Here's where you can catch the top senior RB prospects playing
in their last game before the draft. It is frowned upon to invite
underclassmen, but the competition to get talent to attract attendance
and scouts is fierce, so we may start to see exceptions. The Blue-Gray
game was cancelled for the second time in three years due to inability
to secure a main corporate sponsor. The game had been a Christmas
tradition since 1978 for seniors not playing in a bowl game. However,
its value was usurped by the Senior Bowl's emergence as the main
showcase game for all top seniors. Blue-Gray game organizers planned
to move the game to January this year and accept their position
as another one of the fallback choices, but the inability to get
a sponsor didn't make even that feasible. The Shrine Game now
gains prestige as the main second tier event. The Las Vegas Bowl
will also get more attention, as it expanded its parameters with
the absence of the Blue-Gray game. Formerly known as the Paradise
Bowl, it was a regional game for western prospects. Invitations
now went nationwide, to fill the gap for some prospects that would
have gotten squeezed by one less all-star game.
The Senior Bowl is the most prestigious and will have the most
NFL front office members and scouts in attendance. Many players
may accept invitations to other games earlier, but rescind if
invited to the Senior Bowl, as invitees to that game are finalized
last (to be officially announced 1/23/05). Generally, the top
senior prospects will only participate in the Senior Bowl. There
will be some overlooked or snubbed, especially if a particular
position is deep with senior talent.
Some players with little to no draft value will accept more than
one invite and barnstorm multiple games attempting to increase
their value through more exposure. However, as most of the games
also involve a few days to a week of practice, which is just as
important to their evaluation as the actual game. Because of this,
most prospects only participate in one game, even though you may
see them with multiple offers extended below. Injuries can also,
of course, change plans as well. Bottom line, the players attached
to the games in the lists below are very much subject to change
up to the game. However, these are about the most up-to-date and
accurate lists you'll find.
Senior
Bowl - 1/29/05
J.J. Arrington, Cal
Cedric Benson, Texas
Nehemiah Broughton, Citadel
Ronnie Brown, Auburn
Anthony Davis, Wisconsin
Kay-Jay Harris, WVU
Cedric Houston, Tennessee
Brandon Jacobs, SIU
Walter Reyes, Syracuse
Carnell Williams, Auburn
East-West
Shrine Game - 1/15/05
EAST
Kyle Eckel, Navy (FB)
Ryan Grant, ND
Madison Hedgecock, UNC (FB/TE)
Brandon Jacobs, SIU
Jesse Lumsden, McMaster (Canada)
WEST
J.J. Arrington, Cal
Chance Kretschmer, Nevada
Bobby Purify, Colorado
Zach Tuiasosopo, Wash (FB)
Manuel White, UCLA
Las Vegas
All-American Classic (formerly Paradise Bowl) - 1/22/05
EAST
DeCori Birmingham, Arkansas
Joshua Cribbs, Kent State (QB)
Jon Goldsberry, Purdue (FB)
Terry Jackson, SIU
Darnell Jones, Miss. St. (FB)
Chaz Williams, GA Southern (QB)
WEST
Ryan Fuqua, Portland State
Lionel Gates, Louisville
Justin Green, Montana
Keith Joseph, Texas A&M (FB)
Darnell Stephens, Air Force
Hula Bowl - 1/22/05
EAST
DeWhitt Betterson, Troy
DeAndra' Cobb, Michigan State
Jabari Davis, Tennessee
Kyle Eckel, Navy (FB)
Madison Hedgecock, UNC (FB/TE)
Lydell Ross, Ohio State
Tony Sutton, Wooster
WEST
Chris Bruhn, Washington State
Dominique Dorsey, UNLV
Jonathan Evans, Baylor (FB)
Marty Johnson, Utah
Derrick Wimbush, Fort Valley State
The
Village Gridiron Classic 1/15/04
NORTH
Kevin Dudley, Michigan (FB)
Darian Durant, UNC (QB)
Lionel Gates, Louisville
Maurice Hall, Ohio State
Paul Jefferson, Penn State (FB/TE)
Branden Joe, Ohio State (FB)
Rasheed Marshall, WVU (QB)
Lydell Ross, Ohio State
SOUTH
DeWhitt Betterson, Troy
Jimmy Dixon, GaTech (FB)
Dominique Dorsey, UNLV
Jonathan Evans, Baylor (FB)
Alex Haynes, Central Florida
Cactus Bowl
(for DII and III players) - 1/7/05
EAST
John Kuhn, Shippensburg (PA)
Matt Phillips, Edinboro (PA)
Derrick Wimbush, Fort Valley State
WEST
Chaumont Bouknight, Western State
Kegan Coleman, Central Missouri State
Emilio Iniquez, Central Washington
HBCU
All-Star Classic (for Historically Black College players)
- 1/17/05
EAST
Julius Jordan, Bowie State
Roland "Jay" Colbert, Howard
Coty Martin, South Carolina State
Carlos Smith, Elizabeth City State
Bradshaw Littlejohn, Morgan State (QB)
WEST
Derrick Wimbush, Fort Valley State
Perry Tisdale, Miles College
Charles Anthony, Tennessee State
James A. Johnson Jr., Arkansas Pine-Bluff
Billy Ray Moody, Arkansas Pine-Bluff
Combine
The following senior running backs were invited to the Combine.
Last year, the only RBs drafted on Day One who were not invited
to the Combine were underclassmen (who are not eligible to participate).
Of 17 RBs drafted overall last year, only 3 of them were seniors
who were not invited to the Combine. Recent prior drafts yield
similar ratios. Bottom line, the only notable RBs that will be
drafted and are not on this list, are underclassmen. The Combine
will be held 2/23/05 - 3/1/05 in Indianapolis, IN.
Ray Hudson, Alabama
DeCori Birmingham, Arkansas
Carnell Williams, Auburn
Ronnie Brown, Auburn
J.J. Arrington, Cal
Alex Haynes, Central Florida
Nehemiah Broughton, Citadel
Bobby Purify, Colorado
Darren Sproles, KSU
Lionel Gates, Louisville
Kevin Dudley, Michigan (FB)
DeAndra Cobb, Michigan State
Justin Green, Montana
Ryan Grant, ND
Madison Hedgecock, UNC (FB)
Noah Herron, Northwestern
Brandon Jacobs, SIU
Walter Reyes, Syracuse
Cedric Houston, Tennessee
Cedric Benson, Texas
Will Matthews, Texas (FB)
Keith Joseph, Texas A&M (FB)
Manuel White, UCLA
Alvin Pearman, VA
Zach Tuiasosopo, Washington (FB)
Kay-Jay Harris, WVU
Rasheed Marshall, WVU (QB)
Anthony Davis, Wisconsin
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