Version 3.0
2/16/05
Underclassmen are finalized and the All-Star games are complete.
All that remains is the Combine and individual workouts. Those crucial
tests of their raw physical skills, particularly speed, will cause
big gains or drops.
Name (School - Class as of 2004), Height, Weight, Estimated 40
Blue Chips
Cream of the crop heading into the post-season. This group combines
both NFL measurables and significant collegiate success that have
them on the path to being the top RBs selected in the 2005 draft.
Cedric Benson (Texas - 4SR) 5’11”
220 4.55
Honors: Big XII 1st Team All-Conference, Walter Camp All-American,
AP 2nd Team All-American, Doak Walker Award winner.
All-Star Game: Declined an invitation to the Senior Bowl, indicative
that he believes/has been told he is a high first round pick.
Strengths: Ideal measurables and durability for a feature back.
Prototypical workhorse who gets stronger as game goes on. Excellent
power runner, but is agile, with some quickness to get to the
edge and enough speed to turn it up field. Decent receiver out
of the backfield. Never buckled under pressure of playing for
Texas and comparisons to Ricky Williams. One of the most prolific
runners in college history.
Weaknesses: Despite dozens of huge games, none came against Oklahoma,
their biggest annual game. They were the only team to hold him
under 100 yards in 2004. Over 1,000 collegiate carries, he has
put some wear and tear on his body already. Distracted by pro
baseball aspirations earlier in his career. Claimed he’d
rather win Heisman than beat Oklahoma displays a bit of selfishness.
Dinged leg on first run, then had an ineffective day in Rose Bowl.
Outlook: He is not as talented in other areas as some feature
backs, but he has unquestionably the best potential to be a workhorse
Stephen Davis or Eddie George type of back in this class. He would
have to blow his workout to fall out of the first round. If he
shows legit 4.5 speed, he’ll be the first RB selected and
a top 10 pick.
Carnell Williams (Auburn - 4SR) 5’10”
206 4.50
Honors: SEC 1st Team All-Conference, AP 2nd Team All-American
All-Star Game: Despite being widely regarded as a first round
pick, Williams chose to accept his invitation to the Senior Bowl,
much to the delight of scouts and front offices. He had a strong
week of practice, showcasing his tremendous running abilities,
while answering questions about his blocking and ability to catch
the ball. He even lined up as a WR in some sets. However, he only
saw two plays in the game, as a precautionary measure due to a
strained back. Height and weight official as of the game.
Strengths: Number one rated senior prospect by National Scouting
and number two by Blesto coming into the season. Lets blocks develop,
then hits the hole hard, using incredible elusiveness and tremendous
vision in traffic to get up field. A slasher who is good at finding
the cutback lane when the hole is filled. Despite a slight frame,
great leg drive and balance give him impressive tackle-breaking
ability. Elusiveness and intuition allow him to elude the big
hits when tackled. Outstanding team player, sacrificed individual
accomplishment for team success, without complaint. Adds tremendous
value with his return skills.
Weaknesses: Smaller than ideal for a feature back. Despite some
workhorse games, mostly shared the load in talented backfield
throughout career. Sharing touches limited his statistical production.
Lacked defining big game, or string of games, where he clearly
dominated competition. Problems with durability early in his career,
but played in every game the last two years. Utilized a bit more
in the passing game in 2004, but underexposed to a pro style passing
game. Plays faster than his timed speed, so his 40 may disappoint
some expecting elite marks in a plain sprint.
Outlook: His slight frame, tough style, confidence, and electric
runs are reminiscent of Clinton Portis. Strong intangibles, especially
in simply being a winner and the strong scouts identify those
things. Risk of disappointing a bit in the measurables department
and as a receiver had him looking like a round two steal, but
after his Senior Bowl week of practice, with a decent workout,
he’s likely to end up a first rounder. Jon Gruden coached
the South squad in the Senior Bowl, so Cadillac had an extended
interview with a team with a need at RB and got to impress Gruden
first hand.
Ronnie Brown (Auburn - 5SR) 6’0”
225 4.50
Honors: SEC 1st Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: Declined an invitation to the Senior Bowl, indicative
that he believes/has been told he is a high first round pick.
Strengths: Outstanding multi-dimensional talent. Size to pound
it inside, speed to take it outside, and hands to contribute in
the passing game. Ideal measurables and tremendous physical tools.
His game may be better suited for the next level than teammate
Carnell Williams.
Weaknesses: At once underexposed and overrated. Playing in the
same backfield with Williams has limited his touches, but also
left many hypothesizing about the possibilities if he didn’t.
The reality is he has been in a RBBC most of his career and remained
second fiddle to Williams. Minor durability concerns as a nagging
hamstring problem that has lingered and cost him games each of
the last two seasons.
Outlook: The perception of his potential is tremendous, despite
never having had the chance to fully prove himself on the field.
He would have benefited from going to the Senior Bowl. Some rate
him as the top back in the draft, and his people are obviously
telling him he’s a first rounder, but his workouts will
greatly influence his draft position one way or the other.
Ciatrick Fason (Florida - 3JR) 6’0”
215 4.45
Honors: SEC 2nd Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: No invitations due to being an underclassmen.
Strengths: Home run hitter with tremendous measurables. Excellent
receiver out of the backfield, developed in pro-style system.
Shows great motivation and dedication, shedding underachiever
label in his breakout 2004. Never quit playing through disappointing
losses and coaching controversy.
Weaknesses: Still very raw and got by with superior athleticism
than most opponents, which will be nullified at the next level.
Has a lot to learn about technique, blocking, and off-field work,
such as hitting the weight room and watching film.
Outlook: Enormous upside. His low profile heading into the season
left his breakout season underexposed and perception of his value
underrated by the media and most fans. He has the tools to be
an elite NFL back and translated it on the field in 2004. He should
blow scouts away in his workouts. Don’t be surprised if
he is selected before one of the Cadillac-Brown-Benson trinity.
Vernand Morency (Oklahoma State - 3JR)
5’10” 215 4.50
Honors: Big XII 2nd Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: No invitations due to being an underclassmen.
Strengths: Tremendous all-around athlete. Brings a very complete
running game. Can work between the tackles, but has the vision
to bounce outside and the speed to hit the home run. Workhorse
in a run-first offense who produced big despite being the focus
of opposing defenses.
Weaknesses: He missed some time in the spring, including the
spring game, and was listed as low as third on depth chart for
some time. There is some rumor that there was some kind of legal
issue involved that was swept under the table. Durability is a
question, he has had injury problems every season. Limited due
to blow out in Alamo Bowl. He is an older prospect, whose football
development was slowed by four seasons in minor league baseball.
Outlook: Being an older prospect (he’ll be 25 in February)
and coming off a great season, it’s no surprise he backed
off earlier statements he was returning. The Cowboys produce a
lot of quality RBs and Morency is the latest one. He showed flashes
in 2003 as he posted a couple 200 yard games when Tatum Bell was
injured, before forcing an RBBC with the soon-to-be 2nd round
NFL draft pick. As the feature back in 2004, he was one of the
most productive runners in the country, with more consistency
than his predecessor. In any other conference, he would have been
a bigger star, but he was overshadowed by UT’s Cedric Benson
and OK’s Adrian Peterson.
Possible Day One
This group has the potential to be Day One picks, but they have
concerns in one or more areas regarding measurables, durability,
or character. Their collegiate achievement and/or measurables
are not enough at this point to guarantee an early pick. They
will have to impress front offices in their all-star weeks and/or
at the Combine or in individual workouts to have their name called
the first day of the draft.
Cedric Houston (Tennessee - 4SR) 5’10”
225 4.55
Honors: SEC 2nd Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: A solid week of practice at the Senior Bowl where,
despite not being overly impressive, he quietly performed well
in areas of concern. He ran with authority and caught the ball
fairly well, two areas that were question marks. In the actual
game, he was the most impressive RB. He had a few nice runs, showing
speed around the corner, and led the South with 45 yards on 9
carries. Height and weight are official as of the game.
Strengths: Excellent physical tools, a very good size/speed combo
package. Great natural running talent and explosiveness through
the hole. Tennessee backs have a very good track record in the
NFL recently. Good hands for a big man and a decent blocker for
a college RB.
Weaknesses: Never fully stepped up and took command of the feature
back role. Frequently lost confidence of coaching staff, particularly
when plagued with fumbilitis, forcing a RBBC. Outperformed, more
often than not, late in the season by 3JR Gerald Riggs in their
RBBC. Can play like a finesse runner, at times, despite his size.
Durability a big concern, as he was frequently plagued by a variety
of injuries. Desire and dedication are questions, because him
simply never lived up to the potential he showed his freshman
year (before injuries) and inconsistently flashed since. Once
again overshadowed by Riggs in Cotton Bowl.
Outlook: This guy definitely passes the eyeball test and should
impress in his workouts, but they just leave you wondering why
he was such an underachiever and could never put it all together
for a full season. His upside is tremendous, and his draft position
will likely reflect that, but his likelihood to be a disappointing
journeyman who can never consistently produce despite his potential
and natural ability is at least as great as his chances of becoming
a solid feature back. His Senior Bowl performance helped, but
it’s a small sample compared to the questions that came
up frequently over his career. If a lot of underclassmen impress
in their individual workouts, they will leapfrog him, but he’s
hanging onto a Day One grade now.
Eric Shelton (Louisville - 4JR) 6’2”
245 4.55
Honors: C-USA 2nd Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: No invitations due to being an underclassmen.
Strengths: Freakish size and speed combination, in the Greg Jones
mold (who is one of the reasons he left FSU), he presents an intriguing
package for the next level. Tremendous production, highlighted
by a few completely dominating games, despite job-sharing situation
- he scored 19 TDs and averaged almost 7 ypc.
Weaknesses: Stuck in one of the most talented backfields in the
country, his touches were limited and he was never asked to carry
the full load. Tremendous production by all RBs and playing in
an offense loaded with talent leaves concern he is a product of
the system. Needs improvement as a receiver and a blocker. A few
minor health concerns, suffering a serious head and neck injury
last year and missing part of the spring with a shoulder injury.
Outlook: Despite Lionel Gates graduating, the Cardinals backfield
remains stacked next year, highlighted by the continued emergence
of Michael Bush. Remaining in Louisville, Shelton faced another
season of sharing touches, so it’s unlikely he could have
helped his draft value by staying. Moves up a bit by default,
as some other Senior prospects failed to help their stock much
in their All-Star games.
Ryan Moats (Louisiana Tech - 3JR)
5’9” 200 4.50
Honors: WAC 1st Team All-Conference, WAC Offensive Player of the
Year
All-Star Game: An exception to the rule, he received a rare underclassmen
invitation to an All-Star Game, the Shrine Game. He had an outstanding
week of practice, earning the start for the East, but offered
a mixed bag in the game itself. He showed nice power for a smaller
back early, leading the East to a score on the first drive with
a 1-yard TD run, but also lost 6 yards on a run during that drive.
He finished the game with 11 carries for 27 yards, just 2.5 ypc.
Strengths: One of the most productive RBs in the nation, he was
a one-man gang posting multiple huge days (over 200 yards four
times) despite lack of supporting cast and defenses keying on
stopping him. Didn’t just dominate lesser teams, he had
good games against some of the better teams in the nation (e.g.
at Miami and at Tennessee, as well as pasting over 200 on bowl
qualifiers like Fresno State and Hawaii).
Weaknesses: Undersized for a feature back, lacks the receiving
and blocking skills for a third-down back. Durability became a
problem as his workload was increased in 2004. He suffered a lingering
ankle sprain and several minor injuries throughout the season.
Outlook: The emergence of Moats wasn’t a complete surprise
to knowledgeable scouts and fans. He had a tremendous season as
a sophomore in 2003, setting multiple team records and finishing
first team All-WAC. He rose to a new level this past season, with
workhorse performances and tremendous production, despite being
the only significant threat on the offense. However, his measurables
are a bit less than ideal and the beating he took caught up with
him at various points during the season. Hard to knock his decision
to declare, it’s unlikely his team will improve, so it will
be hard for him to repeat his success and leave Ruston in one
piece. On talent and collegiate performance, he’s a top
prospect, but he’ll need to impress in his individual workout
or measurables will catch up to him on draft day, especially considering
the depth of the class this year.
Marion Barber III (Minnesota - 4JR)
5'11" 215 4.50
Honors: Big Ten Honorable Mention All-Conference
All-Star Game: No invitations due to being an underclassmen.
Strengths: Combined with teammate Laurence Maroney, as well as
a cast of other talented backs each of his seasons, to form one
of the most prolific backfields in college. Good size in a solid
frame with good vision and speed. He has an ideal NFL running
style, compact and keeping his pads low. So while not a bruising
runner, he is effective between the tackles. Nose for the goal
line, gets the job done in the red zone. Tremendous returner and
has soft hands, but was underutilized in the passing game. Ended
year strong in Music City Bowl against a strong Alabama defense.
Weaknesses: Needs to learn to let blocks develop. Not as productive
as he was the prior year and fell more into Maroney’s shadow.
Playing in high-powered offenses during his career, with a backfield
full of options to keep defenses guessing, brings concern of being
just a “product of the system”. This also resulted
in him never carrying the load as a feature back. He had a few
games near or at 30 carries, but regularly had around half that
or less. Some health issues and a groin hurt him at the end of
2003, but no serious durability concerns.
Outlook: Although he didn’t build on a breakout 2004, he
saw first-hand former teammate Terry Jackson completely disappear
from the equation previously, due to Barber’s emergence.
If Barber stuck around another year, he could have been on the
other end of it, as Maroney was definitely looking like the better
weapon after this season. Barber does many things very well, but
none truly great. However, he is one of the more complete backs
in the second tier, with little baggage. All it would take is
catching the eye of one team and/or an impressive workout to solidify
being a Day One pick.
Kevin “Kay-Jay” Harris
(WVU - 4SR) 6’0” 232 4.55
Honors: Big East 2nd Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: Established himself as a versatile and intense
competitor in the practices leading up to the Senior Bowl. His
previously unknown blocking ability was decent and he was very
aggressive, delivering hits instead of absorbing them, whether
it was laying into a blitzer, hitting the hole with authority,
or finishing off a run strong. His quickness also impressed for
a larger back. However, the game itself was a different story.
He was unimpressive between the tackles, particularly in short
yardage situations, and created little on his own when he had
daylight. He finished with 30 yards on 11 carries, caught 1 pass
for 14, and lost a fumble. One of the knocks on him is he is constantly
trying to hit the homerun instead of taking what the defense gives,
and that was the case in the Senior Bowl, resulting in a poor
day overall. Height and weight are official as of the game.
Strengths: Tremendous all-around athlete. Great size/speed package.
Can turn any run or pass into a big play. Raw pass catching skills,
but decent hands and enough athleticism that he could also be
developed into a receiver. Went out strong with huge day against
tough FSU defense in Gator Bowl.
Weaknesses: Hampered by lingering hamstring and knee injuries
throughout season. Strong performances from teammates in backfield
resulted in a RBBC down the stretch, when his health was improved.
Raw, with only two seasons in D-IA, and unproven due to inability
to remain feature back this past season, his first opportunity
to do so at that level. He is an older prospect, whose football
development was slowed by three seasons in minor league baseball.
Outlook: Next to Maurice Clarett, Harris is the biggest enigma
in this RB class. I would be equally unsurprised to see him selected
as high as the late 2nd round and as low as later Day Two. Expectations
were high for him stepping into the starting role of a school
that has done a good job of developing RBs lately. Unlike his
recent RB predecessors at WVU, he has the measurables that gave
him a chance as an early Day One pick if he produced similarly.
Then injuries struck and a RBBC evolved, so he has a lot to prove
leading up to the draft. The Senior Bowl was a mixed bag, as his
practice was impressive, but game was not. As a bigger back, the
buzz will go up at the Combine and workouts if shows good speed.
Day Two
Upside is significantly limited by one or more of measurables,
accomplishments, durability, or character. Weaknesses overshadow
the strengths enough for some that they won’t be the early
picks they could be. Others are simply Day Two talent. Workout
performances could help some move into Day One, or fall to be
undrafted free agents.
Walter Reyes (Syracuse - 5SR) 5’9”
205 4.40
Honors: Big East 1st Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: Invited to Senior Bowl, but withdrew due to shoulder
injury.
Strengths: Breakaway speed. Tremendous nose for the end zone.
Great hands, excellent option out of the backfield. One of the
most productive RBs in the country the last three years without
much support or complimentary offensive threats on his team.
Weaknesses: Undersized to be a feature back at the next level,
better suited physically for change of pace role. Disappointing,
injury-plagued senior season.
Outlook: After a couple of record-breaking seasons in a mediocre
program, expectations were high for Maurice Clarett’s cousin
this past season. After a slow start, he missed a game with the
flu, the first in 42 consecutive games, and then tore three muscles
in his left shoulder in his final game at the Carrier Dome and
missed the next two games. He was healthy for their Champs Sports
Bowl game, but reinjured the shoulder in the second quarter, a
disappointing end to a disappointing season. Reinjuring the shoulder
also prevented him from participating in the Senior Bowl. He has
a long way to go to regain the value he’s lost this year,
where concerns are his heavy workload final caught up with his
undersized frame. If his shoulder is not healthy, he could freefall
into Day Two, reminiscent of what happen to Lee Suggs. If it is,
he should impress during his all-star week and in workouts, he
could leapfrog some lesser talents who finished the year stronger.
Johnathan “J.J.” Arrington
(California - 4SR) 5’8” 206 4.50
Honors: PAC-10 1st Team All-Conference, AP 1st Team All-American
All-Star Game: Seemed to generate no buzz during practice week
before Senior Bowl. He had a decent week, demonstrating, despite
his size, he has a good base and showed good fundamentals technically
in hitting the hole hard and keeping a good pad level when running.
However, his blocking and hands did not impress, although he had
shown to be a competent receiver during the season. His game was
a bit of a disaster. He had only 9 yards on 5 carries and showed
no ability to make defenders miss. Height and weight are official
as of the game.
Strengths: Extremely productive throughout breakout year in his
first season as a starter, rushing for 100+ yards in every game.
Demonstrated ability to carry the load and drove an offense that
was expected to be led by the passing game. Excellent open field
speed gives him great big-play capability. Familiar with pro-style
offense. Good receiver, despite being underutilized in that role.
Helped himself with another big day in Holiday Bowl, despite lack
of complimentary passing game.
Weaknesses: Undersized to be a feature back at the next level,
better suited physically for change of pace role. Unknown quantity
prior to this year, exceeding expectations so much, his season
could be perceived as a fluke or by-product of Cal’s success.
Trouble hanging on to the ball early in his Cal career.
Outlook: Burst on the scene in 2004 as the breakout senior RB
of the year. A strong Senior Bowl week and game would have helped
diminish concerns about his measurables, but now his Combine and
individual workout will factor heavily. There’s a lot of
depth in this RB class, so he needs to find a way there to separate
himself from the pack. That will be the difference between being
a Day One and Day Two pick.
Darren Sproles (Kansas State - 4SR)
5’6” 185 4.40
Honors: Big XII 2nd Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: After coming in almost two inches shorter than
his listed height, his Senior Bowl week was uphill from there.
A solid week of practice led to an Offensive MVP award for the
North, as he led the game in rushing with 55 yards on just 6 carries,
including a 24-yard TD run the highlighted his tremendous elusiveness
and quickness. Height and weight are official as of the game.
Strengths: One of the most productive multi-dimension talents
in football the last four years. Great speed, remarkable balance,
and amazingly elusive. He gets lost among his blockers, finds
the daylight, and burst through it. Good receiver and outstanding
return man, as well.
Weaknesses: Vastly undersized. Disappointing season for team
and loss of offensive talent led to a decrease in productivity.
Lack of blocking skills limits his upside as a third down back.
Outlook: Textbook example of great college player who doesn’t
project well at the next level due to lack of size. While still
a good year for most RBs, his 2004 performance fell far below
the record-braking, award-winning level of expectation he set
in his prior two seasons. While that was primarily due to the
struggles of the team, it also showed he isn’t the type
of player who can single-handedly carry a team when defenses are
allowed to focus on him. He bounced back big in the Senior Bowl,
showing that despite his frame, his quickness and speed can make
him a contributor at the next level. He definitely has the ability
to add a spark in a variety of ways. Many front offices will be
debating how early to reach for a guy who will never be an everydown
player, but who can offer game-breaking explosion in a variety
of roles.
Brandon Jacobs (SIU - 4SR) 6’4”
261 4.55
Honors: Gateway 2nd Team All-Conference, Gateway Newcomer of Year
All-Star Game: He was one of the brightest stars at the Shrine
Game. After showcasing his tremendous size/speed combo in practices,
he flashed during the game, finishing as the game’s leading
rusher with 11-102-2, including a 52-yard TD run highlighting
his speed. Height and weight are official as of the game.
Strengths: Freakish measurables with the size of a DE, but the
speed of a RB. Rarely brought down by the first tackler, devastating
stiff arm.
Weaknesses: Regarding his running style, at his size, it’s
hard not to have an upright running style. While he has open field
speed, if he can’t run you over between the tackles, he’s
not going to juke you. He’s followed a long and winding
road to get on the field: Signed a LOI with Auburn, but was academically
ineligible, so he went on to be a stud in JUCO. Returned to Auburn
in 2003, but was stuck behind two guys who will be among the first
RBs drafted. When Carnell Williams and Ronnie Brown both decided
to return, he had to move on again. To not lose a year of eligibility,
he went to D-IAA Southern Illinois. However, SIU had just brought
in another dissident of a D-IA crowded backfield, Terry Jackson
II from Minnesota, and had their own promising prospect in Arkee
Whitlock. So he was stuck in another RBBC. This contributed to
the fact he did not consistently dominate a lower level of competition
as much as scouts and front offices would have liked to have seen
after making such a move.
Outlook: A tremendously appealing physical prospect, it remains
to be seen if teams will consider him for a feature back role.
At Auburn, Tom Tuberville tried to convince him to be a LB, and
he practiced there some, but he ultimately wanted to remain a
running back. It will hurt his draft value if he is reluctant
to audition at other positions during workouts, as teams may want
to see this. The fact they haven’t seen him do it much against
the highest level of collegiate competition will make it hard
for any team to spend a high pick with comfort that he can handle
the role. He has the body to be a fullback, but is underdeveloped
as a blocker, since he’s always been a feature back. At
the Shrine Game, he made a statement that there is no doubt he
should be a feature back, as he dominated the game as a runner.
If his Combine and individual workout create more buzz, he could
be a fast riser by the time the draft is here.
Anthony Davis (Wisconsin - 5SR) 5’8”
195 4.45
Honors: Big Ten 2nd Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: Did not participate due to injury.
Strengths: Hits hole hard and explodes into secondary. Successful
between tackles because he is decisive and runs with authority,
despite his size. Excellent quickness and speed. Tremendous production,
when healthy.
Weaknesses: Undersized to be a feature back at the next level,
better suited physically for change of pace role, but lack of
experience in passing game means he needs development to be a
third down back. He needs a lot of work as a blocker and is easily
overwhelmed by a bull rush. Durability became a concern the last
two seasons. Possible “product of the system”, as
Wisconsin has had other successful RBs recently that failed to
translate their success at the next level. Some character issues
in his past. Unimpressive day in Outback Bowl, his final collegiate
game.
Outlook: After looking like a future Heisman winner his first
two seasons, an ankle injury ruined 2003 and an eye injury cost
him three game this past season, while a thigh injury kept him
out of their crucial Big Ten finale at Iowa. Between injuries,
he remained tremendously productive, but he really needed a huge
season to compensate for the skepticism about his size. Probably
the highest upside of the mighty mites in this year’s RB
class, but that still means borderline Day One, likely Day Two
pick.
Tristian “T.A.” McClendon
(North Carolina State - 3JR) 5’11” 215 4.55
Honors: None
All-Star Game: No invitations due to being an underclassmen.
Strengths: Knows to let blocks develop, then hits the hole hard.
Punishing running style and tackle-breaking ability complimented
by the frame of a workhorse back. Nose for the end zone. Soft
hands, very good in the receiving game, which give him upside
to be an everydown bruising feature back.
Weaknesses: Durability is a major concern. In addition to the
variety of injuries that have prevented him from being on the
field enough to reach his potential, his own HC, Chuck Amato,
openly questioned the time it took him to recover from a seemingly
minor injury in the spring. That brings his toughness and dedication
into question, as well. On the field, he giveth, but he giveth
away too. Fumbling, especially in crucial situations, has been
a problem. Lacks elite speed.
Outlook: After another injury-plagued season, it was a bit of
a surprise to see him declare so early. However, rumor has it
his academic eligibility was in serious jeopardy, so he was going
to make the jump regardless of where the draft advisory board
pegged him to go. The bottom line is it will take a riverboat
gambler of a GM to reach for him on Day One. When healthy, he’s
one of the most talented backs in the country, but the “when”
became increasingly rare. Add the other questions about him in,
and you have the risks outweighing the rewards for reaching for
him early in hope of having a 16-game feature back.
Maurice Clarett (formerly Ohio State
- 3JR) 5’11” 230 4.60
Honors: Not applicable
All-Star Game: No invitations due to being an underclassmen/outcast.
Strengths: Ideal size and sufficient speed to be a feature back.
One of the most dynamic debuts of a true freshman in history in
leading Ohio State to a National Championship. Allegedly been
working out in Texas and is focused to perform well in workouts.
Weaknesses: His ongoing soap opera the last two years, with his
suspension, leading to dismissal, then suing the NFL to be eligible
for the draft, losing and appealing and losing again, and finally
claiming he was made a scapegoat for serious improprieties in
the Buckeyes program. The biggest impact of all that baggage is
that he hasn’t played in a football game in two years. All
teams have to go on is one, albeit impressive, season, in which
he also displayed some durability issues, and his workouts. There
were mixed reviews of his workouts prior to last year’s
draft. His reported 40 time of 4.58 is pedestrian for an NFL RB,
but some were impressed with the shape he kept himself in. Most
were disappointed to just plain angry that he refused to run at
the Combine, however. They seemed more turned off by the audacity
of his decision to make scouts and front office people travel
to see him workout again, instead of doing it during the convenience
of the Combine, than they were by some of his other issues.
Outlook: Even if his workouts are solid, this is a complete crapshoot.
Some thought last year he still could have been a Day One pick.
Now he’s another year removed from football and will have
to workout all over again. Some GMs seem to have enough disdain
for him that wouldn’t even spend a late pick on him if he
were there. I think this class has a little more depth than last
year, so I think he falls to Day Two.
Frank Gore (Miami - 4JR) 5’10”
220 4.55
Honors: ACC 2nd Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: No invitations due to being an underclassmen.
Strengths: Great natural instincts and vision. Solid receiving
and blocking skills compliment his running ability. Exhibited
tremendous determination in twice successfully returning from
blown knees. He rushed his rehab and returned after only 9 months
from the latest torn ACL, so potential is there for him to improve
more by next fall. His production improved as the year went on,
finishing strong.
Weaknesses: Major durability concerns. Tore right ACL 3/19/02,
ending 2002 season before it began. After successfully returning
and being one of the top runners in the nation through the first
four games, tore left ACL 10/2/03. Returned again in 2004, sharing
carries with Tyrone Moss through the season. He was unable to
assert himself as a feature runner, carrying the full load, for
a full season. The injuries have sapped some speed and agility
he showed as a breakout true freshman in 2001, when he looked
like the next great RB.
Outlook: Another season to show his health is all the way back
would have helped his draft status, but after being plagued with
two major injuries and finally coming off a completely healthy
season, he did not want to gamble waiting one more year. Medical
exams and workouts will largely determine where he goes. Unlike
former teammate Willis McGahee, he never reached his full potential
during a season to justify reaching in the early rounds. High
probability of being a boom or bust pick with knee concerns make
it likely no team will take a chance until Day Two, and that allegedly
is where the NFL Draft Advisory Committee told him to expect to
land, unless he really blows them away in workouts.
End Game
An assortment of prospects with one or more intriguing facets,
but currently looking like no more than undrafted free agents,
barring surprising all-star game weeks and/or workouts. Some could
sneak into Day Two, most will be undrafted free agents, and some
will be in another line of work this fall.
Derrick Wimbush (Fort Valley State
- 4SR) 6’1” 220 4.55
Honors: SIAC (DII) 1st Team All-Conference, SIAC Offensive Player
of the Year, SIAC MVP, AP 1st Team Little All-American, Harlon
Hill Trophy Finalist
All-Star Game: As a DII player, he needed all the exposure he
could get, so Wimbush hit the Cactus Bowl, HBCU All-Star Classic,
and the Hula Bowl. He shined the brightest in the most important
to gaining exposure, the Hula Bowl. He rushed 4 times for 74 yards,
including a 59-yard TD run, and won the Offensive MVP for the
West squad.
Strengths: Prototypical size and decent speed. Workhorse back
who dominated competition.
Weaknesses: Unproven against superior competition.
Outlook: Wimbush is the annual sub-DI intriguing RB prospect.
Playing against a significantly lower level of competition in
DII skews his accomplishments, but his measurables are ideal.
Missed out on a Combine invite, but made a few all-star stops
to sell himself and definitely wrapped up at least a look as an
undrafted FA.
Lionel Gates (Louisville - 4SR) 6'0"
220 4.50
Honors: None
All-Star Game: 6 carries for just 5 yards in Gridiron Classic.
Strengths: Multi-talented athlete with good size and speed. Adds
value as a receiver out of the backfield and kick returner. Good
work ethic and team player.
Weaknesses: Underexposed in one of the most talented backfields
in the nation. As he never had, or claimed, the opportunity to
carry the load in college, there could be untapped potential,
but so far he’s only shown he’s a role player. Knee
injury at the end of the season pushed him further into the shadow
of teammate Eric Shelton. Non-factor in Liberty Bowl.
Outlook: Good at many things, great at nothing. Pro size/speed
combo and versatility make him a lock to be on an NFL roster,
but his upside may just be that of a special team player and very
capable backup RB. Great workout numbers could make him a surprise
climber before the draft, but he looks bound for Day Two or being
one of the top undrafted free agents.
Alvin Pearman (Virginia - 4SR) 5’9”
205 4.55
Honors: ACC 2nd Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: Injured knee in MPC Computer Bowl that apparently
kept him out of all-star games.
Strengths: Outstanding all-purpose back, perhaps the best receiver
out of the backfield in the draft, as well as a talented return
man. Demonstrated some workhorse capability stepping in as the
feature back in the second half of the season. Gamer with great
work ethic and determination.
Weaknesses: Undersized to be a feature back at the next level,
better suited physically for change of pace role. In addition,
he lacks elite speed for a small back. Torn ACL in 2002, reinjured
knee in this year’s MPC Computer Bowl.
Outlook: After establishing himself as a triple threat his freshman
year in 2001, the emergence of Wali Lundy in 2002 blocked Pearman
from a feature role. A knee injury ended 2002 and he remained
behind Lundy again in 2003. Exploded on the scene in 2004, returning
the favor to Lundy by replacing him as the feature runner when
Lundy struggled hanging onto the ball. Finished out the season
strong, before leaving their bowl game with a knee injury. The
severity of injury will determine if he is a Day Two pick or an
undrafted free agent, as he’ll have to prove himself in
workouts. Great potential as third-down back and returner, but
size and durability concerns will prevent him from being more.
Nehemiah Broughton (The Citadel -
4SR) 5’11” 249 4.55
Honors: Southern Conference (DI-AA) 2nd Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: Spent the week at the Senior Bowl auditioning
as a FB. His blocking was better than expected for a guy who has
spent his career as a feature RB in single-back sets. His hands
need some work, as he dropped a couple of passes in the game.
Height and weight are official as of the game.
Strengths: Very physical runner with NFL measurables.
Weaknesses: Did not dominate a lower level of competition. Struggled
to produce on a poor team and in their spread offense. Better
suited to more traditional running formations, where he can hit
the line with a head of steam.
Outlook: The “Nemo-sapien” is a tremendous physical
specimen and caught the eye of scouts as seen by the rare invite
of a non-Division IA player to the Senior Bowl and Combine. The
Senior Bowl showed he could likely make the transition to FB.
He might have a future as a Zack Crockett type of short yardage/goal-line
back, but it seems likely he’ll have to find his way there
via a practice squad as an undrafted free agent.
Alex Haynes (Central Florida - 5SR)
5’10” 220 4.55
Honors: None
All-Star Game: 3 carries for –2 yards in the Gridiron Classic.
Strengths: Excellent size and strength for RB. Powerful runner
with solid build. Versatile player, capable as a blocker and receiver.
Found success on bad team.
Weaknesses: Lacks second gear in open field. Durability a concern.
Outlook: Good at many things, very good at none. While he’s
shown he can be a workhorse back, it’s been interrupted
with frequent injury problems. He’s the type of player who
needs some scout or GM to have a strong gut feeling about to get
drafted in the last round or two.
Manuel White (UCLA - 5SR) 6’2”
242 4.65
Honors: PAC-10 Honorable Mention All-Conference
All-Star Game: Practiced for Senior Bowl, but DNP in game. Height
and weight are official as of the game.
Strengths: Powerful runner with excellent strength. Decent hands
for a big man.
Weaknesses: Speed. Blocking is raw, he is really an RB trapped
in a FB body. Durability has been a problem.
Outlook: The thunder to Maurice Drew’s lightning is a tweener
whose value is handicapped by not being a good enough blocker
to step in as a FB and not being fast enough to be a feature RB.
He’s a good football player, though, and could find a niche
to contribute.
Ryan Grant (ND - 4SR) 6’1”
207 4.50
Honors: None
All-Star Game: Good week of practice for the Shrine Game, showcasing
his athleticism. Finished the game with 7 carries for 24 yards
and 2 receptions for 19 yards. Height and weight are official
as of the game.
Strengths: Tremendous physical specimen and all-around athlete.
Ideal size/speed package.
Weaknesses: Better athlete than football player. Durability is
an issue. Confidence and motivation are questionable, doesn’t
seem to respond to challenges well.
Outlook: Breakout 2002 (behind an offensive line with a few future
NFL players), then disappeared when Julius Jones was reinstated
in 2003. This past season should have been a bounce back year
that propelled him into a Day One pick, but he struggled, being
outplayed by freshman Darius Walker, and battled nagging injuries.
Extremely disappointing season leaves him looking like not even
worth drafting, but someone could be really impressed by his workouts
and want to find a way to motivate him.
Damien Nash (Missouri - 4JR) 5’11”
215 4.50
Honors: None
All-Star Game: No invitations due to being an underclassmen.
Strengths: Ideal measurables and big play ability.
Weaknesses: Significant durability concern with twice tearing
his ACL. Incomplete resume, serious lack of accomplishment at
D-IA level after only one season as starter.
Outlook: Tremendously disappointing season for Missouri culminated
for Nash when he was suspended for a game in late October after
criticizing the play calling of HC Gary Pinkel. Their differences
were apparently irreconcilable, as Nash left the team at the end
of the season. With one year of eligibility left, instead of transferring
to a D-IAA program to try and build some more draft value, he
decided to declare. In leaner years at RB, maybe, but in this
class he won’t be drafted. Has enough potential that he
could be picked up as an undrafted free agent and in a training
camp this summer.
Noah Herron (Northwestern - 5SR) 5’11”
221 4.65
Honors: Big Ten 2nd Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: A quiet Senior Bowl week was highlighted by a
24-yard TD reception to seal the North’s victory. He ran
for only 17 yards on 5 carries, but grabbed 2 passes for 40 yards.
Height and weight are official as of the game.
Strengths: Size and strength. Punishing runner between tackles.
Soft hands make him an excellent receiver out of the backfield,
big man or otherwise.
Weaknesses: Speed.
Outlook: Great college player, but lack of speed makes in unlikely
he can transfer his success to the next level. Upside probably
limited to fullback and short yardage runner. They didn’t
look at him as a FB much at the Senior Bowl, but he did impress
with his hands as a receiver out of the backfield.
DeCori Birmingham (Arkansas - 4SR)
5’10” 200 4.56
Honors: None
All-Star Game: Impressed at Las Vegas Classic, earning East MVP
and noted as one of the few players with NFL potential.
Strengths: Excellent hands. Exceptional quickness. Knack for
the big-play. Adds value with versatility, especially as a returner.
Weaknesses: Too short and slow for a WR, still learning to be
RB.
Outlook: Former HS RB was converted to WR due to depth at RB,
but was moved back to RB out of necessity in 2003 due to injuries.
Blew up at Kentucky, but returned to RBBC for rest of season and
in 2004, failing to build on that breakout game. Talented utility
player with questionable NFL measurables. Upside is return specialist
and third down back, if he can learn how to block.
Lydell Ross (Ohio State - 4SR) 6’0”
225 4.55
Honors: None
All-Star Game: Impressive week of practice and then 8 carries
for 32 yards and a TD in the Villages Gridiron Classic. Accepted
invitation to Hula Bowl, but did not show.
Strengths: Ideal size and good pedigree.
Weaknesses: Consistently failed to live up to expectations after
strong freshman debut. Lacks elusiveness, runs into the pile and
goes down. Plays slower than his speed. Fumbling was a problem
this past season. Off-field incident at strip club brings into
question his maturity and behavior.
Outlook: What finally should have been Ross’s breakthrough
year was derailed by inconsistency and trouble. He was passed
first by freshman Tony Pittman, déjà vu of what
happen to him when Maurice Clarett arrived, then gave way to sharing
carries with Maurice Hall upon returning from suspension. Has
the physical tools, but not the talent, and perhaps not the dedication.
Bobby Purify (Colorado - 5SR) 6’1”
209 4.60
Honors: Big XII Honorable Mention All-Conference
All-Star Game: Gained no ground with an unspectacular week at
the Shrine Game. He finished the game with 19 yards on 5 carries.
Height and weight are official as of the game
Strengths: Displayed tremendous perseverance the second half
of the season in playing through serious injuries to both shoulders
and helping his team to win the Big XII North. Prototypical size
and hands for an NFL RB. Produced his first 1,000 yard season
in his first opportunity to be the feature back.
Weakness: Durability a major concern as he’s been plagued
by several minor and major injuries throughout his careers. Injuries
have sapped his speed.
Outlook: While showing a lot playing hurt down the stretch, the
bigger issue is that he was hurt again and has been incredibly
injury-prone his whole collegiate career. It’s unlikely
he’ll impress in workouts. Late Day Two pick, at best.
Dominique Dorsey (UNLV - 4SR) 5’7”
170 4.50
Honors: Mountain West 1st Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: Participated in the Villages Gridiron Classic
in FLA, then went cross-country and over the Pacific to attend
the Hula Bowl the following Saturday. Led all rushers in the Gridiron
Classic with 57 yards on 8 carries, including a game-winning 28-yard
TD run for the South. At Maui, he saw only 3 carries, but produced
20 yards on them for the West.
Strengths: Exploded as feature back in 2004 to lead conference
in rushing. Quick and explosive, hides behind blockers, then darts
upfield. Home run hitter. Adds value as tremendous kick returner.
Weaknesses: Size and durability. Carried the whole load for the
first time this year and broke down by the end. Only one year
of great production and a feature role on his resume.
Outlook: Too little (literally and figuratively), too late. It
would take another couple of inches and a lot more pounds for
scouts to reconcile his measurables with the accomplishments and
talent he flashed during the season. Lack of invitation to Combine
hurts as he won’t have the chance to be tested directly
with his peers. Found himself in a similar situation to former
teammate Larry Croom, who took to barnstorming all-star games
to showcase himself last year, eventually finding work as an undrafted
free agent and getting an opportunity with the Cardinals at the
end of the year when injuries struck. Dorsey looks to be hoping
for the same after hitting the Gridiron Classic and Hula Bowl.
DeAndra Cobb (Michigan State - 4SR)
5’10” 185 4.50
Honors: None
All-Star Game: After a quiet week of practice, had 17 yards on
4 carries in Hula Bowl.
Strengths: Quick and elusive home run hitter. Very good kick
returner.
Weaknesses: Not a feature back, upside is limited to change of
pace and returner.
Outlook: Kick return ability is the only thing that could land
him on a roster. If it does, he’s a guy you could give 1-2
touches a game trying for the big play, but he’s not even
a solid back-up.
DeWhitt Betterson (Troy - 5SR) 6’0”
218 4.65
Honors: Sun Belt 1st Team All-Conference
All-Star Game: As a Combine snub, he took to hitting the All-Star
circuit to showcase himself. Solid performance at the Villages
Gridiron Classic, where he had 44 yards on 11 carries and caught
a couple of rare passes thrown his way. Really impressed the following
week at the Hula Bowl where he earned Offensive MVP for the East,
leading all rushers with 77 yards on 10 carries, including a 31-yard
run that set up a TD.
Strengths: Pounding workhorse who can carry the load.
Weaknesses: Speed. Non-factor at catching the ball. Some health
concerns after requiring back surgery after 2003 season.
Outlook: Cranked out back-to-back 1K seasons despite being the
focus of opposing defenses, as Troy’s passing attack has
been one of the worst in the country. He has the size and strength
to be a feature back, but his quickness and speed are problems.
Being overlooked for the Combine makes his chances of being drafted
very slim, despite a good All-Star performance. If he can develop
blocking skills, probably has a better shot at the next level,
if given a chance as an undrafted FA, as a short-yardage specialist
FB.
Combine
The following senior running backs (or players who could get a
look as a running back) were invited to the Combine. Last year,
the only RBs drafted on Day One who were not invited to the Combine
were underclassmen (who are not eligible to participate). Of 17
RBs drafted overall last year, only 3 of them were seniors who
were not invited to the Combine. Recent prior drafts yield similar
ratios. Bottom line, the only notable RBs that will be drafted
and are not on this list, are underclassmen. The Combine will
be held 2/23/05 – 3/1/05 in Indianapolis, IN.
J.J. Arrington, Cal
Cedric Benson, Texas
DeCori Birmingham, Arkansas
Nehemiah Broughton, Citadel
Ronnie Brown, Auburn
DeAndra Cobb, Michigan State
Anthony Davis, Wisconsin
Kevin Dudley, Michigan (FB)
Lionel Gates, Louisville
Ryan Grant, ND
Justin Green, Montana (FB)
Kay-Jay Harris, WVU
Alex Haynes, Central Florida
Madison Hedgecock, UNC (FB)
Noah Herron, Northwestern
Cedric Houston, Tennessee
Ray Hudson, Alabama
Brandon Jacobs, SIU
Keith Joseph, Texas A&M (FB)
Rasheed Marshall, WVU (QB/WR)
Will Matthews, Texas (FB)
Alvin Pearman, VA
Bobby Purify, Colorado
Bryan Randall, Virginia Tech (QB/WR)
Walter Reyes, Syracuse
Darren Sproles, KSU
Zach Tuiasosopo, Washington (FB)
Manuel White, UCLA (FB)
Carnell Williams, Auburn
Maurice Clarett’s agent has indicated he’ll be attending
the Combine, but I’ve found no independent confirmation
of that.
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