Week 11
11/17/10
Defensive Line
- Jacksonville hoped to have addressed their pass rush problems
when they added DE Aaron
Kampman in the offseason, but now have no consistent threat
to opposing QBs after Kampman tore his right ACL during practice
last week, a year after tearing his left ACL. It looks like
their pair of 2010 fifth-round picks this year will battle it
out to replace Kampman at RDE. Rookie Austen
Lane got the star, with rookie Larry
Hart working in also. Lane put up a goose egg and Hart had
1 TFL. On the left side, Jeremy
Mincey took over as the new LDE. He was expected to replace
former first-round pick Derrick
Harvey before the bye, but broke his hand and Lane started
over Harvey for a game. Mincey took over on Sunday and had 5
solo tackles and a QB hit. Rookie DT Tyson
Alualu was limited by a knee he banged up in practice last
week, fortunately not as badly as Kampman. Alualu had 1 solo
tackle in the game.
- Atlanta DE John
Abraham is in the most impressive streak of health in his
career and the results are back. After a disappointing 5.5 sacks
in 2009 despite not missing a game, Abraham has had three multi-sack
games in his last five and now had 8 sacks on the season, tied
for fourth in the league. Contributing to his health has been
a reduced snap count to keep him fresh. Abraham hasn’t been
a tackle-producer for some time, so it doesn’t impact his fantasy
expectations much, as most owners should only be expecting the
sacks.
- While Cincinnati DE Jonathan
Fanene remained inactive with a hamstring injury, DE Antwan
Odom returns from his four-game suspension this week (correcting
my statement last week he had two games left – the bye counted
as one). The team has a one-week roster exemption on Odom, so
he doesn’t have to be activated this week, but it’s hard to
see the Bengals waiting. Their rotation of Michael
Johnson and Frostee
Rucker at RDE and Robert
Geathers and rookie Carlos
Dunlap at LDE has been underwhelming, particularly in the
pass rush. Dunlap did get his first career sack on Sunday and
had a TFL on another play. I assume the nominal starters will
be Odom on the right and Geathers, or Fanene, when healthy,
on the left, but this should remain a deep, ineffective rotation.
They might as well plug Dunlap in, as he has the most potential.
There is no question about his ability; it’s just if he’ll put
in the effort to consistently excel. HC Marvin Lewis had some
thinly-veiled comments along these lines after praising Dunlap’s
performance in Monday’s press conference when Lewis said “learning
how to practice is the biggest thing with Carlos”, which is
coachspeak for he’s lazy.
- I expected bigger things facing the team that had surrendered
the most sacks in the league coming in to Sunday, but Minnesota
DE Jared
Allen had the team’s only sack at Chicago. He has 3.5 in
the last two games.
- Arizona DE Darnell
Dockett couldn’t play through a shoulder stringer, missing
a game for the first time in his seven-year NFL career. One
of the most durable DLinemen in the league, only San Francisco
DE Justin
Smith (151 straight games) had played in more consecutive
games than Dockett (104) until his streak ended on Sunday.
- Pittsburgh RDE Brett
Keisel missed his fourth straight game with a hamstring
injury and is expected to miss this week. Nick Eason continues
to replace him. On the left side, Ziggy Hood continues to work
in place of Aaron
Smith, who missed his third straight game with a partially
torn left biceps. Smith hasn’t been placed on the IR yet, as
the team hopes to have him back for the playoffs, but he isn’t
expected back in the regular season.
- After putting together a couple good games, Detroit DE Cliff
Avril sat out Sunday with a hamstring injury. Turk
McBride started in his place on the left side and had 6
tackles (2 solo), but it was Lawrence
Jackson who was the bigger beneficiary. The former first-round
pick of Seattle, who was acquired for a sixth-round pick by
the Lions, wasn’t off to much better of a start with his new
team as he was not even active for every game this season. However,
as their third DE against Buffalo, he posted 8 tackles (4 solo),
including his only sack in the game, and forced a fumble on
Buffalo RB Fred Jackson. RDE Kyle Vanden Bosch also had 8 tackles
(3 solo).
- Coming off his best game of the season, productive reserve
Buffalo DE Spencer
Johnson left the game early on Sunday with a pulled hamstring
and is expected to miss at least this week.
- A patchwork DLine in Seattle benefit from an injured backfield
in Arizona forcing them to work mostly through the air. DE Chris
Clemons had a pair of sacks and he leads the team with 7.5
on the season. It has been a decent breakout season for Clemons,
who has always shown potential as a pass rusher and should now
achieve career highs across the board as a full-time starter
for the first time in his career. I was pretty high on him coming
in to the season and frankly expected a few more sacks from
him at this point, as his schedule gets a bit less friendly
the rest of the way. More than half his sacks have come in three
games against Arizona and Chicago, the two teams who have surrendered
the most sacks this season. On the left side, Kentwan
Balmer continues to have a tenuous hold on the job as the
replacement for Red
Bryant, who is done for the season. Raheem
Brock could push him, but now he faces some off-field issues
after a DUI arrest on Saturday morning. Even more problematic
for him could be that he didn’t tell the team about the arrest
before the game, which HC Pete Carroll disclosed when asked
about why Brock faced no disciplinary action on Sunday. Carroll
can’t be too happy about that, but also needed him as the team
was also without DT Colin
Cole (ankle sprain) for the second straight game. Junior
Siavii continues to replace Cole, who is expected to miss
this week too. The team did release DT Frank
Okam, who was added for depth because of their injuries,
but that could be more because he has nothing left than a good
sign for Cole.
- Philadelphia DE Juqua
Parker had to leave Monday night with a hip flexor strain,
but he is expected to be ready this week. Bump up Darryl
Tapp if he isn’t. DT Antonio Dixon continues to start over
DT Brodrick
Bunkley (torn elbow ligament) next to Mike
Patterson, but both are eating in to the other’s stats.
- Dallas DE Marcus
Spears was placed on IR last week with a strained calf.
Stephen
Bowen got the start in his place. Depth is thin at end,
with rookie Sean
Lissemore out 4-6 weeks with a high ankle sprain.
- Teams allowing the most sacks this season (start your pass
rushers against them):
1. Arizona, Chicago (33)
3. Carolina (27)
4. Oakland (26)
5. Washington, Philadelphia (25)
7. Seattle (24)
- Top waiver wire recommendations of
the week: Charles
Johnson won the battle to replace Julius
Peppers this year, and he has been solid, but unspectacular
(although he has better stats than Peppers this year). However,
as you try to solidify your playoff roster, I’m circling his
Week 15 match up with Arizona as a potential big game. If you
are really hurting, Antwan
Odom was probably dropped when he was suspended. He didn’t
do much to start the season, but should have a starting job
back with the dismal performance of the ends in his absence.
In dynasty leagues, grab Carlos
Dunlap for next year and beyond.
Linebacker
- The experiment with Brian
Cushing in the middle is over in Houston. After struggling
to adapt, he returned to his natural SLB position on Sunday
and posted 9 solo tackles, including 1 TFL, and had a QB hit.
The new MLB was Kevin
Bentley, who slid in from SLB where he had been replacing
Cushing, and had 7 tackles (6 solo). WLB Zac Diles stayed put
and posted 8 tackles (7 solo).
- While other sources, including the Carolina website, indicated
Jordan Senn as the new WLB after Dan
Connor was lost for the season, I
discussed here last week Nic
Harris was the likely replacement and made him a waiver
wire recommendation. Harris started at WLB and led the team
with 11 tackles (8 solo). Jon
Beason slid back inside to MLB and had 6 solo tackles, including
2 TFL. Breakout SLB James Williams had 7 tackles (5 solo) and
recovered a fumble. After double-digit tackles in three of his
first four games, Anderson hasn’t had one since, although he
hasn’t had less than 7 tackles either, so he’s been very consistent,
but he’s now “fallen” to seventh in the league in tackles. Tweener
Eric
Norwood has also seen some more work. He is working at both
DE and OLB in pass rush situations as the current front four
rotation is struggling to generate pressure.
- The adrenaline finally wore off for Indianapolis WLB Clint
Session. Despite returning to play after fracturing his
right forearm and dislocating the elbow in the previous game,
Session was inactive and is out indefinitely, although it looks
like it will be hard to keep him on the sidelines long. It was
mildly surprising that seventh-round pick Kavell
Conner, and not Tyjuan
Hagler, replaced Session in as the starting WLB, although
Hagler replaced Conner in passing situations. The two cannibalized
each other’s numbers, so it’s hard to recommend either at the
fantasy-friendly WLB spot for the Colts. The team was also without
MLB Gary
Brackett, who was out with turf toe. Impressive second-round
pick Pat
Angerer slid inside to once again replace Brackett, while
Philip
Wheeler, who recently lost the starting SLB job to Angerer,
got the start there.
- With “just” 9 tackles (4 solo) on Sunday, New England ILB
Jerod
Mayo broke a streak of five consecutive games with double-digit
tackles this season. He still leads the league in tackles with
105.
- An Aaron
Curry sighting! The former first-round pick for Seattle
had his best game of the season with 8 solo tackles, including
2 sacks, forcing a fumble on one of them. The OLB has been a
disappointment at least from a fantasy perspective in his first
two seasons and it’s hard to get excited about his two sacks
coming against the team that has given up the most sacks in
the league. I’m a bit more impressed that he’s stacked up good
statistical performances in back-to-back games, the prior coming
against a better team in the Giants. The whole linebacking corps
has been disappointing. MLB Lofa
Tatupu hasn’t been a playmaker and doesn’t project to break
100 tackles coming off an injury-plagued 2009. He’s battled
some knee problems this year and I’d consider buying low in
dynasty leagues, but after being extremely durable and productive
early in his career, he has been hampered by injury problems
the last three years. After a breakout 2009, helped by the absence
of Tatupu most of the year, WLB David
Hawthorne has been another disappointment this year. While
I’m more concerned with health factors for Tatupu, part of Hawthorne’s
lack of production is scheme-based. Defensive-minded HC Pete
Carroll and DC Gus Bradley spend a lot of time in nickel, dime,
and even their “Bandit” package with seven defensive backs and
SS Lawyer
Milloy as the middle linebacker. Despite their LBs seemingly
a strength of this defense, the scheme clearly devalues them
and relies on a big front four to occupy blockers and a bend-but-don’t-break
approach to stopping the run with their DBs, while also utilizing
them as blitzers. It’s hard to argue with the success they’ve
had with it, for the most part, although that has been on fairly
easy schedule and when they had a full lineup of healthy big
men up front. I think offenses will catch up to this gimmick
and force Carroll to eventually play conventionally more often,
but for now it’s an important factor in limiting the production
of Seattle linebackers.
- Detroit WLB Ashlee
Palmer was replaced by Landon
Johnson early in the second half. I don’t think it was performance-based,
as Palmer had 5 tackles (2 solo) and a forced fumble at the
time. Palmer was questionable coming in to the game with a hamstring
injury, so he may have aggravated it. After getting the last
two starts, Palmer seemed to have beaten out Johnson and the
recently-acquired Bobby
Carpenter for the WLB job after Zack Follett was done for
the season.
- Atlanta rookie SLB Sean
Weatherspoon missed his fourth straight game with a right
knee sprain. Stephen
Nicholas continues to start in his place and play well.
He had 6 tackles (4 solo) and played well in coverage. Weatherspoon
is expected to return this week. It will be interesting to see
if Weatherspoon regains his job. He is the better athlete with
more potential as a playmaker, but Nicholas is more fundamentally
sound and plays well in the system. It could be a fantasy-unfriendly
platoon.
- It has been a bit of a mid-season resurgence for 35-year
old Pittsburgh ILB James
Farrior, who appeared to be showing his age earlier in the
season with decreasing production. Farrior led the team with
10 tackles (5 solo) and after back-to-back double-digit tackle
games, is back on track for another 100-tackle season. Fellow
ILB Lawrence
Timmons suffered a hip pointer in the third quarter and
left the game. He did not return and was replaced by Larry
Foote. Check the injury report for Timmons on Wednesday.
OLB James
Harrison played through back spasms to post 9 tackles (6
solo).
- Denver ILB D.J.
Williams was arrested on suspicion of DUI on Friday. Despite
this being his second DUI, the team’s discipline amounted to
benching him for the first series (although he managed just
2 solo tackles the rest of the game), stripping him of being
a team captain and fining him. The league and the legal system
may have more to say about this. Williams is due in court December
13. Mario
Haggan doubled the sack total for his eight-year career
with 3 sacks on Sunday. Don’t expect the a repeat, but Haggan’s
solid tackle production hasn’t decreased since being kicked
outside due to injuries. On that note, OLB Robert
Ayers (broken foot) isn’t expected to return this week.
When he does, Haggan goes back inside and Wesley
Woodyard and Joe
Mays go back to the bench…unless Williams gets suspended.
- No change inside for Arizona, as rookie Daryl
Washington remains largely pushed out of the picture now
that Gerald
Hayes is back and Paris
Lenon is playing well. You have to expect Washington to
get more involved again at some point, the closer the Cardinals
creep toward mathematical elimination from the playoffs on a
four-game losing streak. On the outside, Clark Haggans returned
from a groin injury to his starting role, but was limited.
- Tampa Bay MLB Barrett
Ruud hasn’t quite lived up to expectations most of the year,
but he had his second double-digit tackle game in his last four,
as well as a sack and a pick in that time. If you haven’t been
starting him regularly, unless you are stacked at LB, you should
start to again. Seventh-round pick Dekoda
Watson started at SLB in place of Quincy
Black, who was inactive with an ankle injury. Watson had
5 solo tackles, including 2 on special teams.
- It didn’t take long for fragile new Buffalo OLB Shawne Merriman
to hurt himself with his new team. In his first practice with
the Bills, Merriman aggravated a right Achilles’ tendon injury
that was a problem for him in the preseason in San Diego before
a left calf injury derailed most of his season there, ultimately
leading to him being waived. Merriman was inactive and is expected
to miss this week, as well. In addition to the injury, the schizophrenic
Buffalo defense was back again playing a 4-3 on Sunday, further
making the wisdom of adding Merriman questionable. This time
the 4-3 featured Paul
Posluszny in the middle, instead of at WLB, as Andra
Davis was lost for the season since the last time it was
their base scheme. No matter where they played Poz this season,
he has consistently produced tackles. He had his fifth double-digit
tackles game out of seven played this season (he missed two
games), leading the team with 13 (11 solo).
- Green Bay OLB Clay
Matthews held his league lead sacks with 10.5 on the season
over the a bye week.
- Cincinnati sat WLB Keith
Rivers in favor of Brandon
Johnson. Not only is Rivers dealing with a gimpy foot, but
Johnson has the better ability in coverage against the Colts
air attack. Johnson deserves to start somewhere. He’s a better
fit at SLB, but MLB Dhani
Jones continues to play so well and muck up the master plan
to kick Rey
Maualuga inside.
- Philadelphia WLB Ernie
Sims had to leave Monday night with an ankle sprain. He
is expected to play this week.
- Giants MLB Jonathan
Goff left the game Sunday with a hyperextended elbow in
the fourth quarter. Phillip
Dillard replaced him.
- OLB Scott
Fujita left Sunday in the second quarter after suffering
some damage to his knee ligaments. HC Eric Mangini shed all
the light on it of saying he’d be out for “a little while”.
David
Bowens, he of the unlikely 2 picks returned for TDs in a
game earlier this season, replaced Fujita. Expect Fujita out
at least this week. Reserve OLB Marcus
Benard played despite collapsing in the locker room after
practice last week. Fortunately he is OK.
- In St. Louis, Chris
Chamberlain replaced Bryan
Kehl, who replaced Larry
Grant, who beat out the since-released Bobby Carpenter as
the starting WLB. Think the Rams will look to address this position
in the offseason?
- Top waiver wire recommendations of
the week: I already told you about Nic
Harris last week, although he’s an immediate need guy and
not one to stash for dynasty leagues. More for his steady tackle
production than the big sack week, I like Mario
Haggan in redraft leagues. In sack-heavy leagues, look for
SD OLB Larry
English to return to his starting job off the bye and healed
this week.
Defensive Back
- When New England S Patrick
Chung missed his first game with an apparent knee injury,
I wrote HC Bill Belichick
would probably protect him until the Pittsburgh game, and he
did. Chung returned Sunday night and was in the starting lineup
at safety with Brandon Meriweather. Chung was impressive, racking
up 11 tackles (6 solo), including an assist on special teams,
with both big hits and great open-field tackling, and also tipped
a pass that picked by S James
Sanders and returned for a TD in the fourth quarter. However,
he also appeared to aggravate the knee injury twice, at the
start of the fourth quarter and then the series after the pick-six.
He returned both times and finished the game, but this is clearly
something to monitor. The return of Chung came at the expense
of PT mostly for Sanders. Reserve S Jarrad Page missed his fourth
straight game with a left calf injury.
- Despite C.C.
Brown active and his knee apparently healthy for Detroit,
Amari
Spievey remained the starting SS. Although weak in coverage
for a corner, his college position, Spievey is an upgrade over
Brown as a safety and is no less productive in run support.
Spievey had 6 tackles (4 solo).
- As I mentioned in this column last
week, Baltimore CB Josh
Wilson has been productive when given the opportunity and
he was again on Thursday night. He led the team with 7 tackles
(6 solo) as he was picked on by Atlanta when trying, mostly
unsuccessfully, to cover Atlanta WR Roddy White – although White
did push off on the game-winning TD. Wilson was shaken up after
being the bigger victim of FS Ed
Reed trying to dislodge the ball from White after a catch
in the fourth quarter, but Wilson returned shortly after. Reed
didn’t force a turnover in the game, but still contributed to
his fantasy owners with 6 tackles (5 solo). After being benched
in favor of Wilson during the last two games, CB Fabian
Washington was demoted to start the game as Wilson was with
the first-team out of gate. Washington plummeted past the nickel
role down to a true reserve as sophomore Lardarius
Webb was the third corner. However, Washington took over
the nickel later in the game as Webb was also victimized by
White during the game, so corner remains an overall problem
for the Ravens.
- The party for fantasy owners that is Arizona CB Greg
Toler could be wrapping up. Toler was benched during the
game on Sunday as he once again was making Seattle WR Mike Williams
look like an All-Pro. Michael
Adams replaced him. Toler should get another shot, but he
remains one of the weakest cover corners in the league and opposing
teams happily target him, the reason for his great fantasy production.
It’s hard not to root for Toler. After a poor grades led to
no major scholarship offers, he began working at a local JC
Penny and kept his football dream alive in a semi-pro league,
where tiny DII St. Paul’s DC Kevin Grisby discovered him. St.
Paul’s was just restarting their football program after it previously
was shut down in 1987 and were looking anywhere for talent.
Toler had plenty of that and with Grisby’s help, he got his
academic development in order too. Toler became a late riser
leading up to the 2009 draft as word spread about his athletic
ability and Arizona reached for him in the fourth round. Toler
has gotten by on his athleticism, but his lack of technical
ability and limited coaching at corner has caught up to him.
While he’s plenty fast and a physical player, he doesn’t have
the crucial skills and instincts as a corner and probably has
more potential as a safety. Their safeties haven’t provided
much help to Toler in coverage, where FS Kerry
Rhodes has been unexceptional and is used in a variety of
roles, while SS Adrian
Wilson is a liability. Second-year S Rashad
Johnson is more of a ball hawk and true centerfielder in
the secondary, so he continues to see more work.
- With CB Asher
Allen out with a concussion for Minnesota, rookie Chris
Cook got the start. SS Husain
Abdullah got his first 2 picks of his career off Chicago
QB Jay Cutler, including one in the end zone on the type of
ill-advised attempt to force the ball in that made Minnesota
QB Brett
Favre the career leader in picks in NFL history.
- If Philadelphia CB Dimitri
Patterson hadn’t already taken over the starting job from
Ellis
Hobbs on performance over injury, he probably did Monday
night. Patterson grabbed a pair of picks off Washington QB Donovan
McNabb and returned one for a TD. Hobbs was returned to
practice in limited fashion last week, but remained inactive
with a hip flexor. Rookie FS Nate Allen was inactive with a
neck strain after being shaken on a tackle in the previous,
mostly when teammate MLB Stewart Bradley crashed in to him.
Rookie Kurt
Coleman replaced Allen for his first career start and grabbed
his first career pick. Allen is expected back this week.
- Dealing with plenty of injuries elsewhere, Indianapolis was
happy to have CB Jerraud
Powers, after getting nickel CB Jacob
Lacey back in the prior game, to face the talented Cincinnati
WR corps. Powers returned to his starting role opposite Kelvin
Hayden and the trio were the top three tacklers for the Colts
in the game. Hayden also returned his second pick of the season
for a TD. The secondary was without CB Justin
Tryon (foot) for the second straight game.
- Buffalo LCB Terrence
McGee was active after missing the last five games, but
did not start and remains limited with a pinched nerve and knee
problems in his left leg. Leodis
McKelvin continues to start in his place.
- Oakland CB Nnamdi
Asomugha sounds like he is likely to remain out coming off
a bye with a right ankle sprain.
- After he cleared waivers, Miami signed former Green Bay CB
Al
Harris and he was active as the fourth corner on Sunday.
Sean
Smith and Vontae
Davis remain the starters. While Smith has struggled in
his sophomore season, I don’t see Harris replacing him. To make
room on the roster, they released former 16th overall pick DB
Jason
Allen. Allen’s career has been a roller coaster ride, but
his latest demotion after temporarily replacing Smith in the
starting lineup was his last with the Dolphins. FS Chris
Clemons left the game with a strained hamstring and he was
replaced by rookie Reshad
Jones. Clemons is questionable this week.
- For the One Man’s Junk, Another Man’s Treasure file, the
aforementioned Jason Allen was scooped up off waivers by Houston,
desperate for help in their secondary. He wasn’t active on Sunday,
but could push either rookie CB Kareem
Jackson or FS Eugene
Wilson soon.
- Versatile San Francisco S Reggie
Smith is now in a platoon with rookie S Taylor
Mays.
- Dallas brought rookie CB Bryan McCann up from the practice
the previous week to be a return specialist. When he fumbled
a kick off that was returned for a TD (although it shouldn’t
have been ruled a fumble), it appeared he might not be long
for this league. However, he was still with Dallas on Sunday,
thanks to a thin secondary, and when CB Mike
Jenkins left with a neck injury, he soon found himself covering
outstanding Giants WR Hakeem Nicks in the red zone. Thorough
film study apparently taught him a give in Nicks’ body language
and he made the right cut to pick off a potential TD pass and
return it 101 yards for the longest interception return in Cowboys’
history. CB Terence
Newman played through a left ankle sprain he suffered on
the first series after getting x-rays. The team is hopeful both
corners will play this week.
- Top waiver wire recommendations:
As he apparently has taken over at SS in Detroit, rookie Amari
Spievey is a nice add for redraft leagues and a priority
acquisition for dynasty leagues. Also for both, Courtney Green
in tackle-heavy leagues, as he continues to rack them up locked
back in at SS. Also, Seattle DBs, see my explanation of their
scheme impact in the “Linebacker Notes” above.
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