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2024 NFL Mock Draft: Version 4.0



By Justin Bales | 4/23/24 |

1.01 Chicago Bears - Caleb Williams, QB, USC

Williams was always going to be the pick, but heís an absolute lock now. Chicago traded away Justin Fields to the Pittsburgh Steelers, solidifying theyíre ready to go in a new direction. There are always rumors swirling before the NFL Draft to make it seem more open than it is, but Williams is the best prospect available. He’s going to be the first overall pick, and he owns -20000 odds via Vegas.

1.02 Washington Commanders - Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU

I still believe Drake Maye is the better prospect of the duo, but my beliefs hold no weight in the NFL community. There’s far too much smoke for there not to be fire here. Daniels has heavy odds via Vegas to be drafted second, and most of the NFL Draft analysts who are plugged in agree. Both prospects are outstanding but it comes down to which QB Washington would rather build around and that appears to be Daniels. For what it’s worth, there seems to be a small amount of smoke around J.J. McCarthy being the pick here, but I’m not buying it.

1.03 New England Patriots - Drake Maye, QB, UNC

I don’t anticipate New England trading out of this pick, and I also don’t anticipate this being a surprise. They need their quarterback of the future, and they’re likely going to select whichever of the top three are left. I believe J.J. McCarthy is firmly set up to be a top 5 pick in this draft, but I don’t expect him to jump the obvious three options.

1.04 Arizona Cardinals - Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State

Harrison was seen as the best wide receiver prospect since Calvin Johnson prior to the season, but that changed a bit in 2023. He had sub-par quarterback play, which resulted in less than impressive results. Still, heís the top receiver in a loaded class, and heís going to be a WR1 in the NFL for years to come. Arizona needs help on the outside, especially with Marquise Brown now in Kansas City. The Cardinals will give Kyler Murray every chance to succeed this season, and Harrison will be a huge part of that plan.

1.05 Los Angeles Chargers - Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame

This is where the draft starts getting interesting. Truthfully, this is probably a trade-up spot for someone like J.J. McCarthy, Malik Nabers, or Rome Odunze. The Chargers could go with a wide receiver to give Justin Herbert another weapon. They could also opt for Brock Bowers, but this feels a bit too high for a tight end. Instead, Jim Harbaugh is going to change the way this offense runs. This is a loaded offensive tackle class, and Alt is arguably the safest option. Look for Harbaugh to stay away from the flashy pick, and grab a player who will help in the trenches.

1.06 New York Giants - Malik Nabers, WR, LSU

Nabers is gaining a ton of steam as the offseason progresses. There are some who believe heís a better prospect than Marvin Harrison Jr. but I believe thatís more for the media and clicks. Still, I also believe the conversation for those two is closer than the conversation between Caleb Williams and any other QB in this class. The Giants are in drastic need of an upgrade to their pass catchers, and Nabers is the type of player who can immediately start as their WR1.

1.07 Tennessee Titans - Taliese Fuaga, OT, Oregon State

The Titans are essentially locked into an offensive tackle or a wide receiver here. Rome Odunze is the obvious option at receiver, but Tennessee added Calvin Ridley in free agency to go along with DeAndre Hopkins and former first-round pick Treylon Burks. Instead, they can protect Will Levis with the top offensive tackle. I originally had Olu Fashanu slotted here for my first three mock drafts, but Fuaga is climbing draft boards, and he can immediately help the Tennessee offense.

1.08 Atlanta Falcons - Dallas Turner, Edge, Alabama

I feel confident in the position I initially chose in version 1.0, but Iím swapping players. Jared Verse still feels like the safer option, but Turnerís upside could have him moving up draft boards. The latter has the potential to become one of the leagueís premier pass rushers, and thatís something Atlanta is in drastic need of.

1.09 Chicago Bears - Rome Odunze, WR, Washington

Chicago got their quarterback of the future with the first overall pick, so they need to get him a weapon. Odunze looks the part of a WR1, and he enjoyed an elite season at Washington. He can immediately make the receiver group better, adding to the potential that Williams can find success early in his career. While Keenan Allen joined the receiver room in Chicago, Darnell Mooney left in free agency and Allen is nearing the end of his career. Odunze will be their wide receiver of the future.

1.10 New York Jets - Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia

The Jets revamped their offensive line in the offseason, and it isnít as pressing of an issue with Aaron Rodgers returning. Instead, they can get Rodgers a ridiculous mismatch in the passing game. Some are projecting Bowers to fall a bit because of his position, but heís the type of player who can change an offense. If New York can be creative in ways to get him the ball, he can be one of few true game-changers in the NFL.

J.J. McCarthy

1.11 Minnesota Vikings Ė J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan

Love him or hate him, it seems as if McCarthy is going to be selected extremely early in this draft. Some scouts have fallen in love with him, and heís been consistently connected to Minnesota. I donít believe theyíre going to get him with this particular pick, but I donít project trades. That said, I do believe the Vikings are going to move up for him.

1.12 Denver Broncos - Byron Murphy, DT, Texas

This is one of the most difficult spots because I do believe there’s an outside chance that Denver either drafts Bo Nix or trades back in the first to get him. That said, this spot is too high for Nix at the moment. Instead, Murphy becomes the biggest riser in version 3.0, as he can change the game in several ways defensively. He’s outstanding against the run, and he’s a player who can create pressure up the middle. Denver needs help along the defensive line, and Murphy is a player who can immediately improve their defense.

1.13 Las Vegas Raiders - Olumuyiwa Fashanu, OT, Penn State

The Raiders are one of the teams who are going to make this draft interesting. They could trade back to select Michael Penix Jr. or they could stay put and opt for an offensive tackle or cornerback. They need to find stability along the offensive line for their future franchise quarterback, and there could be an argument that Fashanu should be a top 10 pick.

1.14 New Orleans Saints - JC Lantham, OT, Alabama

The Saints need help at offensive tackle with Trevor Penning struggling more than expected. They could draft Troy Fautanu, but there are question marks about his ability to play tackle in the NFL. Lantham is moving his way up boards as the draft approaches, and he’s an NFL-ready option for New Orleans. He also doesn’t have the question marks around his ability to play tackle at this level.

1.15 Indianapolis Colts - Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama

The AFC South needs all the secondary help they can get with the Houston Texans taking the NFL by storm. Arnold and Quinyon Mitchell are seen as the best cornerbacks in this draft, but the former comes with tremendous upside as a player. He is a big play waiting to happen, and there are very few cornerbacks who can truly change the game the way Arnold may be able to in a couple of years.

1.16 Seattle Seahawks - Laiatu Latu, Edge, UCLA

I stand by the Seahawks drafting an edge rusher here, especially considering Dallas Turner is the only edge off the board. They need help along the defensive line, and it looks as if Latu has jumped Jared Verse to be the second edge rusher off the board. He’s an extremely safe option, as most project him to have one of the higher floors of the prospects in this draft.

1.17 Jacksonville Jaguars - Quinyon Mitchell, CB, Toledo

Houston has one of the most stacked offenses in the NFL, and the AFC South is going to be loading up on cornerbacks to try to slow them down. How can you possibly stop Stefon Diggs, Nico Collins, and Tank Dell? There are a few cornerbacks who could hold claim to the most talented in this draft, and it depends on who Jacksonville likes the most. Mitchell has as much upside as anyone and he can quickly turn into a CB1 for the Jaguars.

1.18 Cincinnati Bengals - Troy Fautanu, OT, Washington

It feels like a given that Cincinnati is going to draft an offensive lineman if Brock Bowers doesn’t somehow fall to this pick. They need to keep Joe Burrow healthy, and that starts with their offensive line. There are some concerns that Fautanu won’t be able to stay outside at tackle, and he’ll be forced to bump inside to guard. The Bengals are in a spot to test that, but he’s clearly ahead of the other offensive tackles available at this point.

1.19 Los Angeles Rams - Jared Verse, Edge, Florida State

With Latu jumping Verse, the Rams need to change their focus to the latter. They need help with their pass rush, and Verse is falling a bit because he’s a good but unspectacular prospect. The Rams perennially lack draft picks, so it makes sense that they would draft a floor player rather than trying to hit on a boom-or-bust option.

1.20 Pittsburgh Steelers - Jackson Powers-Johnson, iOL, Oregon

The Steelers can use more help along the offensive line, and Powers-Johnson is somewhat of a perfect option. Heís likely to play inside in the NFL, but there are some who believe he could potentially move to tackle. I donít expect that to be the case, and I do believe that heís going to be one of the top interior offensive linemen in the NFL in a few years. The Steelers are building a young foundation, and Powers-Johnson is a safer option.

1.21 Miami Dolphins - Graham Barton, OL, Duke

The Dolphins could use help along the offensive line, and they can draft one of the most versatile options in the draft here. Barton can start his career on the interior, but he has the ability to move outside. He could also play a swing tackle position with the ability to cross-train several positions. Simply put, he adds a ton of versatility to any offensive line.

1.22 Philadelphia Eagles - Cooper DeJean, CB, Iowa

The Eagles are in need of help in their secondary, and that’s where they should look early in this draft. The cornerback position is wide open, and there are several players they can go here. DeJean showed off his athleticism at his Pro Day, which likely solidified himself as a first-round pick. He’d immediately help a secondary in dire need of it.

1.23 Minnesota Vikings - Jer’Zhan Newton, DT, Illinois

The Vikings are in an interesting position with Newton and Darius Robinson available here. Robinson is more well-rounded, as he can play edge or a team can kick him inside depending on how they want to run their defense. Newton is strictly a defensive tackle, and he can blow up games from the inside. That’s something Minnesota is lacking, and they have the option to fill that hole here.

1.24 Dallas Cowboys - Tyler Guyton, OT, Oklahoma

The Cowboys have the ability to solidify their tackle positions for years to come with this pick. They need help, and Guyton can pair with Tyler Smith as a great young tackle duo. Both players have the upside to play left tackle, so there is a bit of safety to having both on the team. This is a pick that comes with upside and a solid floor.

1.25 Green Bay Packers - Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia

The Packers let David Bakhtiari go during the offseason, and they absolutely need help along the offensive line. Mims only played right tackle at Georgia, which could hurt his draft stock, but there are reports that teams believe heíll be able to shift to the left side. Regardless, heís an NFL-ready player, who will be able to help this offense from the start of the season. They can shift their line around how they want, but they need to add another body with this pick.

1.26 Tampa Bay Bucs - Chop Robinson, Edge, Penn State

The Bucs could use help in their secondary here, but they can also help their secondary by taking a high-upside pass rusher. Robinson isnít ready to play every down at this point, but he has unteachable characteristics that you often canít get at this point in the draft. He comes with incredible upside down the line, and heís a player who comes with the ability to potentially change the game at the defensive end.

1.27 Arizona Cardinals - Darius Robinson, Edge, Missouri

The Cardinals took Marvin Harrison Jr. with their first overall pick, so they switch to the defensive side of the ball here. Robinson is a versatile option along the defensive line. Heís listed as an edge, but Iím not entirely sure that is the best way to list him. He could stay at end, using his power to rush the quarterback and set the edge. Thereís also a chance that he adds weight and moves inside. His versatility is what could be appealing for Arizona.

1.28 Buffalo Bills - Brian Thomas Jr., WR, LSU

It feels wrong having Thomas fall this far in the draft, but that’s the way it goes without any trades. The Bills would be ecstatic with him in this spot, as they desperately need to find their WR1 of the future. Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis left in the offseason, and there is a massive hole in their offense. Granted, Josh Allen still has Dalton Kincaid as a mismatch, but Justin Shorter, Khalil Shakir, Curtis Samuel, and Mack Hollins leave quite a bit to be desired in terms of a true WR1.

1.29 Detroit Lions - Nate Wiggins, CB, Clemson

Detroit could go a few different ways here, but they still need help in their secondary. Wiggins could be viewed as the best cornerback by some teams in this draft, as he has the upside to hit that ceiling. His speed stands out above the rest, but he certainly isn’t a one-trick-pony at the position.

1.30 Baltimore Ravens - Jordan Morgan, OT, Arizona

The Ravens could go a few different ways with this pick, but I believe Morgan is in a tier above any defensive linemen left at this point. That’s why they’ll likely focus on their offensive line. Baltimore needs quite a bit of help along their offensive line, and Morgan should have the ability to play either tackle position.

1.31 San Francisco 49ers - Roger Rosengarten, OT, Washington

Rosengarten is an interesting option here. San Francisco could be in trouble after this season with their tackles, but I’m not entirely sure Rosengarten is going to switch to left tackle in the NFL. Still, the 49ers can use him to replace Colton McKivitz after this season.

1.32 Kansas City Chiefs - Xavier Worthy, WR, Texas

Kansas City is in need of help with Travis Kelce aging and Rashee Rice being their only other promising option on the outside. Granted, they signed Marquise Brown, but Rice is in some trouble with the law at the moment. Worthy recently broke the 40-yard-dash record (4.21) at the NFL Combine, and heíll be able to take the top off of defenses. Heís an elite fit to go along with Kelce and Riceís skillsets. He also has the versatility to develop into more than a downfield threat for the Chiefs.

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