Fantasy Impact: NO
7/11/06
Team: New Orleans
Previous Head Coach: Jim Haslett (2000-2005)
New Head Coach: Sean Payton (DAL Assistant
HC/OC: 2003-2005; NYG OC: 2000-2002)
Two years after turning down an offer to coach the Oakland Raiders,
Sean Payton signed with the New Orleans Saints. After working
two seasons with the Eagles as their quarterbacks coach, Payton
joined the Giants staff in 1999 to do the same. A year later,
he was named New York's offensive coordinator and his first year
under the new title he helped the Giants win the NFC East and
capture a berth in Super Bowl XXXV.
Not only did Payton help quarterback Kerry Collins produce what
has arguably been his best year in the league during that 2000
season, but he also brought about a breakout year from Tiki Barber.
In the three years prior to Payton's term as offensive coordinator,
Barber was used as a change of pace or third down back. Despite
his obvious talents, they didn't feel Barber was big enough to
carry a heavier load. However in 2000, Barber received what was
a career high 213 carries for 1006 yards and 8 touchdowns. He
contributed another 719 yards and 1 touchdown on 70 receptions
out of the backfield. In the two seasons that followed, both Collins
and Barber continued to show a sustained level of success in Payton's
system before the coach left in 2003 to join Bill Parcell's staff
with the Dallas Cowboys.
During his first season in Dallas, Payton took a combination
of QB Quincy Carter, the backfield trio of Troy Hambrick, Richie
Anderson and Aveion Cason, and a cast of mediocre receivers to
lead the Cowboys to a 10-6 record, and a berth in the playoffs.
The next season, following Carter's release for violating the
league's drug policy, Payton made due with an ancient Vinny Testaverde
running the offense and a worn out Eddie George carrying the load
for half the season following a shoulder injury to rookie running
back Julius Jones. In 2005, Payton worked with newly signed, Drew
Bledsoe, his third quarterback in three years since joining Dallas.
Bledsoe went on to throw for over 3600 yards and 23 touchdowns
while the combination of Julius Jones and Marion Barber III produced
1531 yards and 10 touchdowns for the ground game. They also combined
for 53 receptions and 333 yards out of the backfield.
Payton's track record proves he's the type of offensive mind
that can maximize the potential of his surrounding talent. One
of his strengths appears to be minimizing costly mistakes and
tailoring offensive schemes to the strengths of his personnel.
The Saints may have more offensive talent than any team Payton
has seen as an NFL coach.
Quarterbacks: Drew Brees; Todd
Bouman; Jamie Martin
Instead of considering the use of the number two overall pick
in the draft on Leinart, Young or Cutler, the Saints signed quarterback
Drew Brees away from the San Diego Chargers after the two parties
failed to reach agreement on a new contract. While Brees isn't
the gunslinging type of quarterback that Collins or Bledsoe have
been throughout their careers, he should fair better than Testaverde
in Dallas.
After seeing how involved Payton kept Tiki Barber in the passing
game with the Giants, you can expect both Deuce McAllister and
rookie Reggie Bush to be more frequent options for Brees on passing
downs. They will likely see a fair share of plays designed for
them on routes out of the backfield. With two talented receiving
options at half back, Brees should have an easy time maintaining
his career 62.2 completion percentage. He'll also have a reliable
vet in Joe Horn along with the improving Donte' Stallworth.
Assuming it will take longer for the Saints defense to improve
than the offense, you can expect Brees to throw the ball 500-550
times this season. This should result in 3400-3600 passing yards
and 23-26 touchdowns.
Running Backs: Deuce McAllister;
Reggie Bush; Michael Bennett; Aaron Stecker
Deuce McAllister returns to the field following a season that
ended in week 5 after tearing his ACL against the Packers. Joining
him in the backfield will be the draft's number two overall pick,
Reggie Bush. If McAllister can return to the field at, or near
100%, then he will remain the team's lead back heading into the
new season. However, after selecting the talented Bush, you can
be sure Payton will find a way to have him involved in the team's
weekly gameplan.
McAllister has proven to be a back that can carry the ball over
300 times a season, but recovering from a torn ACL is no easy
task. It would be wise for the Saints to lighten his load to keep
him healthy. With that being the case, you can probably expect
McAllister to have somewhere in the range of 240-280 carries this
season while Bush receives 150-200 carries. You can also expect
anywhere from 60-80 receptions to be split between the two backs.
Wide Receivers: Joe Horn; Donte'
Stallworth; Devery Henderson; Nate Pool; Michael Lewis; Mike Haas;
Chris Horn; Bethel Johnson
At 34, Joe Horn is nearing the age of retirement, but having
seen what the likes of Rod Smith and Jimmy Smith have accomplished
in their later years, there's no reason to think Horn isn't capable
of another 80 catch, 1000 yard season Slowed by a hamstring injury
suffered early in the 2005 season, Horn had a disappointing year.
As long as he stays injury-free in 2006, he should still produce
as one of the top 15-20 receivers in the league within Payton's
system.
Donte' Stallworth, an injury-prone receiver himself, should have
a good chance of matching his statistics from a season ago. Coming
off a career year, and a season in which he may have been given
extra looks due to Horn's injuries, it may be difficult to improve
upon last years success. He should still be good for 60-70 receptions
and 825-950 yards in 2006.
Tight Ends: Zachary Hilton;
Ernie Conwell; Mark Cambell
After filling in for an injured Ernie Conwell midway through
the season, Hilton closed out the year with 30 receptions for
360 yards and one touchdown in seven games. With his success last
year and Payton's history of getting production out of the tight
end position (Jeremy Shockey and Jason Witten), there's good reason
to believe Hilton could become an involved member of the Saints
passing game this season.
Keep an eye on the Saints tight end situation throughout the
preseason to see if Conwell regains the starting spot. If Hilton
carries his play over from last season and earns the starting
position, he could have 50-60 receptions this year and be a bargain
fantasy pick at tight end late in drafts.
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