Fantasy Impact: NYJ
8/15/06
Team: New York Jets
Previous Head Coach: Herm Edwards
(2001-2005)
New Head Coach: Eric Mangini
(NE DC: 2005; DB Coach: 2000-2004; NYJ Def. Assist: 1997-1999;
BAL Assist: 1996; CLE Assist: 1995)
New Offensive Coordinator: Brian Schottenheimer
(SD QB Coach: 2002-2005; WAS QB Coach: 2001; KC Assist: 1998; STL
Assist: 1997)
New York Jets head coach Eric Mangini has spent the previous
six seasons in New England. From 2000-2004 he worked on Bill Belichick's
staff as the team's defensive backs coach. Last year, following
Romeo Crennel's departure to Cleveland, Mangini received a promotion
and took over as defensive coordinator. One year later, he now
becomes the youngest head coach in the league attempting to turn
the Jets franchise into a winning organization.
Following his hiring, Mangini interviewed a number of coaches
and was expected to hire the Saints Mike Sheppard as his offensive
coordinator. After an interview with Brian Schottenheimer however,
Mangini came away impressed, and offered the 32 year old son of
Marty Schottenheimer the position. The younger Schottenheimer
comes to New York having worked as a quarterbacks coach on his
dad's staffs with both the Redskins in 2001, and from 2002-2005
with the San Diego Chargers. A quarterback himself at the college
level, Schottenheimer oversaw the development of Drew Brees since
his second season in the league. Following the first round selection
deal for Philip Rivers in the 2004 draft, Brees produced his best
season to date and retained the starting job throughout the 2005
season.
With Mangini having spent ten of his eleven seasons in the NFL
working with defensive guru Bill Belichick, expect to see an improvement
from New York on that side of the ball. Most defensive-minded
coaches bring a conservative approach with them to the game, but
Mangini and Schottenheimer may choose to open things up if they
feel it's what their offense does best. While it's no secret the
elder Schottenheimer has an affinity for the running game, Brian
was a quarterback in college who had success coaching Brees in
San Diego at the NFL level. His background and knowledge of the
position indicates he will attack defenses with the pass as much
as he will the run.
The Jets don't have the type of talent the Patriots do on the
offensive side of the ball, but their approach to the game could
be similar. That means if rushing 40 times wins, they'll run.
If throwing the ball 40 times a game proves to be more effective,
they'll pass. The strength of their defense along with the talent
level on offense will dictate which ratio the Jets favor more.
They are also likely to gameplan well against a defense's weakness.
Overall there may not be much fantasy value on the roster this
season, but when the match-up is right you could see a few big
outings from their quarterbacks and wide receivers.
Mangini's Impact on the Offense:
Quarterbacks: Chad Pennington;
Patrick Ramsey; Brooks Bollinger; Kellen Clemens
At this very moment, the Jets don't have a starting quarterback.
Chad Pennington returns to the team following surgery on his throwing
shoulder for the second time in less than a year. Not known for
having the strongest arm before either operation, it's unclear
if he will have the arm strength needed to resume his career as
an NFL starter. Challenging Pennington for the starting role will
be four-year vet Patrick Ramsey, last year's incumbent starter
Brooks Bollinger, and rookie second round pick Kellen Clemens.
Ramsey comes to New York after being traded by Washington to
the Jets for a sixth-round pick in this years draft. He's known
for having a strong arm, but after being selected at the end of
the first round in the 2002 draft, he was never able to cement
himself as the Redskins starting quarterback. Bollinger saw time
as the starter last season, but with the use of a second round
pick on Kellen Clemens in this years draft, he could be in danger
of getting cut.
By the time the season begins, consider Ramsey to have the best
chance to be named the starter. Schottenheimer has declared the
QB battle an open competition among all four quarterbacks, but
it's unlikely the rookie will start right out of the gate. Bollinger
was forced into playing time last year, but Ramsey is the more
talented player and should beat him out during the preseason.
While Pennington is a talented quarterback, his once bright future
is quickly dimming. Not only will he need to show that he has
the arm strength to throw downfield, but he will also have to
outplay Ramsey and the others to earn the starting position.
Follow the Jets quarterback battle throughout the preseason.
If it becomes clear that one player is standing out over the others,
there could be some value here. None of the Jets quarterbacks
is likely to produce as a starter on your fantasy squad, but if
they can settle on one quarterback to play the majority of the
season he might be useful as a back-up.
Running Backs: Curtis Martin;
Cedric Houston; Derrick Blaylock; Leon Washington
While the Jets would like to have an established ground game,
the 33 year old Curtis Martin may have finally broken down. He
has yet to see the field this preseason and the failed trade with
Cleveland for Lee Suggs is a good indication that Martin may be
close to end of his career. Martin is a warrior on the field and
will fight for opportunity to get in the game, but don't expect
his production this season to top out higher than 850 yards and
5-7 touchdowns if he does play. Even those numbers may be a bit
generous.
Cedric Houston started four games for the Jets last season while
Martin was out with a knee injury. A rookie selected in the sixth
round of the 2005 draft, he finished the season with 81 carries
for 302 yards and 2 touchdowns. If it weren't for the fact that
Martin figures to be a featured part of the offense, Houston would
be in position to make his mark in fantasy leagues this season.
As it stands, his biggest upside at the moment is as a handcuff
to Curtis Martin and a running back that may see time as part
of a RBBC.
If Leon Washington impresses during the preseason he could move
his way up the depth chart and see action as a rookie. Barring
injury to Martin however, it's unlikely that either he or Blaylock
will see significant time this season. As a unit the Jets backs
may produce decent numbers, but it doesn't appear as if any will
hold much value in fantasy leagues outside of Martin being used
during byes and filling in for injured players.
Wide Receivers: Laveranues
Coles; Justin McCariens; Jerricho Cotchery; Tim Dwight; Brad Smith
Coles has an outside chance at a 1000-yard season, but with the
Jets current QB situation don't bank on it. As the top receiver
on the team he should be able to reach 75 receptions and hover
around 900 yards, but it will take some inspired play for him
to match the production he had in the 2002 and 2003 seasons.
McCariens may record about 40-50 receptions, but his yardage
totals won't be higher than 700. None of the other receivers on
the roster warrant much consideration. Cotchery may be able to
work his way into the starting line-up, but it appears to be McCariens
position in the meantime.
Tight Ends: Doug Jolley; Chris
Baker; Joel Dreessen; Jason Pociask
If you are looking for a back-up tight end late in your draft,
Doug Jolley may be worth grabbing. He could produce 40 receptions
for 400-500 yards, but there's no reason to believe he's sleeper
material.
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