Fantasy Impact: STL
7/3/06
Team: St. Louis Rams
Previous Head Coach: Mike Martz
(2000-2005)
New Head Coach: Scott Linehan (MIA
OC: 2005; MIN OC: 2002-2004)
At age fourty-two, Scott Linehan has quickly climbed the ladder
to a head coach position after joining Mike Tice's staff in 2002
with the Vikings. His first three years in the league, Linehan
helped make Minnesota one of the best passing offenses in the
NFL. It would be easy to credit that success to the Culpepper-Moss
combo that had been in place since 2000 (three years prior to
Linehan's arrival), but take a look at what he did in one season
with the Miami Dolphins offense. It's no coincidence once Linehan
arrived in Miami that Chris Chambers finally met the expectations.
After Linehan joined Nick Saban's staff as the team's offensive
coordinator, the Dolphins signed free agent quarterback Gus Frerotte
to be their starter for the 2005 season. A logical choice since
Linehan and Frerotte worked together the previous two years in
Minnesota. Linehan wasn't able to make the Dolphins one of the
best passing teams in the league, but he did make them a legitimate
threat that defensive coordinators had to game plan against. Frerotte
finished the year with just under 3000 yards passing, 18 touchdowns,
and a relatively low interception total of 13. Frerotte's totals
would have been even better if his passing percentage, a poor
52%, was just 5% higher. Had Marc Bulger been under center, a
quarterback with a career completion percentage of 65%, the Dolphins
may have very well been one of the better passing teams in the
league last season.
Linehan's Impact on the Offense
Quaterbacks: Marc Bulger; Gus
Frerotte
Marc Bulger should find himself in heaven this season. Linehan
knows how to balance an offense while emphasizing the pass. With
Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce, and Kevin Curtis running routes and Steven
Jackson in the backfield, Bulger could be in for a career year
this season. He may not set a career high in yardage, but the
number of touchdowns he will throw should make up for it. A 4,000
yard season could be within reach.
Should Bulger's durability concern you, consider Frerotte a solid
handcuff. He's been coached by Linehan for the past three years
and knows the system--it is the reason why Linehan brought Frerotte
to Minnesota, Miami, and now St. Louis. He may not be someone
you'd want to ride into the playoffs, but he will be a solid filler
until you can get someone else.
Running Backs: Steven Jackson;
Marshall Faulk; Tony Fisher
While it's true that Linehan likes to work the passing game,
he knows how to use his backs and keep them involved in the game
plan. Outside of his first season with the Vikings, when Michael
Bennett ran the ball for nearly 1300 yards, Linehan has managed
to use multiple backs productively. Even in that 2002 season when
Bennett was the primary back, Moe Williams still contributed 665
total yards and 11 touchdowns. From 2003-2004, Linehan used a
rotation of Michael Bennett, Onterrio Smith, Moe Williams and
Mewelde Moore to give the Vikings a solid ground game while still
having their fierce air attack. Due to injuries and other issues,
none of the Vikings backs ever emerged as a clear number one in
Linehan's offense. But if one combines the production Linehan
got from those four backs into one player, you're looking at somebody
who could have 1200-1300 rushing yards, double-digit touchdowns,
and 55-65 receptions along with the yardage that comes from them.
For a more recent look at Linehan's work with running backs,
let's see what the Miami duo of Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams
accomplished last season. While splitting time in the backfield,
once Williams returned from his four-game suspension, the two
backs combined for 375 carries, 1650 yards, and 10 touchdowns.
They also had 49 receptions for 325 yards and 1 touchdown through
the air.
With Marshall Faulk pondering retirement for the second straight
season, and Tony Fisher better suited as a situational back, Steven
Jackson will be asked to shoulder much of the load this year for
St. Louis. With no legitimate threat to challenge him, Jackson
should have a very good season. If he remains healthy, he could
go over 1500 yards and score 8-12 touchdowns.
Wide Receivers: Torry Holt;
Isaac Bruce; Kevin Curtis; Shaun McDonald; Dane Looker
Torry Holt has been amazingly productive over the years by recording
no less than 81 receptions and 1300 yards for six straight seasons.
For the past three years he caught a total of 31 touchdowns. While
the new coaching staff may be a reason some think Holt's numbers
could slip a bit, there's shouldn't be much concern. Holt is one
of the most talented receivers in the game and Linehan will be
sure to get the most from him. Holt can be expected to have another
1300-plus yard season with his usual 90-100 receptions and 9-12
touchdowns.
Isaac Bruce will once line up opposite Holt. A turf toe injury
slowed him down last year, but if his body can refrain from breaking
down, Bruce is still capable of producing thousand-yard seasons.
Like Holt, Linehan will make sure Bruce remains involved in the
passing game. Since he is getting older, I would look at his 2004
totals and scale back from there. Bruce could have a 75-85 catch
season for somewhere around 1000 yards and 5-7 touchdowns. If
Bruce slows down, Curtis will be a solid replacement and may be
a decent bench receiver this year as the teams slot man.
Tight Ends: Joe Klopfenstein;
Dominique Byrd; Aaron Walker
The Rams will have two rookies and a 2003 third round pick of
the San Francisco 49ers competing for the starting tight end position.
While there may be some value here, it's unlikely any of these
young guys will make a major impact right away considering the
other weapons in the Rams' offense. In another year or two, Klopfenstein
may climb his way up the fantasy tight end rankings, but don't
expect much from him this season.
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