Fantasy Impact: Baltimore
6/15/08
New Head Coach: John Harbaugh (PHI
DB Coach: 2007; Special Teams Coordinator: 1998-2006)
Previous Head Coach: Brian Billick
(1999-2007)
New Offensive Coordinator: Cam Cameron
(MIA HC: 2007; SD OC: 2002-2006; IU Hoosiers HC: 1997-2001; WAS
QB Coach: 1994-1996) Of all the paths one can take towards becoming
a head coach in the National Football League, Harbaugh's might
be the most surprising. The older brother of former NFL quarterback
Jim Harbaugh by 15 months, John spent 9 years in the NFL as the
Eagles special teams coordinator, then another coaching their
defensive backs in 2007, before obtaining his current position
as head coach of the Baltimore Ravens.
Cameron: Back where he belongs as offensive
coordinator.
Make no mistake, during Harbaugh's tenure with the Eagles their
special teams units were continuously regarded amongst the best
in the league. That however is usually not enough to then take
the giant leap of becoming a head coach in the NFL. In fact, one
of the main reasons Harbaugh became Philadelphia's defensive backs
coach last season was to better position himself for a head coaching
candidacy. It wasn't expected he would accomplish that task after
just one season under his new title.
Joining Harbaugh's staff will be newly hired offensive coordinator
Cam Cameron. Cameron coached the Dolphins last year, but was ousted
after just one season following Miami's hiring of Bill Parcells
as Executive Vice President of Football Operations. Rather then
stick by Cameron, Parcells chose to go another direction and hired
Tony Sparano. Sparano and Parcells worked together during their
time with the Dallas Cowboys.
Prior to his one year stint with the Dolphins, Cameron spent
five seasons as offensive coordinator with the San Diego Chargers
under head coach Marty Schottenheimer. He joined Schottenheimer's
staff after serving five years as head coach of the Indiana Hoosiers
at the collegiate level.
During Cameron's first season with the Hoosiers, John Harbaugh
was a member of his staff coaching their defensive backs and special
teams unit. The following year, in 1998, Harbaugh would join the
pro ranks as Ray Rhodes' special teams coordinator with the Philadelphia
Eagles.
Harbaugh's Impact On The Offense:
Quarterbacks: Kyle
Boller; Troy
Smith; Joe
Flacco
With the hiring of Cameron in the off-season, Harbaugh added
one the most highly regarded developers of quarterbacks in the
NFL to his staff. As a coordinator with the Chargers from 2002-2006,
Cameron oversaw the early development of both Drew Brees and Philip
Rivers.
Brees would go on to become a Pro-Bowl selection following the
2004 season, before repeating that accomplishment in 2006 with
the Saints. Rivers was also selected to the 2006 Pro-Bowl as a
first year starter with the Chargers, guiding San Diego to a 14-2
record under Cameron's tutelage.
Cameron also played a role in turning former seventh round pick
Gus Frerotte into a Pro-Bowl selection with the Redskins during
their 1996 campaign. At that time Cameron was working on Washington's
staff under Norv Turner as the teams quarterback coach.
So what does all this mean for the Ravens at the QB position?
Well, for starters, first round pick Joe Flacco can rest assured
he'll be learning from one of the best in the business when it
comes to running an NFL offense. As a rookie however, Flacco may
not see the field right away, making him an unattractive option
in fantasy leagues this year.
Battling for the starting position will be veteran Kyle Boller
and last years fifth round pick Troy Smith. Whomever wins that
battle will be in position to put together a surprisingly good
season for themselves. That's not to say they'll be worth starting
on your fantasy team, but could become a worthwhile back up, or
that gem you snare off the waiver wire who keeps your team afloat
should your starter go down with an injury when the rest of the
pickings are slim. Jonathan Ogden’s retirement will be a factor
as well.
Should one of these two start the entire season, you can likely
expect them to throw for something in the 3000-3200 yard range,
along with compiling 18-20 touchdown passes.
Running Backs: Willis
McGahee; Ray
Rice; Le'Ron
McClain (FB); Allen
Patrick; Justin
Green (FB)
A large portion of the success Cameron found in San Diego can
be attributed to the play of running back LaDainian Tomlinson.
While Tomlinson's talents alone may be enough to make any offensive
coordinator look good, Cameron's use of his star running back
should be credited as well.
During his first two years with the Chargers, Cameron made the
most of Tomlinson's abilities, rushing him more than 300 times
during both seasons for results that totaled over 1600 rushing
yards in each one. It wasn't solely Tomlinson's accomplishments
on the ground that made him such a dangerous back however. During
those first two years with Cameron, Tomlinson recorded 179 receptions
for 1214 yards and 5 touchdowns. He would go on to rush the ball
more than 335 times in each of the three seasons that followed
while also handling more then 50 receptions during those years
as well.
Looking at the Ravens running back situation, the first thing
you might be saying to yourself now is that Tomlinson isn't on
the roster. Instead they have sixth-year vet Willis McGahee, along
with second round pick Ray Rice. McGahee enters his second season
with Baltimore coming off a year in which he set career highs
in receptions (43), and receiving yardage (231). Given those numbers,
along with the extent to which Cameron featured Tomlinson in the
passing game, it wouldn't be far fetched to expect 45-55 receptions
from McGahee this season. Part of that will depend on how much
Rice is featured in the offense.
Something that may be a more reasonable expectation is for McGahee
to handle more than 300 carries for just the second time in his
career. Both Harbaugh and Cameron have already made a point of
letting their tight ends know the importance their blocking abilities
will play in the new offensive scheme. With that in mind, along
with Cameron's track record, 300 carries and a 1250-1350 yard
outing from McGahee is reasonable. His scoring opportunities will
depend on how well the offense as a whole performs, but given
his expected work load McGahee should finish with 7-10 rushing
touchdowns this season.
Wide Receivers: Derrick Mason;
Mark Clayton; Demetrius Williams; Yamon Figurs; Marcus Smith;
Justin Harper
For all the success Cameron has had with quarterbacks and running
backs over the years, the wide receiver position is one in which
he has never had a player truly stand out. In fact, not one receiver
has ever had a thousand yard season within a Cameron coordinated
offense. The most receptions to come from a receiver in his system
is seventy, a mark reached by David Boston in 2003, and again
in 2005 by Keenan McCardell.
Derrick Mason, coming off a year with 1087 receiving yards on
103 balls caught, may be able to push past that 70 reception mark,
but don't bank on another 1000 yard outing. A more reasonable
expectation for him would be in the range of 75 receptions for
900 yards or so.
The other receivers atop the depth chart are safe bets to accomplish
even less. Demetrius Williams comes with more upside then Mark
Clayton, but chances are slim either will make much of an impact
on your fantasy roster.
Tight Ends: Todd
Heap; Daniel
Wilcox; Quinn
Sypniewski
While receivers haven't faired all that well with Cameron, he
has gotten plenty of production in the past from his tight ends.
Stephen Alexander matched a career high 510 receiving yards for
himself in 2002 with the Chargers. The following year saw the
emergence of a young Antonio Gates. In the years that followed
the 2003 season Gates has gone on to become the most feared tight
end in the league.
Todd Heap may never produce at the level Gates has, but he is
still one of the best receivers at the position when healthy.
Expect him to finish with 70-80 receptions, 750-850 yards receiving,
and 5-8 touchdowns granted he plays in all 16 games.
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