Fantasy Impact: Detroit Lions
6/1/09
New Head Coach: Jim Schwartz (TEN
DC: 2001-2008; Def. Assist: 1999-2000; BAL Def. Assist: 1996-1998;
CLE Personnel Scout: 1993-1995)
Previous Head Coach: Rod Marinelli
(2006-2008)
New Offensive Coordinator:
Scott Linehan (STL HC: 2006-2008; MIA OC: 2005; MIN OC: 2002-2004)
A historic 0-16 record last year was the final nail in the coffin
for former Detroit Lions Head Coach Rod Marinelli. A day after
the season ended he was fired and replaced in mid-January with
Jim Schwartz. Schwartz has served as defensive coordinator for
the Tennessee Titans the last eight years. Although he has been
interviewed in the past for head coaching positions (the 49ers
in 2005; and with the Redskins, Dolphins, and Falcons in 2008)
this is his first stint at the pro level under such a capacity.
Schwartz’s first venture into the NFL came in 1993 as a
college and pro scout for the Cleveland Browns. While scouting
players was his main function then, he also assisted Bill Belichick’s
(Cleveland’s Head Coach from 1991-1995) defensive staff
with film breakdown and scouting reports. It was a position he
would hold for three seasons until owner Art Modell relocated
the franchise from Cleveland to Baltimore and renamed them the
Ravens in 1996.
Even though Belichick was fired during this transition, Schwartz
remained with the team under the new title of Defensive Assistant
and had the responsibility of coaching outside linebackers as
a member of Ted Marchibroda’s staff from 1996-1998. It was
in 1999 that he first became a member of Jeff Fisher’s staff
in Tennessee and continued his tenure as a Defensive Assistant
in the NFL. Two years later he earned a promotion and became the
Titans Defensive Coordinator. It was in this role that Schwartz
began etching a name for himself as one of the top assistant coaches
in the league.
Over the span of Schwartz’s eight-years as a coordinator,
Tennessee’s defense ranked fifth in rushing yards allowed
per game (103.5) and sixth in opponents third down conversion
rate (36.1%). At home the Titans run defense was particularly
dominant, allowing just nine ball carriers to surpass the one
hundred yard mark in the past 64 games played at LP Field. The
Titans defense also largely factored into the teams four playoff
appearances within the last seven seasons. They claimed a wild
card berth in 2002 and 2007, and won the AFC South in 2003 and
2008. Their 13 wins last year was most in the league.
While Schwartz is sure to make an impact with the Lions on the
defensive side of the ball, Scott Linehan is the person responsible
for running Detroit’s offense. His recent tenure as Head
Coach of the St. Louis Rams (2006-2008) proved to be a miserable
one (the teams record was a lowly 11-25 under Linehan, which eventually
led to him being fired just 4 games into the ’08 season),
but he does possess a commendable track record as an offensive
coordinator in the NFL. Linehan spent the 2005 season under that
role with the Miami Dolphins and with the Minnesota Vikings from
2002-2004.
Quarterbacks: Daunte Culpepper;
Matthew Stafford (R); Drew Stanton
Detroit used the first overall pick in this years draft on quarterback
Matthew Stafford out of Georgia, but veteran Daunte Culpepper
will be under center at the start of the season for the Lions.
Not only does this allow Stafford to sit and learn from the sidelines
as a rookie, but it gives Linehan a QB to work with that is already
familiar with his system.
Culpepper and Linehan spent three years together in Minnesota
before Linehan departed for Miami in 2005. From 2002-2004 the
Vikings offense was a powerhouse within the league. Those three
seasons also happened to be the most productive of Culpepper’s
career – reaching the pinnacle of his success when he threw
for 4717 yards, 39 touchdowns, and just 11 interceptions while
completing 69.2% of his passes in their last season together.
Culpepper is now a full four years removed from that performance
however and hasn’t started more than seven games in a season
since then. Being reunited with Linehan should serve him well,
as should a weapon like Calvin Johnson at wide receiver, but don’t
get carried away with expectations. The Lions were 0-16 in 2008
for a reason and it will be difficult to turn things around over
night.
The coaching staff will also have to fight the temptation of
starting Stafford throughout the course of the year. For these
reasons Culpepper should be considered no better than a number
two QB option in fantasy leagues. He may string together some
good outings, but it’s unlikely he’s a quarterback
you’d want to ride with as a starter throughout the season.
Running Backs: Kevin Smith;
Maurice Morris; Jerome Felton (FB); Aveion Cason; Terrelle Smith
(FB); Aaron Brown (R)
Had Beanie Wells dropped two spots farther in this year’s
draft, it’s possible the Lions would have selected him with
the first pick of the second round. Linehan’s rushing attack
is one that relies on a north-south approach from his running
back and plays in contrast to the style Kevin Smith is accustomed
to. Nonetheless Smith remains the starter in Detroit and will
be given the opportunity to cement himself as the featured back
in this offense for the foreseeable future.
As a rookie in ’08 Smith enjoyed a measurable level of
success – posting 975 yards rushing on 239 carries (4.1
ypc) while scoring 8 touchdowns. He also hauled in 39 passes for
another 286 yards. If he can maintain a level of consistency as
the starter in Linehan’s backfield those are statistics
he should surpass in 2009. Playing for a defensive minded head
coach like Schwartz should also ensure plenty of carries to go
around provided the Lions defense can prevent teams from scoring
at will on a regular basis.
Maurice Morris, signed in the offseason and previously with the
Seattle Seahawks, will serve as Smith’s back-up. He won’t
warrant any serious consideration in fantasy leagues however barring
injury to Smith. Rookie sixth round pick Aaron Brown may be able
to carve out a role for himself as a third down back, but is nothing
noteworthy at the moment.
Wide Receivers: Calvin Johnson;
Bryant Johnson; Ronald Curry; Keary Colbert; Derrick Williams
(R)
Scott Linehan knows how to get considerable production from wide
receivers he has worked with in the NFL. He’s done so in
the past with the likes of Randy Moss and Nate Burleson in Minnesota,
was the offensive coordinator during Chris Chambers career year
in 2005 with the Dolphins, and got strong results from both Torry
Holt and Isaac Bruce in 2006 and 2007 while Head Coach of the
St. Louis Rams. With that in mind, it’s safe to say Calvin
Johnson will continue his flourishing growth within the NFL as
he enters his third season.
Johnson may be hard pressed to match the 1331 yards receiving
and 12 touchdowns he had a year ago, but it won’t be out
of the question. The frightening thing is he is yet to play with
a well established quarterback and possesses the potential to
actually surpass those numbers in the years ahead. He’ll
be well worth the selection as a number one receiver in fantasy
leagues this season.
Starting alongside Calvin Johnson is expected to be Bryant Johnson.
Bryant’s career has been a bit of a disappointment since
he was selected with the 17th overall pick in the 2003 draft.
Playing within Linehan’s offense however and opposite one
of the best young receivers in the game should be beneficial to
him. He’ll be worth selecting in the later rounds of drafts
this year and should be a fair contributor off your bench. Pay
attention to his status leading up to the start of the season
to make sure he has the starting position opposite of Calvin locked
up.
Ronald Curry, Keary Colbert, and rookie third round pick Derrick
Williams make up the rest of the receiving corps in Detroit. Curry
and Colbert may challenge Bryant Johnson for the starting position
during training camp, but otherwise they’ll be nothing more
than waiver wire pick-ups throughout the season.
Tight Ends: Will
Heller; Casey
Fitzsimmons; Brandon
Pettigrew (R); Dan
Gronkowski (R)
The only tight end on the Lions roster worth any consideration
in fantasy leagues is rookie Brandon Pettigrew. Even then however
his true value lies more in dynasty and keeper leagues at the
moment. He will most likely only be useable in redrafts as a waiver
wire option should he become a familiar red zone target this season.
For the most part it’s his blocking skills that will make
him valuable to the Lions during his first year it the NFL.
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