Fantasy Impact: Tampa Bay Buccaneeers
8/1/09
New Head Coach: Raheem Morris (TB
DB Coach: 2007-2008; Assist. DB Coach: 2004-2005; Def. Assist: 2003;
Quality Control – Defense: 2002; NYJ Def. Minority Internship:
2001)
Previous Head Coach: Jon Gruden
(2002-2008)
New Offensive Coordinator:
Jeff Jagodzinski (GB OC: 2006; ATL OL Coach: 2005; TE Coach: 2004;
GB TE Coach: 1999-2003)
It didn’t take long for Raheem Morris to climb through
the NFL ranks and become a head coach within the league. After
working for the Jets as an intern in the fall of 2001, Morris
took a position as a quality control coach with the Tampa Bay
Buccaneers the following season. He spent a year in that role
before earning the title of defensive assistant for the 2003 campaign.
Following that, Morris spent two years as an assistant defensive
backs coach in Tampa Bay. He left the organization in 2006 to
work at Kansas State as their defensive coordinator, but returned
to Tampa the following year where he spent the last two seasons
coaching their defensive backs.
During Morris’ six years with the Buccaneers their defense
ranked among the top five against the pass five times and finished
sixth once. In 2006, with Morris coaching at Kansas State, Tampa
Bay’s defensive unit had fallen to a ranking of 19th in
that category. Upon his return in 2007 however, Morris righted
the secondary and the Buccaneers limited opponents to 170.5 passing
yards per game – best in the NFL. They held opponents to
187.3 yards passing per game in 2008 which ranked them fourth
in the league. With Morris a member of Jon Gruden’s defensive
staff, the Buccaneers have ranked among the top five in total
defense every year – except for the 2008 campaign in which
they ranked ninth.
Joining Morris’ staff is former Green Bay offensive coordinator,
Jeff Jagodzinski. Jagodzinski has spent the last two seasons as
head coach at Boston College. Under his guidance, the BC Eagles
combined for a record of 20-8. Current Falcons quarterback, Matt
Ryan, was named the ACC Player of the Year in 2007 under Jagodzinski’s
tutelage. He also went on to win NFL AP Rookie of the Year honors
in 2008 after being selected third overall in that April’s
draft.
Prior to spending the 2006 season as a coordinator in Green Bay,
Jagodzinski worked two years in the Atlanta Falcons organization
– first as their tight ends coach (2004), and then as an
offensive line coach (2005). His first NFL tenure came in 1999
however, when he served his first stint as a member of the staff
in Green Bay. He spent five years coaching tight ends (1999-2003).
He is credited with developing Bubba Franks into a 3-time Pro
Bowl selection. In his lone season as the tight ends coach in
Atlanta, Alge Crumpler also had a performance worthy of a placement
on the Pro Bowl roster.
Quarterbacks: Luke McCown;
Byron Leftwich; Josh Freeman (R); Josh Johnson
One quick glance at the Buccaneers QB options and you realize
they don’t have anyone worthy of drafting in fantasy leagues.
Byron Leftwich has the most NFL experience, but has never lived
up to his potential. More importantly, he isn’t a good fit
for the West Coast Offense Jeff Jagodzinski will be running. In
that system you want a quarterback with some mobility and a quick
release. Leftwich possesses neither of these attributes.
Luke McCown is the favorite to win the starting job come opening
day, but only has 238 pass attempts in his 5-year career and leaves
much to be desired. Josh Freeman, a rookie selected with the 17th
overall pick in this year’s draft, has an outside chance
to receive the starting nod. By most accounts however, he is a
project that needs to be developed over another season or two
before he has a chance at being a legitimate starter in the league.
Nonetheless, if the Buccaneers are floundering past the half way
point they may decide to give Freeman some live experience during
games.
Needless to say, this is a group of quarterbacks you’ll
want to avoid. They’ll have a difficult time combining for
more than 3000 passing yards, let alone having an individual achieve
that mark. It’s also doubtful the Buccaneers will throw
more than 16-20 touchdown passes this season.
Running Backs: Derrick
Ward; Earnest
Graham; Carnell
Williams; B.J.
Askew (FB)
The Buccaneers dipped into the free agent market this offseason
and signed former New York Giant, Derrick Ward, to a 4-year deal
worth $17 million dollars. Armed with this contract he is expected
to be the new starter in Tampa Bay. Earnest Graham returns for
his fifth season with the team and will be worked into the offense,
but his upside took a pretty big hit with the addition of Ward.
Ward should be a good fit in Jagodzinski’s system and total
1000-1200 total yards from scrimmage. He has the ability to produce
more, but he’ll need the Buccaneers passing game to provide
some semblance of a threat to help him out. He’ll also have
to fend off Earnest Graham throughout the year. Graham may not
post as much yardage, but he should finish with roughly 750-900
total of his own. Graham is also likely to get the majority of
touchdowns between the two as he is expected to get most of the
carries at the goal line.
In point per reception (PPR) leagues, Ward might make for a worthwhile
number two running back. Otherwise both he and Graham should be
viewed as productive number threes.
Wide Receivers: Antonio
Bryant; Michael
Clayton; Dexter
Jackson; Maurice
Stovall; Sammie
Stroughter (R)
Antonio Bryant is clearly the best of the Buccaneers receivers,
but owners shouldn’t expect him to match his totals from
last season (84 receptions, 1249 yards, 7 touchdowns). Without
the luxury of an experienced QB under center, Leftwich aside,
his numbers are sure to take a hit. The loss of offensive minded
Jon Gruden doesn’t bode well for him either.
It’s also worth noting Bryant doesn’t have a track
record of being a consistent performer from year to year. He’ll
approach and possibly exceed 1000 yards receiving, but don’t
be surprised if he only finishes in the 800-900 range. His number
of receptions and touchdowns will drop off as well.
Among the remaining group of wide outs on Tampa Bay’s roster,
none of them will provide much fantasy value. You’ll be
able to pick them awful the waiver wire if needed, but if that’s
the case it means you’re really desperate at the position.
Tight Ends: Kellen Winslow;
Jerramy Stevens; John Gilmore
Acquired via trade with the Cleveland Browns this offseason,
Kellen Winslow is expected to provide some pop to the Buccaneers
passing attack. Within Jagodzinski’s west coast schemes
the former first round pick will be viewed as a focal point of
the offense.
He’s coming off a disappointing 2008 campaign in which
he was held back by injuries. If healthy through the year ahead,
however, Winslow should produce 60-70 receptions and upwards of
700 yards receiving. He’ll probably finish with only 3-5
touchdowns though.
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