Here is a mix of interesting questions I received from fantasy players
this past week, and the response provided. If you have a question
for the HTH Mailbag, just drop
me an email.
Note that not all questions will be answered because it just isn't
possible to respond to them all. Also there are no certainties in
fantasy football. The responses represent one opinion to consider
in your final decision managing your fantasy team. Overall, I just
Hope This Helps...
Mike, Your site has been very helpful this season,
although this is the first time I'm writing to you. I have a trade
question.
I have 3 RBs (Fred Taylor, Onterrio Smith, and Michael Pittman)
and I start 2. I'm looking to trade to upgrade at WR. My problem
is which RB should I trade? I will hold on to Pittman but should
I trade Taylor or Smith? I want to trade the guy that will be
the least productive for me. I would have thought a week ago
that that would be Smith but he got 20 carries this week. Plus
Mike Tice said today that Smith would be the starter.
I know that you can't trust him, but he did back it up this
weekend. If Smith gets 20 carries every week, I think that he
will be more productive than Taylor, who seems to disappear
in the red zone. Should I take a shot and trade Taylor or play
it safe and trade Onterrio? At this point, Taylor will get me
a better receiver (I could get Derrick Mason), whereas Smith
would leave me with a slightly lesser receiver (I could get
Eric Moulds). So, which is better: Pittman, Taylor, Moulds or
Pittman, Onterrio and Mason? (I already have Harrison and Walker,
so I could carry Moulds, but Harrison, Walker and Mason is an
awfully good combination.)
Thank you, Larry
Hi Larry. I'm not sure Mason and Moulds are that different. Mason
has been playing better, but Moulds has a great schedule coming
up and the team is surging. The Titans are falling a bit flat and
one has to wonder how long Steve McNair can last. Maybe that isn't
a big factor on Mason though with Volek the #2.
The Bills are running the ball a lot more and should continue
to do so. Moulds has been getting good targets and I expect him
to produce a little better then he has, but the upside is limited.
Tennessee has some good matchups that could result in shootouts
all but week 16 vs. DEN.
Here are the stats for each player since week 6. The Targets
and production are not that different, just Mason has been able
to find the end zone each of the past 3 weeks.
Derrick Mason
Week
Starter
Opp
Result
Target
Rec
Yds
TD
FF Pts
6
Y
HOU
L 10-20
13
5
74
0
7.4
7
Y
at MIN
L 3-20
12
8
85
0
8.5
8
Y
CIN
W 27-20
13
8
85
0
8.5
10
Y
CHI
L 17-19
9
7
91
1
15.1
11
Y
at JAC
W 18-15
5
3
56
1
11.6
12
Y
at HOU
L 21-31
13
8
87
1
14.7
Eric Moulds
Week
Starter
Opp
Result
Target
Rec
Yds
TD
FF Pts
6
Y
MIA
W 20-13
8
5
99
0
9.9
7
Y
at BAL
L 6-20
10
6
96
0
9.6
8
Y
ARI
W 38-14
6
3
40
1
10
9
Y
NYJ
W 22-17
10
7
85
0
8.5
10
Y
at NE
L 6-29
12
5
46
0
4.6
11
Y
STL
W 37-17
10
3
17
0
1.7
12
Y
at SEA
W 38-9
11
8
93
0
9.3
Overall I'd call it a wash. Hopefully this isn't because I've
got my Bills homer glasses on ;)
On the RBs though, I would tend to agree with you that Smith
and Taylor are not that different themselves IF Smith remains
the 20+ carry starter. The big question mark is Tice. If the Vikings
aren't winning he can abandon the running game and/or get the
different RBs involved. The good thing though is I like the Vikings
schedule down the stretch (@CHI, SEA, @DET, GB). They should be
in a winning situation more then not, especially with Moss back.
I like the Jags schedule too (PIT, CHI, @GB, HOU), but the Vikings
a bit better. Plus the Jags just aren't a high powered offense
like the Vikings, preferring to control the clock and lean on
the defense to keep games close before they eek out a win at the
end of the game. Taylor's potential return is therefore limited.
Ask yourself how much a receiver upgrade helps you versus the
risk of Smith not panning out. If it is a big upgrade and you
can live with the risk, then I would trade Taylor. Whether Moulds
or Mason I will leave to you.
Likely with trade deadlines passing and the playoffs berths on the
line, I received more lineup questions this week. Hopefully these
are the same decisions some of you are facing (assuming I can help
you make the right call).
Okay, this next week is critical. What would you
do?:
Need to start 2 QB - Start Tom Brady and Kerry Collins,
or Brady and Byron Leftwich?
Need to start 3 WR/TE - Start Torry Holt, Derrick Mason,
Antonio Gates or Eddie Kennison. Could also pick-up Jerry Porter
and/or Lee Evans and start one or both of them?
On the RB side, need to start 2 - Corey Dillon, Derrick
Blaylock, Chester Taylor, T.J. Duckett or Sammy Morris?
Sandy
I go exactly the order you have them listed there.
Brady and Collins
Holt, Mason and Gates
Dillon and Blaylock
Looks good!
I now have some difficult decisions, with the last
week of our regular season coming up (week 13). Can you provide
some advice on who should I start for Week 13? I placed an "x"
beside who I think I will start. This is a critical week as I
need to win both to ensure I don't play the top team in the first
round!
QB (1)
x - Tom Brady
Jake Delhomme - he might be a good start vs. NO in week 13,
but I just like Brady vs. CLE - especially after this past week
RB and WR (any 4 but need at least 1RB and 1WR)
x - The Edge- worried about not enough TDs
x - Corey Dillon
Julius Jones
x - Reggie Wayne - should I diversify as there are just
too many WR options in Indy?
Andre Johnson - while he is just great, I have a hard time believing
that Carr will get him the ball versus the Jets
x - Isaac Bruce - chose Bruce because he is playing SF
Michael Clayton - reserve; I probably will not start him unless
injury
TE (1)
x - Jason Witten
Erron Kinney
K(1)
x - Ryan Longwell
Morten Andersen
Def (1)
x - Jets
Bears
I am really struggling with my decision at RB/WR. I would
like to play Jones, especially in Week 14 since he plays NO,
but I don't know who should sit? Also, any thoughts about who
could be a better start in Week 14?
Thanks. Chris
Hi Chris. After last week and given what Willis McGahee did to
Seattle, I think you should start Jones. Start all 3 RB in fact
and only 1 WR, which are more risky anyway. Mike Krueger has all
3 of your RB in his top 10 rankings this week. At WR I would go
with Bruce because the Rams should play much better at home then
they have the past couple weeks, and could lay a pounding on the
49ers. Check his injury status on the weekend as he got banged
up at the end of the Monday game, but I believe it was minor and
he should be fine this week.
As for week 14, the lineup would probably be very similar as
the RBs each have good matchups again (Edge's being the worst
at HOU). I would probably switch to Andre Johnson at WR though.
Delhomme could get the call over Brady but Brady is just generally
a more reliable option at QB and that is a position that really
fluctuates depending how the game goes in the early going - something
that is more difficult to determine with CAR vs. STL then NE vs.
anyone.
Cheers,
Mike
Big week for me, I am on the fringe of being out
of the playoffs if I lose.
RB, Pick 2: Deuce McAllister, Chester Taylor, Najeh Davenport
(if he starts), Ahman Green (if he starts), Reuben Droughns
and Brian Westbrook
WR, Pick 1: Roy Williams or Chris Chambers
QB, Pick 1: Trent Green, Matt Hasselbeck, Brian Griese and Jake
Delhomme
Defense: Bills or Miami
Thanks, Aaron
Hi Aaron. Well, I'll do the best I can.
At RB, Deuce and Droughns for now. Consider Green if he looks
to carry a full load. Could be difficult to determine before gametime
since they play late afternoon on Sunday, so Droughns is the lower
risk play.
At WR, Chambers. Roy Williams is too risky given his recent performances.
You could basically draw straws between the 4 QBs. Green if healthy.
Your gut choice between Delhomme and Griese if not. I favor Delhomme
because the team has been doing well lately and the Saints provide
a better matchup than the Falcons.
Bills or Dolphins on defense I would side with the Bills.