Dynasty League Updates 7/16/08
This space will be a semi-regular feature at FF Today and will
look to explore, speculate, and keep people interested in up and
comers in the NFL who may be or may not be well known in dynasty
league circles. I’m not guaranteeing anyone to become the
next star, but merely helping the reader to keep abreast of developments
that could affect your dynasty league rosters this season and beyond
and perhaps even help you discover unknowns who could become known
quantities down the road.
There’s been a lot of player movement this off-season and
not all of those players changing teams are as well known to fantasy
footballers as Julius Jones, Isaac Bruce, Michael Turner, Javon
Walker, Warrick Dunn, Bernard Berrian, Jason Elam or even Jerry
Porter. Some lesser known players who have changed addresses could
land in significant roles and should be looked at as late round
flyers in start up dynasty drafts or snatched up in the final rounds
of rookie/free agent drafts in established leagues. At the very
least these lesser-known players should be watched with a careful
eye until the waiver wire runs once the season starts. This off-season
edition of An Eye on the Future will mostly concentrate
on those players making a fresh start with a new team, but will
have a few lesser heralded rookies and incumbent veterans that have
fallen off the fantasy radar sprinkled in as well.
The Passers
With Josh McCown being signed as a free-agent and former Michigan
quarterback Chad Henne being drafted by the new regime in Miami,
it’s easy to dismiss second year passer John
Beck, but one would be foolish to do so as a dynasty owner.
He didn’t look all that impressive last season, but let’s not
forget most rookie signal callers struggle in year one and being
thrown to the wolves against the blitz happy Philadelphia Eagles
was a tough way to start a career. FFToday’s Matt
Waldman had Beck as his highest rated QB in the 2007 draft
class and the intelligent leader has a great chance to beat out
the aforementioned new comers in camp and lead his young team
into respectability. Beck is an accurate thrower and has good
field vision to find the open target. His mobility also gives
him a decent shot behind a still sub-par o-line in Miami. He’s
a great buy low guy to target in dynasty leagues.
While Alex Smith is a former No. 1 pick, and therefore should
be given an advantage to win the starting job in camp, from all
indications it will be an open battle to see who will be the one
to man the fantasy goldmine spot of a quarterback in a Martz offense.
Shaun Hill had some mild success last season after taking over
for Smith, but the wildcard in the mix is J.T.
O’Sullivan, a quarterback that Mad Mike was high enough on
to bring with him to the Bay area from Detroit and already knows
Martz’ complex playbook. While he’s a 29 year old career backup,
he has looked good in the preseason for teams like Green Bay and
Detroit and it wouldn’t be unprecedented for a journeyman backup
to get a new life later in his career and become and effective
starting quarterback – see Rich Gannon. This situation should
be followed closely this offseason.
The Runners
Lorenzo
Booker who followed Leon Washington at Florida State didn’t
see much action as a rookie with the Dolphins, but after being
talked up by new Dolphins’ coach Tony Sparano, he was promptly
sent to Philadelphia in a pre-draft trade. Booker will now back
up Brian Westbrook, who is 29 and has at times struggled to stay
healthy, so he’s worth a roster spot as a short term and long
term investment. While he’s not as dynamic as Westbrook he is
similar in stature and style and should find success in the Eagle
offense that has made Westbrook a legitimate star when he sees
the field.
Brian Calhoun
has spent two injury plagued seasons with the Detroit Lions, but
has been singled out with praise from head coach Rod Marinelli
this offseason for being “healthy”, showing “good vision”, and
being able to “cut well”. Marinelli also described Calhoun as
“not just a third-down back, he’s a back”. Calhoun had an impressive
career in Wisconsin and if Kevin Smith takes time adjusting to
the NFL, Calhoun could get a chance to see the field. Smith isn’t
known for his pass catching abilities – and neither is Tatum Bell
- so perhaps Calhoun will land a significant role in the passing
game, and even if he is “just a third down back”, that gives him
some value in point per reception leagues.
Former Indiana Hoosier Chris
Taylor seems to be a media and fan favorite in Houston despite
not see much playing time during his young career due to injury
and a crowded backfield. It has been suggested that the Texans
did not draft a RB early in 2008 because they have faith that
Taylor could contend for significant playing time, as the coaching
staff thinks he’s the ideal fit for their zone blocking system
at 220 pounds. Ahman Green looks to be near the end, Chris Brown
has had issues staying healthy and Darius Walker and Steve Slaton
look best suited for third down work so Taylor could see a cracked
door at some point this season. If he kicks it open, it would
be nice to already have him stashed on your bench.
A rookie RB not getting much buzz in 2008 that could very well
get a shot at significant playing time as early as this season
is Jalen
Parmele of the Miami Dolphins. He’s a sturdy 221 lb. back
that is a very effective downhill runner who hits the hole hard.
His powerful running style suits what Bill Parcells and Tony Sparano
will want to do in Miami this year and going forward. I’d expect
Ronnie Brown to be eased into 2008 coming off an ACL tear and
while I am a big fan of Ricky Williams, it’s tough for any team
to fully commit to the 31 year old back with a history of flakiness
(to put it mildly). Williams will be a free agent following 2008
and likely not resigned so Parmele could take on an even bigger
role in 2009, as Brown hasn’t been the picture of health during
his young career.
The Pass Catchers
Devard
Darling has been mostly unnoticed during his four years in
the NFL out of Washington State, but made a little noise down
the stretch for the Baltimore Ravens, highlighted by a 107 yard
with a TD performance against the Cleveland Browns in Week 11.
His productive second half must have caught the eye of the Kansas
City Chiefs who signed him as a free agent and made him the pre-season
favorite to replace the departed Eddie Kennison in the starting
line-up across from Dwayne Bowe. Darling’s speed should help open
the field for Bowe and TE Tony Gonzalez to work underneath, but
only if Brodie Croyle is able to connect on a couple of deep throws
per game to the former Raven. The last unheralded player to sign
with Kansas City after being underused in Baltimore was a player
named Priest Homes. Just saying.
Can Mike Martz make Bryant Johnson a fantasy
stud?
Former first round pick Bryant
Johnson has long toiled in the shadows of Anquan Boldin and
Larry Fitzgerald in the desert sun, but has now signed a one year
deal to show his stuff in the Bay area in an offense run by Mike
Martz. If guys like Shaun McDonald, Az-Zahir Hakim, and Mike Furrey
were able to land on the fantasy map playing under Mad Mike, just
think what the talented and speedy Johnson could do across the
field from steady Ike Bruce. Also for a deeper roster spot, keep
an eye on Jason
Hill. The second year wide-out is a complete package at wide-receiver
and just may be the break-out guy in that potentially productive
passing game if Johnson falters and Bruce shows his age.
TE Anthony
Fasano was a highly rated talent at Notre Dame and a Bill
Parcells’ type player - many compared him to Mark Bavaro - who
played well in limited action behind Jason Witten in Dallas. The
Big Tuna made sure to bring Fasano to Miami with him by trading
a draft pick – which is quite the commodity for a re-building
team - for the big TE right before the NFL draft. Fasano should
start right away and be one of the better targets in the Miami
passing game, as he gets good separation and has steady hands.
Whoever wins the training camp battle in Miami - journey-man Josh
McCown or youngsters John Beck or Chad Henne - will likely make
Fasano their best friend in the passing game since the Miami wide-outs
are nothing more than adequate at best.
Chansi
Stuckey was a late round pick out of Clemson that impressed
the Jets last pre-season with his speed and reliable hands, before
injury forced him to spend his rookie season on the IR. He has
shone in OTAs this off-season and word is he could supplant Brad
Smith as the slot receiver in the Jets’ passing attack. The New
York offense should be much improved with off-season help on the
OL and Kellen Clemens likely growth, perhaps giving Stuckey some
fantasy relevance from deep on your bench.
While Donnie Avery was the first wide receiver drafted this year
as a second rounder for the St. Louis Rams and is therefore the
one going much higher in rookie drafts, fourth round pick Keenan
Burton may make a bigger impact with the Rams this season
and in future years. Sources are indicating that while both played
well during OTAs, Burton has made the bigger impression with the
coaching staff. The Kentucky product is going un-drafted or very
late in rookie drafts while Avery is going in the second round
in most drafts, making Burton a potential steal.
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