QBs: (1 pt per 25 yds passing; 6 pts for all TDs, -2 pts/INT)
WRs/TEs: (1 point per 10 yards rushing/receiving, 6 points per TD)

Note: Teams that have a fantasy relevant TE will be included.

Passing

Jay Cutler/Javon Walker/Rod Smith (vs. ARI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cardinals this season: Seahawks
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 10.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 24.5
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 25.9/33.7

Passing Game Facts: The Cardinals have allowed two passing scores in four of the last five games and have allowed the last 5 opposing QBs to throw for 243 yards or more. All but two of the opposition’s QBs have hit double-digit fantasy points this season. In four of the last five games, the Cardinals have allowed an opposing WR to score 14.2+ fantasy points and, in particular, they have struggled defending the opposition’s deep threat and/or taller receivers.

Analysis: Cutler has thrown for 2 TDs in each of his two starts, so I like him for that here as well. He makes a pretty fair low-end #1 starter this week. I look for his first 200-yard passing game as well. Continue to look for Walker to get more balls thrown his way, but his production will still hold at the mid-#2 WR level. Keep an eye out for Tony Scheffler. If you are searching for a wildcard pick at TE to help you these final two weeks, Schef is definitely worth giving a look.

Tony Romo/Terrell Owens/Terry Glenn/Jason Witten (vs. ATL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Falcons this season: Giants
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 15.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 7.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 17.5
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 15/24.2/2.2

Passing Game Facts: Since his hot start, Romo has thrown for 2, 0, 5, 0, and 1 scores over the last five games, respectively, and has thrown 2 picks in each of the last two weeks. Glenn has been the ‘Boys’ best fantasy WR in three of the last five games while Owens has scored in every other game since Week 10. Witten has not scored since Week 8. Outside of the high-scoring games in the middle of the season vs. the Steelers and the Bengals where the defense allowed 7 passing scores, the Falcons have only allowed 7 throwing scores total in the other 11 games. The Falcons have struggled all season with the opposition’s deep threat at WR. Additionally, with the exception of Chris Cooley a couple weeks ago, the Falcons have given up good yardage and/or scores to every notable fantasy TE they have faced this season.

Analysis: Romo is neither as good as he was hyped to be two weeks ago (comparisons to Brady?) and he is not struggling as much as the media is going to say he is now. Romo is in his first year of starting and I fully expect him to settle in as a consistent low-end #1 QB for years to come. In this game, Romo should throw for throw for a long score to Glenn, who is the better fantasy play at WR (over Owens) this week. As usual since Romo became the starter, Witten is a solid yardage play-expect 40-50 yards.

Derek Anderson or Charlie Frye/Braylon Edwards/Joe Jurevicius/Kellen Winslow (vs. BAL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season: Browns
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 22.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 19.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 11
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 8.7/20/2.4

Passing Game Facts: Frye put up the second best fantasy game against this defense back in Week 3. Baltimore has allowed only two multi-TD games by opposing QBs all season long and none since Week 8 (Brees). They have allowed only 12 passing scores all season. Taller WRs have given them some problems, including Edwards in the first meeting. Jurevicius appears to be Anderson’s favorite WR in the early going. The Ravens have not allowed a double-digit TE performance this season, although Winslow did come the closest in the first meeting (9.2).

Analysis: Anderson has looked solid in his first 6 quarters of play. Assuming he makes the start this week, Anderson should be good for 200 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs. Jurevicius would continue to be the best WR play of the group (60-70 yards) followed by Edwards. Winslow is not getting the looks yet from Anderson, so it is hard to play him with much confidence, although he is a special talent that is liable to repeat his 9.2 game against this team the week you think about benching him.

Joey Harrington/Chris Chambers/Marty Booker/Randy McMichael (vs. BUF)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bills this season: Dolphins
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 14.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 17.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 13.5/11.7/9

Passing Game Facts: Week 13 was the first week the Bills defense did not allow a double-digit performance from an opposing QB. The Bills defense has allowed at least one passing score (but no more than two) in all but one game this season. On the other side, Harrington has only had one game where he did not reach double-digit fantasy points. Laveranues Coles was the first WR in four weeks to score double-digit fantasy points against the Bills whereas Marty Booker has three straight games of 12+ fantasy points. The Bills have allowed only 3 TE scores all season and only one double-digit performance to the position. McMichael has not had a single 10-point performance all season.

Analysis: This would appear to be a game where the averages on both sides meet up with each other pretty well. Look for Harrington to throw for 200 yards and a score (most likely to second-half stud Marty Booker). Booker should continue to be the best WR play of the group, so look for 60-70 yards and a TD. Despite Chambers’ inconsistency this season, he has absolutely torched this defense in the team’s second meeting over the past few years. I like him for an outside shot of 100 yards. McMichael will likely continue to struggle.

Ben Roethlisberger/Hines Ward/Nate Washington/Santonio Holmes (vs. CAR)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Panthers this season: Cowboys
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 16.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 17.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 24.2/21.8

Passing Game Facts: The Panthers have allowed consecutive 3-TD games to opposing QBs and three solid fantasy performances over the last three, but has allowed only one QB to throw for more than 200 yards in the past five games. Outside of two games against some of the league’s best pass defenses (BAL and OAK), Big Ben has played like a #1 fantasy QB in every week since Week 5. #1 WRs have fared reasonably well against this defense, especially in the second half of the season. (In something of an oddity, former Steelers WRs have been the leading fantasy WR for their new teams vs. the Panthers in two of the past three weeks.)

Analysis: There’s little reason to believe that Roethlisberger won’t have another good performance in this game, so mark him down for around 200 yards and 2 scores in this game. Ward, if he is able to return, should have a solid yardage performance, but I don’t like his chances of scoring. Those scores should go to the Holmes and/or Washington. That said, it’s hard to bet against Ward being the best Steelers fantasy WR when he’s in uniform. I like Ward for 80 yards and the other two WRs for 50 each.

Bruce Gradkowski/Joey Galloway/Michael Clayton (vs. CHI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bears this season: Vikings (2)
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 0.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 10.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 13.9/15.7

Passing Game Facts: The Bears have picked off 10 more passes than they have allowed passing touchdowns this season. The Bucs QBs have thrown 6 more INTs than TDs. Torry Holt’s 2 scores were the first TDs scored by a WR against this pass defense since Week 9. No Bucs WR has scored since Week 11.

Analysis: Say what you will. Yes, the Bears are giving up more than they have all season. However, that doesn’t make any Bucs players a good play this week. Look elsewhere. Galloway may get deep once, but don’t expect him to put up more than 50 yards.

Peyton Manning/Marvin Harrison/Reggie Wayne/Ben Utecht (vs. CIN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bengals this season: Saints
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 26.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 44.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 10.3/16/4.1

Passing Game Facts: Ten of the Bengals’ 17 interceptions this season have come in three games. Manning is coming off his first 0 TD passing performance this season and the first in his last 24 “meaningful” regular season games where he wasn’t pulled early due to the Colts not “needing” the game. The opponents’ deep threats have routinely put up nice games against the Bengals. No Colts TE has registered a double-digit performance since Week 7.

Analysis: Don’t be fooled, this has all the makings of the 45-37 Colts win from last season. (I’m not saying it will be that high scoring, but it won’t be a defensive battle either.) The Colts offense isn’t quite the force it was last year, but the Bengals defense isn’t quite as good as the 17 total points it has allowed over the past three games either-they have played some pretty inconsistent and, sometimes, low-quality offenses. I like Manning for at least 275 yards and 2-3 scores this week. Reggie Wayne dominated in last year’s track meet and I look for him to do it again. Harrison will play second fiddle in this one but is probably still good for 80-100 yards. Utecht is probably a decent yardage play although I get the feeling that Bryan Fletcher may find a short yardage score in this one.

Steve McNair/Derrick Mason/Mark Clayton/Todd Heap (vs. CLE)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Browns this season: Ravens
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 16.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 20.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 10.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 27.1/28.3/11.6

Passing Game Facts: The Browns have allowed five consecutive opposing QBs to post 15+ fantasy points. McNair has only one sub-10 point game since HC Brian Billick assumed the play-calling duties. The Browns have allowed at least one opposing WR to hit double-digit fantasy points in four straight games and have been victimized by the opposition’s deep threat for most of the season. After allowing only one TE score through 12 weeks, the Browns have allowed 3 scores to the position in the past two games.

Analysis: Considering the success the Steelers had running the ball and shutting down the Browns, it is safe to say I don’t expect much of the Ravens passing game in this one. McNair threw for 264 yards and a score in the first meeting, which is probably more than he will do this week. Expect 200 and 1 with 10-20 rushing yards. Mason should be the better WR play this week (70 yards to Clayton’s 40), while I expect Heap to hit 60 and find the end zone once again.

Michael Vick/Michael Jenkins/Ashley Lelie/Alge Crumpler (vs. DAL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cowboys this season: Titans
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 6.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 7.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 13.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 23.6/18/5.4

Passing Game Facts: Last week was the first game Vick did not score double-digit fantasy points. The most rushing yards the Cowboys have allowed to any single QB this season is 18 (Leinart). Conversely, Vick has only one game where he rushed for less than 40 yards. Drew Brees’ 44.8 point performance was more fantasy points than the Cowboys had allowed in the last three games combined (that includes both games vs. the Manning brothers) to opposing QBs. The Cowboys have allowed 3 double-digit performances to WRs in the last four games after allowing only three all season prior to Week 11. The opposition’s deep threat has often been the benefactor. Notable fantasy TEs have been decent plays against the Cowboys as Chris Cooley and Jeremy Shockey have scored well against this defense. Crumpler has only scored once since Week 9.

Analysis: Vick will put up decent fantasy numbers-but I imagine he will only account for one score, likely by running it in-but will struggle in reality. Because the Falcons figure to be without their top two backs, I look for Vick to approach 80 yards on the ground and 175 through the air. Crumpler should keep busy (60 yards) as Jenkins is the only trustworthy receiver Vick has. Jenkins may be good for 50-60 himself.

Matt Leinart/Anquan Boldin/Larry Fitzgerald (vs. DEN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Broncos this season: Seahawks
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 4.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 15
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 11.3/12.5

Passing Game Facts: Since becoming the starter, Leinart has registered only one non-double digit fantasy point (and one 0 TD) performance, but as only surpassed the 250-yard mark twice. The Broncos defense has not allowed a QB to throw or run for a score in seven of their 13 games this season. The Broncos have gone five straight games without allowing an opposing WR to hit double digits, have not allowed a WR score since Week 11, and have allowed only two 100-yard WR performances all season. Since his return from a slight hamstring tear, Fitzgerald has been targeted 50 times to Boldin’s 43.

Analysis: Don’t look for much more than 200 yards and a score from Leinart this week. I’m going to go out on a limb and assume that Champ Bailey will be guarding Fitzgerald more than he will Boldin, so I look for Boldin to have the better day of the two. Look for Boldin to settle at about 90 yards and a score while Fitzgerald will finish at about 50.

Brett Favre/Donald Driver/Greg Jennings (vs. DET)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Lions this season: Packers
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 31.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 27.5
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 15.7/19

Passing Game Facts: Eleven of Favre’s 12 INTs have occurred in five games this season. Four QBs (including Favre) have thrown for 3 or more scores against the Lions. Only one QB has thrown for more than 233 yards against the Lions since Week 4. Driver has been the Packers’ best fantasy WR in every week since their Week 6 bye, scoring 9+ points in six of those eight games. He has also scored in three straight and four of his last five games.

Analysis: This should be another great week to be a Favre owner. While they will certainly run the ball, Favre can’t help to throw for 250 yards and at least 2 TDs against this defense and Driver may grab both the scoring passes. He makes an excellent start this week. Jennings may score as well, but his chances are not nearly as good and he will probably have another lackluster yardage day, perhaps 50-60 at the most. He qualifies only as a #3 fantasy WR until next year.

Jon Kitna/Roy Williams/Mike Furrey (vs. GB)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Packers this season: Lions
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 25.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 25
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 15.5/17.8

Passing Game Facts: Every opposing starting QB has scored double digit points and thrown for at least one score against this defense. Eight of the starting QBs have thrown for at least 2 passing scores against the Pack. Kitna has not accounted for multiple scores in the same game since Week 7, has thrown at least one INT in every game this season, and has thrown three picks in each of the past two weeks. Furrey has been targeted 12 or more times in each of the past three games. The Pack has struggled defending bigger WRs all year. Last week was the first game in which the Packers did not allow at least one opposing WR to score double-digit fantasy points against them.

Analysis: Kitna had one of his finest performances as a Lion in the first meeting and not much as changed in regards to the Pack shutting down opposing passing games, so I like Kitna for 300 yards and 2 scores this week. This makes both Williams and Furrey top-notch plays. Unless weather plays a factor, this should be a game where you should consider starting every reasonable offensive fantasy player from both sides.

Tom Brady/Reche Caldwell/Troy Brown/Ben Watson (vs. HOU)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Texans this season: Redskins
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 16.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 18.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 1.8
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 15.3/18.1/2.6

Passing Game Facts: The Texans have allowed only 1 passing score over the last 3 weeks and only one QB has thrown for more than a single passing TD since Week 6. Brady has only thrown for one score over the last 3 weeks. Since throwing for multiple TDs in 5 of his first 7 games, Brady has only thrown for 2 or more TDs once since. The Texans have been repeatedly beaten by the opposition’s speed receiver. Last week was the first time in the last five weeks that Caldwell was not the Pats’ best fantasy WR. The Texans have allowed only one double-digit TE performer all season.

Analysis: It’s hard to get a read on Brady’s prospects lately. I expect both of the aforementioned TD streaks to end this week though. Brady should return to his usual 225 yard, 2 TD self this week against the Texans. As a result, look for Caldwell to return to form, as he should be good for 75 yards and a score. Playing any of the other Pats’ WRs is a gamble not worth taking. Since Watson appears to be out, it should mean more yards for the Pats WRs. I would not take a one-week flyer on Dan Graham.

Carson Palmer/Chad Johnson/Doug Houshmandzadeh (vs. IND)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Colts this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 13/11.2

Passing Game Facts: Running QBs have hurt the Colts defense much more than pocket passers have. Since the Bengals Week 5 bye, Palmer has thrown for one score in every game, including 2 or more in six of the nine games. The Colts have allowed only four double-digit performances to the WR position all season long, including none since Week 8. In that same period of time (since Week 8), Bengals WRs have hit that mark 9 times!

Analysis: All this is good and well, but when it comes to the Bengals offense lately, they will score on a defense pretty much irregardless of what that defense does best. Look for the Bengals to run as much and as long as they can early on, but Palmer will likely find a way to beat the Colts deep at least once or twice. Palmer should be a solid bet for 2-3 scores and 250 yards. All three Bengals WRs are solid plays, with Houshmandzadeh most likely to get the most opportunities as the Bengals work under the Colts Cover 2 defense most of the game. Both Doug and CJ are good bets to push 100 yards receiving and to score. Chris Henry would be a top #3 WR play, but a bit risky as a #2.

Vince Young/Drew Bennett/Brandon Jones (vs. JAX)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Jags this season: Titans
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 7.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 13.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 8.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 11.3/21.5/2.2

Passing Game Facts: Young has eclipsed the 20-point mark in each of the last 3 games and has accounted for at least one TD in every start he has made this season. After starting out horrendously against opponents on the road, the Jags have only allowed an average of 9.2 to the QB position over the last three road games. Peyton Manning’s 16.6 performance was the best against this defense since Week 7. Only Santana Moss and Andre Johnson have eclipsed 100 yards receiving AND scored in the same game against this defense.

Analysis: Young faces the team this week that forced him into his worst game as a starter. He will still find a way to score in this one, but I don’t like him as anything more than an average start this week. Bennett was the best WR play in the first game and he should be here as well. However, he is a low-end #2 WR at best and Jones should only start in deeper 3 WR leagues. A healthy Bo Scaife is a borderline start at best. Considering he is hurt and going against a defense that defends the TE well, he is better left on your bench.

Philip Rivers/SD receivers/Antonio Gates (vs. KC)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season: Chargers
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 18.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 10.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 20.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 21.5/19.8/10.3

Passing Game Facts: Kansas City has only held one QB under double-digit points since Week 4. Rivers has thrown for 2 or more scores in three of the team’s last 5 games. Mark Clayton’s 17.2 point performance last week was the first 10+ game by an opposing WR vs. the Chiefs since Week 9. Chargers’ WRs have only combined for one double-digit performance all season. The Chargers have allowed only two double-digit fantasy performances to TEs this season-one coming against Gates. Gates has hit that mark in three straight and four of his last five.

Analysis: The Chargers play much better defense at home than on the road. Barring the unforeseen, this game will likely play out like a typical Chargers game. Rivers will throw for 225 and a score to Gates while LT will handle the rest of the scoring. Gates is a good bet for 60-70 yards and a score and he is the only San Diego receiver worth playing once again.

JP Losman/Lee Evans/Roscoe Parrish (vs. MIA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season: Bills
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 10.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 13.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 11.7/16.5

Passing Game Facts: Losman has thrown for two TDs or more in three of his last four games. Last week marked the first time since Weeks 2-4 that Losman registered consecutive double-digit fantasy performances. Since picking off Rex Grossman off three times in Week 9, the Dolphins have only intercepted two passes since. On the other hand, the Dolphins have allowed only 4 passing scores since their Week 9 bye after allow 12 TDs in the first 8 games. The Dolphins have allowed one WR score since their bye week. Bills TE Robert Royal has scored in two straight games after not having scored all season prior to Week 13.

Analysis: Losman failed to throw for 100 yards yet passed for a score in their Week 2 meeting. Since Losman has hardly been a model of consistency this season, expect a similar outing, something like 150 and a score this time around. Evans has a history of tearing up the Dolphins the second time he faces them in a season, so he may push 100 yards and the aforementioned score. He’s a good play as a #2 WR this week.

Chad Pennington/Laveranues Coles/Jerricho Cotchery (vs. MIN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Vikings this season: Packers, Cardinals
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 22
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 36.8
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 7.5/18.8

Passing Game Facts: The Vikings have picked off two or more passes in three straight games while Pennington has been picked off twice in three of his last four games. The Vikings have allowed 7.9 fantasy points to starting QBs on the road and 19.1 at home (this game is at home). Bigger, possession-type WRs have given the Vikings the most trouble in 2006. Last week was the first game since Week 9 that neither Coles nor Cotchery had 10 targets in a game. The Vikings have allowed only two WR scores since Week 9.

Analysis: The Vikings run defense is nearing legendary status. As a result, nearly everybody in the Jets passing game should be a fair play. The line above about big, possession WRs giving the Vikes the most trouble would seem to favor Cotchery, but Cedric Griffin has started to lock down his opponent since taking over for Fred Smoot a few games ago. However, I feel Cotchery will still find his way into the end zone and accumulate roughly 80 yards. Coles will register about 70 yards. Pennington will follow in the footsteps of other recent QBs to face the Vikings, throwing for a lot of yards, but only throwing for one score and getting picked off twice.

David Carr/Andre Johnson/Eric Moulds (vs. NE)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Pats this season: Bills (2)
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 4.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 7.7
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 8.2/19.2

Passing Game Facts: The Patriots defense has not allowed a QB to score more than 14 fantasy points against them in 5 weeks and only three times all season. Carr has not thrown for more than one score or been picked off more than once in any game since Week 7. Johnson has been the Texans’ best fantasy WR in 12 straight games. After registering only non-double-digit performance prior to Week 9, Johnson has only hit the 10 point mark once since, scoring once in that time. The Patriots have allowed three straight double-digit WR performers in three straight games and 5 of their last six.

Analysis: Carr has really become a fantasy afterthought after starting out the season so well. As a result, it’s difficult to like him for more than 175 yards, one TD and one INT. Johnson once again figures to be the best Texans WR, but don’t look for much more than 80 yards. Moulds has not been a good play all season. TE Owen Daniels has not scored since Week 8 and is no longer a viable option and should not see your starting lineup anytime soon.

Jason Campbell/Santana Moss/Antwaan Randle El/Chris Cooley (vs. NO)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Saints this season: Browns
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 15.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 13
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 13/15.6/3.2

Passing Game Facts: The Saints have held only one QB to under 10 fantasy points this season and have allowed every QB except for Michael Vick (both times) to throw for a score. However, they have picked off five passes in the past two games. Campbell has scored more than 12 points in each of his four starts, but has been picked off twice in consecutive games and has thrown for less than 200 yards in three of those games. The Saints have allowed at least one WR to score 13.9 points in five of their last six games and in nine games over the course of the season. The Redskins have accounted for only 3 WR scores since Week 7. The Saints have allowed only one TE score since Week 8 while Cooley has scored three times in that same time period.

Analysis: After seeing what happened to their arch-rival last Sunday night, the Redskins will stay with the run as long as possible in this game. As such, look for a typical 175 yard, 1 TD game from Campbell. Brandon Lloyd has basically been phased out. The speed WR has had a lot of success vs. the Saints, so look for Moss to have a good game, pushing 90 yards with a shot at a score. Randle El is too inconsistent for fantasy use at this point, but Cooley is a pretty good bet for 60 yards and has the best chance at a scoring pass.

Jeff Garcia/Donte Stallworth/Reggie Brown/LJ Smith (vs. NYG)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Giants this season: Eagles
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 29.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 29.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 12.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 19.6/24.5/7.9

Passing Game Facts: The Giants have intercepted five passes in the past two games while Garcia has yet to throw one this season. The Eagles have had a QB score 10+ fantasy points in every game this season. The Giants have allowed 246 passing yards in each of their last five games. Garcia has only thrown for more than 200 yards once this season but has thrown for at least two scores in each of his three starts. Stallworth has been the best fantasy WR for the Eagles in five of the last six games despite seeing only five more targets (43-38) than Brown. Since Week 8, Smith has been all hit-or-miss. He has three games of 7+ points and three games of less than one point. The Giants have allowed the most yards to the TE position in the league.

Analysis: Ride Garcia if you have him. It’s hard to bet against a QB that has thrown for multiple scores in each start and has yet to throw an INT in an offense that throws as much as the Eagles do. I like him for 225 and 2 this week. I also like Stallworth to repeat his Week 2 numbers, 80 yards and a good shot at a score. Brown is a solid #3 WR-he has less of a chance to score than Stallworth, but should figure to get 50-60 yards. Smith had his only 100 yard game in the first meeting and he should in line for 60-70 more this time around.

Brad Johnson/ MIN receivers (vs. NYJ)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Jets this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 16/19

Passing Game Facts: Johnson has been held without a passing TD in consecutive games and four of his last seven games. He has only passed for multiple scores in one game this season. The Jets have allowed a passing score and the opposing QB to score in double digits in every week since Week 1. The Jets have allowed five straight teams to feature a double-digit performer at WR and 10+ points to all but two teams they have played this season. On the other end of the spectrum, the Vikes have only had five double-digit performances from their WRs all season.

Analysis: Johnson is a decent play because of the matchup, but unless you are terribly hurting at the position, don’t start him. He’ll be fortunate to hit 175 yards and a score. Marcus Robinson continues to be the most targeted WR in this offense and the only one worth consideration as a #3 WR. Either way, it’s hard to imagine the Vikings not running the ball 30-40 times in this game. Once again, stay away from this passing game.

Marc Bulger/Torry Holt/Isaac Bruce (vs. OAK)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season: Cardinals
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 4.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 18.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 6.3/14.7

Passing Game Facts: Carson Palmer’s 17.9 performance last week tied Seneca Wallace for the best QB performance against the Raiders since Week 5 and was only the second two passing TD game allowed in that same time. Bulger has attempted 100 passes in the last two weeks and has attempted no fewer than 34 passes in any game since Week 5 and only twice all season. Bulger has also been intercepted in five straight games. Only five WRs have hit double digits against this defense. Only three times this season has Holt not been targeted at least 10 times. Conversely, Doug Houshmandzadeh was targeted 10 times last week-no Raiders opponent has targeted a WR that many times since Week 8.

Analysis: Last week did not project well for the Rams passing game and Holt and Bulger excelled in fantasy. However, the Bears did something that the Raiders will not be able to do, jump out to a big lead. As such, this passing game will suffer statistically as Bulger will be fortunate to top 225 yards and one score. Besides, the Rams should have a lot of success running and throwing short to Steven Jackson. Holt will have a tough game, likely topping out at 60-70 yards. Bruce should only be played as a #3 WR.

Eli Manning/Plaxico Burress/Tim Carter/Jeremy Shockey (vs. PHI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Eagles this season: Giants
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 30.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 45.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 16.7/20.3/4

Passing Game Facts: After allowing only four 10+ performances to opposing QBs through 10 weeks, the Eagles have allowed four straight. Despite all his negative press lately, Manning has only had one scoreless game this season and has went consecutive games without throwing an INT. #2 WRs have feasted on this defense as of late. Only four WRs have been targeted 10+ times in a game all season vs. the Eagles. At least one WR has scored in each of the past three weeks vs. the Eagles. Burress has scored in four straight and six of his last seven but has only had one 100-yard receiving game in 2006. The Eagles have allowed only one 10+ point performance to an opposing TE. (Burress’ 9 TDs are already a career high and Shockey’s 7 scores ties a career high.)

Analysis: Manning had his best game of the season in the amazing OT comeback win against a very different Eagles squad back in Week 2. You should be able to figure on at least 200 yards and two scores vs. the Eagles. Burress and Shockey make excellent bets for one score a piece, with Burress and Shockey both figuring into the 60-80 yard neighborhood.

Jake Delhomme or Chris Weinke/Steve Smith/Keyshawn Johnson/Drew Carter (vs. PIT)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Steelers this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 9.7/15.4

Passing Game Facts: Only four QBs have thrown for 2+ scores against the Steelers this season. Panthers QBs have thrown a pick in eight straight contests, throwing 2+ in three straight. They have not allowed an opposing QB to score more than 14 points in four weeks. Smith has not had back-to-back single digit performances since his return from a season-ending injury in 2004 (he had one last week). Bigger receivers have consistently had the best games against the Steelers. The Steelers have allowed only two WR scores in the past five weeks after allowing nine WR scores in the first nine weeks.

Analysis: Delhomme remains questionable. Considering the Steelers stop the run pretty well and Carolina is coming off a game where they attempted 61 passes, you should be able to figure on a lot of passes being thrown in this game as well. Smith should be able to rebound this week to the tune of 100 yards and a score (assuming Delhomme makes it back). If not, Carter could once again be the man. If Weinke goes again, knock down Smith a little in the yardage department but still figure him for the score. Carter would once again be a better play than Keyshawn in such a scenario. I like Carter for 70 yards and Johnson for 50. Delhomme should probably be on your bench considering his injury status while Weinke should not be on your roster at this point.

Trent Green/Eddie Kennison/Samie Parker/Tony Gonzalez (vs. SD)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chargers this season: Chiefs
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 19.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 11.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 21.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 15.3/11.5/14.2

Passing Game Facts: The Chargers have allowed three straight QBs to score more than 12 fantasy points and in eight of their last nine games. Yet, none of the last four QBs to face the Chargers has thrown for 200 yards. Ten of their 13 INT’s have come in five games. Trent Green has thrown an interception in three straight games. Conversely, San Diego has allowed seven of their opponents to throw for at least two scores. Chiefs QBs have only thrown for more than 201 yards once in the last six weeks. The Chargers have allowed only one WR score since Week 11 and have only allowed only two 100-yard WR performances all season. The Chargers have allowed at least one TE score in three straight games.

Analysis: It’s tough to get excited over this passing game this week. Green has been all over the board since his return from a severe concussion. Because the Chiefs will try to hammer the ball at the Chargers all day, I don’t like Green to top 200 yards but he should hit Gonzalez for at least one score. Both WRs should not be starting at this time of year. Gonzalez is the only good play from this group, as usual.

Aaron Brooks/Randy Moss/Ronald Curry (vs. STL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Rams this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 14.5/16.2

Passing Game Facts: The Rams have allowed a TD pass in every game since Week 1 but have not allowed a QB to throw for more than 280 yards all season long. After intercepting 8 passes in their first four games, the Rams have only picked off three passes over the next nine. On the other hand, Brooks has thrown a INT in every game since his Week 11 return. No QB has attempted more than 25 passes against the Rams since Week 6. Ronald Curry became only the third Raiders WR this season to hit double digit fantasy points and only the fourth Raiders WR to catch a TD pass this season.

Analysis: Once again, you cannot play anybody associated with the Raiders passing game. Despite the Rams having some obvious weaknesses defending the pass, the Raiders’ best chance to win is to run the ball.

Rex Grossman/Muhsin Muhammad/Bernard Berrian/Desmond Clark (vs. TB)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bucs this season: Steelers
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 18.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 12.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 14.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 21.6/21.3/7.7

Passing Game Facts: From Week 8 on, the Bucs have allowed a 5:1 TD/INT ratio (15:3) to opposing QBs. All but one QB has scored double digit fantasy points against the Bucs this season. At least one Bears WR has hit double digits in all but two games this season. Bigger possession-type WRs have fared well against the Bucs. Clark has scored only once and has not topped 20 yards since Week 10.

Analysis: By the end of the season, most members of the media will tell you that Grossman is back. Why is that? Because he is in the middle of a four-game stretch where he will face some of the worst defenses. This bodes well for you, the fantasy owner, but the true test of Grossman’s growth will come at the end of the 2007 season, when he has actually accumulated more than 30 starts. As far as this game, Grossman should have a fairly easy time reaching the 200-yard, 2 TD performance he had on MNF vs. the Rams. He may actually be in line for three scores. As a result, Muhammad and Berrian each have an excellent chance to score with Muhammad being the better fantasy WR play. Clark has not seen more than 2 targets since Week 10 and is quickly losing importance in fantasy circles.

David Garrard/Ernest Wilford/Matt Jones/Reggie Williams (vs. TEN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Titans this season: Jags
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 26.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 24.3
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 10.4/16.4

Passing Game Facts: After allowing every starting QB to go for more than 10 points prior to Week 12, the Titans have only allowed it to happen once over the past three games. The Titans have intercepted two passes in three of the last five games. Garrard has thrown for two scores in each of his two road starts. The Titans have allowed only two 100-yard WR performances since Week 1 while Jags WRs have only had one such performance.

Analysis: Garrard had his best fantasy game of the year in the first meeting. The Titans have improved considerably since that time, so don’t expect a repeat of Garrard’s earlier performance. Look for another 2 TD performance from Garrard, with 200 yards likely to be his ceiling. Williams has not been fantasy relevant since Week 5. This leaves Wilford and Jones the two best options, each no better than a #3 WR for your team. Wilford had the best game the first time around but Jones has come on recently. Pencil both in for around 60 yards with Jones the best bet for a score.

Drew Brees/Marques Colston/Devery Henderson (vs. WAS)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season: Colts, Eagles
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 30.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 29.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs over the last 3 weeks: 16.9/14.6

Passing Game Facts: Brees has thrown for 300+ yards and multiple TDs in six of his last eight games. The Redskins have allowed a passing score in every game this season and allowed multiple TD passes in six of their last seven games and have only intercepted five passes all season. Yet, the Redskins have not allowed a 200-yard passer in the last four weeks. The Redskins have allowed at least one WR score each week since Week 3.

Analysis: The only thing that will keep Brees from throwing for 300 yards and 4 TDs in this game is if the running game continually breaks off long scoring runs. As it stands, Brees (along with Palmer and Peyton Manning) is the start of the week at QB. He should have a solid shot at 275 yards and 3 scores. As you likely saw last Sunday night, Brees will hit just about any one of his receivers (or his fullback) for a TD. With Joe Horn still out, Henderson is a good bet for 90 yards and a long score while Colston is good for similar numbers if he can practice most of this week (and stay in the game). As has become the status quo, Reggie Bush will figure heavily into the receiving game, as he should be good for 70-80 yards through the air.

Rushing

RBs: (1 pt per 10 yards rushing/receiving; 6 pts for all TDs)

Tatum Bell (vs. ARI)
Similar RBs that have faced the Cardinals this season: Ahman Green
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 38.7
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 15.5

Running Game Facts: Shaun Alexander was the first RB since Week 7 not to score at least 10 fantasy points against the Cardinals defense. Last week was the first time since Week 6 an opposing RB did not score vs. the Cardinals. Broncos RBs have not scored a TD over the past three weeks. Bell has not reached the end zone since Week 7.

Analysis: As has become the rule this season, Bell is a good bet for 100 yards rushing when he can play, but he does not score very often. Look for that trend to continue as defenses will strive to make rookie Jay Cutler beat them via the air. Bell’s a solid #2 RB this week.

Julius Jones/Marion Barber (vs. ATL)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Falcons this season: N/A
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: N/A
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 21.6

Running Game Facts: Last week was the first week since Week 7 that the Falcons did not allow a RB score. Last week Barber’s 2 touches were his fewest all year (he had 5 in Week 1). It was the first time since Week 9 that he did not score. The Falcons have allowed an opposing RB to score more than 19 fantasy points in four of their last six games. Last week marked the first time in 5 weeks that Barber was not the best fantasy RB play for the Cowboys. Cowboys RBs have scored at least once in every game since Week 7.

Analysis: After last week’s disaster, it is safe to say that Jones and Barber will return to the forefront. Unfortunately, Barber’s 2-touch Week 14 killed many a playoff game for owners that had come to rely on him. Expect Jones to see 15-18 touches once again with Barber getting his usual 10-12 touch workload. Jones is a solid bet for 80 yards while Barber should return to his 50 yard, 1 TD ways.

Reuben Droughns/Jason Wright (vs. BAL)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Ravens this season: Droughns/Wright
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 6.6
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 10

Running Game Facts: The Browns have not run for 100+ yards as a team since Week 8 and have only scored 4 times all season. Conversely, the Ravens have only allowed 2 RB scores and only four RBs to hit double digits (Tomlinson, LJ, Henry, Rudi Johnson). Only one time since Week 9 has a Browns RB scored 10+ fantasy points.

Analysis: This is a bad rushing situation to have a player involved in and worse yet, it’s a committee situation. Stay away, especially against the Ravens. Neither RB even makes a good flex play.

Sammy Morris (vs. BUF)
Similar RBs that have faced the Bills this season: Ronnie Brown
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 12.2
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 25

Running Game Facts: Last week was the first time in nine games the Bills did not allow a double-digit RB point producer. The Bills have allowed at least 105 yards rushing to opposing RBs in every week since Week 7. Week 14 marked the first time in four weeks that a Dolphins RB scored 10+ fantasy points.

Analysis: Play Morris this week as you would Brown. Morris is a solid bet for at least 120 total yards with at least one score a very definite possibility. He is probably a top 10-15 pick at RB and a solid #2 back this week.

Willie Parker (vs. CAR)
Similar RBs that have faced the Panthers this season: Tiki Barber, Ladell Betts
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 11.3
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 17.2

Running Game Facts: The Panthers have allowed three straight starting RBs to score more than 10 fantasy points, but have not allowed a RB rushing score since Week 8. Parker has scored more than 17 points in five of his last seven games and he has scored 25+ points in four games this season. In between Parker’s two 200-yard rushing performances, he rushed for a grand total of 129 yards in three games. Parker has been above average on the road and nearly unstoppable at home-this game is on the road

Analysis: If you can live with merely an above average performance in your fantasy matchup from your likely #2 RB, feel free to play him. Seriously, Parker should be playing in all leagues and should be good for at least 110 total yards with a score an outside possibility (the Panthers have allowed only 6 RB scores all season).

Cadillac Williams (vs. CHI)
Similar RBs that have faced the Bears this season: Willis McGahee
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 6.5
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 27.3

Running Game Facts: After allowing only one RB to top 10+ fantasy points before their Week 7 bye, the Bears have allowed 11.8+ points in six of the next seven games yet have allowed only 6 RB scores all season. Before the bye, the Bears allowed 3.3 yds/carry. Since then, they have allowed 5.1 yds/carry. The Bucs have only had one 10+ point RB performance since Week 6. The Bucs RBs have only scored 3 times all season.

Analysis: While it’s tough to ignore the Bears troubles against the run since Mike Brown’s (and now Tommie Harris) injuries (not to mention Tank Johnson sitting out this week), the Bucs are just plain troubling on offense this season. The Bucs will have trouble keeping up in this game and, as a result, will not be able to stick with the run. Expect Caddy to top out at 50 total yards.

Joseph Addai/Dominic Rhodes (vs. CIN)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Bengals this season: N/A
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: N/A
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 7.3

Running Game Facts: Since allowing 39.8 points to LaDainian Tomlinson in Week 10, the Bengals have given up a total of 45.1 points to opposing RBs in the four games since. Since allowing four rushing scores in the same game, the Bengals have not allowed a RB score since. Outside of Week 10, the Bengals have allowed only one RB rushing score since Week 4. After being Indy’s best fantasy RB for six straight weeks, Addai has given way to Rhodes the past two weeks. Colts RBs only have one individual 100-yard rushing performance all season.

Analysis: Long-term, the Colts are doing the right thing by limiting Addai’s carries this year so he can prep the rookie to take the full load next season. It’s tough to not to like Addai more than Rhodes in this game as Rhodes has yet to really distinguish himself. Usually, the only times he outperforms Addai is when he has the good fortune of replacing Addai on a drive in the red zone after Addai did most of the work on the ground to get the Colts there to begin with. I like Addai for 80 total yards and a score while Rhodes is in line for about 40-50 total yards.

Jamal Lewis (vs. CLE)
Similar RBs that have faced the Browns this season: Lewis
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 8.6
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 23.3

Running Game Facts: The Browns have allowed six straight RBs to top 10.8 points and have only kept two teams from featuring a back that scored less than that amount. They have allowed seven 100-yard+ rushing performances. Lewis has only one 100-yard rushing performance this season. Lewis has scored double-digit fantasy points in four of his last six games.

Analysis: It’s hard not to like Lewis as a solid #2 RB this week. It would be mildly surprising if he doesn’t get 25 touches, thus I like him for 80-90 total yards and at least one score.

Warrick Dunn/Jerious Norwood or Justin Griffith (vs. DAL)
Similar RBs that have faced the Cowboys this season: LenDale White
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 3.9
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 32.5

Running Game Facts: Up until last Sunday night, the most fantasy points the Cowboys allowed to an opposing RB was 17.5-they allowed two Saints to top 20. The three receiving RB scores were the first allowed this season by the Cowboys. Deuce McAllister’s 100-yard rushing performance was the first one against the Cowboys in seven weeks and only the second one all season. Dunn has not rushed for 100 yards since Week 6.

Analysis: Griffith is most likely the starter for this Saturday night game. Don’t overlook him just because he is a fullback most of the time. That said, Vick will likely find it necessary to put it on his shoulders (or legs as the case may be) to carry the running game this week as well. As a result, I don’t like Griffith for a running score this week-that should go to Vick. Pencil Griffith in for 60-70 yards at the most.

Edgerrin James (vs. DEN)
Similar RBs that have faced the Broncos this season: N/A
FF Points vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 28.7

Running Game Facts: The Broncos have allowed 13+ fantasy points to opposing RBs in four straight and six of their last seven games. After not allowing a single RB score through eight weeks, the Chargers have allowed 13 since. After rushing for only 2.8 yds/carry through 9 weeks, James has averaged 4.4 yds/carry since.

Analysis: The Broncos defense gets a breather this weekend after facing the likes of LT, LJ, Alexander, and Parker over five of the past six weeks. While the Cardinals have certainly improved the running game over the last month, they haven’t exactly done it against a tough run defense yet. James is probably only good for 70-80 total yards.

Ahman Green (vs. DET)
Similar RBs that have faced the Lions this season: Green
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 17.1
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 27.4

Running Game Facts: The Lions have allowed an opposing RB score 3 TDs against them in consecutive weeks. The Lions have allowed an opposing RB to score 21+ fantasy points in three of their last five games. Green has scored 14+ points in three straight games.

Analysis: It’s hard to bet against the trends mentioned above. There’s a pretty good chance Green is a top 5 RB play this week. A 100 yard game should be in the cards, one score appears almost certain and there’s a good chance he could score twice.

Arlen Harris (vs. GB)
Similar RBs that have faced the Packers this season: N/A
FF Points vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 27.5

Running Game Facts: The Packers have allowed 17+ fantasy points to an opposing RB in four straight games and a 100-yard rushing performance in three straight. Lions RBs have only accounted for two total scores in the past 5 weeks.

Analysis: The Packers saw a lot of Lions’ RBs in their first meeting, but Harris was not one of them. Based on their only other games with Kevin Jones in the lineup, the Lions abandoned the running game early. Expect the same thing here, but with more success against one of the worst pass defenses in the league. So despite the matchup, it’s hard to like Harris for more than 50 total yards.

Corey Dillon/Laurence Maroney (vs. HOU)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Texans this season: N/A
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: N/A
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 20.1

Running Game Facts: The Texans have allowed at least one running score in all but once game over the past 6 weeks. Dillon has scored in every other game this season but not once has he scored in consecutive games-he was shut out last week. Dillon has yet to run for 100 yards in a game this season.

Analysis: Maroney is not a good bet for this weekend with a back injury, so Dillon should be the main man once again. The trends say he isn’t going to pop a 100-yard game on us, but he is a very good bet for at least one score and 70 yards rushing.

Rudi Johnson (vs. IND)
Similar RBs that have faced the Colts this season: Travis Henry (2)
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 11.8
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 36.1

Running Game Facts: The Colts have allowed eight 100-yard rushing performances this season and they are the only team to have allowed 2000 yards rushing to opposing RBs. They have allowed 1000+ of total yardage and seven scores to RBs over the past five weeks. Johnson has scored more than 10 fantasy points in seven of his last eight games.

Analysis: This game looks like it should feature the Bengals running Rudi 35 times for 200+ yards, but the Bengals just are not that kind of team. When a team has the passing game this team does, the Bengals quite often score from outside the red zone. I expect that to happen more often than not in this game, however, Rudi is still a great play, as 130 yards and a score should be in the works.

Travis Henry (vs. JAX)
Similar RBs that have faced the Jags this season: Henry
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 6.7
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 14.1

Running Game Facts: No RB has carried the ball more than 12 times against the Jags in the past four weeks. Predictably, no RB has run for more than 67 yards against this defense since Week 7. The Jags are one of four defenses that have yet to allow 1000 yards rushing to their opponents. Henry has scored 10+ points and rushed for 88 or more yards in four of his last five games. The Jags have not allowed a double-digit RB performer in three of their last four games.

Analysis: When these teams first met, it appeared it was a matter of the Jags playing like world-beaters at home and the Titans just being the Titans. Now the Jags must defeat one of the league’s hottest teams. The Jags have the personnel to hand another beatdown to the Titans running game, but Henry will find a bit more success this time around, but not much more. He should have a shot at 80 total yards with a score pretty unlikely. If Chris Brown has to go due to Henry’s injury status, he’s not a good bet for anything more than 60 rushing yards.

LaDainian Tomlinson (vs. KC)
Similar RBs that have faced the Chiefs this season: Tomlinson
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 17.8
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 15.8

Running Game Facts: Tomlinson has surpassed the 100-yard rushing mark in seven straight games, scoring 2+ times in every game. The first meeting between these teams was the last time that Tomlinson has not scored at least 23.4 fantasy points. The Chiefs have not allowed a 100-yard rusher since Week 6-the only time they have allowed a rusher to hit that mark all season. It was also the only time the Chiefs allowed a single rusher to score twice on their defense in the same game. The Chiefs have allowed an average of 15.9 fantasy points to feature backs on the road, but only 9.5 at home.

Analysis: Some things don’t need to be analyzed all that much. Figure LT on helping your team advance (or keeping your team out) of the next round of your fantasy playoffs with another 100-yard rushing performance with another three scores a distinct possibility.

Willis McGahee (vs. MIA)
Similar RBs that have faced the Dolphins this season: McGahee
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 9.7
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 13

Running Game Facts: The Dolphins have allowed two 100-yard rushers this season. Similarly, the Bills have two 100-yards rushing performances to their credit. Four of the five rushing scores and three of the five 10+ point performances the Dolphins have allowed have come in the past five weeks. Since scoring only once in his first nine weeks, McGahee has scored four times in the last three weeks after returning from injury.

Analysis: McGahee seems to enjoy running well against teams in the Bills division. The Bills are playing much better on offense lately, but the easiest way to score on the Dolphins has been through the air all season. That being said, I like McGahee to hit the 80 yard rushing mark with a 50/50 shot at a short-yardage score.

Cedric Houston/Leon Washington (vs. MIN)
Similar RBs that have faced the Vikings this season: N/A
FF Points vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 9.7

Running Game Facts: Cedric Benson’s 60-yard rushing, 1 TD game in Week 13 was the most rushing yards the Vikes have allowed to a single rusher and also the last time they allowed a rushing TD since Week 4. Only one team has rushed for 100 yards against the Vikes-Carolina in Week 2. The Vikings have only allowed 639 and 4 rushing scores to the RB position all season.

Analysis: Teams have flat-out given up on trying to run on the Vikings-outside of the Bears. Expect the Jets to follow suit. Washington is the best bet to break a big run, but he is a low-end flex option at best. Figure Washington to top out at 40-50 total yards with Houston virtually a non-factor.

Wali Lundy/Ron Dayne (vs. NE)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Pats this season: Willis McGahee/Anthony Thomas (2)
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 16.1
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 19.2

Running Game Facts: The Pats have allowed three straight opposing RBs (and seven of their last eight) to hit 10+ fantasy points. At least one Texans RB has hit double-digit fantasy points in six of their past eight games. Sammy Morris’ 123-yard performance was the first 100-yard rushing game the Pats have allowed since Week 3. However, the Pats have allowed an opposing rusher to hit 99 or more yards in two of their past three games.

Analysis: Losing Rodney Harrison and Junior Seau has made this team vulnerable in the run game, but it is still hard for me to take Dayne seriously against a respectable run defense, which the Pats still are. Dayne is going to find it tough to top 60 yards, while Lundy will struggle to hit 40. I don’t like either one, even as a flex play this week.

Ladell Betts (vs. NO)
Similar RBs that have faced the Saints this season: N/A
FF Points vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 15.1

Running Game Facts: The Saints have allowed three 100-yard rushers in the past five weeks while Betts has hit that mark in each of his last three starts. Four of the 10+ performances the Saints have allowed to RBs have come in the past five weeks. Redskins RBs have only accounted for one TD since Week 9.

Analysis: Betts can have a good game, but the Redskins defense will need to be ready to play from the first snap on. Otherwise, Betts will be restricted to catching passes in the flat for most of the game. It’s easy to predict a blowout in this game, but the Redskins have played each of their last four opponents pretty close. Betts should have some opportunities to rush for 90 yards, but don’t bet too heavily on a score from him.

Brian Westbrook (vs. NYG)
Similar RBs that have faced the Giants this season: Westbrook
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 16.4
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 12

Running Game Facts: Westbrook has scored 10+ points in seven straight games and in all but one game this season. Westbrook has only had one game where he has not recorded at least 38 yards receiving while only rushing for less than 68 yards twice this season. Only two runners have gone over the 100-yard mark vs. the Giants in 2006.

Analysis: Because he has stayed healthy this season, fantasy owners know what they can expect from Westbrook. At least 100 total yards in each game with a score an every-other-game possibility. He should get one here as well.

Chester Taylor (vs. NYJ)
Similar RBs that have faced the Jets this season: Ronnie Brown, Thomas Jones
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 15.5
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 18.6

Running Game Facts: The Jets have allowed an opposing RB to 10+ points in all but one game this season. A Vikings RB has scored 9.5 fantasy points in nine straight games and in all but three games this season. A Vikings RB has also scored at least once in four straight games. They have allowed seven 100-yard rushing performances this season. After allowing 12 RB scores in the first eight games of the season, the Jets have allowed only one since.

Analysis: Taylor figures to suit up and wear some protective padding for this game. After seeing what Artose Pinner did last week, you have to figure his ribs will feel pretty good if he can find the end zone three times like Pinner. Taylor looks like a great play in the 100-110 total yard range with at least one score a pretty good possibility. In the event he cannot play, don’t automatically figure on Pinner carrying the load. If he does, it won’t be determined for sure until midway through the first half.

Steven Jackson (vs. OAK)
Similar RBs that have faced the Raiders this season: Larry Johnson
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 27.4
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 24.5

Running Game Facts: The Raiders have allowed seven 100-yard rushing performances (and three in their last four games) this season. They have also allowed a RB to score twice in three of the last four contests. They have given up 10+ points to a RB from all but two opponents in 2006. Jackson has seen 28+ touches in each of the last three games. He also has 6+ receptions in his last six games. Only three times this season has Jackson not rushed for at least 80 yards.

Analysis: The Bears were down a couple pass defenders, but the Raiders have no such problem. This should mean another heavy dose of “Action” Jackson. He should be in line for 30-35 touches, with 150 total yards and at least one score a high possibility. He’s one of the best RB plays this week.

Tiki Barber/Brandon Jacobs (vs. PHI)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Eagles this season: Barber/Jacobs
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 14.3
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 32.6

Running Game Facts: The Eagles have allowed 18+ points to a RB in four straight games and have allowed 9+ points to a RB in every game since Week 1. The Eagles have allowed at least 160 rushing yards in three of their past four games. Barber has seven 100-yard rushing games this season, but he has scored only once. A Giants RB has hit 10+ fantasy points in all but two games this season.

Analysis: Barber is almost a shoe-in for 120 total yards and Jacobs is a pretty good bet for 40-50 yards and a short score. Play them accordingly.

DeShaun Foster/DeAngelo Williams (vs. PIT)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Steelers this season: Warrick Dunn/Jerious Norwood
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 19.8
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 11.2

Running Game Facts: No RB has rushed for 100 yards all season or topped 13 fantasy points against the Steelers since Week 1. Panthers RBs have only accounted for 6 total TDs; the Steelers have only allowed 7. No RB has rushed for more than 75 yards vs. the Steelers since Week 2.

Analysis: This is a bad matchup at the wrong time for the Panthers. And since Foster is getting more work than Williams AND Chris Weinke will probably be under center, there is less chance that the Panthers will run with any degree of success. Neither RB makes anything more than a flex play and that even is probably a stretch. I don’t like either RB for more than 40 total yards.

Larry Johnson (vs. SD)
Similar RBs that have faced the Chargers this season: Johnson
FF Points vs. similar RBs: 28.1
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 14.8

Running Game Facts: The Chargers have allowed two 100-yard rushing performances over the course of the season. Including Johnson’s 28.1 point performance in the first meeting, the Chargers have allowed 13+ fantasy points in five of their next eight games. Johnson has been much less of a fantasy beast on the road than he has on the road. He has hit the century mark in four straight (and seven of his last eight) games. Johnson has only been held to single digits once all season. Johnson has touched the ball 20 times in eight straight games.

Analysis: The Chiefs will need to ride LJ if they want to keep up with the Chargers offense in this all-important division road game. I don’t predict too many RBs to put up decent numbers against a full-strength Chargers defense, but Johnson can get his numbers against just about any team. As such, I like him for at least 120 total yards and at least one score.

Justin Fargas (vs. STL)
Similar RBs that have faced the Rams this season: N/A
FF Points vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 31.9

Running Game Facts: No Raiders RB has topped 66 yards rushing since Week 5 and only once has a Raiders RB (LaMont Jordan) rushed for over 100 yards this season. Raiders RBs have scored only five times all season. The Rams have allowed 12.4+ points to an opposing RB in all but one game this season. The Rams have allowed nine 100-yard rushing (and eleven 90-yard) performances this season.

Analysis: Until Oakland’s running game gives me something to write about, I will continue telling you there is nothing to see here. Fargas may hit 60 rushing yards, but that is the most any of his owners can expect. One Raiders RB may score this week as the Rams have been friendly to opposing RBs, but it’s anyone’s guess who may get it.

Thomas Jones/Cedric Benson (vs. TB)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Bucs this season: Julius Jones/Marion Barber
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 24.6
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 20.6

Running Game Facts: At least one Bears RB has scored at least 10+ points in the past six games. Last week, Benson and Jones both scored. Eight of the 11 TDs that Bears RBs have scored have come in four games. The Bucs have not allowed more than 88 total yards to an opposing RB since Week 7.

Analysis: Jones is questionable for this game, which would drastically change all the projections for this game if he doesn’t play. First off, Adrian Peterson would see some more work than usual in this game. Assuming Jones can play, he figures to be a low-end #2 RB at best, figure 60-70 yards. Benson would be in line for his usual 40-50. If Jones cannot go, Benson could push 80 yards with Peterson in line for 40 total yards. I don’t like the Bears RBs to score this week.

Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew (vs. TEN)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Titans this season: Taylor/Jones-Drew
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 16.4
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 24.8

Running Game Facts: Jags RBs have accounted for 10 double-digit fantasy point performances over the past five weeks. The Titans have allowed 2 scores to RBs in two of the past three games and five 10+ point performances to opposing RBs over the last four games. They have also allowed 10+ point performances to opposing RBs in four straight and six of their last seven contests.

Analysis: At this point, I’m not going to bet against the Jags running game. I have said for some time now that both players are good #2 RB plays. I think they are in line for a performance better than the 16.4 they combined for in Week 9. Look for a nice yardage game (90-100) from Taylor as the Jags push to get Taylor into his first Pro Bowl. Jones-Drew is a pretty solid bet for 80 total yards and at least one score, if not two.

Deuce McAllister/Reggie Bush (vs. WAS)
Similar RB committees that have faced the Redskins this season: Tiki Barber/Brandon Jacobs
FF Points vs. similar RB committees: 18
FF Points vs. all other teams’ running games over the last 3 weeks: 18.4

Running Game Facts: The Redskins have allowed 10+ fantasy points to a RB in all but three games. The fewest points they have allowed to any feature RB is 7.1. The Saints RBs have combined for nine double-digit performances over the past five weeks. Only once all season have the Saints not had at least one RB score more than 9.4 fantasy points. Bush has 125 or more receiving yards in each of the last two games.

Analysis: With this offense running like a finely-tuned sports car, there is little reason to change the approach this week. Receiving backs have fared well against this defense, so Bush is once again a solid play, with 100 total yards likely in store with another TD a definite possibility. Don’t expect either Saints RB to go off in this contest, but both RBs are good #2 RB plays. McAllister will settle in for around 80-90 yards rushing with a score of his own likely.