QBs: (1 pt per 25 yds passing; 6 pts for all TDs, -2 pts/INT or fumble)
RBs/WRs/TEs: (1 point per 10 yards rushing/receiving, 6 points per TD)

Note: Teams that have a fantasy relevant TE will be included. Also, for the first weeks, projected fantasy points allowed will be used as teams have yet to establish any trends. After the first month of the season, this column will take on the look it had last season as there will be enough information to start analyzing trends.

CHI @ WAS | CAR @ JAX | MIA @ BUF | NYG @ PHI | OAK @ GB | PIT @ NE | SD @ TEN | CIN @ STL
TB @ HOU | ARI @ SEA | ARI @ SF | MIN @ SF | CLE @ NYJ | KC @ DEN | IND @ BAL | DAL @ DET

Bears @ Redskins
Rex Grossman/Bernard Berrian/Muhsin Muhammad/Desmond Clark/Greg Olsen
Adrian Peterson (vs. WAS)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Redskins this season: Patriots
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 22.7
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 17.4/22.5/4.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 12.9

Passing Game Thoughts: Midway through the season, the Redskins were downright nasty for opposing QBs to throw against. Since the New England game (when they lost CB Carlos Rogers), they have been one of the worst units, even before S Sean Taylor sat out for two games in Week 11 and 12 before his unfortunate passing last week. Washington has surrendered a double-digit passer in all but two games, even allowing Trent Edwards to score 13.3 points last week. I expect similar numbers this week as Grossman has yet to throw for more than a single TD in a game this season. To his credit, he has topped 250 yards twice in his last three starts and is making better decisions with the ball. As usual, Berrian is always a good #3 WR play when Grossman starts – Berrian has been the Bears’ best WR in every one of Grossman’s six starts. What is odd regarding the fantasy numbers for the Redskins though (vs. WRs) is that outside of a few freak performances, their struggles vs. the pass have been spread out very well. This trend carries over to the TE position as well, where only Donald Lee and LJ Smith have enjoyed any kind of fantasy success. Expect another “spread-out” performance in this contest, but only Berrian – for the reasons stated above – should see the fantasy playing field in this all-important week for fantasy owners.

<Running Game Thoughts: While the Bears’ run blocking would appear to be struggling, the one thing that has come out after two heavy-load games for Peterson is that Chicago has all the faith in the world in his receiving abilities. After not even two full games, Peterson has 12 catches compared to the 17 receptions Benson had all season long before his injury. Considering Fred Jackson had a field day against the Redskins in the yardage department, it may be safe to say that the former Georgia Southern back makes for a pretty nice #2 RB play. Want further proof? In three of the last four games, Washington has surrendered at least 14.4 points to an opponent’s lead back.

Projections:
Rex Grossman: 225 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Bernard Berrian: 65 rec/1 TD
Muhsin Muhammad: 40 rec
Desmond Clark: 50 rec
Greg Olsen: 25 rec
Adrian Peterson: 75 rush/1 TD/35 rec

Jason Campbell/Santana Moss/Antwaan Randle El/Chris Cooley
Clinton Portis (vs. CHI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bears this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bears this season: Chiefs
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 12.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 21.2/26/7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 28.3

Passing Game Thoughts: With the embarrassing way the Bears’ run defense has played of late, it may be wise to bench every passing game member except for Cooley because Washington may not need/want to pass enough to make any other player all that usable in fantasy. Cooley, who has posted four consecutive weeks of solid fantasy numbers, should play regardless of the matchup because of the sheer number of passes he sees come in his direction – but you knew that already. Tony Scheffler posted 14.2 points two weeks ago vs. the Bears and considering that the Bears’ cover 2 should be able to keep Moss and Randle El out of the end zone, Cooley figures to be the best bet to score – perhaps good enough to make Campbell a low-end #1 QB this week. The former Auburn standout should fare better than Eli Manning, who still posted 14 points vs. Chicago despite struggling to maintain his consistency all game long. Moss has rejoined fantasy relevancy, but is not a great play in this game as only bigger WRs have enjoyed much success against Chicago. Randle El hasn’t led this WR corps in fantasy points since Week 8 and shouldn’t be counted on this game either.

Running Game Thoughts: Struggling to find yards vs. Dallas and Tampa Bay was acceptable, but for Washington to fail to mount much of a rushing attack against the Bills has to be a bit disconcerting, even in the wake of Taylor’s death and the emotions that go into losing a teammate. Nevertheless, Chicago’s run defense has almost joined the Jets and the Raiders as units that owners want to see their RBs go against in the upcoming weeks. The Bears have surrendered at least one rushing TD in each of the last four weeks and 20+ point performances to Justin Fargas and Derrick Ward over the last two games. If you are fortunate enough to have Portis along with two other high-profile runners with slightly tougher matchups – Joseph Addai, for example – it may behoove you to start Portis. Either way, Portis should be in for a fine fantasy day.

Projections:
Jason Campbell: 240 pass/1 TD/1 INT/20 rush
Santana Moss: 65 rec
Antwaan Randle El: 45 rec
Chris Cooley: 80 rec/1 TD
Clinton Portis: 100 rush/2 TD/15 rec

Panthers @ Jaguars
Vinny Testaverde/Steve Smith/Drew Carter/Jeff King
DeShaun Foster (vs. JAX)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Jaguars this season: Bills
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Jaguars this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 15.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 9.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 22.3/16.6/12.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 18.5

Passing Game Thoughts: In Testaverde’s five starts, he has only failed once to get Carolina at least 13 points in a game. In David Carr’s four starts, he has only been able to get the Panthers in double figures on the scoreboard once. Understand, we are not talking about a prolific offense here, but understand that Smith – the one fantasy property owners care about from this passing game – is worth playing when Testaverde is under center. As long as OC Jeff Davidson is smart enough to make sure to get Smith paired up with CB Brian Williams once in a while, Smith should be in for a decent yardage day with an outside shot at his first score since Week 6. When opponents have burned the Jags, it has usually come as a result of the QB throwing in Williams’ direction. Smith owners can’t count on #1 WR-type numbers though, so keep expectations on him somewhat low.

Running Game Thoughts: One good game against a poor defense isn’t going to change my mind on the state of this running game. And once again, when DeAngelo Williams was given the chance to establish any kind of rhythm in a game, he outshined Foster. Sooner or later, the Panthers have to realize that allowing their plodder (Foster) to carry the running game over their home-run threat (Williams) isn’t always the right thing to do, especially when one considers that Foster has fumbled six times this season (losing four). In regards to this week’s matchup, Carolina faces a defense that hasn’t performed up to its reputation, but is also no slouch and is coming off a game in which it held Joseph Addai to 6.7 points.

Projections:
Vinny Testaverde: 230 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Steve Smith: 65 rec/1 TD
Drew Carter: 45 rec
Jeff King: 30 rec
DeShaun Foster: 50 rush/15 rec

David Garrard/Dennis Northcutt/Reggie Williams/Ernest Wilford
Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew (vs. CAR)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Panthers this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Panthers this season: Titans
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 17.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 23.5/21.6
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 11.3

Passing Game Thoughts: The Jags showed last week what they are truly capable of on offense. While Garrard threw his first INT of the season, it had to be nice for Jacksonville fans to see Garrard misfire on just five passes against a pretty stout pass defense. Carolina doesn’t figure to offer near the resistance that the Colts did, as each of the last three QBs to face the Panthers have scored at least 16.5 points (Trent Dilfer), while Garrard’s low mark for the season in a game he finished is 15.8. In a highly unpredictable season, Garrard has been a consistent 15-20 point producer all season long. For the second straight week, Garrard made three Jags WRs fairly useful in fantasy circles, although it sure seems Jacksonville turns to Williams when they want a big play. I can’t bring myself to trust any of these WRs yet, but they are worth keeping an eye on. I would hold off this week as I expect the running game to featured front and center as the Panthers’ offense struggles to even reach the teens in points.

Running Game Thoughts: To be honest, I expected big games from Taylor this season, but I expected them earlier in the season, not in the season’s final weeks. While it is clear that first-round pick, LB Jon Beason, is filling the void left by MLB Dan Morgan better than any of his predecessors, Carolina can be run against and I expect as much in this contest. Jones-Drew is averaging nearly a TD/game in his career and Taylor has posted consecutive 100-yard rushing efforts, making both pretty nice plays lately. While the numbers suggest Taylor won’t hit the century mark again (two RBs both hit 100, Addai and LenDale White, vs. the Panthers), it’s a pretty good bet the Jags won’t go away from what has become a sure thing. As such, expect another 15-carry effort from Taylor while MJD gets 10-12 and scores at least once.

Projections:
David Garrard: 220 pass/1 TD/0 INT/20 rush
Dennis Northcutt: 45 rec
Reggie Williams: 55 rec
Ernest Wilford: 60 rec/1 TD
Fred Taylor: 75 rush/20 rec
Maurice Jones-Drew: 60 rush/1 TD/35 rec

Dolphins @ Bills
John Beck/Marty Booker/Derek Hagan
Jesse Chatman (vs. BUF)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bills this season: Dolphins
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bills this season: Dolphins
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 14.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 5.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 15.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 24.1/30.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 22.3

Passing Game Thoughts: While I can understand the Dolphins attempting to see the “big picture” in giving Beck as much work as possible, the goal has to be winning at least one game this season. It’s not that Miami is a talent-less team, it is just not a very good team in any sense of the word. Buffalo probably represents the last “real” chance the Dolphins have of winning a game, depending on how sorry Cincinnati feels for them when they visit Miami in Week 17. Owners probably shouldn’t be using any member – running or passing – of either team in this game, especially any player from this passing game.

Running Game Thoughts: If I didn’t know any better, I would say the ‘Phins aren’t trying to win a game. The running game is clearly the best unit Miami has, so to run 15 times in a Week 13 game where the clear strategy was to run the ball against a Jets team that is one of the worst run-stopping units in the league is just another indication many things aren’t right in Miami. As stated above, owners probably shouldn’t be using any member – running or passing – of either team in this game, especially any player from the Dolphins.

Projections:
John Beck: 200 pass/0 TD/1 INT
Marty Booker: 40 rec
Ted Ginn: 50 rec
Jesse Chatman: 55 rush/25 rec

Trent Edwards/Lee Evans/Roscoe Parrish/Josh Reed
Marshawn Lynch/Fred Jackson (vs. MIA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season: Bills
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Dolphins this season: Bills
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 8.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 10.5
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 14.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 13.5/16.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 24.6

Passing Game Thoughts: Given the overall woes of the Dolphins, there should be little need for the Bills to pass much in this game. There are very few games played over the course of the season that owners can pretty much ignore for fantasy purposes, but this one comes awfully close. Evans is worth a play as a very low-end #3 WR, but could very well draw CB Will Allen, who is one of the few young pieces the Dolphins can build around for the future. (Miami ranks in the middle of the pack in regards to points allowed to opposing WRs.) Outside of that, the Bills’ running game figures to account for most of the fantasy points in this game.

Running Game Thoughts: It looks as if Lynch has a decent shot of contributing this week. While that may initially come as good news to his owners and bad news to new Jackson owners, don’t go dropping the former CFLer just quite yet. With his very impressive 151-total yard performance vs. Washington, Jackson will likely be given the opportunity to handle at least half the load for one more week to give Lynch more time to heal from his ankle injury. Miami was flat-out embarrassed by the Jets’ running game last week, and the Bills may adopt a similar approach. Unless something concrete is reported before Sunday to the contrary, Jackson should play over Lynch this week and be a top-notch #2 RB performer.

Projections:
Trent Edwards: 210 pass/1 TD/0 INT
Lee Evans: 50 rec
Roscoe Parrish: 40 rec
Josh Reed: 60 rec/1 TD
Fred Jackson: 85 rush/1 TD/25 rec
Marshawn Lynch: 40 rush/15 rec

Giants @ Eagles
Eli Manning/Plaxico Burress/Amani Toomer/Jeremy Shockey
Brandon Jacobs/Reuben Droughns (vs. PHI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Eagles this season: Giants
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Eagles this season: Giants
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 10.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 25.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 2.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 12.3
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 15.9/13.8/2.1
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 17.4

Passing Game Thoughts: It is becoming apparent that some of the QBs that I stand up for reward my faith and others do not. For whatever reason, Manning has done a fine job of mastering the first half of the season but completely fades in the second. His numbers back it up (83.6 first-half QB Rating vs. 64.6 in the second half) and (42-23 TD/INT ratio – 1st half vs. 29-38 TD/INT – 2nd half). There have been built-in reasons as to why he has fallen off in recent years (Toomer’s ACL injury last year, Burress’ ankle this season, for example), but this has become a consistent pattern. It’s just this season the Giants have enough talent and a fair enough schedule to overcome average QB play. In previous years, I have also blamed underachieving WR corps but Manning really needs to come up big in the final five games of the season to build any kind of good will again. For the purposes of this game, Manning has scored only 20 fantasy points in two games this season and he struggled to a 10.3 point performance in his first meeting against this week’s opponent. As such, I’m not sure Burress can be held to much more than a mid-#2 WR standard anymore while Toomer is a high-end #3 WR although the Eagles have surrendered two double-digit performances to opposing WRs in each of the last two weeks. Shockey has scored three TDs this season, but TEs have not fared all that well vs. Philly. You’re not likely to bench Shockey, but he is nothing more than an average play this season.

Running Game Thoughts: The Giants have pushed a RB over the double-digit mark in every game. This week, that back appears to be Jacobs, who takes over for Derrick Ward for the second time this season. As a result, expect Jacobs to do his usual heavy lifting with Droughns taking anything from the five-yard-line in. As stated here last week, the Eagles are usually pretty good at taking one part of a team’s offense away, but end up paying for it on the other end. They had better focus on the passing game because I don’t believe they can stop the run even if they sell out to do so. On two different occasions this season, Philly has allowed two RBs to score more than 10 points against them in the same game. This week could very well be the third time.

Projections:
Eli Manning: 215 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Plaxico Burress: 55 rec/1 TD
Amani Toomer: 55 rec
Jeremy Shockey: 40 rec
Brandon Jacobs: 90 rush/1 TD/20 rec
Reuben Droughns: 30 rush/1 TD

Donovan McNabb/Kevin Curtis/Reggie Brown/LJ Smith
Brian Westbrook (vs. NYG)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Giants this season: Eagles
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Giants this season: Eagles
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 7.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 5.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 15.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 20.3/22.6/6.5
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 11.6

Passing Game Thoughts: Hearty NFL fans will remember this is the game where Philly refused to give rookie LT Winston Justice any help against DE Osi Umenyiora on his way to six sacks. Well, Justice shouldn’t need to start this time around, but it will be McNabb’s first action in three weeks. Nevertheless, expect the Giants to come at the Eagles with all the ferocity they did in Week 4’s 12-sack performance. The big difference between that game and this game is the presence of LT Willam Thomas and Westbrook, who was absent in the first meeting. His presence makes all the difference in the world and should guarantee a much smoother game for the Philly offense. But I really don’t foresee a great game for any Eagles starting QB or WR as they haven’t dealt well with teams that have CBs that challenge their WRs at the line of scrimmage. And the Giants have really only been torched by two of the elite offenses in the league so far this year (Packers, Cowboys), so while Philly will move the ball, the offensive load once again figures to fall on the shoulders of Westbrook.

Running Game Thoughts: Westbrook has only been held to under 13 points once all season long, so he’s an automatic start if there ever was one this season. He did not play in the first game, but he faces a New York defense that has given up 14.9 points to Chester Taylor and Chicago’s Adrian Peterson over the last two games. Westbrook should be able to at least match that number. And given the likely absence of MLB Antonio Pierce, he could be the best RB play of the week.

Projections:
Donovan McNabb: 230 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Kevin Curtis: 70 rec
Reggie Brown: 65 rec
LJ Smith: 25 rec
Brian Westbrook: 105 rush/1 TD/70 rec

Raiders @ Packers
Josh McCown/Jerry Porter/Ronald Curry
Justin Fargas (vs. GB)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Packers this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Packers this season: Lions
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 27
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 23.4/28
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks:18.2

Passing Game Thoughts: Last week’s four-TD game was a result of a finely-tuned offense taking advantage of an undermanned (and slightly confused) Packers secondary. CB Charles Woodson should return, which is bad news for a passing game that found some rhythm last week vs. Denver. If Woodson and CB Al Harris are both good to go, it’s safe to say Fargas may get 75% of the offense run through him this week. McCown – even after a three-TD game – does not make for a good play at any point this season. His (and especially his WRs') case are not helped this week against the Packers, who own the eighth-toughest defense vs. WRs. Their 12th-place rank vs. opposing QBs is misleading in large part due to last week’s game without Woodson. Curry is still the best bet to produce (between the two WRs) as he has more bulk than Porter and is more adept at escaping the bump-and-run coverage Green Bay employs on just about every passing play.

Running Game Thoughts: The strategy has become simple for the 2007 Raiders: ride Fargas as long as possible. A player hardly known for his durability, Fargas has garnered 22 or more carries in each of his last five games. Those kind of touches will lead to good numbers more times than not. For him, it has led to 100 yards and a TD in the same game three times. Green Bay’s defense has shown it can be run against, but the problem for opponents has been not being able to withstand the Packers’ offense long enough for it to matter. Most opponents have not and even though their offense has improved throughout the season, Oakland doesn’t figure to be able to keep up with Green Bay’s much past three quarters. Fargas is still a good yardage play, but it’s doubtful he’ll get 20 carries or a score in this contest – the Packers have allowed just five RB TDs all season long.

Projections:
Josh McCown: 200 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Jerry Porter: 50 rec
Ronald Curry: 65 rec
Justin Fargas: 85 rush/30 rec

Brett Favre/Donald Driver/Greg Jennings/James Jones/Donald Lee
Ryan Grant (vs. OAK)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season: Lions
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Raiders this season: Texans
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 28.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 41.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 33.5
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 10.1/12.4/5.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 30.5

Passing Game Thoughts: A fundamental disconnect between what the offense had done all season and what they tried against Dallas helps to explain just why Favre looked horrible and, ultimately, why he got hurt. Once Aaron Rodgers came in, the offense started executing the short and intermediate routes just as they had all season. The Packers are going to pass against just about any defense – regardless of the matchup – so while Favre may be in for a turnover or two this week against a pretty fair Oakland secondary, Green Bay will score through the air. In only two weeks this season have the Packers not collected at least 20 points from the QB position. Conversely, the Raiders haven’t allowed a QB to score more than 15 points or more than one WR over 11.1 since Week 3. That will change here, and it should be Jennings or Jones as Driver should draw CB Nnamdi Asomugha. Oakland has permitted just one TE score all season, so the outlook is bleaker for Lee.

Running Game Thoughts: Grant owners should be rejoicing over the fact they get to begin their three-week playoff or final regular season game with such an incredible matchup. After a two-score game vs. Dallas against a pretty stout run defense, it’s almost scary to think what he could do against the league’s worst run defense that hasn’t held a single lead runner under 14.1 points since Week 3. Even a hobbled Travis Henry scored twice! There is no reason to even consider moving Grant out of the starting lineup from now until possibly Week 17 (for those of you who play that week). He has scored at least 19 points in three of his last four games and has posted some impressive totals against two of the finer run defenses in the process (Dallas and Minnesota).

Projections:
Brett Favre: 280 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Donald Driver: 60 rec
Greg Jennings: 80 rec/1 TD
James Jones: 50 rec/1 TD
Donald Lee: 40 rec
Ryan Grant: 115 rush/2 TD/35 rec

Steelers @ Patriots
Ben Roethlisberger/Hines Ward/Santonio Holmes/Heath Miller
Willie Parker (vs. NE)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Patriots this season: Browns
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Patriots this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 23.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 23.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 11.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 23.4/28.1/4.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 16.1

Passing Game Thoughts: It is becoming increasingly clear that the Patriots are far from a team without weaknesses. What is not so clear is whether there is a team on New England’s schedule that can end their quest for a perfect record. In all honesty, I believe it is the Steelers, who have really struggled to maintain any type of consistency (somewhat due to some terrible field and weather conditions) over the last month. Their struggles on the road are well-documented but the Steelers are probably the one team that have the defense and tough-mindedness necessary to knock off big, bad New England. Assuming the weather is fair (and not snowy or rainy), I believe this is a game to start pretty much every Steeler and Patriot, even though I would be a bit surprised if the game was high-scoring. Every QB since Week 3 has scored at least 14.6 points vs. this defense but AJ Feeley is the only one to throw for more than two TDs. New England has also allowed four double-digit performances to the WR position over the past three weeks. None of those receivers bring nearly the credentials that Ward does, so don’t be surprised if he joins that list. Miller should once again be in line for some yards, but a score is doubtful. Before Daniel Wilcox’s short TD catch on MNF, only Antonio Gates, Kellen Winslow and Chris Cooley scored vs. the Patriots.

Running Game Thoughts: Parker’s scoreless streak continues (Week 8 was his last one) and he can thank poor running surfaces for his last two poor performances. As I have stated off and on for most of the season, New England can be had on the ground and even though he is showing less explosion than I have ever seen out of him, Parker continues to handle the ball between 25-28 times per game, which almost always means he will be pushing 100 total yards. I expect a dogged determination to stick with the run from the Steelers in this game, especially after seeing how successful the Ravens were in pounding New England on the ground last week.

Projections:
Ben Roethlisberger: 245 rush/3 TD/2 INT
Hines Ward: 90 rec/1 TD
Santonio Holmes: 80 rec/1 TD
Heath Miller: 35 rec
Willie Parker: 115 rush

Tom Brady/Randy Moss/Wes Welker/Donte Stallworth/Ben Watson
Laurence Maroney (vs. PIT)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Steelers this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Steelers this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 10/12.7/5.1
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 10.3

Passing Game Thoughts: For one week, not every player on this offense is necessarily an automatic start, but I only say that if you have some incredible depth at WR or TE do you dare bench Stallworth or Watson. Brady starts regardless, but beware that Pittsburgh allows the second-fewest points (13.6) to the QB position in the league. That being said, New England may feel compelled to force feed Moss after two down weeks where defenses made defending him a bigger priority – the top-scoring WR in each of the last four games vs. the Steelers has been the opponent’s best deep threat. However, I believe Welker may be the best play of the bunch as he is the best WR the Pats have at finding the small gaps that will exist in Pittsburgh’s zones. Stallworth has piled up his fair share of yards over the last couple weeks, but Brady seems to trust Jabar Gaffney more when it counts lately. If Watson can find the handle in the end zone –unlike last week – he could have a fair shot of being a productive play. However, there are at least a handful of better plays than Watson at his position this week.

Running Game Thoughts: It’s a fair bet that the Patriots could use Maroney in much the same way they did against the Ravens last week. Of course, understand that a lot of the play-calling vs. Baltimore on MNF came as a result of the 40 mph winds that wrecked havoc on the Patriots’ passing game. That said, about the only value that will come out this running game this week will be via receiving yards or a Heath Evans’ goal line TD. Neither one is a great bet against Pittsburgh, a team that owners should avoid like the plague when they see one of their RBs matched up against them. The Steelers are the only team not to surrender 1,000 total yards to the position and they yield just 10.7 points/game to the RB position, the fewest in the league by a fairly wide margin.

Projections:
Tom Brady: 265 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Randy Moss: 75 rec/1 TD
Donte Stallworth: 45 rec
Wes Welker: 90 rec/1 TD
Ben Watson: 20 rec
Laurence Maroney: 50 rush/20 rec

Chargers @ Titans
Philip Rivers/Vincent Jackson/Chris Chambers/Antonio Gates
LaDainian Tomlinson (vs. TEN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Titans this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Titans this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 20.8/27.9/4.8
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 23.3

Passing Game Thoughts: Even though the Chargers won in Week 13, it had to eat at Gates that he saw one measly catch to Tony Gonzalez’s 10. Expect San Diego to correct that this week, although it will be hard to do against fantasy’s third-toughest defense vs. opposing TEs. The good news is that regardless of opponent, Gates is open on just about every passing play, so I expect him to get back on track despite the tough matchup. It just so happened that the ground game took center stage last week and rightfully so. Rivers, for what it is worth, has seemingly played to the level of his competition in 2007. The Titans are still one of the stingiest teams in allowing points to opposing QBs – even after allowing three big games to the position with DT Albert Haynesworth out – which, using Rivers’ reverse psychology, likely means Rivers is in line for a good game. However, I sure would consider several other QBs this week before I would the NC State alum. Chambers remains the best bet each week out of the WR group although Jackson scored last week. That should hold form again in Week 14 as Chad and Andre Johnson have both had field days against Tennessee over the last two weeks.

Running Game Thoughts: Haynesworth returned (albeit at less than 100%) and sure enough, Tennessee won. I mention this because his presence – as he gets healthier – will start to bring the defense back to where it was around mid-season. Of course, that doesn’t figure to happen quite yet this week. Even with Haynesworth back in the lineup, the Titans surrendered 86 rushing yards and a TD to Ron Dayne, so the potential exists for LT to give his owners an encore to his 2006-like performance last week. Over the last four games, Tennessee has surrendered seven rushing TDs and eight overall. So while Haynesworth’s return to full health continues, expect another top-notch performance from Tomlinson this week, although nothing resembling last week’s numbers.

Projections:
Philip Rivers: 230 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Vincent Jackson: 50 rec
Chris Chambers: 65 rec/1 TD
Antonio Gates: 75 rec/1 TD
LaDainian Tomlinson: 110 rush/1 TD/25 rec

Vince Young/Roydell Williams/Justin Gage/Bo Scaife
LenDale White/Chris Brown (vs. SD)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chargers this season: Jaguars
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Chargers this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 17.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 18.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 11.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 15.6/13.1/8.3
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 17.3

Passing Game Thoughts: Young is starting to make the same kind of second-half run this season as he did last year. After throwing as many as 31 times only twice in the first eight contests of the season, Young has done it in each of the next four games – he has thrown for at least 246 yards in all four games as well. Among the QBs who have faced the Chargers, only Brett Favre has enjoyed a terrific day against them, but with Young do his dual-threat thing again, it likely means his quad is healing (or healed) and may be the second signal-caller to go off vs. San Diego. His increased production is also due to the rise of Gage, who has seen at least seven targets in each of those four contests and has scored no less than 6.6 points in any of those games. It is possible that the talent that he was only able to tap into on occasion in Chicago is starting to be realized in Tennessee. He is worth an add in all 12-team leagues and probably isn’t going to disappoint as a low-end #3 WR play. Williams is also benefiting, but is clearly the #2 option at WR behind Gage. With the increased volume of passes in the game plan, Scaife has recently worked himself into “watch” status, possibly for next year. With the Titans likely to pass at least 30 times against a fairly tough run defense, it wouldn’t be a surprise for him to get some yards, but understand Titans TEs have scored just once this campaign.

Running Game Thoughts: Amazing how that works…Haynesworth returned, the defense played much better and the run game got going. White and Brown each scored and had pretty fair ypc averages, but the passing game also got going in the same contest, meaning all three elements (run and pass offense along with the defense) all played well in the same game for what seems like the first time this season. The run game, though, figures to get a stiffer test this time around vs. a run defense that is allowing RBs well under four yards/carry since their embarrassing performance vs. the Vikings. Brown fits the mold of the RB that would give the Chargers the most trouble, but White has generally been the bellcow for the later par of the season. Neither RB makes for a great #2 RB play this week, but if someone is going to put up a worthwhile line, it probably will be White.

Projections:
Vince Young: 225 pass/1 TD/1 INT/50 rush/1 TD
Roydell Williams: 45 rec
Justin Gage: 70 rec/1 TD
Bo Scaife: 45 rec
LenDale White: 70 rush/1 TD/15 rec
Chris Brown: 45 rush/25 rec

Bengals @ Rams
Carson Palmer/Chad Johnson/Doug Houshmandzadeh/Chris Henry
Rudi Johnson or Kenny Watson (vs. STL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Rams this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Rams this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 18/26.4
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 12.3

Passing Game Thoughts: Last week’s poor performance from Palmer could be blamed on poor field conditions, but the truth is that he just wasn’t “on”. This week, he should be able to fare much better against a middle-of-the-pack pass defense in a dome. Since the return of Henry, Palmer had two of his better fantasy point totals of the season and in the perfect dome conditions this week, he should be expected to have similar success. The Rams have surrendered at least 16 points to the opposing QB in five out of their last six games. And as far as passing attacks go, Cincinnati is up there with Cleveland and New Orleans, each of which scored more than 20 points at the QB position in their games with the Rams. All indications are that Chad Johnson and Henry should be solid plays – in that order – as St. Louis has struggled to stop just about any #1 WR who can get deep. Of course, Housh should be played as well, but as expected, Henry’s arrival has cut into his production just as much as Johnson getting closer to 100% has.

Running Game Thoughts: Once again, Rudi Johnson is hardly working at 100% efficiency right now, but the Bengals insist on making sure he is the workhorse, in large part because he is the hammer that complements the aerial attack so well. He has scored in back-to-back games, meaning he has pretty fair #2 RB value, but he faces a run defense that isn’t nearly as bad as they are perceived to be. Jerious Norwood just missed becoming the first 100-yard rusher against St. Louis last week, but Johnson is not the home-run hitter Norwood is and Watson probably won’t get enough touches to be fantasy relevant so long as Johnson stays somewhat healthy. Chances are the Bengals will get close enough to the goal line that Johnson can score again, but the Rams have shown they are capable enough to keep a limited running attack under control.

Projections:
Carson Palmer: 275 pass/3 TD/1 INT
Chad Johnson: 90 rec/2 TD
Doug Houshmandzadeh: 75 rec/1 TD
Chris Henry: 65 rec
Rudi Johnson: 55 rush/1 TD/15 rec

Brock Berlin/Torry Holt/Isaac Bruce/Drew Bennett/Randy McMichael
Steven Jackson (vs. CIN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bengals this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bengals this season: Chiefs
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 21.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 18.6/23.9/4.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 9.7

Passing Game Thoughts: Berlin will attempt the first passes of his career after a good fill-in performance from Gus Frerotte. Weirdly enough, Frerotte has each of the three-TD performances by Rams QBs this season. That said, first career starts and huge fantasy days for QBs usually don’t go hand-in-hand. Although Ben Roethlisberger got his numbers, the Bengals secondary had one of their better statistical games last week against the Steelers, who threw for just 184 yards and saw two passes picked off. This secondary is starting to show signs of improvement and probably will keep Berlin’s numbers down. Obviously, Berlin’s presence – instead of Marc Bulger – drives the fantasy value down of ever Ram player. And that’s too bad because Cincinnati has had little success trying to stop the opponent’s #1 WR for seven weeks running AND Holt had been in double figures in four of the last five weeks. Given the presence of Berlin, Bruce’s contribution also figures to be minimal. As is commonplace when a green QB takes over, expect a heavy reliance on the running game.

Running Game Thoughts: As any friend who plays fantasy football who he/she thinks are the top fantasy defenses against the run over the last three weeks. They’ll likely get Pittsburgh and Minnesota, but there is little chance they get Cincy, which is allowing a meager 9.7 points to opposing RBs over the last three games. Now, before owners go crazy and bench Jackson, remember that the Bengals have collected those numbers vs. Edgerrin James, Willie Parker and the Titans RBs – all good RBs/rushing attacks, but all of which are struggling to some degree over the last month or so. They don’t figure to get any kind of break from Jackson & Co., who have yet to get an individual 100-yard rushing game from Jackson since his return from injury, however, he has provided three straight 90-yard rushing days with TDs in the last two. Feel very confident if you are a Jackson owner this week, as he should have a solid total-yardage day while also getting into the end zone yet again.

Projections:
Brock Berlin: 180 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Torry Holt: 50 rec/1 TD
Isaac Bruce: 35 rec
Drew Bennett: 35 rec
Randy McMichael: 15 rec
Steven Jackson: 90 rush/1 TD/40 rec

Bucs @ Texans
Jeff Garcia/Joey Galloway/Ike Hilliard
Earnest Graham (vs. HOU)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Texans this season: Saints
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Texans this season: Jaguars
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 19.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 21.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 42.3
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 21.5/22.6
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 20.5

Passing Game Thoughts: Back injuries are always tricky and when they are on quarterbacks, fantasy owners need to make sure to have a capable backup ready at a moment’s notice. However, early-week reports are good for Garcia, and so is the matchup. Houston has surrendered 19 or more points to the position in four of the last five contests and has really struggled against mobile QBs in general. This development – no doubt – bodes well for Galloway as well. Four receivers over the last three games have gone over the 11-point mark and there is little reason to suspect that he won’t make it five against a decimated secondary. Hilliard is even a solid yardage play in this contest, but owners should be able to do better than him at the #3 WR spot this late in the season.

Running Game Thoughts: This matchup isn’t quite as juicy as a matchup with Oakland, but it is not far off. Only Reggie Bush has struggled to rush for well over four yards/carry vs. the Texans since Week 4, but the Trojan alum was still able to record a double-digit performance with a huge day receiving. Only LaDainian Tomlinson’s abbreviated start (in a blowout) in Week 8 breaks up what would be an eight-game streak of RBs eclipsing the double-digit mark (and LT had 9.1). Graham, on the other hand, is taking advantage of the easy late-season matchups I had pegged for Cadillac Williams early in the season and doing everything he can to make sure he secures at least a RBBC next season, if not the feature back job if Williams cannot return. Graham has scored 14.4 points or more in each of the last four games and there is no reason he can’t continue that run.

Projections:
Jeff Garcia: 220 pass/2 TD/0 INT/25 rush
Joey Galloway: 105 rec/1 TD
Ike Hilliard: 55 rec
Earnest Graham: 100 rush/2 TD/25 rec

Sage Rosemfels/Andre Johnson/Kevin Walter/Owen Daniels
Ron Dayne (vs. TB)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Bucs this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Bucs this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 17.9/17.4/6.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 14.2

Passing Game Thoughts: Much like their run defense, the Bucs are just plain stingy vs. the pass. Their pass defense is the third-toughest unit for QBs and WRs to score fantasy points against. Rosenfels has filled in admirably when needed, but this is going to be his toughest test yet. Only four individual passers have gone over the 200-yard mark vs. Tampa Bay and only Peyton Manning and Drew Brees could throw for more than one score. If there is a WR that can get free once against them though, it might be Johnson. He was handled against Cleveland two weeks ago, but was spectacular vs. New Orleans and Tennessee. He should approach the 14 targets he saw last week and with his ability after the catch, should be in line for a fair amount of yards. Walter should not be anywhere near a starting lineup this week but may be handy as a #3 WR over the next couple weeks. Daniels, as always, is a solid yardage play but is not very likely to score considering his track record this season (one TD) as well as the Bucs (two TE scores allowed).

Running Game Thoughts: There are just some matchups where a person can tell right away that certain types of offenses are not good fits against a certain defenses. The Bucs haven’t allowed a RB to score more than 10.1 points in five straight games and Dayne isn’t likely to change that. No RB has scored in the last three games and only one – Kenton Keith – has scored twice all season long. If you have been rolling with Dayne as a #2 RB this week, try to find a friendlier matchup with a RB off the bench or the waiver wire (Fred Jackson in Buffalo comes to mind).

Projections:
Sage Rosenfels: 175 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Andre Johnson: 75 rec
Kevin Walter: 40 rec
Owen Daniels: 40 rec
Ron Dayne: 60 rush/15 rec

Cardinals @ Seahawks
Kurt Warner/Larry Fitzgerald/Bryant Johnson
Edgerrin James (vs. SEA)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season: Cardinals
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Seahawks this season: Cardinals
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 18.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 21.6
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 24.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 15/20.6
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 23.3

Passing Game Thoughts: Quite frankly, this was going to be a tough matchup for the Cardinals with a fully healthy Anquan Boldin and Fitzgerald. As the case is for this week, neither one figures to be in that great of shape, with Boldin likely out and Fitzgerald a gametime decision. Hopefully, Warner owners who had planned on exploiting an easy matchup last week had another late-game option to turn to once Fitzgerald was ruled out. Either way, this week brings in the Seahawks, who have yielded a meager seven QB touchdowns this season vs. 15 INTs. And only Drew Brees has thrown for as many as two TDs against the Seahawks. That doesn’t figure to change this week, with Johnson the likely go-to guy if both Boldin and Fitzgerald are out. Seattle’s success against QBs has obviously carried over to the WRs, who have accounted for only four scores against them, and TEs, who the Seahawks have the fifth-best defense against fantasy-wise. All told, unless Fitzgerald and/or Boldin are both in and appear to be in fine shape – which is highly doubtful – it’s probably not a great idea to play any player from this passing game.

Running Game Thoughts: Much like Week 2 in which James had a season-high 150 total yards and a TD against Seattle, James will be needed to post a similar line if the Cardinals hope to stay close to the Seahawks, who boast a much different-looking and effective offense from the one they saw over 10 weeks ago. Fortunately, there is some precedent for that – three straight lead RBs have scored 14.7 points or more against Seattle, which has surrendered an amazing 13 rushing TDs, including five in the last four weeks. In short, with the injuries at WR such a deciding factor, expect James to get a heavy workload, one good enough to make a top 10-12 RB play this week.

Projections:
Kurt Warner: 210 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Larry Fitzgerald: 80 rec
Bryant Johnson: 45 rec
Edgerrin James: 85 rush/1 TD/30 rec

Matt Hasselbeck/Deion Branch/Bobby Engram
Shaun Alexander/Maurice Morris (vs. ARI)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cardinals this season: Seahawks
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Cardinals this season: Seahawks
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 18.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 29.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 18.9
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 23.5/28.9
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 22.5

Passing Game Thoughts: With Alexander back, we saw just enough passes taken away from the passing game to make us wonder if HC Mike Holmgren is easing up on his mantra to open the offense up for the rest of the season. I tend to believe the coach in this situation, for this week anyway, as they face a defense this week missing two of its best playmakers in the secondary – CB Eric Green and S Adrian Wilson – for the rest of the season. Arizona benefited from a sputtering Cleveland offense last week but I sincerely doubt that will happen again vs. a team that sees the Cardinals as often as the Seahawks do. Arizona has allowed four straight QBs to eclipse 21.8 points – each throwing for two TDs – and given the personnel on both sides, Hasselbeck should make it five. The Cardinals have struggled against a number of WRs in 2007, permitting 11.7 points to at least one WR from each team in all but two games. That is great news for Branch owners, as he had 122 yards receiving in the first meeting. Engram will continue to see work regardless from here on out because Hasselbeck has the utmost faith in him as well. Both Branch and Engram are top-notch plays this week.

Running Game Thoughts: Seattle ran for two TDs last week, but don’t be fooled, the best matchup for this week belongs to the passing game. Holmgren did hand Morris some of the work, but certainly showed that Alexander will not be splitting carries anytime soon. It’s unlikely that the coach will go all-out pass-happy when Alexander is healthy, but there is little chance of Morris and Alexander both scoring this week like they did last week. At least one RB has scored at least 9.2 points vs. Arizona in each of last eight games though, so Alexander should be in line for at least #2 RB-type of production.

Projections:
Matt Hasselbeck: 230 pass/3 TD/1 INT
Deion Branch: 100 rec/1 TD
Bobby Engram: 70 rec/1 TD
Shaun Alexander: 65 rush/1 TD/10 rec

Vikings @ Niners
Tarvaris Jackson/Sidney Rice/Bobby Wade
Adrian Peterson/Chester Taylor (vs. SF)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Niners this season: N/A
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Niners this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 21.4/25.8
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 20

Passing Game Thoughts: Jackson tallied his first fantasy-useful performance of the season last week and appears to be taking the next step as a QB. His 24 pass attempts were the most he has had in a winning performance this season though, so be careful to not jump the gun on him – he may prove useful next season for fantasy owners, but I’m not sure I would trust him at this point. What he has done lately though is what every young QB has to learn to do before they take that next step, which is learn to let your playmakers make the plays before you go trying to win games yourself. With the support of the best ground game going in the NFL, Jackson only needs to avoid making costly errors and just move the chains to keep this offense humming. San Fran has yet to face a QB like him, but they just got done allowing 16.3 points to Vinny Testaverde, so a similar day could be in store for Jackson. Over the last two weeks, Rice has been able to make the big play in the passing game that has made opponents at least respect the passing game and he may be on his way to becoming their best playmaker after Peterson. Wade is still the most trusted option, however.

Running Game Thoughts: This is the kind of matchup that fantasy owners salivate over late in the season. While San Francisco is showing signs of life on offense, its decimated defense will be asked to hold its ground against a rushing attack that is steamrolling just about every defense it has faced lately. Peterson owners are going to start their guy regardless, but to see him put together another 100-yard, two-TD effort after a two-week layoff (and with a knee brace) is just adding on to his already strong legacy. He will continue battling it out with LT and Brian Westbrook for the #1 overall spot in fantasy drafts next summer. This running game has produced a three-TD effort in three games already this season and the Niners could very well give up the fourth one. Right now, Minnesota is passing only when it is necessary and why not? Peterson owners should be for something special this week and Taylor owners may very well get a #1 RB-type of performance as well.

Projections:
Tarvaris Jackson: 180 pass/1 TD/1 INT/20 rush
Sidney Rice: 50 rec
Bobby Wade: 55 rec
Adrian Peterson: 135 rush/2 TD/40 rec
Chester Taylor: 65 rush/1 TD/20 rec

Trent Dilfer/Arnaz Battle/Darrell Jackson/Vernon Davis
Frank Gore (vs. MIN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Vikings this season: Falcons
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Vikings this season: Packers (2)
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 10.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 8.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 5.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 15.4
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 18.6/24.9/7.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 10.4

Passing Game Thoughts: The good news: Dilfer has thrown for two scores in each of the last two weeks. The bad news: after a fast start and dramatic drop-off, the Vikings’ pass defense is starting to make plays again. This just is not a good matchup for the Niners as their best weapon, Gore, should get shut down by a physical run defense that hasn’t given up a whole lot. Minnesota has wrecked havoc lately against two more proficient offensive attacks – the Giants and the Lions – in its last two games and should really do the same against a San Francisco offense that lacks that a vertical threat that can make defenses not key in so much on the run. In all honesty, Dilfer should not be used – outside of maybe two QB leagues – and his WRs fall into that same trap as well, with only Battle a desperation #3 play at this point. The one area where the Niners could give the Vikings some trouble would be at TE, where lesser talents than Davis have been good for some yards against this defense. Part of the little “resurgence” the Niners are experiencing on offense can be credited to more throws to the TE, where either Davis or Delanie Walker have scored at least five points in each game over the past three contests.

Running Game Thoughts: Despite their reputation, the Vikings can be run on. But with Minnesota scoring as often as they have lately, opponents are getting less chance to pile up the carries. Gore has put up numbers reminiscent to last year over the last two games, but he will need to do a lot of damage receiving this week to be anything more than a #2 RB play. The Vikings have allowed just six RB scores on the season, so Gore’s contributions will likely just be in the yardage department.

Projections:
Trent Dilfer: 200 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Arnaz Battle: 60 rec
Darrell Jackson: 35 rec
Vernon Davis: 45 rec/1 TD
Frank Gore: 45 rush/50 rec

Browns @ Jets
Derek Anderson/Braylon Edwards/Joe Jurevicius/Kellen Winslow
Jamal Lewis (vs. NYJ)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Jets this season: Giants
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Jets this season: Redskins
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 19.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 19.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 9.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 34.6
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 14/14.2/6.3
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 16.7

Passing Game Thoughts: This is a tougher matchup than it appears at first blush, particularly for Edwards. CB Darrelle Revis has already established a reputation as one of the brightest young prospects at cornerback, so I don’t believe Edwards will simply have his way. That should, however, clear the way for even more production from Winslow and the running game. Production-wise, the Jets have been solid vs. the pass all season from a fantasy perspective as only Tom Brady has scored more than 20 points against them. However, a lot of that has to do with an abysmal run defense. Regardless, the Browns will likely find some success in the passing game as that is where their most explosive playmakers lie. So, Anderson remains a quality start, just don’t expect a huge game from him. This season has proven that Edwards is fighting only Winslow for targets, so even though Revis will win some battles, Edwards will as well and likely find the end zone yet again. Winslow’s 3.5-point performance last week was his worst – by far – of the season, so look for a bounce-back game from him against a defense that has allowed a couple of pretty decent performances from Todd Heap and Jason Witten.

Running Game Thoughts: The long stretch of soft matchups for Lewis continues. The Jets are the fourth-friendliest unit for opposing RB to score fantasy points against. Despite scoring 40 points last week against Miami, New York is still not a juggernaut on offense. That should mean that if Cleveland can jump out early, Lewis should get all the carries he can handle. While nothing is for certain in fantasy, Lewis should pile up the yards and get into the end zone at least once against a defense that has surrendered nearly 2,000 total yards and 13 scores to the RB position.

Projections:
Derek Anderson: 230 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Braylon Edwards: 70 rec/1 TD
Joe Jurevicius: 50 rec
Kellen Winslow: 80 rec/1 TD
Jamal Lewis: 100 rush/2 TD/15 rec

Kellen Clemens/Laveranues Coles/Brad Smith/Justin McCareins
Thomas Jones/Leon Washington (vs. CLE)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Browns this season: Rams
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Browns this season: Ravens (2)
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 20.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 30.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 17.8
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 19.3/22.7
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 14.3

Passing Game Thoughts: If Kurt Warner could throw for two scores against this defense throwing to Bryant Johnson, Sean Morey and Leonard Pope, there is plenty of hope for Clemens to match that, even if the Jets try to execute the same game plan they did last week, which was to run, run and run some more. Warner’s 16.5-point performance was the worst for any opposing QB vs. the Browns since Week 3, meaning Clemens should be in for a fine day even with limited attempts. Smith was the leading fantasy WR for the team last week because his one catch went for a score, but don’t kid yourself, Coles is poised to have a huge game if he is close to 100% healthy. At least one WR has scored 11.6 points vs. Cleveland in each of the last six games.

Running Game Thoughts: Jones was all set for a monster day against the Dolphins, but such is the story for his owners this season. Even when Doug lands in the end zone for the first time, it is Leon Washington who gets in twice and steals his thunder. A similar situation could occur this week as well. Cleveland is hardly stout vs. the run, allowing nine individual 100-yard rushing performances after just 12 games. With Jerricho Cotchery out indefinitely, expect a continued emphasis on the run if only to keep their own poor run-stopping unit off the field. (In an example of how numbers can betray you if you don’t know where they come from, the Browns have allowed just four RB scores this season. Bear in mind that will happen when QB’s have a 27:13 TD/INT ratio going in their favor.) That said, it wouldn’t be a shock in the least to see the Jets try to match the 35 carries they received from their backs last week in the rout of the Dolphins.

Projections:
Kellen Clemens: 230 pass/2 TD/2 INT
Laveranues Coles: 110 rec/1 TD
Brad Smith: 30 rec
Justin McCareins: 30 rec
Thomas Jones: 75 rush/1 TD/20 rec
Leon Washington: 50 rush/35 rec/1 TD

Chiefs @ Broncos
Brodie Croyle/Dwayne Bowe/Eddie Kennison/Tony Gonzalez
Kolby Smith (vs. DEN)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Broncos this season: Chiefs
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Broncos this season: Chiefs
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 12.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 18.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 4.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 8.8
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 23.6/19.2/8.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 20.8

Passing Game Thoughts: Fantasy football – more than just about any other fantasy game – is quirky. One week, an owner can be flying high because two low-end players did well and, the next week, the coaches for those teams can change QBs (or the signal-caller gets hurt) and what once looked like a good matchup goes up in smoke because of the comfort level the backup QB has with another player. Such is the case with Damon Huard and Croyle – and it’s just the opposite of what it should be. Huard – the veteran – leans heavily on Gonzo when he could be forgiven if he threw the ball more to his playmaking WR (Bowe) while the young pup Croyle heavily favors Bowe instead of the safety net that a Hall of Fame TE like Gonzalez can provide to a young QB. And in the end, it is almost that simple with this passing game. This week, Croyle looks to be under center once again, making Bowe a top-end #2 WR vs. a secondary that is riddled with injured stars that probably shouldn’t be playing right now. Bowe was a stud in the first meeting between these teams – going over 100 yards on nine receptions – and similar numbers with Croyle in the game should be expected. Meanwhile, Gonzo’s production was a mere 28 yards when Huard left that first meeting against the Chiefs early on. Since little has changed between the teams since their Week 10 meeting, expect similar results.

Running Game Thoughts: It looked as if Denver’s run defense had improved up until the last couple weeks, when Chicago’s Adrian Peterson and Justin Fargas both had very productive fantasy days against them. It should be noted that while the Broncos have performed much better vs. opposing backs at home than on the road, they can still certainly be run on. And Smith’s 83-yard workmanlike rushing performance vs. the Chargers last week pretty well solidifies him as a weekly play for the rest of the season (or until Larry Johnson returns). It’s clear that KC will continue handing the ball off to whoever lines up in the backfield regularly as the lead rusher for the Chiefs has collected at least 19 carries in every game since Week 5. Meanwhile, Denver hasn’t allowed a RB score at home since Michael Turner scored one the same week – part of which is due to the Broncos pass defense being so unbelievably porous this season. However, Kansas City is not a team that will abandon what the run just to exploit a potential weakness in the passing game. As such, I expect Smith to have another solid day against fantasy’s 10th-friendliest defense against RBs.

Projections:
Brodie Croyle: 210 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Dwayne Bowe: 90 rec/1 TD
Eddie Kennison: 30 rec
Tony Gonzalez: 40 rec
Kolby Smith: 100 rush/1 TD/25 rec

Jay Cutler/Javon Walker/Brandon Marshall/Brandon Stokley/Tony Scheffler
Travis Henry/Selvin Young (vs. KC)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season: Broncos
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Chiefs this season: Broncos
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 15.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 12.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 11.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 19.8
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 9.3/11.4/4.2
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 26.2

Passing Game Thoughts: Coming off a pair of solid two-TD outings against the Titans and Bears, it came as a bit of a surprise that Cutler had such a poor outing against the Raiders last week. Even though he is bound to be a fantasy staple for most of his career, Cutler is still prone to inconsistency and turnovers, two traits expected of a young QB. Unfortunately for him, the task doesn’t get much easier vs. the Chiefs, a team against which he posted a respectable 15.7-point total against four weeks ago. That is really all that should be expect from him this time as well, as the Chiefs have been one of the league’s best against opposing QBs, allowing only Carson Palmer and Brett Favre to pile up more than 15.8 points against them. No opponent has really kept Marshall under control this season though, as he has been good for 6.7 points in every game to this point. That likely means small games from Stokley and Scheffler for the simple fact there will not be a whole lot of passing yards to go around.

Running Game Thoughts: It’s quite clear from the rushing totals last week that Henry is far from 100%. While he posted a respectable 16.9 points vs. Oakland last week, he did rushing for just over three yards/carry – a terrible average vs. a rush defense as poor as the Raiders’. This week brings along another soft run defense – one that has surrendered 16.6 points or more to a lead RB in each of the last four games – but given the state of Denver’s running game, I still believe Young is the back to own as he was four weeks ago when he gouged the Chiefs for 18.9 points. Perhaps with the drug suspension threat over and Denver’s fading playoff hopes, HC Mike Shanahan will let Henry rest at the end of the season and allow Young a few games in the feature role.

Projections:
Jay Cutler: 205 pass/1 TD/1 INT
Javon Walker: 20 rec
Brandon Marshall: 75 rec/1 TD
Brandon Stokley: 50 rec
Tony Scheffler: 30 rec
Travis Henry: 40 rush
Selvin Young: 50 rush/25 rec

Colts @ Ravens
Peyton Manning/Reggie Wayne/Anthony Gonzalez/Dallas Clark
Joseph Addai (vs. BAL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season: Steelers
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Ravens this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 31.2
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 42.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 7.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 22.3/19.5/10.8
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 18.8

Passing Game Thoughts: Ever since both of these teams became who they have become (one of the best offenses in the league with little turnover each season vs. a defense that historically shuts down about any offense, when healthy), this is a matchup I absolutely love watching. Likely without Marvin Harrison once again, Indy appears to be finding their patented offensive firepower just in time for a late-season push. Manning has been good for 20 points in all but one game since Week 3 and has thrown for seven scores in just the last two weeks. He’s not likely to continue that level of production against a Baltimore team that finally showed its wares when it had a pair of healthy, talented CBs in the lineup – even if they got some help from the wind vs. the Pats. But there is no reason that Manning can’t at least match Brady’s 22.3-point performance from last week vs. the Ravens. There is also no reason Wayne won’t keep extend his 10-game streak of being the Colts’ top point-scorer at WR either. He should draw CB Samari Rolle more often than not (as opposed to Chris McAlister) and put up his usual yardage numbers, although a TD would be dicey to assume. Just as they did in last year’s playoff meeting, expect Clark and Addai to draw a great percentage of Manning’s attention in the passing game. Clark makes a great play against the Ravens. The only top-notch TEs to face this defense – Antonio Gates and Kellen Winslow each had their way in the yardage department and Gates scored twice.

Running Game Thoughts: As opponents typically do, the Colts are going to be hard-pressed to get much going on the ground alone vs. the Ravens as they are one of just six defenses that have yet to surrender 1,000 yards rushing to opposing RBs. It should be noted, however, that opposing RBs have accounted for 173 receiving yards over the past three weeks, so there is obviously something scheme-wise that Cleveland, San Diego and New England have each seen on tape. And, for that reason, Addai can still be counted on to provide the same low-end #1-top-end #2 RB numbers that Jamal Lewis, LT and Laurence Maroney have each given their owners over the past three weeks. Addai hasn’t been quite the statistical monster he was earlier in the season – as last week’s 6.7-point effort will attest – but he is still undoubtedly one of the best five fantasy RBs to own. His chances of scoring this week are low – Baltimore has yielded just four rushing scores this season, but the chances of Addai going over 100 total yards are good every week are very good, no matter who the opponent is.

Projections:
Peyton Manning: 250 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Reggie Wayne: 85 rec
Anthony Gonzalez: 45 rec
Dallas Clark: 80 rec/1 TD
Joseph Addai: 70 rush/1 TD/35 rec
Kenton Keith: 30 rush/20 rec

Kyle Boller/Mark Clayton/Derrick Mason
Willis McGahee (vs. IND)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Colts this season: Jaguars (2)
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Colts this season: Chiefs
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 14.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 16.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 10.7
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 15.9/18.8
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 15.8

Passing Game Thoughts: I’m still less than thrilled about any player from this passing game, but the offense’s performance against New England showed that the Ravens can field a decent offense when challenged to do so. That said, Clayton and Boller would qualify as terrible options at this point this season and Mason is a #3 WR at best due to the infrequency in which he visits the end zone. Whatever success this offense will have vs. Indy this weekend figures to be on the ground as Indy is one of the tougher teams to pass against, which naturally lends itself to very few numbers for QBs and WRs to pile up. David Garrard’s 257-yard, two-score performance vs. the Colts was just the third 200-yard passing day by an opponent and just the fourth time a QB has accounted for two TDs against Indy.

Running Game Thoughts: Outside of maybe Brian Westbrook, there hasn’t been a more consistent fantasy RB this season than McGahee. McGahee has produced 11.1 or more points in every game this season and that doesn’t figure to end this week. While he was held scoreless in Baltimore’s first five games, he contributed over 100 total yards in each game. Then, once he found the end zone in Week 6 for his first rushing TD, he hasn’t stopped since, scoring in seven straight games. There is absolutely no reason for it to stop against the Colts, even if they are one of the league’s best defenses. He scored on Pittsburgh in a blowout and was a huge reason the Ravens almost knocked off New England. The Colts are the eighth-toughest defense for fantasy RBs to score against, one spot behind the Pats – and we all know how that turned out.

Projections:
Kyle Boller: 215 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Mark Clayton: 40 rec
Derrick Mason: 75 rec
Willis McGahee: 85 rush/1 TD/20 rec

Saints @ Falcons
Drew Brees/Marques Colston/Devery Henderson/David Patten/Eric Johnson
Aaron Stecker/Pierre Thomas (vs. ATL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Falcons this season: Saints
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Falcons this season: Saints
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 19.8
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 18.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 6.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 15.2
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 23.1/23/13
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 23.1

Passing Game Thoughts: If I didn’t know better, I would think that fate is trying to turn the Saints into a run-and-shoot team. There is no way they could have envisioned both Deuce McAllister and Reggie Bush both going down in the same season, but if late-week reports end up being true, Bush may miss the rest of the season with a torn PCL. Because so much of the passing offense goes through Bush each week, one would naturally drop Brees down a peg or two. But I’m not so sure and given the Saints’ remaining schedule for Week 16 Fantasy Bowls (vs. Arizona, vs. Philadelphia); he’s probably not going to fall off all that much. If anything, Brees is resourceful and will likely go to his receivers more often, meaning it may be time to dust off Hendeson or Patten again or even Lance Moore. With the great deal of success #1 WRs have enjoyed lately vs. Atlanta, expect Colston to have another great fantasy day. Barring double teams and the like, he could see 15 targets with Bush out. Johnson hasn’t been nearly as involved in the passing game as many – including myself – thought he would be back in August. Nevertheless, Atlanta is the sixth-easiest team for TEs to score fantasy points against, so the matchup is definitely in your favor with Johnson if you like to go week-to-week with your TE.

Running Game Thoughts: Bush’s out-of-nowhere injury likely sent a number of his owners to the waiver wire in hopes they could land Stecker, However, I’m not entirely sure he is the one to grab. Thomas was exceptional when given the chance in the preseason and would seem to be the logical candidate to take more carries than the slighter Stecker. That’s not a knock on Stecker, but I believe at the very least, it will be a time share. Stecker was (and still is) an excellent third-down back before Bush’s arrival and New Orleans may be better served seeing what they have in Thomas as they ponder whether they want to bring back McAllister and his troublesome knee next season. As for the Falcons’ run defense, things bode well for whoever is running against it, as they have permitted at least 11 points to all but one lead RB over the last seven games.

Projections:
Drew Brees: 300 pass/3 TD/0 INT
Marques Colston: 105 rec/2 TD
Devery Henderson: 45 rec
David Patten: 65 rec
Eric Johnson: 25 rec/1TD
Aaron Stecker: 55 rush/30 rec
Pierre Thomas: 45 rush/1 TD/15 rec

Chris Redman/RoddyWhite/Michael Jenkins/Alge Crumpler
Warrick Dunn/Jerious Norwood (vs. STL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Saints this season: Falcons
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Saints this season: Falcons
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 18.3
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 31.7
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 1.4
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 7.1
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 18/18.2/10.8
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 14.2

Passing Game Thoughts: So, it’s come down to this? Well, believe it or not, owners could do much worse than plugging in Redman for a week. While the Saints’ run defense has picked it up this season, it is almost funny to see New Orleans’ CBs get burnt deep week after week. That fits the profile of White, who has quietly carved himself out quite a nice season. As it is quite well known, Redman played under Petrino at Louisville, so the playbook should only be limited to what he can do, not to what he knows. And he did throw for two scores in comeback fashion against the Rams, who have a better secondary than do the Saints. The proof? New Orleans has allowed a QB to score at least 23 points in three of the last four games. As for the WRs, White was targeted 18 times last week, meaning he is clearly the go-to guy for every QB on the roster, which is not always the case when backup QBs enter the game. Jenkins also had his best game in some time, but I imagine the Falcons will be looking White’s way – given the matchup – a lot more than Jenkins’. Jenkins could be usable in very deep three-WR leagues, however. This will be Crump’s first game against New Orleans this season, as he sat out the Week 7 meeting due to injury. Even he got into the act last week – posting a season-high 65 yards receiving. The Saints have been kind to TEs lately, meaning he could finally ready to deliver a Crumpler-like performance from seasons past.

Running Game Thoughts: For about the fifth time this season, HC Bobby Petrino is promising more work for Norwood after his big day in Week 13 – 115 yards of total offense on just 11 touches while Dunn managed just 17 yards on 10 carries. This time, I’ll bite. It makes sense with Atlanta officially out of the playoff race that the coaching staff would like to get a jump start on 2008’s evaluations. However, it may be wise to curb your enthusiasm until Week 16 on the speedster, as he will have his work cut out against two pretty fair run defense in New Orleans – fifth-toughest fantasy defense vs. RBs – and Tampa Bay next week – the Bucs are surrendering 3.75 ypc to the position this season. However, if Petrino follows through this time, you could do much worse than tabbing a home-run threat like Norwood as your #2 RB (or in the flex spot) if your team has been decimated by injuries at the position. New Orleans has allowed a lead rusher to pile up 11.5 points or more in three of the last four games.

Projections:
Chris Redman: 230 pass/2 TD/1 INT
Michael Jenkins: 50 rec
Roddy White: 100 rec/1 TD
Alge Crumpler: 50 rec/1 TD
Jerious Norwood: 55 rush/20 rec
Warrick Dunn: 45 rush/10 rec

Cowboys @ Lions
Tony Romo/Terrell Owens/Patrick Crayton/Jason Witten
Julius Jones/Marion Barber (vs. DET)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Lions this season: Packers
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Lions this season: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs:
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs:
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs:
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: N/A
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 23.3/31.8/3.6
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 27.3

Passing Game Thoughts: It would register as a mild shock if Romo doesn’t go nuts in this contest. The Lions are fading fast and have struggled with deep threats for the better part of the season. This makes Romo and Owens the likely top plays at their positions in Week 14. Considering Detroit has permitted 24.4 points/game to the WR position – the fifth-highest number in the league – Crayton makes for a fine play as well coming off his two-score game last week. Even though the stats haven’t reflected it lately, last week’s game vs. the Packers proved once again that Romo trusts Witten the most in crunch time. That doesn’t lead to great fantasy numbers each week, but it should comfort those owners who wondered where his early-season production has gone. Despite numbers to the contrary over the course of the season – likely do to their inability to stop teams from going deep – Witten is a strong play this week against Detroit’s cover 2. Why? Any team that has focused on getting their TE the ball has performed very well this season vs. the Lions.

Running Game Thoughts: There really isn’t any good reason why the Cowboys should struggle in the running game either. Barber continues to be the best play of this quasi-committee as he is pretty much a cinch for clock-killing work at the end of the game – something that should happen again for the Cowboys in this contest. In three straight weeks, Detroit has allowed at least 16.3 points to Brandon Jacobs, Ryan Grant and the Vikings’ Adrian Peterson (and nearly Chester Taylor in the same game). While Barber is not exactly a big back, he is every bit as physical as the aforementioned runners and should experience similar success.

Projections:
Tony Romo: 280 pass/3 TD/1 INT/10 rush
Terrell Owens: 100 rec/1 TD
Patrick Crayton: 60 rec/1 TD
Jason Witten: 65 rec/1 TD
Julius Jones: 45 rush/10 rec
Marion Barber: 85 rush/1 TD/25 rec

Jon Kitna/Calvin Johnson/Mike Furrey/Shaun McDonald
Kevin Jones (vs. DAL)
Similar passing attacks that have faced the Cowboys this season: Packers
Similar rushing attacks that have faced the Cowboys this season: Bills
FF Points Allowed vs. similar QBs: 19.9
FF Points Allowed vs. similar WRs: 28.1
FF Points Allowed vs. similar TEs: 3.0
FF Points Allowed vs. similar RBs: 12.0
FF Points Allowed vs. QBs/WRs/TEs over the last 3 weeks: 18.3/22.5
FF Points Allowed vs. RBs over the last 3 weeks: 12.3

Passing Game Thoughts: If 16 points marks being a successful fantasy QB, then Kitna has been worth playing over the last five weeks. However, he hasn’t been much better than that since Week 3, as 22.9 is his high since the season’s opening month. And without his most trusted option – Roy Williams – for what appears to be the rest of the year, it doesn’t figure to get better anytime soon. Furrey and McDonald – not Johnson – led the team in targets after Williams left in Week 13. It’s a safe bet that will continue as Detroit figures to go to more of a controlled passing game without Williams. Maybe Johnson gets more involved, but it certainly appears that he is not 100% recovered from his back injury AND/OR has yet to earn the trust of Kitna (more likely the former than the latter). And in a game they could really use Williams, the Lions don’t figure to get a break from the Cowboys, who are allowing 18 points/game to the QB position – 13th best in the league. While they have been a bit more forgiving vs. WRs (12th at 21.8 pts/game), the fact that Dallas should get a lot of pressure on Kitna figures to take away most any medium to deep routes.

Running Game Thoughts: Even against a good run defense like Minnesota, it is inexcusable for a RB like Jones to touch the ball just six times. And so it goes with owning Jones, who is a rollercoaster RB to own in fantasy. Whereas most RBs can be limited to low fantasy numbers due to the defense they are facing that week, Jones can seemingly be taken out of a game 6-8 times a season by not getting enough touches. And just when you think OC Mike Martz has finally forgotten him, he almost feels compelled to show he is a 40% run, 60% pass coordinator as opposed to 15-85 play-caller. So while he figures to get 15-20 touches this week, it comes against a defense that is the fourth-toughest in the league to score fantasy points against – only six RBs have hit double digits against Dallas. If you have been starting KJ to this point, continue to do so, but don’t expect a great deal out of him this week – if for no other reason – because trying to figure out what Martz wants to do each week can drive a fantasy owner crazy.

Projections:
Jon Kitna: 240 pass/1 TD/2 INT
Calvin Johnson: 45 rec/1 TD
Mike Furrey: 60 rec